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特斯拉Q3交付超预期,核心业务仍处停滞期

Tesla Sales Top Estimates for Third Quarter

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特斯拉作为美股关键标的,其交付数据与竞争格局变化直接影响估值逻辑。本文提供了关于其核心业务停滞、竞品策略调整及政治因素影响的综合视角,适合关注特斯拉基本面与行业趋势的投资者留意。

Let's continue the conversation on Tesla. We're joined now by Craig Trudell, Bloomberg managing editor for global business coverage. So they rally after better than expected deliveries, but I thought this wasn't a car company. I thought we didn't care about how many cars they sold. Do we? Don't we? It's hard to tell sometimes. I I do think, to your point, this is a a much better number than was expected. It's the second quarter in a row, after kind of a crummy start to the year for them.

让我们继续讨论特斯拉的话题。我们现在邀请到了彭博社全球商业报道的编辑总监克雷格·特鲁德尔(Craig Trudell)。他们在交付量好于预期的消息后股价反弹,但我记得我们之前说过这不再是一家汽车公司了。我们不关心他们卖了多少辆车吗?真的不关心吗?有时候很难说清。我确实认为,正如你所说,这是一个比预期好得多的数字。这是连续第二个季度表现良好,而他们在年初的表现相当糟糕。

It it is still a company that's in a bit of a holding pattern in terms of its its core business with, car sales because, you know, for for a few years now, we've had... You know, when they have their their best quarters, they're just shy of 500,000 units. That's right where we are now. This is still a a company that has gone from, being, you know, one known for for growth to, being in a bit of a a a stasis, with kind of a stale lineup.

就其核心业务即汽车销售而言,该公司仍处于一种停滞状态。你知道的,这几年……你知道,当他们取得最好的季度业绩时,销量也仅略低于50万辆。目前我们就处于这个水平。这仍然是一家从以增长闻名转变为陷入某种停滞的公司,产品线也显得陈旧。

The Model three and Model y are are, you know, kind of the only game in town. The Cybertruck has been a big disappointment. There's not a whole lot changing to that narrative, but maybe some relief here after what's been kind of a disappointing, year, you know, for for the shares, coming into today. A year ago, at this time, there was something of a backlash against Tesla because of Elon Musk's role in cutting all the government jobs, etcetera, etcetera.

Model 3和Model Y可以说是市场上仅有的选择。Cybertruck的表现令人失望。这一叙事并没有太多变化,但在经历了今年之前令股东们失望的一年后,或许这里带来了一些慰藉。一年前的这个时候,由于埃隆·马斯克在削减政府工作等方面的角色,特斯拉曾遭遇一定的抵制情绪。

Has customers moved beyond that? I think it's probably helped that Elon's, you know, removed himself, from Washington at least to a degree. We do still see him, with president Trump, quite a bit, but he's not, kinda slashing his burning his way... Slashing and burning his way through DC. He he also, I I think, you know, has benefited from, you know, some some pullback by some of his competitors in the electric vehicle segment here in The US where a year ago, we had, you know, a a quite strong quarter for EV demand because everybody was trying to take advantage of the tax credits before they went away.

客户是否已经超越了这一点?我认为,埃隆至少在某种程度上将自己从华盛顿抽身出来,这可能有所帮助。我们仍然经常看到他与特朗普总统在一起,但他不再是在华盛顿大肆破坏、烧杀抢掠。此外,我认为他也受益于美国电动汽车领域部分竞争对手的退缩。一年前,由于大家都在税收优惠取消前试图利用这些政策,电动汽车需求曾出现一个非常强劲的季度。

And and so, you know, we've we've seen, I think, especially in Detroit, Ford and GM, and Stellantis, you know, them really rethink some of their EV programs, and that's maybe left, more of an opening for Tesla even as we've seen the overall, EV market in US contract as a result of that pullback of of support. Both in hindsight, given where oil prices are heading and have been for some time, do you think there's any amount of regret that maybe they didn't hold on to slightly more of their EV programs?

因此,我们知道,我认为尤其是在底特律,福特、通用汽车和Stellantis这些公司确实重新审视了它们的电动汽车计划,这或许为特斯拉留下了更多的机会,尽管我们观察到由于这种支持的撤回,美国整体电动汽车市场出现了收缩。事后看来,考虑到油价的走向以及过去一段时间的情况,你认为他们是否对没有稍微保留更多电动汽车计划感到任何遗憾?

Is there any more demand coming for consumers just considering where the price of oil is? I don't think we're seeing a substantial change in terms of, battery electric vehicle demand in The US. But in terms of, electrified, in in terms of hybrid, I think we're seeing, you know, Toyota and Hyundai in particular, really take advantage of people, you know, maybe not being ready to fully, you know, go all electric, but at least, you know, buy a a more efficient vehicle considering just how pricey things are now at the pump.

鉴于当前的油价,消费者是否会带来更多的需求?我认为我们在电池电动汽车的需求方面并没有看到显著的变化。但在电气化方面,特别是在混合动力领域,我认为丰田和现代等公司充分利用了人们可能尚未准备好完全转向纯电动车,但至少愿意购买更高效的车辆这一情况,考虑到当前加油成本的高昂。

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