Anthropic招股书披露巨额亏损与历史级IPO数据
Anthropic outranks most IPOs in history
Anthropic IPO招股书披露了颠覆性的财务数据(如百亿级亏损与万亿估值并存),对AI赛道估值逻辑有重大参考意义,建议关注。
Anthropic is on pace to outrank most IPOs in history across several metrics, including revenue retention rate, capital raised prior to its IPO, and expected IPO proceeds.
Anthropic 在多项指标上有望超越历史上大多数 IPO,包括收入留存率、IPO 前筹集的资金以及预期 IPO 所得款项。
The company also ranks in the top three IPOs in history on numerous other metrics. For example, its six-month revenue growth of 1,300% for the first half of 2026 compared to 2025 is a percentage outranked by only Groupon’s 2,200% at IPO.
该公司在诸多其他指标上也位列历史前三大 IPO。例如,其 2026 年上半年相比 2025 年的六个月收入增长率为 1,300%,这一百分比仅低于 Groupon 在 IPO 时的 2,200%。
In addition, Anthropic’s $6.6 million in revenue per employee is bested only by the 2012 IPO of PBF Energy, and its $1.5 trillion expected valuation puts it third behind Aramco’s $1.7 trillion and SpaceX’s $1.8 trillion.
此外,Anthropic 每名员工的收入为 660 万美元,仅次于 PBF Energy 2012 年 IPO 时的表现;其预期估值为 1.5 万亿美元,位居第三,仅次于阿美石油(Aramco)的 1.7 万亿美元和 SpaceX 的 1.8 万亿美元。
Anthropic is on pace to outrank most IPOs in history across several metrics.
Anthropic 在多项指标上有望超越历史上大多数 IPO。
Anthropic ranks among top IPOs on negative metrics, too
Anthropic 在负面指标上也名列前茅
The Claude maker lost $66.3 billion in the second quarter, according to the IPO prospectus it filed on Monday.
根据其周一提交的 IPO 招股说明书,Claude 制造商在第二季度亏损了 663 亿美元。
That nominally beats AIG’s $61.7 billion from late 2008 as the largest quarterly loss in US corporate history, mostly thanks to repriced convertible debt.
这在名义上超过了美国企业史上最大的季度亏损——2008 年底 AIG 的 617 亿美元亏损,这主要归功于可转换债务的重新定价。
Expanding the time range to 12 months maintains Anthropic’s #1 rank on this bad leaderboard.
将时间范围扩大到 12 个月,Anthropic 在这份糟糕的排行榜上仍保持第一的位置。
Over the 12 months ending June 30, 2026, the company lost $109.7 billion. That nominally tops the previous corporate records of AOL Time Warner’s 2002 loss and AIG’s 2008 loss.
截至 2026 年 6 月 30 日的 12 个月内,该公司亏损了 1,097 亿美元。这在名义上超越了此前 AOL Time Warner 2002 年亏损和阿 IG 2008 年亏损所创下的企业纪录。
Anthropic’s accumulated deficit going into its IPO is also in first place at $132.9 billion.
Anthropic 进入 IPO 前的累计赤字也排名第一,达到 1,329 亿美元。
The company acknowledged that the figure “includes $113.2 billion related to changes in the fair value of our convertible notes driven by increases in our enterprise valuation and derivative liabilities.”
公司承认该数字“包括 1,132 亿美元,这与我们的企业估值和衍生负债增加导致的可转换票据公允价值变动有关。”
SpaceX, the prior record holder for accumulated deficit, reported an accumulated deficit of $41.3 billion as of its IPO prospectus.
此前的累计赤字纪录保持者 SpaceX,在其 IPO 招股说明书中报告的累计赤字为 413 亿美元。
On a somewhat neutral metric, Anthropic ranks #1 by the amount of money it already plans to spend after its IPO. Specifically, it expects to spend $265.6 billion on computational services over the next few years.
在一个相对中性的指标上,Anthropic 因其计划 IPO 后支出的金额而排名第一。具体而言,它预计在未来几年内将在计算服务上花费 2,656 亿美元。
SpaceX, the prior record holder in this department, disclosed just $28 billion of non-cancelable commitments during its IPO.
该领域的先前纪录保持者 SpaceX 在其 IPO 期间仅披露了 280 亿美元的不可撤销承诺。
Anthropic IPO Live: 7 people will control voting power
Anthropic IPO 直播:7 人将控制投票权
Read more: Anthropic was keeping its IPO share price secret — footnote reveals $71.43
阅读更多:Anthropic 一直对其 IPO 股价保密——脚注揭示为 71.43 美元
Best net revenue retention in IPO history?
IPO 历史上最佳净收入留存率?
Finally, Anthropic touts approximately 900% net revenue retention, easily outranking any prior US IPO in this very positive metric. By comparison, Snowflake reported approximately 150% at IPO.
最后,Anthropic 宣称其净收入留存率约为 900%,在这一非常积极的指标上轻松超越任何先前的美国 IPO。相比之下,Snowflake 在 IPO 时报告的净收入留存率约为 150%。
Of course, Anthropic modified the definition of net revenue retention to suit its purposes, including customers paying as low as $1 over the course of an entire year.
当然,Anthropic 修改了净收入留存率的定义以符合其目的,其中包括客户在整整一年内支付的金额低至 1 美元。
Conveniently, its definition counts any customer that paid $1 or more in the previous year’s corresponding quarter, minus Pro and Max subscribers.
方便的是,其定义将任何在上一年对应季度支付 1 美元或以上的客户计入在内,再减去 Pro 和 Max 订阅用户。
With that omission, the world might never learn the actual churn rate of Pro and Max subscribers.
由于这一遗漏,世人可能永远无法得知 Pro 和 Max 订阅用户的实际流失率。
the craziest number in Anthropic’s IPO filing isn’t the revenue
Anthropic IPO 文件中令人震惊的数字并非收入
it’s 900% net revenue retention
而是 900% 的净收入留存率
companies that paid them $100 last year are paying ~$900 now https://t.co/8v7c34u6pb
去年向它们支付 100 美元的公司现在支付约 900 美元 https://t.co/8v7c34u6pb
— shirish (@shiri_shh) October 26, 2026
—— shirish (@shiri_shh) 2026年10月26日
Another metric is likely but hasn’t yet occurred. Anthropic expects to generate $100 billion in IPO sale proceeds. If it succeeds at that goal, that figure would beat the $86.3 billion of stock SpaceX sold, including underwriters’ purchases.
另一个指标可能发生但尚未发生。Anthropic 预计 IPO 销售所得将达到 1000 亿美元。如果它实现这一目标,该数字将超过 SpaceX 出售的股票总额 863 亿美元,包括承销商的购买量。
Private companies have raised more money outside of public markets, such as OpenAI’s $122 billion raise in March, but $100 billion would be the largest IPO proceeds figure in history.
私营公司在公开市场之外筹集了更多资金,例如 OpenAI 在三月筹集的 1220 亿美元,但 1000 亿美元将成为历史上最大的 IPO 所得金额。
Other disclosures by Anthropic defy ranking.
Anthropic 的其他披露数据难以排名。
Revenue surged from $41 million in 2023 to $16.3 billion in the first half of 2026. That’s probably the largest notional amount of revenue increase relatively to its starting point for an IPO, but absolute percent growth figures have been higher on earlier IPOs from their various starting points.
收入从 2023 年的 4100 万美元激增至 2026 年上半年的 163 亿美元。这可能是相对于起点而言,IPO 中名义收入增长幅度最大的案例,但绝对百分比增长率在早期 IPO 中从其各自起点来看曾更高。
Anthropic also boasted that “Claude has experienced the fastest enterprise adoption of any technology in history.” Although Claude is certainly tremendously popular, Anthropic left the supporting revenue figure blank for that claim, preventing Protos from verifying its rank.
Anthropic 还吹嘘称“Claude 经历了历史上最快的企业采用速度”。尽管 Claude 确实非常受欢迎,但 Anthropic 在该声明中留空了支持性的收入数据,导致 Protos 无法验证其排名。
Despite how impressive some of its figures are, the prospectus warns against extrapolation.
尽管其中一些数字令人印象深刻,但招股书警告不要进行外推。
“We do not expect our revenue will continue to grow at comparable rates,” Anthropic’s lawyers admitted, “and we cannot assure you that it will continue to grow at all.”
“我们预计我们的收入不会继续以可比的速度增长,”Anthropic 的律师承认,“我们也无法保证它会继续增长。”
Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.
有线索?通过 Protos Leaks 安全地给我们发送电子邮件。为了获取更有见地的新闻和调查,请在 X、Bluesky 和 Google News 上关注我们,或订阅我们的 YouTube 频道。
更进一步:量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力