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SpaceX三季度利润44亿美元,马斯克提议与特斯拉合并

SpaceX has Blowout Quarter as Musk Floats Merger with Tesla | Bloomberg Tech

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SpaceX财务数据揭示AI业务爆发及潜在合并动向,直接影响特斯拉估值逻辑与市场预期,建议关注后续特别委员会进展。

Bloomberg audio studios podcasts radio news. Bloomberg Tech is live from the heart of Silicon Valley with Ed Lello in San Francisco. This is Bloomberg Tech. Coming up, SpaceX delivers a blowout quarter as Elon Musk floats the possibility of combining the company with Tesla. Plus, Netflix shares under pressure after the streaming giant warned sales growth will slow for a fourth straight quarter. And reports say Anthropic could spend $750 billion on additional computing power in the coming years as the AI startup gears up for a potential IPO.

彭博音频工作室播客广播新闻。彭博科技节目正在硅谷中心现场直播,由位于旧金山的埃德·莱洛主持。这是彭博科技。接下来,SpaceX 交出亮眼财报,埃隆·马斯克透露可能将该公司与特斯拉合并。此外,流媒体巨头警告销售额增长将在连续第四个季度放缓,导致奈飞股价承压。另有报道称,人工智能初创公司 Anthropic 未来几年可能在额外计算能力上投入 7500 亿美元,为潜在的首次公开募股(IPO)做准备。

Our top story, special committees at both SpaceX and Tesla are evaluating a merger between the companies. This is what Elon Musk said. I do think there's a lot of merit to combining the companies um as we are pretty much in the super intelligence singularity. I think it would be a good idea, but but it it's really up to the special committees of both companies.

我们的头条新闻是,SpaceX 和特斯拉各自成立了特别委员会,正在评估两家公司之间的合并事宜。这是埃隆·马斯克所说的:‘我认为将这两家公司合并确实有很多合理性,因为我们几乎已经处于超级智能奇点。我觉得这是个不错的主意,但这真的取决于两家公司的特别委员会。’

Absolutely critical is that Musk does not participate in those special committees. is a conflicted party and some of the trade in the shares clearly is around this idea but it's also in the financials particularly when it comes to SpaceX's case the stock on track for its biggest jump since uh August SpaceX del delivered what Wall Street would consider a blowout quarter as its third quarter revenue and profitability exceeded analyst estimates there was a lot more in there's Lauren Gush leads our coverage of the company and is with us now let's start with the very very basics of of what Musk said about a merger between SpaceX and Tesla, the special committees, and some warnings that he gave about the certainty or the reality of this happening.

绝对关键的一点是,马斯克不得参与这些特别委员会。他属于利益冲突方,而股份交易显然围绕这一想法展开,但这也体现在财务数据中,尤其是 SpaceX 的情况——其股价有望迎来自今年 8 月以来的最大涨幅。SpaceX 交出了华尔街所称的‘超预期’季度业绩,第三季度收入和盈利能力均超出分析师预期。更多详情,劳伦·古什负责报道本公司,现在与我们连线。让我们从最基本的问题开始:马斯克关于 SpaceX 与特斯拉合并、特别委员会以及他对此事发生的可能性或现实性所发出的警告说了些什么?

Yeah. So, he definitely endorsed the idea of a merger multiple times. I think that all took us by surprise. You know, we've been tracking the possibility of a merger. I think you you know, for for many months now, it's definitely been kind of floating in the air around anything SpaceX does. But for him to come right out and say that this is actually happening definitely took us all by surprise. He went as far to say that he thinks it's a good idea.

是的。因此,他多次明确支持合并的想法。我想这都让我们感到意外。你知道,我们一直在追踪合并的可能性。我认为,过去几个月里,这个想法一直隐隐浮现在 SpaceX 的任何动态周围。但他如此直白地说这实际上正在发生,确实让我们所有人都大吃一惊。他甚至表示认为这是个不错的主意。

There's special committees that have been set up that he has to recuse himself from that are looking into this. It might not happen. But um yeah, he openly endorsed it during this earnings call which I think was a very uh unique moment for all of us.

已成立特别委员会进行调查,而他必须回避这些委员会的工作。合并可能不会发生。但嗯,他在本次财报电话会议上公开支持了这一提议,我认为这对我们所有人来说都是一个非常独特的时刻。

Absolutely critical here is that those special committee committees have no agreement. There are no terms in place of what that would look like. And on the Tesla side, M said that you need 50% vote of all shares, not just those that vote, but 50% of all shareholders. And it's a high hurdle to achieve. Now, SpaceX became an AI story. I mean, whether it's profit, it's the SI division, some of the numbers that they posted were were huge.

这里绝对关键的一点是,那些特别委员会尚未达成协议。目前还没有关于其具体形态的条款。而在特斯拉方面,M表示你需要获得所有股份的50%投票权,而不仅仅是参与投票的股份,而是全体股东的50%。这是一个很高的门槛。现在,SpaceX变成了一个AI故事。我的意思是,无论是利润、SI部门,还是他们公布的一些数字,都非常巨大。

Go through them.

请逐一介绍。

Yeah, I think that's really what stood out to me. You know, for much of the time I've been covering this company, they've been a space company, but now it's very clear that the AI or the SI element of it is far surpassing, at least in revenue, um, what they've been doing with their satellites and with their rockets. I think what stood out to me, obviously, you mentioned that they had their profitable quarter, 4.4 billion net uh, profit or net uh, income, but I think what really stood out to me was that revenue from the AI side.

是的,我认为这确实是我印象最深的地方。你知道,在我报道这家公司的很长一段时间里,它一直是一家太空公司,但现在很明显,其AI或SI部分至少在收入方面远远超过了他们在卫星和火箭方面的业务。我认为让我印象深刻的显然是你提到的他们实现了盈利季度,44亿美元的净利润或净收入,但我认为真正让我印象深刻的是来自AI业务的收入。

It was over 7 billion and it surpassed the connectivity portion which is the Starlink system and that was you know before AI got involved that was the cash cow for SpaceX. So for in such a short time frame after the AI XAI merger that the AI business has already surpassed the revenue of what we would consider to be the most profitable business. Still the most profitable business but in terms of revenue that really stood out to me.

该业务收入超过70亿美元,超过了连接部分(即Starlink系统),而在AI介入之前,那是SpaceX的现金牛。因此,在AI与xAI合并后的如此短的时间框架内,AI业务的收入已经超过了我们认为是盈利能力最强的业务的收入。它仍然是盈利能力最强的业务,但在收入方面,这确实让我印象深刻。

Yes, Starlink basically is still the majority of operating income, but the growth is in AI and a very particular part of AI, which we're going to get to in just a little bit. Bloomber's Lauren Grush, big night for you. Thank you for being with us on the show. A sort of side story on the third quarter earnings call. Elon Musk said ASML and other uh chip equipment makers are expediting tools for the Terraab project. And that in the after hours had a really big impact on ASML's USlisted shares as well as those of Applied Materials.

是的,Starlink基本上仍然占运营收入的大部分,但增长来自于AI,以及AI的一个非常特定的领域,我们稍后会谈到这一点。彭博社的Lauren Grush,今晚对你来说是个大日子。谢谢你参加我们的节目。这是第三季度财报电话会议的一个旁支故事。Elon Musk表示,ASML和其他芯片设备制造商正在加速为Terraab项目提供工具。这在盘后交易中对ASML的美国上市股票以及应用材料公司的股票产生了重大影响。

That's carried over into Wednesday's US session. It's all go with SpaceX and the things that Musk is saying moving the markets in in a really big way. Let's keep that conversation going. Joining us is Louis de Palmer, research analyst at William Blair to talk a lot more about SpaceX. I want to start with for you Louie, what what the standout point, the standout story of this earnings call and this quarter was.

这一影响延续到了周三的美国交易时段。SpaceX和Musk的言论正在以非常显著的方式推动市场。让我们继续这个话题。加入我们的是William Blair的研究分析师Louis de Palmer,我们将更多地讨论SpaceX。我想先问你,Louie,这次财报电话会议和本季度的亮点是什么?

Thanks for having me on the show. I think investors need to fully capture the breadth of all the different businesses that SpaceX is involved in. And you just referenced the semifab um the terra fab with um different manufacturers and suppliers expediting and SpaceX is at the center of the telecom world right now in that two weeks ago SpaceX brought down shares of of global telecom after they acquired 14 megahertz of spectrum. um SpaceX is um potentially merging with with Tesla in terms of electric vehicles and robots.

感谢邀请我参加节目。我认为投资者需要充分把握 SpaceX 所涉足的所有不同业务的广度。你刚才提到了半制造,即与不同的制造商和供应商合作的 Terra Fab,而 SpaceX 目前正处于电信世界的中心。就在两周前,SpaceX 收购了 14 兆赫的频谱,导致全球电信公司的股价下跌。在电动汽车和机器人方面,SpaceX 有可能与 Tesla 合并。

And I would say the biggest um contributor to revenue is is the Neocloud business. So SpaceX is involved in so many different industries. Um it's the diversification that's most important.

我会说对收入贡献最大的是 Neocloud 业务。因此,SpaceX 涉足众多不同的行业。多元化是最重要的。

So diversification. Yes. Let's talk about this Neocloud story. The reality is the growth is in the business of renting out compute capacity from data centers that SpaceXs SI owns and operates here on planet Earth, not up in space to third parties. It is not selling AI through a chatbot or an agent or the enterprise level. Like does that worry you? You know that the here and now is that business not what they've outlined for the future?

所以是多元化。是的。让我们谈谈这个 Neocloud 的故事。现实情况是,增长来自于将 SpaceX SI 在地球上拥有并运营的数据中心的计算能力出租给第三方,而不是在太空中。它不是通过聊天机器人、代理或企业级来销售 AI。这会让你担心吗?你知道眼前的业务是这样的,而不是他们为未来规划的那样吗?

Yeah, it's a great question. So SpaceX intends to allocate its data center capacity fairly evenly between selling it to third parties such as Anthropic, Google, potentially Microsoft versus using it internally. So they acquired Cursor I believe for approximately $65 billion. And on the earnings call, they conveyed how the demand for their Grockbot has been absolutely exploding. So SpaceX has a a capital allocation decision to make there in terms of using that compute internally versus externally.

是的,这是一个很好的问题。SpaceX 打算将其数据中心容量公平地分配给向 Anthropic、Google、可能还有 Microsoft 等第三方出售, versus 内部使用。我相信他们以大约 650 亿美元的价格收购了 Cursor。在财报电话会议上,他们表示其 Grockbot 的需求正在爆炸式增长。因此,SpaceX 需要在内部使用这些计算能力还是外部使用之间做出资本配置决策。

And in many instances, both decisions are are great.

在许多情况下,这两个决定都是很好的。

Yes.

是的。

So um yeah, there's there's options. I I I also note that, you know, KUR had a quick impact, right? $68 million of revenue um contributed the the the acquisition closed August 14th, so that is notable. Um I've got to ask you about uh special committees of both SpaceX and Tesla looking at a merger. You know, Musk has 20% voting power at Tesla. He has more than 80% voting power at SpaceX. People call that asymmetrical governance.

所以,嗯,是的,有多种选择。我还注意到,KUR 产生了快速影响,对吧?收购于 8 月 14 日完成,因此贡献了 6800 万美元的收入,这是值得注意的。我必须问你关于 SpaceX 和 Tesla 各自的特别委员会正在考虑合并的事宜。你知道 Musk 在 Tesla 拥有 20% 的投票权,而在 SpaceX 拥有超过 80% 的投票权。人们称这种治理结构为非对称的。

How do you model for this transaction? Have you assigned a price of SpaceX acquiring Tesla? How is it going to work to your mind? Yeah, we we have not assumed that um the merger is is going to take place in our model and I would say that the merger does make fundamental sense from the perspective that there are tremendous synergies between both companies, but it it's also very viable for SpaceX and Tesla to continue to operate independently with each other and to form different joint ventures and and partnerships and um talent has been migrating between both companies for the past several years and so there has been I would say a um a coexistence.

你们是如何为这笔交易建模的?你们是否设定了 SpaceX 收购特斯拉的价格?你认为这将如何运作?是的,在我们的模型中,我们并未假设合并会发生。我认为,从两家公司之间存在巨大协同效应的角度来看,合并具有根本性的合理性;但与此同时,SpaceX 和特斯拉继续独立运营,并建立不同的合资企业和伙伴关系,也是非常可行的。在过去几年里,人才一直在两家公司之间流动,因此可以说存在一种共存状态。

You could argue that perhaps more talent has been flowing in in one direction versus the other, which may stimulate such a merger, but um I wouldn't I wouldn't assume that this is going to to take place.

你可以争辩说,也许人才更多地流向其中一个方向而非另一个,这可能会刺激此类合并的发生,但我不会假设这种情况一定会发生。

Yeah, M said the bar is higher than the market is currently factoring in. Uh Louis Depal, William Blair, great to have you back with us on the show. Thank you very much. We're going to have a lot more on SpaceX thro

是的,M 表示门槛高于市场目前所反映的水平。路易斯·德帕尔(Louis Depal),来自威廉布莱尔公司(William Blair),很高兴你再次回到我们的节目。非常感谢。我们将对 SpaceX 进行更多报道……

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