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Bloomberg讨论Anthropic IPO零售需求与OpenAI影响

Retail Investors Get Ready For Anthropic IPO

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Max chef can show up. But even more importantly, his digital song showed up here on anthropic. We got Nvidia. Now we've got all the rest of it. Yes, and on a dime. I've got to turn Monday to a pricing on Wednesday pricing, excuse me on pricing on Wednesday and trading on Thursday eight times oversubscribed six times whatever. What's your reporting? Well I my reporting showed that there's strong demand from retail side.

Max Chef 可能会现身。但更重要的是,他的数字歌曲出现在了 Anthropic 这里。我们有 Nvidia。现在我们要处理其余的所有事情。是的,而且速度极快。我得把周一的价格调整到周三的定价,抱歉是周三的定价,周四的交易已经八次超额认购,六倍 Whatever。你的报告情况如何?嗯,我的报告显示零售端需求强劲。

Of course a lot of them have participated in space before and they are strategizing to to see how they can maximize their allocation. It's just greed. Come on, stop it. It's freaking greed. Max is with us. Max, I look at this and I remember with space X there was this rolling. The shares become available of people selling. Are we going to have the same thing here? Uh, yeah, I believe so. I actually haven't looked closely at the schedule, but I believe.

当然,其中许多人之前参与过太空项目,他们正在制定策略以看如何最大化他们的分配额度。这纯粹是贪婪。得了吧,停下吧。简直是疯狂的贪婪。Max 和我们在一起。Max,我看着这个,我记得在 SpaceX 时有过这种滚动效应。股份变得可供人们出售。我们在这里也会发生同样的情况吗?呃,是的,我相信会。我实际上没有仔细看过时间表,但我相信。

Welcome to Bloomberg Money. Um, you know, I think the retail, it's very much the eye trade has been a retail phenomenon, a meme stock phenomenon. When you look at some of the companies that have really benefited, uh, most notably Elon Musk and SpaceX, as well as Tesla, also Palantir, uh, I think we're going to see anthropic. If they're smart, they will try to take advantage of the exact same dynamic, which is that there are a lot of people who are really excited to essentially gamble on this and to and to put a little money behind the idea of, of, you know, I see not that the two of you know, what a red herring is, but we used to have a document here that you did launch, and it was 28 pages, and now they're 200 pages with all the risk factors.

欢迎来到 Bloomberg Money。嗯,你知道,我认为散户交易一直是一个散户现象,一个迷因股(meme stock)现象。当你看到一些真正受益的公司时,最著名的是 Elon Musk 和 SpaceX,以及 Tesla,还有 Palantir,嗯,我认为我们会看到 Anthropic。如果他们聪明,他们会试图利用完全相同的动态,即有很多人对本质上在此进行赌博感到兴奋,并愿意为这个想法投入一点资金,你知道的,我不是说你们俩知道什么是红鲱鱼(red herring),但我们曾经有一份文件,你当时发布了,那是 28 页,现在是 200 页,包含了所有的风险因素。

Is anybody looking at the financials that you read this? As you know, Tom, I mean, you read the S-1 and it is a very strange and staggering document. Um, you know, anthropic is sort of performative. Lee a weird and different company. The the ownership structure is different. I think the bet is that, you know, investors are going to say, hey, I'm, I'm along for the ride. I mean, James Diamond with what I can only call him, what's his name?

有人在看你读的财务报表吗?正如你所知,Tom,我是说,你读了 S-1 表格,那是一份非常奇怪且令人震惊的文件。嗯,你知道,Anthropic 有点表演性质。Lee 是一家奇怪且不同的公司。所有权结构不同。我认为赌注在于,投资者会说,嘿,我会一路同行。我是说,James Diamond 和我只能称他为……他叫什么名字?

Dario. Dario, because it's Saturday Night Live. Yes. That was funny. Did you see that? It was brilliant. I mean, they're doing Dario and SNL. Compute is deepest business dilemma. We're very paranoid about AI risks. Doesn't want agents to run wild. That's not a normal initial public offering, is it? No, it's not, but it's not deterring those really committed believers of eye. It's interesting because the retail investors who are interested in anthropic are kind of different from space, because space X, you've got the Elon factor, you've got the Tesla, the space enthusiasts.

达里奥。达里奥,因为这是《周六夜现场》。是的。那很有趣。你看到了吗?太精彩了。我的意思是,他们在做达里奥和SNL(周六夜现场)。算力是最深层的商业困境。我们对AI风险非常警惕。不希望智能体失控。这不像是一次常规的IPO,对吧?不,确实不是,但这并没有劝退那些真正坚定的信仰者。有趣的是,对Anthropic感兴趣的散户投资者与SpaceX的情况有所不同,因为SpaceX有埃隆·马斯克因素,还有特斯拉,以及太空爱好者群体。

Whereas for anthropic it's those tech workers, the the I nerds kind of sort of. So they read the anthropic reports, the they read uh, they monitor industry benchmarks for model program to help me here. I feel so old in this conversation. Max agreed. They're going to come out. It's going to pop X number of point. Does everybody sell? I mean, you know, the trends on initial public offerings in the period immediately after an IPO are not great.

而对于Anthropic来说,则是那些科技工作者、极客们。所以他们阅读Anthropic的报告,他们观察行业基准模型表现来帮我判断。在这段对话中我感觉自己好老啊。马克斯同意。他们会出来的。股价会涨到某个点数。大家都会抛售吗?我的意思是,你知道,IPO后短期内市场趋势通常并不理想。

And we saw it. We saw it happen with space X. Uh, I don't feel qualified to, to predict, you know, the exact market dynamics. I do think the AI market right now is in a very tenuous place. I have for weeks been wondering, are they really going to are they really going to do this? I think it was, uh, it inspired a little bit of confidence in the market that they, that there they appear to be moving forward with this IPO despite the Nvidia issues, despite the fact that many AI stocks are way down over the past couple of months.

我们也看到了。我们目睹了它在SpaceX身上发生。嗯,我不觉得自己有资格去预测确切的市场动态。但我认为目前的AI市场处于一个非常脆弱的境地。我已经好几周都在想,他们真的会这么做吗?我真的觉得,尽管面临英伟达的问题,尽管过去几个月许多AI股票大幅下跌,但他们似乎仍推进此次IPO,这在市场上带来了一丝信心。

So so it's uncertain. And I think people who get into this should realize they got a minute to the two of you jump in here together. If anthropic is successful at this, who does it benefit most in the AI Dhabi? Which is the next company that would learn from this? I think it'll set a tone for OpenAI, and that's what a lot of investors are watching for, too. Um, they're kind of hoping that anthropic proves that this is AI trade is still going strong.

所以情况不确定。我认为进入这个领域的人应该意识到这一点。你们两位一起插话吧。如果Anthropic在此事上取得成功,谁将是AI领域最大的受益者?哪家公司会从中学到经验?我认为这将确立OpenAI的基调,这也是许多投资者所关注的。嗯,他们希望Anthropic能证明AI赛道依然强劲。

I agree with this. There's a huge follow on model to this. 100% agree. I think conventional wisdom says anthropic and OpenAI are rivals. But if this IPO does not go well, I think that bodes very, very poorly for OpenAI, because even though the two companies have their differences, they're kind of selling the same thing. And if there isn't a market for the one, it's hard to imagine there's going to be a market for the other.

我同意这一点。这将引发巨大的后续效应。完全同意。我认为传统观点认为Anthropic和OpenAI是竞争对手。但如果这次IPO进展不顺,我认为这对OpenAI来说前景非常不妙,因为尽管两家公司存在差异,但它们本质上是在销售相同的产品。如果其中一个没有市场,很难想象另一个会有市场。

No. Are you keeping from us? Do you know who's going to take over the Nvidia? Do you and Stacy? No. But as you said, I've got this. You're willing to take over. Uh, I mean, the whole the whole thing with this, with this transition is that no one knows. It didn't seem like Jensen knew or the board or anyone.

没有。你们在瞒着我们吗?你知道谁要接管英伟达吗?是你和斯泰西吗?不是。但正如你所说,我已经搞定了。你愿意接手。呃,我的意思是,关于这一切,关于这次过渡,没有人知道。看起来杰森不知道,董事会也不知道,谁都不知道。

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