Binance遭63亿美元黑客攻击,Intel财报不及预期
Open Interest 10/30/2026
Binance遭遇63亿美元级别的黑客攻击是加密行业里程碑式的安全事件,且交易所明确承诺全额赔付,直接关乎资金安全与市场信心;同时涵盖Intel、Amazon等核心科技股的财报反应,建议从业者重点关注链上资产追踪进展及后续监管动态。
IT'S A SPOOKY HALLOWEEN FRIDAY INDEED. STOCKS ARE DOWN 30 MINUTES UNTIL THE START OF YOUR CASH EQUITY TRADE. YOU ARE WATCHING OPEN INTEREST. I AM DANI BURGER.
这确实是一个阴森森的万圣节周五。在您的现金股票交易开始还有30分钟,股市下跌。您正在观看Open Interest(未平仓合约)。我是Dani Burger。
AND I AM ISABELLE LEE. OPEN INTEREST STARTS RIGHT NOW. DANI: COMING UP, MORE HALLOWEEN PUNS. IT'S A FRIGHTFUL FINISH FOR BIG TECH. AMAZON ADDS TO THE BRUTAL WEEK FOR TRADE. ISABELLE: THE WINDFALL DRIVEN BY THE WAR. HACKERS STEAL BILLIONS FROM BINANCE IN THE BIGGEST CRYPTO HACK EVER. ISABELLE: I'M GOING TO TRY TO KEEP UP WITH YOU FOR SPOOKY PUNS. IF YOU THOUGHT WEDNESDAY WAS SCARY, THURSDAY WAS SCARIER. THE BIG SPOOKY OUT THERE IS INTEL, THE STOCK IS DOWN NEARLY 26%.
我是Isabelle Lee。Open Interest现在开始。Dani:接下来会有更多万圣节双关语。科技巨头迎来令人毛骨悚然的结局。亚马逊加剧了本周残酷的交易局面。Isabelle:战争带来的意外之财。黑客从币安窃取数十亿美元,创下史上最大加密货币黑客事件。Isabelle:我会努力跟上你的万圣节双关语节奏。如果你觉得周三很可怕,周四更可怕。外面那个大“鬼魂”是英特尔,股价下跌近26%。
THE MARKET PLUNGING AFTER AN UNEXPECTED OUTLOOK WITH THE COMPANY WARNING THE SOFTNESS IN THE PC MARKET COULD PERSIST INTO NEXT YEAR. STRONG DATA AT THE MAN WAS NOT A CONCERN. FOR INTEL, IT'S NOT THAT THE AI EVENT IS IN QUESTION, WE JUST CAN'T MEET THE AI DEMAND. DANI: I GUESS WE ALL OWN THIS STOCK BECAUSE THE GOVERNMENT HAS A STAKE IN IT. EVERYTHING IS GETTING BATTERED TODAY IN TECH LAND WITH EARNINGS. AMAZON IS CERTAINLY NOT HELPING, NOT AS BAD AS INTEL.
该公司警告个人电脑市场疲软可能持续到明年,导致市场暴跌。Man(指标普500指数成分股或泛指市场)强劲的数据并非问题所在。对于英特尔来说,问题不在于AI事件是否成立,而是我们无法满足AI需求。Dani:我想我们都拥有这只股票,因为政府在其中持有股份。今天科技板块的所有股票都在遭受打击, earnings(财报)方面也是如此。亚马逊 certainly(当然)没有起到帮助作用,尽管情况不如英特尔糟糕。
STILL DOWN 7%. INVESTORS ARE FOCUSING ON THE COST OF THE AI BUILDOUT AND THE SLOWING GROWTH OF ITS CORE BUSINESS. THIS IS A RECURRING THEME WITH ALPHABET TOO. AWS ACCELERATED GROWTH BUT THAT WAS NOT ENOUGH TO OFFSET THE $77 BILLION IN ACCELERATED SPENDING. ISABELLE: JOINING US IS ED LUDLOW. AWS WAS A BRIGHT SPOT. THE BACKLOG WAS TRIPLE DIGITS YEAR-OVER-YEAR. ED: THEY SAID AS MUCH ABOUT THE CLOUD BUSINESS OVER THE LONGEST TIME HORIZON POSSIBLE THAT THEY COULD HAVE DONE.
仍下跌7%。投资者正关注AI建设成本以及其核心业务增长的放缓。这也是Alphabet反复出现的主题。AWS加速增长,但这不足以抵消770亿美元的加速支出。Isabelle: joining us(加入我们的是)Ed Ludlow。AWS是一个亮点。积压订单同比增长三位数。Ed:他们关于云业务的说法,是在尽可能长的时间范围内所能做出的最充分的表述。
IT WAS NOT JUST THAT AWS MET EXPECTATIONS. MICROSOFT PROBABLY SET THE BAR HIGH. IT WAS SEVERAL PERCENTAGE POINTS AHEAD OF EVEN THE WHISPER NUMBERS. THEY BASICALLY SAID AWS IS GOING TO GROW 40% OR NORTH OF IT NEXT YEAR AND THE YEAR AFTER THAT. AND THAT CAPEX IS GOING TO BE MEANINGFULLY HIGHER THAN IT IS THIS YEAR AND IT IS STILL $20 BILLION. -- THERE IS SUSTAINED MOMENTUM IN A BUSINESS THAT HAS SIX CONSECUTIVE QUARTERS OF ACCELERATING GROWTH ON A YEAR-OVER-YEAR BASIS.
不仅仅是AWS符合预期。微软可能设定了很高的标准。它甚至领先于那些传闻中的数字好几个百分点。他们基本上表示,AWS明年的增长率将达到40%或以上,后年也是如此。而且资本支出将显著高于今年,目前仍是200亿美元。-- 这项业务在过去六个季度中实现了同比加速增长,势头持续强劲。
ANDY JACKSON WAS FRUSTRATED ABOUT WHY NO ONE TALKS ABOUT AMAZON.COM. THAT IN END OF ITS OWN RIGHT IS A CONTRIBUTED TO PROFIT FOR AMAZON. COMPANYWIDE MARGINS ARE REALLY GOOD. NORTH AMERICAN RETAIL, SEVEN POINT 7% IS WAY BEYOND. THEY ARE RUNNING THAT BUSINESS WELL. THE STOCK BEING DOWN 7% IS HARD TO CALL. DANI: I WISH YOU CALLED -- WHAT WOULD YOU CALL INTEL BEING DOWN 25%? ED: IT'S NOT SPOOKY, IT'S A COMPLETE HORROR SHOW.
Andy Jackson对为什么没人谈论Amazon.com感到沮丧。单凭这一点就为亚马逊贡献了利润。公司整体利润率非常好。北美零售业务利润率高达7.7%,远超预期。他们的业务运营良好。股价下跌7%很难解释。Dani:我希望你打过电话——你会怎么形容英特尔下跌25%?Ed:这不吓人,这是一场彻底的恐怖秀。
THE GUIDANCE OF $15 BILLION TO $16 BILLION, IF IT CAME IN AT THE LOW END, SOME OF THE ESTIMATES WERE NORTH OF $18 BILLION. THAT WOULD BE A MULTIBILLION-DOLLAR MIST. ISABELLE IS RIGHT. THE PC MARKET IS MEMORY CHIPS. THE PRICING IS HIGH AND THERE IS NO AVAILABILITY. THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST HALF OF 2027. AND ON A DOLLAR BASIS, THE CLIENT SEGMENT IS BIGGER THAN THE DATA CENTER. ON DATA CENTER, DEMAND FOR CPU IS REALLY HIGH.
150亿美元至160亿美元的指引,如果以低端计算,一些预估超过180亿美元。那将是一个数十亿美元的失误。伊莎贝尔说得对。个人电脑市场是内存芯片。定价高且无货。这种情况将持续到2027年上半年。从美元角度来看,客户端细分市场比数据中心更大。在数据中心方面,对CPU的需求非常高。
YOU GUYS PUT IN SUPPLY CHAIN ISSUES, IT'S JUST EXECUTION. THEY ARE FRUSTRATED THEY ARE LEAVING MONEY ON THE TABLE. THEY HAD SOME DOWNTIME AT THE FACILITY IN ISRAEL THAT SERVES THE CPU MARKET THAT THAT IS UNFORTUNATE THEY CAN'T GET HOLD OF SUBSTRATE. THEY CAN'T MATCH THE DEMAND THAT IS THERE. THAT IS SOMETHING HE SAID TO ME ON THE PHONE FOR THREE STRAIGHT QUARTERS. IT'S A HORROR SHOW. DANI: REALLY WELL PUT, ED. PLEASE KEEP THE HALLOWEEN PUNS COMING.
你们提到了供应链问题,这仅仅是执行层面的问题。他们感到沮丧,因为他们在白白损失利润。他们在服务于CPU市场的以色列设施经历了一些停机时间,不幸的是他们无法获得基板。他们无法满足现有的需求。这是他在电话里连续三个季度对我说的话。这是一场噩梦。达尼:说得太好了,埃德。请继续万圣节双关语。
LOOKING FORWARD TO BLOOMBERG TECH IN ABOUT TWO HOURS TIME. HIGH OIL PRICES AND REFINING MARGINS ARE REFUELING EARNINGS. EXXON AND CHEVRON ARE IN THE GREEN PREMARKET. CONFLICTS IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND RUSSIA ARE DRIVING REFINING PRODUCTS TO A RECORD HIGH. JOINING US IS KEVIN IN HOUSTON. THIS IS SOMETHING I WOULD ASSUME WOULD ARGUABLY BE PRICED IN, KIND OF THE FLIPSIDE OF TECH. DIDN'T WE KNOW THAT BIG OIL WOULD BE HAVING A BANNER QUARTER GIVEN EVERYTHING WE ARE SEEING?
期待大约两小时后的彭博科技节目。高油价和炼油利润率正在为盈利提供动力。埃克森美孚和雪佛龙在盘前交易中表现良好。中东和俄罗斯的冲突推动炼油产品达到历史新高。与我们连线的是休斯顿的凯文。我认为这在某种程度上可以说是已经定价的因素,也是科技的反面面。鉴于我们看到的一切,难道我们不是早就知道大型石油公司会有一个创纪录的季度吗?
WE DID. THE OIL PRICES AND REFINING MARGINS ARE OUT THERE IN THE MARKETS. SO, PEOPLE WERE EXPECTING SOME BIG NUMBERS. BUT, THEY CAME IN EVEN BIGGER THAN WHAT WE WERE EXPECTING. AND OVERALL EARNINGS OF $56 BILLION ACROSS THE MAJORS, WHICH IS THE HIGHEST -- THIRD HIGHEST ON RECORD, SURPASSED ONLY BY TWO QUARTERS IN 2022. IT WAS ALL ABOUT REFINING, WHICH IS OFTEN THE OVERLOOKED PART OF THE OIL INDUSTRY, THE BUSINESS OF TAKING CRUDE OIL AND TURNING IT INTO FINISHED PRODUCTS LIKE GASOLINE AND DIESEL.
确实如此。油价和炼油利润率已经在市场上体现出来。因此,人们预期会有一些大数字。但它们比我们预期的还要大。主要石油公司的总盈利为560亿美元,这是历史第三高,仅次于2022年的两个季度。这一切都关乎炼油,这通常是石油行业中被忽视的部分,即将原油转化为汽油和柴油等成品的业务。
WE HAVE SEEN RECORD REFINING EARNINGS AND RECORD REFINING MARGINS. THIS IS SHOWING UP IN THE PRICE OF THE PUMP ACROSS THE COUNTRY. THIS IS PROBABLY NOT WHAT PRESIDENT TRUMP AND THE REPUBLICAN PARTY WANT TO HEAR AS THEY HEAD INTO THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS NEXT WEEK. ISABELLE: KEVIN, I WANT TO TALK MORE ABOUT CHEVRON. PRODUCTION DECLINED FROM THE PREVIOUS QUARTER. ARE YOU CONCERNED ABOUT THAT AS THEY RAMP UP PRODUCTION IN VENEZUELA?
我们已经看到了创纪录的炼油盈利和创纪录的炼油利润率。这反映在全国各地的加油站价格上。这可能不是特朗普总统和共和党在下周中期选举前夕想听到的。伊莎贝尔:凯文,我想更多地谈谈雪佛龙。产量较上一季度下降。随着他们在委内瑞拉增加产量,你对此感到担忧吗?
CHEVRON'S PRODUCTION VARIES QUARTER TO QUARTER. THEY ARE DOWN TAKING MORE OF A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH IN CRIMEA FOR EXAMPLE. RUNNING THAT BUSINESS FOR PROFIT RATHER THAN PRODUCTION. THEY HAVE GOT SIGNIFICANT OPPORTUNITIES GOING FORWARD. VENEZUELA BEING THE PRIME ONE THERE. THEY SAID TODAY THAT THE COST FOR VENEZUELA IS LESS THAN $20 A BARREL. YOU CAN SEE THE PROPHETS. THEY CLEARLY WANT TO DEVELOP VENEZUELA, GIVEN THE POLITICAL CHANGES WE HAVE SEEN THIS YEAR.
雪佛龙的产量逐季波动。例如,他们在克里米亚采取了更为保守的做法,以利润而非产量为导向运营该业务。他们未来拥有重大机遇,其中委内瑞拉是首要机会。他们今天表示,委内瑞拉的成本低于每桶20美元。你可以看到先知们显然希望开发委内瑞拉,鉴于我们今年所看到的政治变化。
THEY ARE ALSO LOOKING AT SOME GREAT OPPORTUNITIES IN IRAQ. MAYBE BECAUSE EXPAND AND WEST AFRICA. THE INDUSTRY IS RETURNING TO A GROWTH PHASE NOW GIVEN THE DEMAND THAT IS OUT THERE AND THE DISRUPTIONS THAT WE ARE SEEING. ISABELLE: KEVIN, THANK YOU FOR JOINING US. EARNINGS STOCKS ARE DOWN AFTER A 6.3 BILLION DOLLAR ATTACK, THE LARGEST EVER IN BITCOIN HISTORY. ALL HAS BEEN SUSPENDED. EMILY NICOLLE HAS THE DETAILS. THIS WAS AN OVERNIGHT DEVELOPING STORY.
他们也在审视伊拉克的一些绝佳机遇,也许是扩大在西非的业务。鉴于现有的需求以及我们所看到的扰乱因素,行业现已回归增长阶段。伊莎贝尔:凯文,感谢你加入我们。 earnings stocks(收益股)在经历比特币历史上最大规模的63亿美元攻击后下跌。所有交易已被暂停。艾米丽·尼科尔提供详情。这是一则隔夜发展的新闻。
NOW THE VALUE IS AT $6 MILLION. HOW MUCH OF THOSE ASSETS ARE ACTUALLY AT RISK AND WHAT IS THE LATEST? EMILY: ACCORDING TO BINANCE, IT'S ALL GOING FINE, ACTUALLY. $6.3 BILLION WAS STOLEN. THAT'S THE LATEST AMOUNT THAT WE KNOW. $3 BILLION HAS BEEN FROZEN BY ISSUANCE. THE ISSUANCE OF THOSE TOKENS CAN STEP IN AND REMOVE THAT. HALF OF THAT HAS BEEN FROZEN. THE REST IS STILL WITH THE ATTACKERS. IN THE MEANTIME, THEY SAY COMPANY FUNDS CAN COVER ALL $6 BILLION OF IT.
目前价值为600万美元。这些资产中有多少实际上处于风险之中?最新情况如何?艾米丽:根据币安的说法,一切其实都还好。63亿美元被盗。这是我们要知的最新金额。发行方已冻结了30亿美元。代币的发行方可以介入并移除这些资金。其中一半已被冻结。其余部分仍在攻击者手中。与此同时,他们称公司资金足以覆盖全部60亿美元。
THEY HAVE ENOUGH IN RESERVE TO BE ABLE TO COVER ALL OF IT. FOR TOKENS THEY DON'T HAVE, THEY ARE BUYING THEM. IN THE LAST FEW HOURS, THEY SAID THEIR REVENUE FOR THIS YEAR ALONE CAN COVER ALL OF THAT SHORTFALL. SO FAR, IT SEEMS LIKE IT'S NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT. DANI: EMILY, THE THING I DON'T QUITE UNDERSTAND, AND MAYBE YOU CAN HELP EXPLAIN THIS TO ME, I THOUGHT THE WHOLE POINT OF THE BLOCKCHAIN AND RECORDING EVERY TRANSACTION IS YOU KNOW WHERE THIS STUFF IS GOING.
他们的储备金充足,能够覆盖全部损失。对于他们没有持有的代币,他们正在购买。在过去几个小时里,他们表示仅今年的收入就足以弥补这一全部缺口。到目前为止,看起来似乎没什么好担心的。达妮:艾米丽,有一件事我不是很明白,也许你能帮我解释一下。我以为区块链的核心以及记录每一笔交易的要点在于你知道这些东西的去向。
SO HOW EXACTLY DOES A HACK WORK WHEN SOMEONE TAKES CRYPTOCURRENCY? IS IT JUST FROZEN AND THEY CAN'T ACTUALLY SPEND IT BECAUSE THEY WILL EXPOSE THEMSELVES? HOW DOES IT WORK WITH THE MECHANISM OF THE BLOCKCHAIN? EMILY: THE WAY THEY WERE ABLE TO TAKE IT IS BECAUSE IT IS CRYPTO. IF THEY TOOK IT BY CASH, LOTS OF THINGS HAVE TO HAPPEN. WITH CRYPTO, ONCE YOU TAKE IT, YOU OWN AND YOU CAN MOVE IT TO ANY WALLET YOU LIKE. THAT'S HOW THEY WERE ABLE TO TAKE IT.
那么,当有人窃取加密货币时,黑客攻击究竟是如何运作的?是因为资金被冻结导致他们无法实际花费,否则会暴露自己吗?区块链的机制又是如何起作用的?艾米丽:他们之所以能够得手,是因为这是加密货币。如果是现金,需要发生很多事情。而对于加密货币,一旦你拿走它,你就拥有了它,并且可以将其转移到任何你想要的钱包。这就是他们能够得手的原因。
THE PERSON LAUNDERING IT, THAT'S A BIT MORE COMPLEX. THE $3 BILLION, THAT'S NOT AN ASSET THEY CAN DO ANYTHING WITH. THE REST OF IT, THEY ARE NOW IN THE PROCESS OF LAUNDERING. THAT'S HOW WE CAN IDENTIFY IT MIGHT BE NORTH KOREAN HACKERS ON THE BEHIND THIS. THEY ARE USED TO SPOTTING THE LAUNDERING PATTERN THAT NORTH KOREA USES AND THIS MATCHES THAT PATTERN. THEY HAVE DIFFERENT LAUNDERING SERVICES. THERE ARE WAYS TO MIX UP THE TRANSACTION PATH OF THE TOKEN TO MAKE IT MORE DIFFICULT TO FOLLOW.
洗钱的人则更为复杂。30亿美元并非他们可以随意处置的资产。其余部分,他们正在洗钱过程中。这也是我们能识别出背后可能是朝鲜黑客的原因。他们习惯于发现朝鲜使用的洗钱模式,而此次事件正符合该模式。他们使用不同的洗钱服务。有多种方法可以混淆代币的交易路径,使其更难追踪。
THAT'S WHAT THEY ARE TRYING TO DO. ANY WALLET THAT INTERACTS WITH A STOLEN ONE WOULD BE FLAGGED. YOU MIGHT NOT BE ABLE TO TOUCH THOSE ASSETS BECAUSE YOU WILL KNOW IT HAS BEEN SANCTIONED. IT IS STILL A LITTLE BIT OF A BLACK BOX. IF WE KNEW WHAT THE HACKERS WERE DOING AND HOW THEY DID IT, WE WOULD NOT HAVE A PROBLEM AT ALL. THERE ARE STILL WAYS THEY CAN DO THIS. AND THAT REMAINS A MYSTERY. DANI: THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR JOINING US.
这正是他们试图做的。任何与被盗钱包交互的钱包都会被标记。你可能无法动用这些资产,因为你知道它们已被制裁。这仍然是一个黑盒。如果我们知道黑客在做什么以及他们是如何做到的,我们就不会有任何问题。他们仍有办法做到这一点。这依然是一个谜。达妮:非常感谢你加入我们。
原文超出正文长度上限,此处截断——上游还有内容,完整版见上方「原文 ↗」。
更进一步:量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力