特朗普宣布能源休战释放俄柴油引发共和党担忧
Trump’s Diesel Deal Stirs GOP Unease
涉及重大地缘政策转向与潜在的市场流动性干预(释放战略储备),直接影响大宗商品定价逻辑与合规成本,建议关注后续执行细节及制裁豁免范围。
Live from Washington, D.C. this is Balance of power with Joe Matthew. President Trump heads for Ohio with 22 days left. Welcome to the Monday edition. As the president stumps for the Republican Senate in this must win state, with gas and diesel holding near their highs and our eyes on the Middle East, we're going to get more on the president's agenda from Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall, who's at the white House with insights coming up from Republican Congressman Mike Lawler of New York.
这里是来自华盛顿特区的直播,我是乔·马修斯主持的《权力平衡》节目。距离选举还有22天,特朗普总统即将前往俄亥俄州。欢迎来到周一版节目。随着总统为共和党参议员候选人拉票,在这个必须赢下的州,汽油和柴油价格维持在高位附近,我们的目光也投向中东。我们将通过彭博社的泰勒·肯德尔了解更多总统的议程,他正在白宫,稍后还将有请来自纽约的共和党众议员迈克·劳勒带来见解。
Oil and gas prices moving higher as the attacks on Saudi Arabia continue. On this Monday, we'll discuss it all with Natasha Hall at Chatham House, and we'll assemble our political panel as Elon Musk resumes his role as the biggest individual known donor in midterm politics. It's all after a look at Wall Street. Charlie Pellet starts us off this hour with the latest on the Monday trade trolley. How's it going? Right now we do have the S&P 500 index.
随着对沙特阿拉伯的袭击持续,石油和天然气价格上涨。在这个周一,我们将与查塔姆研究所的娜塔莎·霍尔讨论这一切,并将组建我们的政治小组,因为埃隆·马斯克恢复了他在中期选举政治中作为已知最大个人捐助者的角色。这一切将在回顾华尔街之后进行。查理·佩利特将为我们开启本小时的最新周一交易动态。情况如何?目前我们有标普500指数。
Trading a little changed and lower has been fluctuating between gains and losses. But right now down eight points we've got the S&P holding close to a record 7802 down now by one tenth of 1%. Dow Jones Industrial Average is gaining 219 points now up by about 4/10 of 1%. The Nasdaq Composite Index down 4/10 of 1%. Nasdaq 100 index down 7/10 of 1%. All of this with gold down $28. Youngstown 7/10 of 1% at 4165 the ounce.
交易略有变化,整体走低,一直在盈亏之间波动。但目前下跌8点,标普500指数接近创纪录的7802点,现下跌0.1%。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨219点,现上涨约0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.4%。纳斯达克100指数下跌0.7%。与此同时,黄金下跌28美元。扬斯敦(注:此处原文Youngstown疑为口误或特定指标名,按字面翻译)下跌0.7%,报每盎司4165美元。
Crude. Major story. As Joe mentioned WTI surging now by 2.1% 9377 a barrel oil higher as Ukraine cast doubts on that energy cease fire touted by President Trump while in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia suffered its deadliest strike since the Arab war began. Brent crude, the global benchmark 106 71, up now by almost 2%. Oil majors rallying today, along with the price of crude Exxon Mobil up 1.8%. Microsoft up 9/10 of 1% and Chevron up by 1.5%.
原油。重大新闻。正如乔提到的,西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)现飙涨2.1%,至每桶93.77美元,油价走高,因为乌克兰对特朗普总统倡导的能源停火表示怀疑。而在中东,沙特阿拉伯遭受了自阿拉伯战争开始以来最致命的打击。布伦特原油这一全球基准价格现为106.71美元,上涨近2%。今日石油巨头股价反弹,包括原油价格在内的埃克森美孚上涨1.8%,微软上涨0.9%,雪佛龙上涨1.5%。
Also, ConocoPhillips are up by 2%. Uh, also metal platforms out with a new AI model called Muse Wonder, which the company claims as a big leap over its own predecessors. Metal platform shares they are rallying today, up now by 3.1%. I mentioned Microsoft. We're keeping an eye on Microsoft shares. They are up now by about 9/10 of 1%. And briefly, Delta Airlines says it plans to delay the launch of its new nonstop service between Atlanta and Saudi Arabia until next year because of drone and cruise missile attacks detected by the country.
此外,康菲石油公司(ConocoPhillips)上涨2%。另外,Metal平台发布了一个名为Muse Wonder的新AI模型,该公司声称这是对其前代产品的重大飞跃。Metal平台股价今日反弹,现上涨3.1%。我提到了微软。我们密切关注微软股价,其现上涨约0.9%。简讯:达美航空表示,由于该国检测到无人机和巡航导弹袭击,计划将其亚特兰大至沙特阿拉伯的新直飞服务推迟到明年推出。
Indeed, attacks on Riyadh airport and again, S&P 500 index now trading down by one tenth of 1% that Joe Matthew is a Bloomberg Businessweek. Okay, Charlie, thank you so much. He's live in New York and we'll be back in less than 20 minutes, with another check on Wall Street here. Trading right near our highs on the precipice of earnings reporting season. We're coming in hot here and we're going to be talking about banking earnings.
确实,利雅得机场再次遭到袭击,标普500指数目前下跌0.1%,乔·马修来自《彭博商业周刊》。好的,查理,非常感谢你。他正在纽约现场报道,我们将在不到20分钟后回来,再次关注华尔街的交易情况。交易价格接近我们的最高点,正值财报季前夕。我们这里热度很高,接下来将讨论银行财报。
Goldman Sachs and the rest starting tomorrow. You can of course always find us on the late edition of Balance of Power. Just filed this away 5 p.m. eastern every weekday. And we distill everything that happened in the markets and in the world of politics. This is something we're going to be talking about later on today. The president's trip to Ohio. He's en route right now with 22 days left until the midterm elections were three weeks out from tomorrow.
高盛及其他机构将从明天开始发布财报。当然,你们也可以在每个工作日下午5点(东部时间)的《权力平衡》特别版中找到我们。我们将提炼市场和政治世界中发生的一切。这也是我们今天稍后将讨论的话题之一。总统前往俄亥俄州的行程。他目前正在途中,距离中期选举还有22天,从明天起还有三周时间。
And the administration has decided, and frankly, this shouldn't really be news that Ohio is must win. This is Senator John Houston seat that which was held at one time by a man named JD Vance and the prior occupant of a Senate seat in Ohio. Sherrod Brown wants the job back, and this has become a knock down drag out, one of the most expensive Senate races in the country, right up there with Texas, Paxton and Talarico.
政府已决定,坦率地说,俄亥俄州是必须赢得的选区,这其实并不令人意外。这是约翰·休斯顿参议员的席位,该席位曾由JD·万斯占据,而俄亥俄州参议院席位的上一任 occupant 是谢罗德·布朗。他想夺回这个职位,这场竞选变得异常激烈,成为全国最昂贵的参议院选举之一,与德克萨斯州的帕克斯顿和塔拉利科不相上下。
So this evening, the president will hold forth talking about all the issues that we bear down on here every day, including, yes, the price of gas, the price of diesel, and all of it leads itself to the whole situation in Ukraine. We're going to connect the dots on these issues. After a wild weekend in geopolitics. Bloomberg Washington correspondent Tyler Kendall joins us right now from the North Lawn of the white House, with the president on his way to Ohio.
因此,今晚总统将就我们每天深入探讨的所有议题发表讲话,包括汽油价格、柴油价格,以及这一切都与乌克兰局势密切相关。我们将在地缘政治经历一个动荡的周末后,将这些议题联系起来。彭博社华盛顿记者泰勒·肯德尔现在从白宫北草坪加入我们,总统正前往俄亥俄州。
Tyler, you can tell us more about this energy cease fire that the president announced over the weekend, because it's the very thing that he needs, at least in terms of what the administration is telling us and lowering prices to make an argument before a crowd like he is speaking to today in Ohio. What do we know about this Russian diesel getting into the market? Well, Joe, at this point, President Trump announced over the weekend that we were going to see an energy truce and that we would stop seeing attacks on refineries and power plants.
泰勒,你能告诉我们更多关于总统在周末宣布的能源停火协议吗?因为这正是他所需要的,至少就政府告诉我们的而言,降低价格以便在今天在俄亥俄州面对人群时提出论点。关于俄罗斯柴油进入市场的情况,我们知道些什么呢?嗯,乔,目前特朗普总统在周末宣布,我们将看到能源休战,并将停止对炼油厂和发电厂的袭击。
Though we've heard from both sides in this conflict, Russia and Ukraine both seeming to indicate that they were not aware nor have signed on to any such agreement. That is one part of the White House's push to get there to be a stop in targeting Russian diesel refineries in particular, that goes hand in hand with the announcement that we got last week and which you alluded to, which is that 13.5 million barrels of Russian diesel will be released from stockpiles over time, though there are questions here about just how much of an impact that will really make in the market.
尽管我们已听到冲突双方的说法,俄罗斯和乌克兰似乎都表示他们既不知情,也未签署任何此类协议。这是白宫推动在针对俄罗斯柴油炼油厂方面采取停火措施的一部分,这与上周宣布的内容相辅相成,你也提到了这一点:将分阶段从战略储备中释放1350万桶俄罗斯柴油,不过市场对此举措究竟能产生多大影响仍存疑问。
Our own analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence released a new analysis earlier this morning that said the initial supply probably won't have that big an impact on prices that we pay at the pump, and that the bigger question here is whether or not Russian refineries can rebuild and actually increase their output. Which then brings us back around to the beginning here, which is that we would need to see those attacks stopped.
彭博情报(Bloomberg Intelligence)的分析师今早早些时候发布了一项新分析,指出初期的供应可能不会对我们在加油站支付的油价产生太大影响,而这里更大的问题在于俄罗斯炼油厂能否重建并实际增加产量。这就把我们带回了最初的起点,即我们需要看到这些袭击停止。
But Russia continues to hit Ukraine. Plus, Joe, that doesn't even get into some of the legal questions that members on Capitol Hill are raising, uh, about, uh, this potential deal to release Russian stockpiles, considering it upends what has been years of sanctions practice here in the US. Yeah, we're going to ask Congressman Mike Lawler about that. Uh, when he joins us in a few moments. I know that he had strong feelings about that Russia sanctions bill.
但俄罗斯仍在持续打击乌克兰。此外,乔,这甚至还没有涉及到国会山成员提出的一些法律问题,关于是否要达成释放俄罗斯储备的这一潜在协议,考虑到它颠覆了美国多年来形成的制裁惯例。是的,我们将在几分钟后请众议员迈克·劳勒(Mike Lawler)就此发表看法。我知道他对这项俄罗斯制裁法案持有强烈观点。
Is this all part of the address this evening? Uh, Tyler, do we have a sense of what the president's message will be in Ohio? Well, we did get somewhat of a preview, if you will, Joe, because this marks President Trump's second visit to Ohio in the last ten days. So if we get some of our cues from the last time he was there, he touted corporate investment in the state, bringing manufacturing jobs in in particular when it comes to the steel and auto industry.
这一切都是今晚演讲的一部分吗?嗯,泰勒,我们对总统在俄亥俄州的讲话内容是否有大致了解?好吧,如果你愿意的话,我们可以说已经得到了一些预览,因为这是特朗普总统在过去十天内第二次访问俄亥俄州。所以如果我们从他上次在那里时的表态中寻找一些线索,他强调了该州的企业合作投资,特别是带来了制造业就业岗位,尤其是在钢铁和汽车行业。
He touted a new plant that's being built by Stellantis. Maybe this is going to take a very similar tact tonight we're going to have to see. But the fact that he is there in such a short amount of time does underscore that Republicans are feeling the pressure when it comes to this contest. You mentioned it. Incumbent Republican Senator John, who stood against former Senator Sherrod Brown. Our viewers may know him as the former head of the Senate Banking Committee.
他还称赞了斯特兰蒂斯(Stellantis)正在建设的一家新工厂。也许今晚他会采取非常相似的策略,我们将拭目以待。但他如此短时间内再次到访这一事实确实凸显出共和党人在此次竞选中所承受的压力。你提到了这一点。现任共和党参议员约翰·约翰逊(John Johnson),他曾对抗前参议员谢罗德·布朗(Sherrod Brown)。我们的观众可能知道他曾是参议院银行委员会的主席。
And there's a lot of time going into this election. Keep in mind, President Trump won Ohio by 11 percentage points in 2024. This was considered to be Republican territory. There's also so much money going into this election, Joe, the largest Republican superPAC pouring in $100 million into this race so far. And we're not even towards the finish line. Wow. Um, you probably heard what the president said, uh, about President Zelensky.
这次选举投入了大量时间。请记住,特朗普总统在2024年以11个百分点的优势赢得了俄亥俄州。这曾被认为是共和党的地盘。此外,这次选举还投入了巨额资金,乔,最大的共和党超级政治行动委员会迄今为止已向这场竞选注入了1亿美元。而我们甚至还没到终点线。哇。嗯,你可能听到了总统关于泽连斯基总统所说的话。
Donald Trump, uh, has been blaming President Zelensky for bombing Russian refineries, helping to lift the price, knowing, of course, that the war with Iran has played a big role in this as well. But it's distillates we're talking about here in diesel has been feeling the weight of these attacks on Russian refineries, which is why the president advanced this idea of an energy cease fire. But listen to what he said about Zelensky in the driveway on Friday.
唐纳德·特朗普指责泽连斯基总统轰炸俄罗斯炼油厂,从而推高了价格,当然,与伊朗的战争也在其中扮演了重要角色。但我们这里谈论的是柴油馏分油,它一直承受着对俄罗斯炼油厂袭击的重压,这也是总统提出能源停火这一构想的原因。但听听他在周五车道上对泽连斯基说了什么。
You've lost 30% of you
你失去了30%的力量
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