Binance称加密行业遭史上最大规模63亿美元黑客攻击
Tech Selloff Intensifies on Earnings; Binance Estimates $6.3B Hacked
加密行业遭遇史上最大规模安全事件,涉及金额巨大且来源指向国家级黑客组织,对链上资产安全与合规有重大影响,值得从业者高度关注。
IT IS 5:00 A.M. IN NEW YORK CITY, 9:00 A.M. IN LONDON. I AM VONNIE QUINN WITH YOUR BLOOMBERG BRIEF. LET'S GET YOU SET UP FOR THE DAY. AN EVENING SELLOFF DRIVING INVESTORS OUT OF THE AI TRADE ONCE AGAIN TODAY. A RECORD-BREAKING BREACH, BINANCE SAYS MORE THAN $6 BILLION WORTH OF FUNDS WERE AFFECTED IN THE INDUSTRY'S BIGGEST EVER HACK. AND OIL RALLYING ON CONCERNS THE U.S. MAY RESTART MILITARY STRIKES AGAINST IRAN TO DISRUPT ENERGY FLOWS.
现在是纽约时间凌晨5点,伦敦时间上午9点。我是冯妮·奎因,为您带来彭博简报。让我们为您开启新的一天。昨晚的抛售再次将投资者赶出人工智能交易领域。创纪录的突破:币安表示,超过60亿美元的资金受到此次史上最大黑客攻击的影响。油价上涨,市场担忧美国可能重启对伊朗的军事打击以扰乱能源供应。
LET'S GET A CHECK ON MARKETS AROUND THE WORLD. WE WILL START IN ASIA. LIBYA IS THERE FOR US. OLIVIA: WE ARE KEEPING OUR EYES ON THE BOJ WHICH RALLIED RATES AS EXPECTED. THEY ROUGHLY RETURNED TO THE 2% TARGET FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 2018. HE WAS HAWKISH, EMPHASIZING HE IS PREPARED TO RAISE INTEREST RATES AT EVERY MEETING INCLUDING DECEMBER IF THAT'S WHAT IT TAKES TO KEEP INFLATION UNDER CONTROL. WHAT WAS A SURPRISE TO THE MARKET WAS THE FACT THE BOJ HAS NEARLY TRIPLED ITS ETF SALES, STARTING FROM JANUARY.
让我们看看全球市场的动态。我们将从亚洲开始。利比亚也在我们的视野中。奥利维亚:我们密切关注日本银行(BOJ),其按预期加息。这是自2018年以来首次大致回归2%的目标水平。她的立场偏鹰派,强调如果必要,她准备在每次会议(包括12月的会议)上提高利率,以控制通胀。令市场惊讶的是,日本银行几乎将其ETF购买量增加了两倍,从1月开始执行。
THE EQUITY MARKETS THINK THE MARKET CAN ABSORB THE EXTRA SUPPLY OR BECAUSE THEY WERE PREOCCUPIED WITH THE AI TRADE, THAT REMAINS TO BE SEEN. SPEAKING OF THE AI TRADE, THE KOSPI HAD A DIFFICULT DAY, ALL 3.5 PERCENT. SK HYNIX DOWN MORE THAN 7%. THAT WAS SPARKED BY THE DISAPPOINTING RESULTS FROM AMAZON AND INTEL, ADDING TO THE KOREAN MARKET ROSE. -- WOES. ONE MARKET THAT BUMPED THE TREND WAS THE HONG KONG HSI, WHICH HAD ONE OF ITS BEST DAYS SINCE THE BEGINNING OF OCTOBER.
股市认为市场能够吸收额外的供应,或者因为市场此前专注于人工智能交易,这一点仍有待观察。说到人工智能交易,韩国综合股价指数(KOSPI)今天表现艰难,下跌3.5%。SK海力士下跌超过7%。这由亚马逊和英伟达令人失望的结果引发,加剧了韩国市场的困境。-- 一个扭转趋势的市场是香港恒生指数,它在10月初以来迎来了表现最佳的日子之一。
VONNIE: THAT IS OLIVIA. LET'S GET TO LONDON AND -- AFTER CHRISTINE LAGARDE SAID SHE WAS GOING TO LEAVE THE POST EARLY. SOME REACTION NOW WITH JUSTINA LEE.
冯妮:这就是奥利维亚的报道。让我们转到伦敦——在克里斯蒂娜·拉加德宣布她将提前离任后。现在有请贾斯汀娜·李带来相关反应。
HAPPY FRIDAY. I FEEL LIKE I HAVE BEEN SAYING THIS A LOT THIS WEEK, WHICH IS THAT EUROPE IS RELATIVELY CALM COMPARED TO THE REST OF THE WORLD. THE STOXX 600 IS ESSENTIALLY FLAT. OF COURSE, THE BIGGEST LAGGARD IS THE TECHNOLOGY INDEX. YOU KNOW IT IS A DEFENSIVE DAY WHEN THE FTSE 100 IS OUTPERFORMING BECAUSE IT HAS A LOT OF THOSE MORE DEFENSIVE NAMES. AS YOU MENTIONED EARLIER, WE HAD AN ECB POSITION AND IT WENT AS EXPECTED WITH PRESIDENT CHRISTINE LAGARDE HOLDING RATES AGAIN BUT PROJECTING FOR THE RATE HIKES.
周五快乐。我感觉这周我说了很多次这样的话:与世界的其他地区相比,欧洲相对平静。斯托克600指数基本持平。当然,最大的拖累项是科技指数。当富时100指数跑赢大盘时,你就知道今天是防御性行情,因为它包含大量这类防御性板块的股票。正如你早些时候提到的,我们关注欧洲央行(ECB)的立场,结果如预期所示,主席克里斯蒂娜·拉加德维持利率不变,但预测未来将加息。
THE BIG SURPRISE IS SHE IS LEAVING EARLY. WE FLIPPED THE BOARD AND SAW WHAT'S HAPPENING IN FIXED INCOME MARKETS. WHAT'S INTERESTING IS THERE IS A BIT OF A DIVERGENCE. THE GERMAN 10 YEAR BOND YIELD IS DOWN THREE BASIS POINTS. WE DON'T SEE ANYTHING LIKE THAT WITH FRANCE AND ITALY. WHAT THIS PARTLY REFLECTS IS WE HAD SOME PRETTY TROUBLING NUMBERS OUT OF FRANCE, WHERE GGP UNEXPECTEDLY CONTRACTED. INFLATION IS THE HIGHEST IT'S BEEN IN THREE YEARS.
最大的意外是她提前离场。我们翻转了板块,看到了固定收益市场正在发生的情况。有趣的是出现了一定的分化。德国10年期国债收益率下降了三个基点。我们在法国和意大利身上没看到类似情况。这部分反映了我们从法国得到了一些相当令人不安的数据,其中国内生产总值(GDP)意外收缩。通胀水平达到了三年来的最高位。
THAT WILL WORRY POLICYMAKERS, AS IF THEY DON'T HAVE ENOUGH TO WORRY ABOUT. VONNIE: THANK YOU SO MUCH. JUSTINA LEE IN LONDON. AS YOU CAN SEE, NASDAQ FUTURES EMBRACING EVERYTHING THAT IS SPOOKY ABOUT THIS LAST TRADING DAY IN OCTOBER. IT'S BEEN A DOWN MONTH. THE RUSSELL INDEX IS HIGHER, THE DOW IS HIGHER. EVEN THE S&P IS HIGHER, MONTH TODAY. THERE IS ONE MORE TRADING DAY. WE COULD ERASE THAT GAME ON THE S&P, WHICH IS AROUND 7/10 OF A PERCENT.
这将令政策制定者感到担忧,尽管他们担心的事情已经够多了。冯妮:非常感谢。贾斯汀娜·李在伦敦报道。正如你所见,纳斯达克期货正在消化10月最后一个交易日的所有令人不安的消息。本月整体表现低迷。罗素指数更高,道琼斯指数更高。标准普尔500指数今天也更高。还有一个交易日。我们有可能抹去标准普尔500指数的跌幅,该跌幅约为0.7%。
IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL HAVE A VERY NEGATIVE DAY ON THE NASDAQ. MORE EARNINGS COMING IN, SPOOKING INVESTORS. LET'S LOOK AT YIELDS. WE ARE SEEING OIL PRESSURES AND THE FACT THE FED SEEMS QUITE SANGUINE, HAPPY TO WAIT UNTIL AT LEAST DECEMBER 2 DO ANYTHING ABOUT ANOTHER INTEREST RATE HIKE. THE 10 YEAR YIELD, DOWN TO 4.90 -- 4.92. THE TWO YEAR YIELD HAS ALSO GIVEN UP A COUPLE OF BASIS POINTS OF GAINS THAT WE SAW EARLIER IN THE WEEK, DOWN ANOTHER BASIS POINT AND A HALF, TO 4.5 A.
纳斯达克似乎将迎来非常糟糕的一天。更多财报出炉,令投资者感到恐慌。让我们看看收益率。我们看到石油承压,而且美联储似乎相当乐观,乐意等到至少12月2日才考虑是否再次加息。10年期收益率降至4.90% - 4.92%。2年期收益率也回吐了本周早些时候看到的几个基点的涨幅,再降1.5个基点至4.5%。
IN TERMS OF OIL AND VARIOUS PRODUCTS, WE ARE SEEING MORE PRESSURE AND AS THE CONTRACT DEALS ROLL OVER TODAY, MORE JANUARY. WE ARE SEEING SIGNIFICANT PRESSURE ON BRENT. LOOK AT EUROPEAN GAS FUTURES, ABOVE 101 EUROS PER MEGAWATT POWER AFTER SIX STRAIGHT DAYS OF GAINS. LET'S GET TO SOME INDIVIDUAL PREMARKET BLOOMERS. FOR THAT, WE GO BACK OVER TO LONDON AND ALEX MORGAN.
就石油和各种产品而言,我们看到压力增大,随着合约在今天以及明年1月到期,布伦特原油面临显著压力。看看欧洲天然气期货,在连续六天上涨后,每兆瓦时电力价格超过101欧元。让我们来看一些盘前大涨的股票。为此,我们将镜头转回伦敦,交给亚历克斯·摩根。
INTEL DOWN, AROUND 26% PREMARKET. AMAZON IS DOWN AS WELL. FOR INTEL, DELAYS TO COMPONENTS, PART OF THE DATA CENTER BUILDOUT. AMAZON, THE AWS OUTLOOK AND THE SPENDING OF THE AI BUILDER. BOTH OF THOSE NAMES PUT THE PRESSURE ON TECH. THEY HAD A BEAT DESPITE THAT THAT WAS A DECLINE OF 9% YEAR-OVER-YEAR IN DAILY ACTIVE USERS. THAT IS PUTTING THEM AROUND 18, 17% PREMARKET. LET'S FLIP THE BOARD. THEY ARE IN THE GREEN, GOOD NEWS FOR THEM.
英特尔盘前下跌约26%。亚马逊同样下跌。对于英特尔,由于数据中心建设延迟导致零部件交付推迟;对于亚马逊,AWS前景以及AI建设者的支出都对其构成压力。这两家公司的表现给科技股带来了压力。尽管如此,它们的表现仍优于预期,但日活跃用户数同比下降9%。这使得它们的股价在盘前下跌约17%-18%。让我们翻转板块。它们处于上涨状态,这对它们是好消息。
A GOOD OUTLOOK, LOOKING TO UNDERCOVER SLACK AS THEY EXPAND INTO THE HEALTHIER PART OF THEIR PORTFOLIO. VONNIE: FASCINATING WHAT COMPANIES ARE DOING. THANK YOU SO MUCH. ALEX MORGAN THERE IN LONDON. COMING UP THIS HOUR, JANE FOLEY. LET'S START WITH THE EVENING TECH SELLOFF. SHARES OF INTEL ARE PLUMMETING. AMAZON IS SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER PREMARKET. INTEL IS HAVING SUPPLY CHAIN PROBLEMS WITH DATA CENTER COMPONENTS. JOINING US NOW IS MATT BLOXHAM OF BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE.
前景良好,正寻求在扩展至投资组合中更健康的部分时增持隐形股票。冯妮:公司所做的事令人着迷。非常感谢。伦敦的亚历克斯·摩根。接下来这一小时,简·福利。让我们从今晚的科技股抛售开始。英特尔股价暴跌。亚马逊盘前大幅下跌。英特尔在数据中心组件方面面临供应链问题。现在加入我们的彭博情报的马特·布洛克汉姆。
IF WE KNEW INTEL WAS HAVING THESE PROBLEMS, THEN WHY SUCH VOLATILITY IN THE SHARES? IT'S LOST A QUARTER OF ITS MARKET CAP.
如果我们知道英特尔正面临这些问题,那么为什么股价如此波动?它已失去了四分之一的市值。
I THINK RIGHT NOW INVESTORS AND ANALYSTS ARE STRUGGLING WITH THE VERY NOISY DATA SIGNALS WE GET ABOUT HOW TO ANTICIPATE. WE LOOK AT BACK WHERE -- WE LOOK AT WHERE CONSENSUS WAS IN MARCH, IT WAS 15% TO 16% LOWER AND MOVED UP SHARPLY. CLEARLY, PEOPLE GOT A LITTLE BIT AHEAD OF THEMSELVES. AND MAYBE THE COMPANY KIND OF PERHAPS HAS NOT MANAGED THOSE KINDS OF EXPECTATIONS AS WELL. I THINK, AS YOU SAY WITH HINDSIGHT, THESE ISSUES THEY ARE FACING HAVE BEEN CLEARLY SIGNALED.
我认为目前投资者和分析师正努力应对关于我们如何预测所收到的非常嘈杂的数据信号。我们回顾过去——我们看看三月时的共识,当时低了15%到16%,随后急剧上升。显然,人们有点操之过急。也许公司在某种程度上未能很好地管理这些期望。我认为,正如你事后诸葛亮所说,他们面临的问题已经明确发出信号。
THE MARKET IS JUST STRUGGLING TO KIND OF TURN THOSE SIGNALS INTO A MORE ACCURATE ESTIMATES OF FORWARD REVENUE. VONNIE: SHOULD THE PC SLOWDOWN, BECAUSE OBVIOUSLY PRICES HAVE GOTTEN SO MUCH MORE EXPENSIVE, BE A LESSON TO WHAT'S GOING TO HAPPEN WITH US NEXT IN AI TRADE? PRICING HAS TO GO UP FOR MEMBERSHIP PRICING TO DATA CENTER PRICING, IS THIS WHAT'S IN STORE FOR US OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE YEARS?
市场只是在努力将这些信号转化为对未来收入更准确的估计。冯妮:鉴于价格显然变得昂贵得多,个人电脑市场的放缓是否会成为我们下一步在人工智能贸易中将发生什么的教训?定价必须上涨,从会员定价到数据中心定价,这是未来两到三年我们要面对的吗?
THESE CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS ARE GOING TO CONTINUE PROBABLY THROUGH 2027 INTO 2028. THESE ARE ISSUES THAT ARE NOT GOING TO GO AWAY. I THINK BUSINESS MODELS ARE GOING TO NEED TO ADOPT -- ADAPT AND CHANGE TO PROTECT REVENUES AND FIND DIFFERENT WAYS TO EXPLOIT THE CAPACITY AND THE PRODUCT THAT IS AVAILABLE. FOR INTEL, THEY ARE FACING INCREASING COMPETITION FROM NEW RIVALS LIKE MDA AND NVIDIA GETTING INTO THE PC MARKET. THERE ARE CHALLENGES ALL AROUND.
这些产能限制可能会持续到2027年甚至2028年。这些问题不会消失。我认为商业模式需要适应和改变,以保护收入并找到利用可用产能和产品的不同方式。对于英特尔来说,他们面临着来自MDA和英伟达等新竞争对手进入个人电脑市场的日益激烈的竞争。处处都有挑战。
I THINK WE ARE GOING TO SEE QUITE A LOT OF VOLATILITY STILL INTO 2027 ABOUT BUSINESS MODELS THAT THESE COMPANIES NEED TO ADAPT TO TO KIND OF GROW IN REVENUE AND PROFIT. VONNIE: ON AMAZON, RETAIL SPENDING HAS NOT BEEN SUFFERING IN THE UNITED STATES. CONSUMERS HAVE BEEN SPENDING. WHAT DOES AMAZON DO TO TURN AROUND ITS E-COMMERCE BUSINESS WHICH IS NOT -- WHICH HAS NOT BEEN AS EASY OR AS PLEASANT AN EXPERIENCE AS IT ONCE WAS?
我认为我们将看到相当多的波动性,直到2027年,关于这些公司需要适应的业务模式,以便在一定程度上实现收入和利润的增长。冯妮:关于亚马逊,美国的零售支出并未受到打击。消费者一直在消费。亚马逊如何扭转其电子商务业务的局面,该业务不再像以前那样轻松或令人愉快?
TO SOME DEGREE, THEY HAVE TO DO WHAT THEY HAVE DONE FOR A DECADE OR MORE AND JUST REALLY STICK TO THEIR MISSION AND WRITE OUT SOME OF THESE PEAKS AND DROPS IN CONSUMER SPENDING. ONE OF THE ISSUES THEY HAVE FACING THEM THAT WILL BE A CONCERN TO PEOPLE IS THE RISE OF A AGENTIC SHOPPING AND THE LIKES OF MUSE. AMAZON DOES NOT LET PEOPLE USE THOSE AGENTS ON THEIR WEBSITE AND PUSHES THEM MORE TOWARD THEIR OWN AI TOOLS. BUT YEAH, AMAZON HAS CREATED AN INCREDIBLY STRONG POSITION IN E-COMMERCE.
在某种程度上,他们不得不继续做过去十年或更长时间一直在做的事情,并真正坚守自己的使命,勾勒出消费者支出中的一些峰值和低谷。他们面临的一个问题将是人们关注的重点,那就是代理式购物的兴起以及类似Muse的产品。亚马逊不允许在其网站上使用这些代理,而是更多地引导用户使用其自身的AI工具。但确实,亚马逊在电子商务领域建立了极其强大的地位。
I THINK THEY NEED TO CONTINUE TO HOLD THE LINE UP ON THAT STRATEGY AND MAKE SURE IT ADAPTS APPROPRIATELY TO THE EDGE AND TAKE SHOPPING TREND. VONNIE: THANK YOU SO MUCH. THAT IS MATT BLOXHAM A BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE, TAKING US THROUGH THE CRAZY LAST 24 HOURS. ALSO A LITTLE CRAZY, THE CRYPTO INDUSTRY SUFFERING ITS BIGGEST EVER HACK. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF FUNDS WERE AFFECTED WITH ASSETS FROZEN AS WELL. JOINING US IS BLOOMBERG DIGITAL FINANCE REPORTER EMILY NICOLLE.
我认为他们需要继续坚持这一战略,并确保其适当适应边缘计算和购物趋势。冯妮:非常感谢。这是彭博情报的Matt Bloxham带我们回顾过去24小时的疯狂时刻。同样令人惊讶的是,加密货币行业遭受了有史以来最大的黑客攻击,数十亿美元的资金受到影响,资产也被冻结。加入我们的是彭博数字金融记者Emily Nicolle。
THESE FUNDS, EMILY, ONE BLOCKCHAIN INTELLIGENCE FIRM SAYS IT WAS NORTH KOREA THAT DID IT. OUR THE USABLE IF NORTH KOREA DID IN FACT DO IT? -- ARE THEY USABLE IF NORTH KOREA IT DID IN FACT DO IT?
艾米丽,关于这些资金,一家区块链智能公司称是朝鲜所为。如果确实是朝鲜干的,这些资金还能用吗?
THOSE ASSETS WILL GET FLAG ON THE BLOCKCHAIN MEASURE ITSELF. THAT MAKES IT HARDER FOR THEM TO DO SOMETHING WITH IT AFTERWARDS. THEY MAY TRY TO USE OF THE SERVICES OR PLATFORMS TO GO ONTO THOSE FUNDS. THE F
这些资产会在区块链本身被标记出来。这使得他们之后更难处理这些资产。他们可能会尝试利用某些服务或平台来动用这些资金。F
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更进一步:量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力