黄仁勋因丑闻辞职,英伟达股价开盘暴跌14%
Jensen Exits, AI Debt Under Review, Treasuries Slide
英伟达核心管理层突发变动及重大负面舆情,直接导致股价剧烈波动并引发监管调查,对AI产业链及市场情绪有重大影响,建议密切关注后续财报及继任者动态。
SCARLET: FROM NEW YORK CITY, FOR OUR VIEWERS WORLDWIDE, I'M SCARLET FU. "BLOOMBERG REAL YIELD" STARTS RIGHT NOW. COMING UP, NVIDIA FOUNDER AND CEO JENSEN HUANG STEPPING DOWN AFTER REPORTS OF EXTRAMARITAL AFFAIRS INCLUDING ONE WITH AN ALLEGED CHINESE SPY. HIS EXIT TESTING THE TECH GIANT'S ROLE AS THE CENTRAL BANK OF AI. WARNINGS THAT MORE AGGRESSIVE RATE HIKES MIGHT BE NEEDED. TREASURY BOND YIELDS SPIKING THE MOST SINCE THE TARIFF MELTDOWN ON THE HAWKISH FED SPEAK FOLLOWING HOTTER THAN RESPECTED CPI REPORT.
来自纽约市的斯卡莱特·福,向全球观众报道。《彭博实际收益率》现在开始。接下来,英伟达创始人兼首席执行官黄仁勋在传出婚外情丑闻后辞职,其中包括与一名据称是中国间谍的恋情。他的退出正在考验这家科技巨头作为“AI中央银行”的角色。警告称可能需要更激进的加息。受鹰派美联储讲话以及高于预期的CPI报告影响,国债收益率飙升,创下关税崩盘以来最大涨幅。
YOU BEGIN WITH THE BIG STORY OF THE DAY, NVIDIA SHARES PLUNGING 14% AT THE OPEN, NOW DOWN ABOUT 5%. THIS AFTER CEO JENSEN HUANG RESIGN FOLLOWING THE REVELATION OF TWO AFFAIRS, ONE WITH AN ALLEGED CHINESE SPY. ED LUDLOW JOINS US. THIS COMES BEFORE THE COMPANY'S EARNINGS REPORT TUESDAY AND PLANS FOR JENSEN HUANG TO TESTIFY BEFORE CONGRESS. WHAT CAN YOU TELL US ABOUT WHERE THINGS STAND WITH THE EARNINGS REPORT AND THE TESTIMONY?
我们从今日重大新闻开始:英伟达股价开盘暴跌14%,目前下跌约5%。此前,首席执行官黄仁勋在披露两段婚外情后辞职,其中一段是与一名据称是中国间谍的人。埃德·拉德洛 joins us。此事发生在该公司周二发布财报以及黄仁勋计划在美国国会作证之前。你能告诉我们关于财报和证词的进展情况吗?
ED: THE CFO IS BECOMING INTERIM CEO, STILL RETAINING THE CFO TITLE. THE BOARD OF NVIDIA WILL LOOK AT INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL CANDIDATES FOR A LONG-TERM SUCCESSOR TO JENSEN HUANG. BLOOMBERG CLARIFY THAT GOING FORWARD, JENSEN HUANG WILL NOT HAVE ASSOCIATION WITH NVIDIA. YOU WILL NOT TAKE ON AN ADVISORY ROLE, HE WILL NOT BECOME CHAIRMAN EMERITUS. THAT HAD NOT BEEN CLEAR FROM THE STATEMENT. THE STOCK IS ON TRACK FOR ITS BIGGEST DROP SINCE JANUARY 2025.
埃德:首席财务官(CFO)将出任临时首席执行官,但仍保留首席财务官头衔。英伟达董事会将寻找内部和外部候选人,以接替黄仁勋担任长期继任者。彭博澄清称,今后黄仁勋将与英伟达不再有任何关联。他不会担任顾问角色,也不会成为荣誉董事长。这一点此前在声明中并不明确。该股票正朝着自2025年1月以来最大跌幅的方向发展。
THERE IS THE BREAKING THE LAST THREE MINUTES -- BLOOMBERG IS CONFIRMING THAT THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT IS CONDUCTING AN ESPIONAGE PROBE INTO ALICE HUANG 'S RELATIONSHIP WITH JENSEN HUANG. JENSEN HUANG IS NOT A TARGET OF PROBES BY U.S. LAW ENFORCEMENT. JENS NORDVIG NOT A TARGET OF PROBES BUT--JENSEN HUANG IS NOT A TARGET OF PROBES BY U.S. LAW ENFORCEMENT. THEY ARE MISSING REPORTS THAT ALICE HUANG SMUGGLED SERVERS INTO CHINA, DIFFERENT FROM THE INVESTIGATION OF ALICE HUANG SMUGGLING CHIPS INTO CHINA.
最后三分钟突发消息——彭博确认,美国司法部正在对黄爱丽丝(Alice Huang)与黄仁勋的关系进行间谍活动调查。黄仁勋并非美国执法部门调查的目标。延斯·诺德维格(Jens Nordvig)并非调查目标,但……黄仁勋并非美国执法部门调查的目标。另有报道称,黄爱丽丝曾将服务器走私到中国,这与针对黄爱丽丝向中国走私芯片的调查不同。
SCARLET: GIVE US THE VIEW FROM SILICON VALLEY. WHAT IS THE CHATTER LIKE, WHAT IS THE CONVERSATION LIKE AMONG FOLKS YOU TALK TO, TE H COMMUNITY-- TECH COMMUNITY, CLIENTS, SUPPLIERS, ALL OF THAT? ED: PEOPLE ARE THINKING OF WHO IS THE RIGHT TECHNOLOGIST TO NVIDIA GOING FORWARD. WITH ALL DUE RESPECT -- THIS IS ON AN INTERIM BASIS, SHE IS NOT SEEN AS THE RIGHT PERSON TO MAINTAIN NVIDIA'S NEAR MONOPOLY IN THE MARKET FOR COMPUTE.
斯卡莱特:请给我们带来硅谷的观点。你接触到的社区——科技界、客户、供应商等各方都在讨论什么?埃德:人们正在思考谁才是英伟达未来合适的技术领导者。恕我直言——这是临时安排,她不被视为能够维持英伟达在市场计算领域近乎垄断地位的正确人选。
OTHER NAMES INCLUDE -- THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES TOUTED TIM COOK. THERE IS A VERY BIG CAMP ACROSS INVESTORS. CEOS OF AI LABS, ECOSYSTEM THAT RELIES ON NVIDIA COMPUTE THE FEEL IT SHOULD HAVE BEEN PUT TO A SHAREHOLDER VOTE -- HE RESIGNED. WE KEEP SAYING HE WAS OUSTED, BUT HE RESIGNED. MANY PEOPLE FELT HE SHOULD STAY IN THE POST IRRESPECTIVE OF INFIDELITY. PEOPLE MAKE MISTAKES -- AND PARAPHRASING--I AM PARAPHRASING PEOPLE'S VIEWS.
其他名字包括——美国总统大力推崇蒂姆·库克。投资者阵营中存在一个非常庞大的群体。AI实验室的首席执行官们、依赖英伟达计算能力的生态系统认为,此事本应提交股东投票表决——他辞职了。我们一直说他被罢免,但他实际上是辞职的。许多人认为,无论是否存在不忠行为,他都应留任。人们会犯错——我在此转述人们的观点。
SCARLET: THANK YOU, ED LUDLOW. KEEP IT BLOOMBERG TELEVISION FOR ALL-DAY COVERAGE OF THE STORY. NATHANIEL ROSENBAUM JOINED US ON BLOOMBERG TO BREAK DOWN NVIDIA'S ROLE IN THE TECH BOOM.
斯卡利特:谢谢,埃德·拉德洛。请继续通过彭博电视全天候报道这一故事。内森尼尔·罗森鲍姆加入彭博直播间,深入剖析英伟达在此次科技热潮中的角色。
WHEN I THINK ABOUT NVIDIA, IN THE HIGH-GRADE MARKET IT IS REALLY SMALL. $35 BILLION IN DEBT, TINY THESE DAYS. I DON'T THINK THIS HAS BROADER RAMIFICATIONS. CREDIT SPREADS ARE TIGHTER ON THE BACK OF ALL OF THIS NEWS. IN TERMS OF BEING A BACKSTOP FOR OTHERS, AND IS CLEARLY AN IMPORTANT ROLE THAT NVIDIA HAS PLAYED IN THE BROADER AI ECOSYSTEM. THAT IS GOING TO BE QUESTIONED IN THE DAYS AHEAD. SCARLET: LET'S DIG INTO ALL OF THIS WITH OUR CREDIT ROUNDTABLE.
当我想到英伟达时,在高评级市场中,它的规模其实很小。350亿美元的债务,放在今天简直微不足道。我认为这不会产生更广泛的影响。信用利差因所有这些新闻而进一步收窄。就作为他人的后盾而言,英伟达在更广泛的AI生态系统中显然扮演了重要角色。但这一角色将在未来几天受到质疑。斯卡利特:让我们通过我们的信用圆桌讨论深入探讨这一切。
MAUREEN O'CONNOR IS THE DIRECTOR OF HIGH-GRADE DEBTS, GET AT WELLS FARGO AND SUZANNE, GIBBONS OF KICKER. I KNOW YOU FOCUS ON HIGH-YIELD AND OPPORTUNISTIC CREDIT, BUT I'M CURIOUS WHAT YOUR TAKE IS ON THIS NVIDIA DEVELOPMENT ON THE PRODUCT CREDIT MARKET. THERE IS AN ARGUMENT IS A BIG DEAL FOR EQUITIES THAN SAFER CREDIT.
莫琳·奥康纳是富国银行高评级债务主管,苏珊娜·吉布斯来自基克尔(Kicker)。我知道你们专注于高收益和机会主义信贷,但我很好奇你们对英伟达这一发展对产品信贷市场有何看法。有一种观点认为,这对股权市场比对更安全信贷市场影响更大。
I'VE OBSERVED A REAL CAPAND UNDERSTOOD-- GAP IN UNDERSTANDING BETWEEN THE CREDIT AND EQUITY MARKETS IN TERMS OF THE CREDIT MARKETS BEING CONCERNED ABOUT THE SPEED OF THE BUILDOUT AND HOW MUCH OF IT HAS BEEN FINANCED AND CREDIT. EQUITY INVESTORS HAVE BEEN MORE SANGUINE. I THINK THAT IS BECAUSE THEY ARE LOOKING AT THE HYPERSCALER DEBT ON THE BALANCE SHEET AND THEY ARE SEEING IT IS NOT TROUBLING IN TERMS OF LEVERAGE LEVELS AND THE CREDIT IS WELL COVERED.
我观察到信贷市场和股权市场之间存在真正的认知差距。信贷市场担心建设速度以及有多少是通过信贷融资的。股权投资者则更为乐观。我认为这是因为他们关注资产负债表上的超大规模云服务商债务,并发现其在杠杆水平和信贷覆盖方面并无不妥。
FOR CREDIT INVESTORS, THEY ARE LOOKING AT THE BROADER CREDIT ECOSYSTEM. THAT'S HITTING THE MARKET TODAY, FROM SUPPLY, DEMAND, TECHNICAL, DATA CENTER FINANCINGS, CHIP FINANCINGS. QUESTION WITH THIS NEWS THAT THERE IS A CHANGE IN STRATEGY FROM THE COMPANY, THAT COULD RESULT IN MORE DIRECT DEBT BEING ISSUED IN THE I.T. MARKET, TO THE EXTENT THAT THERE IS A CHANGE IN THE GUARANTEES THAT THE COMPANIES HAVE BEEN ISSUING THAT IS ALLOWED -- THINK OF NVIDIA WITH PRIVATE CREDIT -- THAT HAS ALLOWED FOR THE OFF-BALANCE SHEET DEBT TO BE RAISED.
对于信贷投资者来说,他们关注的是更广泛的信贷生态系统。今天市场正面临来自供应、需求、技术面、数据中心融资和芯片融资等方面的冲击。关于这一新闻的问题是,公司战略的改变可能导致IT市场发行更多直接债务,如果公司此前发行的担保条款发生变化——以英伟达与私募信贷为例——这使得表外债务得以筹集。
SCARLET: YOU COVER INVESTMENT GRADE. WHAT DO YOU THINK OF THE FORECAST OF MORE EDUCATED BEING ISSUED? MAUREEN: WE HAVE A BALANCED VIEW AROUND SUPPLY FROM THE HYPERSCALERS. WHEN YOU LOOK AT WHAT WAS FUNDED THIS YEAR, WE WENT THROUGH A BIT OF A SUPPLY SHOCK. OVER $200 BILLION OF HYPERSCALER SUPPLY, JUST THE BIG FIVE NAMES, SOME OF THE DATA CENTER DEALS THAT OF COME TO MARKET, THE NVIDIAS AND SPACEX'S OF THE WORLD. WE ARE REACHING A POINT OF MAXIMUM MARKET CAPACITY IN THE IG SPACE.
斯卡莱特:你们覆盖的是投资级债券。你们对更多高学历借款人发行债券的预测有何看法?莫琳:我们对超大规模供应商的供应持平衡观点。当你回顾今年获得融资的情况时,我们经历了一定的供应冲击。仅五大巨头就有超过2000亿美元的超大规模供应,其中一些数据中心交易进入市场,包括英伟达和SpaceX等公司。我们在投资级领域已达到最大市场容量。
WHEN YOU THINK OF THE PUSHBACK FROM INVESTORS WITHOUT THESE BORROWERS TELEGRAPH THEIR CADENCE TO MARKET, WE RECOGNIZE A BIT OF A PIVOT POINT, AND WE ARE OVER AND ABOVE THAT SIZE. THE CADENCE TO MARKET BEING ANY MORE FREQUENT THAN TWICE A YEAR, INVESTMENT GRADE MARKET. ONE OF THE MORE INTERESTING EVOLUTIONS NEXT YEAR IS THE OFF-BALANCE-SHEET GPU FINANCINGS, WHICH WILL TAKE ON A SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT COMPLEXION IN TERMS OF DURATION OF SUPPLY, WHERE HYPERSCALERS ISSUE LONG, 15 YEARS ON AVERAGE.
当考虑到投资者对这些借款人的节奏缺乏提前预告时的抵触情绪时,我们认识到一个转折点,并且我们已经超过了这个规模。如果向市场发布的频率高于每年两次,那么对于投资级市场来说,这是一个值得关注的变化。明年一个更有趣的演变是表外GPU融资,这将在供应期限方面呈现出略微不同的面貌,因为超大规模企业通常发行平均期限为15年的长期债券。
A LOT OF THIS FINANCING WILL BE FOCUSED ON A THREE-Y WAITEDEAR-- THREE-YEAR WEIGHTED AVERAGE INSTRUMENTS. SCARLET: IF YOU LOOK AT THE CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS OF SOME OF THE DEBT, NVIDIA'S DEFAULT RISK INCREASED BECAUSE OF JENSEN HUANG AND THE UNCERTAINTY OF WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN NEXT. THAT IS THE WHITE LINE AT THE VERY TOP. THE HYPERSCALERS HAVE GONE DOWN, SIGNALING LESS RISK. MAUREEN, WHY DO YOU THINK WE HAVE THAT DIVERGENCE?
这些融资将主要集中于三年加权平均工具。斯卡莱特:如果你查看某些债务的信用违约互换(CDS),由于黄仁勋以及接下来可能发生的不确定性,英伟达的违约风险增加了。这是最顶部的白色线条。超大规模企业的风险有所下降,表明风险降低。莫琳,你认为为什么会出现这种分歧?
MAUREEN: THE NVIDIA STORY IS AN EQUITY STORY MORE THAN A CREDIT MARKET STORY. THEY WILL ENJOY DEEP ACCESS TO THE INVESTMENT-GRADE BOND MARKETS. YES, THERE WAS A KNEE-JERK WIDER REACTION TO THE SPREADS, BUT THE VOLATILITY IS A LOT WIDER IN THE IG CREDIT MARKETS. I WITH YOU NORMALIZATION ONCE WE GET PAST THIS PERIOD OF UNCERTAINTY. THE CDI IS TIED TO THE RISK ON BANKS' BALANCE SHEETS AND VIEW OF WHERE PUBLIC INVESTORS ARE.
莫琳:英伟达的故事更多地是一个股权故事,而不是信贷市场故事。他们将能够深入接触投资级债券市场。是的,市场对利差扩大有过度的反应,但投资级信贷市场的波动性要大得多。我相信一旦我们度过这段不确定性时期,情况会恢复正常。CDI与银行资产负债表上的风险以及公众投资者的看法密切相关。
VOLATILITY HAS BEEN A LOT LOWER. SPEAKING OF SOME OF THESE OFF-BALANCE-SHEET STRUCTURES, BANKS ON A LOT OF THIS. ON THE BALANCE SHEET THEY HAD A LOT OF HIS AND THAT IS WHERE YOU ARE SEEING SOME OF THE VOLATILITY. SCARLET: WE KNOW THAT NVIDIA WAS APPLYING A LOT OF CAPITAL TO THE AI ECOSYSTEM. HE IS CALLED THE CENTRAL BANKER OF AI FOR A REASON. PUSHED A LOT BY JENSEN HUANG AND HIS OWN CONNECTIONS. NOW THAT HE IS OUT OF THE PICTURE, HE IS NOT GOING TO PLAY ANY ROLE AT THE COMPANY.
波动性已经低了很多。谈到这些表外结构,许多银行参与其中。在资产负债表上,他们持有大量此类资产,这也是你看到一些波动性的原因。斯卡莱特:我们知道英伟达正在将大量资本投入到AI生态系统中。他被称为“AI央行行长”是有原因的。这一切很大程度上由黄仁勋及其自身关系推动。现在他已经退出舞台,他将不再在公司中扮演任何角色。
DOES THIS REMOVE A LOT OF THE FROTH THAT SOME PEOPLE SAY WE SEE IN THE CREDIT MARKET AND USES THAT RISK?-- DEBVT RISK? SUZANNE: IT'S A GOOD QUESTION. GOING BACK TO MY EARLIER POINT, THIS YEAR ALONE WE HAVE HAD AS MUCH CREDIT ISSUANCE AI-RELATED AS HALF THE SIZE OF THE HIGH-YIELD BOND MARKET THE U.S. STAGGERING NUMBERS. A LOT OF IT IS AWAY FROM IG HYPERSCALERS. A LOT OF IT DEPENDS ON LONG-TERM LEASES FROM THOSE COMPANIES AND COMMITMENTS FROM CHIP COMPANIES AS WELL IN TERMS OF GUARANTEES.
这会消除很多人所说的在信贷市场中看到的许多泡沫,并利用这种风险吗?——债务风险?苏珊:这是个很好的问题。回到我之前的观点,仅今年一年,我们与人工智能相关的信贷发行量就达到了高收益债券市场规模的一半,这是令人震惊的数字。其中很多来自投资级超大规模公司。其中很多依赖于这些公司的长期租赁协议以及芯片公司在担保方面的承诺。
THERE COULD BE A CHANGE IN STRATEGY. REGARDLESS, THE ESTIMATES ARE THAT QUANTUM ISSUANCE IS ONLY EXPECTED TO GROW EACH OF THE NEXT TWO YEARS. I'VE SEEN ESTIMATES OF ABOUT A TRILLION ACROSS CREDIT MARKETS. THESE ARE STAGGERING NUMBERS. THE CONVERTIBLE BOND MARKET ALONE HAS HAD RECORD ISSUANCE THIS YEAR. MORE THAN HALF OF IT IS RELATED TO AI. THE REAL STORY IS THAT EVERY SEGMENT OF CREDIT IN SOME FORM OR ANOTHER IS GETTING HIT WITH THIS ISSUANCE.
策略可能会发生变化。无论如何,预计量子发行量在未来两年内只会增长。我在信贷市场看到了约一万亿美元的估计数字。这些都是惊人的数字。仅可转换债券市场今年就创下了发行纪录。其中超过一半与人工智能有关。真正的事实是,信贷市场的每个部分都在以某种形式受到这种发行的影响。
WHETH
无论
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