CLARITY法案2026年通过概率降至16%
CLARITY Act 2026 Passage Odds Fall to 16% as Senate Ethics Fight Deepens
The CLARITY Act’s Polymarket probability of becoming law in 2026 dropped to 16% on Monday amid Senate Democratic resistance to Republicans’ revised ethics terms, with Democratic negotiators also working on a counterproposal. Traders had pushed the probability to 35% after Republicans circulated revised legislation containing broader ethics provisions.
《CLARITY法案》在2026年成为法律的Polymarket概率因参议院民主党人对共和党人修订后的道德条款的抵制而降至16%，民主党谈判代表也在制定反提案。此前，共和党人 circulated 包含更广泛道德条款的修订版立法后，交易员曾将该概率推高至35%。
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