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黄仁勋辞职引市值蒸发万亿,加密市场测试牛市成色

Crypto Just Failed a Critical Bull Market Test! What's Next?

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Bankless Nation, we're in the second week of November and we are once again testing whether or not this bull [music] market is intact or not. Bitcoin lost the 50we moving average. It's now right in between the 50we and the 200week moving average. Were the cycle investors predicting the early bull market wrong? Where are we headed next? And also Ryan, I've got questions about Jensen Hang. Jensen Hang has resigned from Nvidia. a trillion dollars of Nvidia value just gone in a month.

Bankless Nation,现在是十一月的第二周,我们再次在检验这个牛市[音乐]市场是否完好无损。比特币跌破了52周移动平均线。它现在正好位于52周和200周移动平均线之间。周期投资者预测的早期牛市是错误的吗?接下来我们要去向何方?还有Ryan,我有关于黄仁勋的问题。黄仁勋从英伟达辞职了。英伟达价值一万亿美元在一个月中灰飞烟灭。

We've got the Nvidia earnings coming down in 5 days. And I've got questions. I know that you know that my conspiracy cap can fit really nicely on my head and when the time calls, when the moment calls for it, it's on. The the cap is on this week. I've got conspiracies,

英伟达的财报将在5天后出炉。我有问题。我知道你知道我的阴谋论帽子能完美地戴在我的头上,当时候到来、时机需要时,它就会戴上。这顶帽子本周就戴上了。我有阴谋论,

guys. David absolutely had to start the agenda with Jensen Huang. So, we're doing that for David. Okay. is going on.

伙计们。David绝对得用黄仁勋来开启议程。所以,我们为了David这么做。好的。正在发生什么。

I know it's big news, but you know, he's got a lot of questions, so I want to hear him out on these conspiracy theories. Also, I have some great news for you, David. ETH is finally money because Vitalic said it this week

我知道这是大新闻,但你知道,他有很多问题,所以我想听听他对这些阴谋论的看法。另外,David,我有个好消息要告诉你。ETH终于成为货币了,因为Vitalic本周这么说了

for the first time, very concretely. I'll play the clip and we'll talk a little bit about that. Also, want to talk about Phillax. So, this is an Ethereum app layer security startup and they've launched something really innovative that might be able to stop Kim Jong-un for stealing all of our crypto on Ethereum. At least that's the hope. It's a pretty innovative solution. The question though is how does it impact Ethereum's immutability?

第一次,非常具体。我会播放那段视频片段,然后我们稍微讨论一下。另外,想聊聊Phala Network。这是一个以太坊应用层安全初创公司,他们推出了一些非常有创新性的东西,或许能阻止金正恩窃取我们在以太坊上的所有加密货币。至少希望如此。这是一个相当创新的解决方案。不过问题是,它如何影响以太坊的不可篡改性?

Do we lose the censorship resistance? It's kind of a nuanced answer and I can't wait to discuss that with you. But let's first start with your stuff. Okay, Jensen.

我们会失去抗审查性吗?答案有点微妙,我迫不及待想和你讨论这个问题。但让我们先从你的内容开始。好的,Jensen。

My stuff. Yeah, this is an AI podcast now. [laughter] Okay. So, after two extrammarital affairs, is it expected that the CEO of a company of like the world's most important company in this moment resigns? I say no. Uh, so regardless that one of these affairs was potentially with a Chinese intelligence asset like very important, very important.

我的内容。是的,这现在是一个AI播客。[笑声] 好吧。所以在经历了两次婚外情之后,一家此刻世界上最重要公司的CEO辞职是预期的吗?我说不是。嗯,所以不管其中一段恋情可能涉及中国情报资产这一点有多么重要、非常重要。

Do you hear yourself talking there? Okay. Chinese intelligence asset. It feels like that could be

你听到自己刚才说的话了吗?好的。中国情报资产。感觉那可能是

according to whom who is saying that she is a Chinese intelligence asset because I would like further evidence that that is also exactly what's going on and the market was absorbing that news like that was bearish but we were getting over it and then the second extrammarital affair with one of his employees a VP of healthcare who like as far like no one was this was an of age consensual relationship between cons two consenting adults Like are you justifying affairs now, David?

根据谁的说法,说她是中国的间谍资产?因为我想看到更多证据,证明这确实就是正在发生的事情。市场像消化利空消息一样吸收了这条新闻,但我们逐渐克服了它。接着是他与一名员工的婚外情,该员工是医疗保健部门的一位副总裁。嗯,就像……反正这是两个成年人之间自愿的、双方同意的关系。你是现在在为婚外情辩护吗,大卫?

Is that whose side you're on? You're on the side of the cheating spouse.

这就是你站队的问题吗?你站在出轨配偶的那一边。

Whether or not an affair is [laughter] justified is between him and his wife and not the market or the government. But after

婚外情是否被[笑声]合理化,那是他和妻子之间的事,与市场或政府无关。但在之后

But if he's if he's having an affair with a Chinese spy, that's kind of a government issue, right? With

但如果他是在和一个中国间谍搞婚外情,那某种程度上就成了政府问题,对吧?关于

that. Yes, that is. But it's not like he was like, "Let me go court this Chinese spy." It's like there's this babe who's into me. And like all men are fallible on that front details. But I want to hear you out. So, but what happened was Jensen Wong resigned as uh Nvidia CEO. He was pushed out by the board as a result of these two extrammarital affairs and that was news as of this morning. Nvidia is down 17% on the week.

这件事。是的,确实如此。但这不像他说:“让我去追求这位中国间谍吧。”更像是有一个美女对我有意思。而在这一点上,所有男人都会犯错,细节方面。但我想听听你的看法。所以,实际情况是黄仁勋辞去了英伟达CEO的职务。由于这两起婚外情,他被董事会罢免了,这是今天早上发布的新闻。英伟达本周下跌了17%。

Is that real? And 27% in November. Are these the real numbers?

这是真的吗?11月下跌了27%。这些是真实的数据吗?

We've lost Nvidia has lost about a trillion dollars of market cap from peak to trough. uh and just like how much is riding on Nvidia both in just a how much percentage of it it represents of uh the S&P but then also like all of the downstream implications of the entire AI industry. Like if you want to go for the Achilles heel of the growth of the United States, it's Nvidia.

英伟达从峰值到谷底市值蒸发了约一万亿美元。嗯,就像有多少东西押在英伟达身上一样,不仅是指它占标普指数的百分比,还包括整个AI行业的所有下游影响。如果你想寻找美国增长的阿喀琉斯之踵,那就是英伟达。

Yeah. It's been called AI central bank, right, for a reason. It's it's fueling all the capex. It's all of the supply. It's like so important. and Jensen has been probably the most important person in AI over the past couple of years. Probably bar none. It's not even close. He also always struck me as sort of a sort of um a steady hand, right? He was never uh hyperbolic. Well, I guess he was, you know, very optimistic on things, but he was just a steady hand in operating Nvidia.

是的。它被称为“AI央行”,这是有原因的。它为所有的资本支出提供燃料。它是所有的供应来源。它非常重要。而黄仁勋在过去几年里可能是AI领域最重要的人。毫无疑问,甚至没有可比性。他也一直给我一种稳重掌舵者的印象,对吧?他从不夸大其词。好吧,我猜他对某些事情非常乐观,但他作为英伟达的运营者始终稳如泰山。

He's been there for what, like 30 years, like

他在那里待了多久,大概30年,像

long-standing engineer, good good leader, it seemed like. So what is your what is your conspiracy theory here? If if you don't think he was was fired for reasons that the board explained that these two extrammarital affairs, what's the alternative explanation here?

一位资深工程师,看起来是个不错的领导者。那么你的阴谋论是什么?如果你认为他不是按照董事会解释的原因(即这两起婚外情)被解雇的,这里的替代解释是什么?

The the collection of things is really what I'm concerned about. There's a potential bunch of conspiracies and I'm sure all of them are mostly false and all of them also equally have at least some kernels of truth to them. We're going to have to wait for all of the information to really come out. But my main conspiracy is that we do not know the actual real reason because I'm throwing a flag at the idea that sex between consenting adults therefore concludes at the removal of the most important CEO of the most important company in the S&P 500.

真正让我关注的是这些事件的集合。这里存在一堆阴谋论,我确信它们大多都是虚假的,但同时也都至少包含一些真实的内核。我们必须等待所有信息真正浮出水面。但我主要的怀疑是,我们并不知道真正的原因,因为我对“成年人之间自愿的性行为因此导致最重要公司(标普500指数中)的最重要CEO被撤职”这一逻辑提出质疑。

And so that that's my first flag. The second flag that I don't like is why The Economist, which broke the news that Jensen Hang also had an extrammarital affair with an internal VP and therefore should be removed from his CEO position. The Economist broke this news with an article that said Jensen Huang must go with the subtitle his should not be the only head to roll. So why are we already at [laughter] the conclusion of heads rolling? like why is the economist publishing a guilty verdict as they break the news of the second er marital affair?

所以这是我的第一个疑点。我不喜欢的第二个疑点是,《经济学人》率先报道黄仁勋也与内部副总裁有婚外情,因此应该从CEO职位上被撤下。《经济学人》用一篇文章报道了这一消息,标题是“黄仁勋必须走人”,副标题是“他不应该是唯一需要负责的人”。那么为什么我们已经[笑声]到了“人头落地”的结论阶段?就像为什么《经济学人》在报道第二起婚外情新闻的同时,就发布有罪判决呢?

And then I go and I listen to all these podcasts, one from uh the Atlantic, one from the New York Times, the Daily, one from the BBC, all very left-leaning media organizations, and not a single one of those podcasts ever asks the question about why extrammarital affairs concludes at a resignation. Like there was a big leap in logic I felt like where it was like okay so like he had two of these affairs and now we have to remove him.

然后我去听所有这些播客,一个来自《大西洋月刊》,一个来自《纽约时报·每日版》,还有一个来自BBC,都是非常左倾的媒体机构,但这些播客中没有一个问过为什么婚外情会导致辞职。我觉得这里有一个巨大的逻辑跳跃,好像意思是:好吧,他有了两次这样的婚外情,现在我们就得把他撤掉。

Like I'm not ready to make that conclusion. There seems to be a big gaping hole in the logical process of this whole thing.

比如,我还不能得出这个结论。在这整件事的逻辑过程中,似乎存在一个巨大的、明显的漏洞。

But isn't it just an explanation for this that all of these entities the the Economist Atlantic New York Times the BBC they're in media and they've been sort of anti- tech oligarchs anti- AI from the very beginning. And so this is some rising star that is falling and they're celebrating that and they're, you know, you know, they're they're they're wanting that to happen. They just kind of hate Jensen, Nvidia, AI, and all of these things.

但这难道不是对这些实体——《经济学人》、《大西洋月刊》、《纽约时报》、BBC——的解释吗?它们都属于媒体行业,并且从一开始就在某种程度上反科技寡头、反AI。所以这是一个冉冉升起的新星正在陨落,而它们在为此庆祝,你知道的,它们希望这件事发生。它们就是讨厌黄仁勋、英伟达、AI以及所有这些事物。

So it's not no surprise to me that they'd be rooting for the downfall and not questioning these things in the way you'd expect them to question it. I the fact that the hole is the same size in the same place across these three organizations is concern like not we didn't we didn't ask like is this does the punishment fit the crime like not we didn't ask that question like one time across all of three of these things and so this is why I would like to go down the conspiracy theory

所以,他们支持其垮台而不是以你期望的方式质疑这些问题,这对我来说并不奇怪。我担心的是,在这三个组织中,同一个位置的漏洞大小完全相同。我们没有问诸如‘惩罚是否与罪行相称’之类的问题;在所有这三个案例中,我们一次都没有问过这样的问题。这就是为什么我想沿着阴谋论的方向深入探讨

route I want to hear the conspiracies what what what do you think the real reason is here

路线。我想听听这些阴谋论:你认为这里真正的原因是什么?

Jensen Hang is uniquely a big fan of open-source AI models these are the models that democrat ize power of AI to the rest of the world to everyone else. So all of these closed source models from open AI and anthropic and all the AI labs that are hidden behind the walls that are only available to you know the government elite or the inner elite tech circles. Jensen Hong was like, "No, no, no. Like open source models is actually like the way to go and that's the way that power gets pushed to the margins, you know, that's good for the people of the world and it shifts power and spreads it out more democratically in my opinion."

Jensen Huang 是开源 AI 模型独一无二的忠实粉丝。这些模型将 AI 的力量民主化,赋予世界其他人。而所有这些来自 OpenAI、Anthropic 以及那些隐藏在墙后、仅对政府精英或科技圈内部精英开放的闭源模型,Jensen Huang 却说:“不,不,不。开源模型才是正确的道路,这样权力才能被推向边缘,这对全世界人民有利,在我看来,它使权力更加民主地转移和分散。”

Uh, and so that's offensive to the powers that

嗯,因此,这对掌权者来说是一种冒犯

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