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Strategy因MSCI新规遭剔除风险,盘后跌4%

Strategy dips on bad MSCI World Index news

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直接涉及加密行业头部公司Strategy的被动资金流向与指数纳入风险,机制清晰且时间窗明确,对持仓者有实质性影响。

Strategy’s stock price dipped 4% in after-hours trading yesterday as traders speculated about its removal from the MSCI World Index.

Strategy的股价在昨日盘后交易中下跌4%,市场对其被剔除出MSCI全球指数一事进行猜测。

The stock indexation giant announced on Thursday that it will adopt rules removing “non-operating companies” from its Global Investable Market Indexes, including its MSCI World Index that benefits from substantial, passive investment inflows.

这家股票指数化巨头于周四宣布,将采用新规从其全球可投资市场指数(包括受益于大量被动资金流入的MSCI全球指数)中剔除“非运营公司”。

Strategy is the biggest name those rules could remove, and the company’s MSTR common stock immediately traded 4% lower within 20 minutes of the closing bell after news of the rule change disseminated.

Strategy是这些新规可能剔除的最大标的,随着规则变更消息的传播,该公司MSTR普通股在收盘铃响后20分钟内立即下跌4%。

Intraday chart of Strategy highlighting after-hours on Oct 15. Source: TradingView

Strategy在10月15日盘后交易的日内走势图。来源:TradingView

The timing of the rule change aligns with MSCI’s November 2026 Index Review, effective as of the close on November 30. Strategy isn’t currently a confirmed removal, it’s specifically named as under threat of removal.

此次规则变更的时间点与MSCI将于11月30日收盘生效的2026年11月指数审查相吻合。Strategy目前尚未被确认为将被剔除,而是被特别指出面临被剔除的风险。

The finalized list of affected constituents will arrive on November 11.

受影响的成分股最终名单将于11月11日公布。

This is the second fright that Strategy shareholders have had to endure about the MSCI World Index and its passive flows in 2026. Indeed, on January 6, MSCI shelved its first opportunity to remove Strategy from its World Index.

这是2026年Strategy股东第二次因MSCI全球指数及其被动资金流而经历恐慌。事实上,在1月6日,MSCI搁置了首次将Strategy从世界指数中剔除的机会。

CHART: Two years of Strategy investment narratives

图表:Strategy两年的投资叙事

Read more: Strategy’s STRC gives hedge funds a new reason to short MSTR

阅读更多:Strategy的STRC为对冲基金做空MSTR提供了新理由

MSCI has named Strategy as a potential World Index removal in November

MSCI已将Strategy列为11月可能被剔除出世界指数的潜在对象

MSCI’s new methodology works in two steps. A company whose “operating” assets fall short of half of its “total” assets moves to a five-ratio exclusion screening phase.

MSCI的新方法论分两步执行。如果一家公司的“运营”资产不足其“总”资产的一半,它将进入五比率排除筛选阶段。

Because Strategy holds the vast majority of its assets as non-operating, passive BTC investment, the company would be subjected to this screening phase.

由于Strategy将其绝大部分资产作为非运营的被动BTC投资持有,该公司将受到此筛选阶段的约束。

Next, if MSCI flags the company on at least four of five “ratios,” a stock becomes ineligible.

接下来,如果MSCI在五组“比率”中至少有四组标记该公司,该股票将失去资格。

Removal requires failing the screens in each of the two most recent annual filing periods, which can predate the rules’ adoption.

剔除要求公司在最近两个年度申报期内均未能通过筛选,这可能与规则采纳之前的时期有关。

An impact list published alongside the adopted rules flags Strategy. Its float-adjusted market value, about $40 billion as of October 9, dwarfs the size of every other stock on the list of potential removals.

随已采纳规则一同发布的受影响名单标出了Strategy。截至10月9日,其经流通量调整的市场价值约为400亿美元,远超列表中其他所有潜在剔除股票的规模。

BREAKING: MSCI confirms new rules to exclude non-operating companies from its indexes.

突发:MSCI确认新规,将把非运营公司排除在其指数之外。

Michael Saylor's Strategy and Metaplanet likely to be removed.

Michael Saylor旗下的Strategy和Metaplanet很可能被剔除。

Final list Nov 11.$MSTR pic.twitter.com/duwzGJoDHY

最终名单11月11日。$MSTR pic.twitter.com/duwzGJoDHY

— Bitcoin Archive (@BitcoinArchive) October 15, 2026

— Bitcoin Archive (@BitcoinArchive) 2026年10月15日

Lobbying for MSCI inclusion

游说以纳入MSCI指数

Strategy founder Saylor and his CEO Phong Le have actively campaigned against the removal. Their company even has a dedicated subpage on its website dedicated to lobbying for continued MSCI indexation.

Strategy 创始人 Saylor 及其首席执行官 Phong Le 积极游说反对将其剔除。该公司甚至在其网站上设有专门页面,致力于推动 MSCI 指数继续纳入其股票。

In an August 31 letter, for example, Saylor and CEO Phong Le called the proposal “discriminatory, arbitrary, and misguided.” They also warned the rules “would profoundly harm MSCI’s reputation as a reliable and neutral index provider.”

例如,在 8 月 31 日的一封信中,Saylor 和首席执行官 Phong Le 将该提案称为“歧视性、武断且 misguided(误入歧途)”。他们还警告称,这些规则将“严重损害 MSCI 作为可靠且中立指数提供商的声誉。”

The letter urges MSCI to “remain what it has held itself out to be for decades: a mirror of the market, not an arbiter of it.”

该信敦促 MSCI “保持数十年来所标榜的形象:做市场的镜子,而非裁判。”

Saylor kept the same energy on television two days before the decision. On October 13, he told Bloomberg Crypto that MSCI’s position was “disappointing.”

在决定作出前两天,Saylor 在电视上仍保持着同样的热情。10 月 13 日,他在接受 Bloomberg Crypto 采访时表示,MSCI 的立场令人“失望”。

JPMorgan estimated in November 2025, during an earlier threat of de-indexation for Strategy, that MSCI exclusion alone could mean $2.8 billion of outflows for Strategy.

摩根大通在 2025 年 11 月曾估计,当时 Strategy 面临被剔除指数的早期威胁,仅因被 MSCI 剔除就可能导致 Strategy 出现 28 亿美元的资金外流。

Indeed, Strategy’s August consultation response puts MSCI-linked fund ownership at about 3.1% of its basic shares, roughly 13 million shares.

事实上,Strategy 在 8 月的咨询回复中指出,与 MSCI 挂钩的基金持有其约 3.1% 的基本股份,即大约 1300 万股。

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