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沙特管线遇袭油价跳涨,美联储加息预期升温

Bloomberg News Now: Oil Jumps as Saudi Shut Down Pipelines

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涵盖地缘冲击下的油价异动、AI产业对科技股的压制以及美联储/日央行加息的实质性博弈,是当下宏观交易的核心变量。

News when you want it with Bloomberg News now. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Karen, we begin with the latest from the Middle East. Officials in Yemen say Iran backed Houthi militants have seized more key islands in the southern Red sea. It is adding to pressure that's forced Saudi Arabia to shut down the east west pipeline. That's been the kingdom's key alternate route for crude around the Strait of Hormuz. We get the latest from Bloomberg Middle East editor Patrick Sykes in Istanbul.

随时随地获取彭博新闻。我是内森·黑格,我是凯伦·莫斯科。凯伦,我们从中东的最新消息开始。也门官员表示,伊朗支持的胡塞武装分子已占领红海南部更多关键岛屿。这加剧了压力,迫使沙特阿拉伯关闭东西输油管道。该管道一直是王国绕过霍尔木兹海峡运输原油的关键替代路线。我们连线驻伊斯坦布尔的彭博中东编辑帕特里克·赛克斯获取最新消息。

Saudi Arabia said that this pipeline was closed on Thursday as what it called a precautionary measure after a series of attacks that caused several injuries in the area. The drone attack, we understand, has come from Iraq rather than Yemen. Um, but it's clearly having an impact on the oil markets. And Bloomberg's Patrick Sykes reports Iran has postponed a meeting with several Gulf nations that was planned for today on establishing a temporary shipping route through Hormuz.

沙特阿拉伯表示,这条管道于周四关闭,作为其所谓的预防措施,此前该地区发生了一系列袭击事件并造成多人受伤。据我们所知,无人机袭击来自伊拉克而非也门。嗯,但它显然对石油市场产生了影响。彭博社的帕特里克·赛克斯报道,伊朗推迟了原定于今天与几个海湾国家举行的会议,该会议旨在建立一条通过霍尔木兹海峡的临时航运路线。

Iran's foreign ministry says Saudi Arabia asked for the delay. In light of the latest attacks and checking crude prices Right now, Brent is up 3.2%, just shy of $108 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate at $103.26, a gain of 3.2%. Nathan. With the conflict driving up energy prices, President Trump is urging Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to hold off on attacking oil refineries in Russia. He has to stop knocking out diesel fuel in Russia.

伊朗外交部称,沙特阿拉伯要求推迟。鉴于最新袭击事件以及当前原油价格:布伦特原油上涨3.2%,略低于每桶108美元。西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)为103.26美元,上涨3.2%。内森,随着冲突推高能源价格,特朗普总统敦促乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基暂缓攻击俄罗斯的炼油厂。他必须停止破坏俄罗斯的柴油供应。

Let him go after targets but not diesel fuel because he's causing a shortage of diesel. President Trump said he's spoken with Zelensky about it, but it's unclear how Ukraine will respond. Russia has intensified missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian cities. And Ukraine has responded with strikes on Russian energy. Here in the U.S., diesel averages a record to $6.23 a gallon, according to triple AA. Okay. President Trump spent the weekend attending the Irish Open at his family's June big resort, and he made an announcement as he handed the winning trophy to Ireland's own Shane Lowry on behalf of the United States of America.

让他去打击目标,但不要打击柴油,因为他导致了柴油短缺。特朗普总统表示,他已经就此事与泽连斯基进行过交谈,但乌克兰将作何回应尚不清楚。俄罗斯加大对乌克兰城市的导弹和无人机袭击力度。乌克兰则以打击俄罗斯能源设施作为回应。在美国,根据AAA的数据,柴油平均价格创下每加仑6.23美元的历史新高。好的。特朗普总统周末参加了爱尔兰公开赛,地点在他家族的六月大度假村,他在代表美国向爱尔兰本土选手肖恩·洛瑞颁发冠军奖杯时宣布了一项消息。

I am going to take the terrors of the cheering drowned out the president as he said he'll remove 10% tariffs from Irish whiskey. Irish distillers had lobbied for the relief. Whiskey from Scotland, as well as Northern Ireland is not subject to 10% duties under the US, UK trade deal. The president received a red carpet welcome from Ireland during his two day trip, though it was not without controversy. On Saturday, he sparked a backlash from Northern Ireland when he said he supports a unified Ireland.

在总统宣布将取消对爱尔兰威士忌征收10%关税时,欢呼声淹没了他的言论。爱尔兰酿酒商曾为此游说以求减免。根据美英贸易协议,苏格兰以及北爱尔兰的威士忌在美国不受10%关税的约束。在为期两天的访问中,总统受到了爱尔兰的红地毯欢迎,尽管此行并非没有争议。周六,当他表示支持统一的爱尔兰时,引发了北爱尔兰方面的强烈反弹。

But later in the weekend he said he was just sharing his opinion. We turn to the markets now, Nathan and stocks are dropping around the world after leaders of the biggest artificial intelligence firms proposed slowing the technology's development. South Korea's Cosby dropped more than 3%. Right now Nasdaq futures, they're down 1.7%. Both anthropic and OpenAI are promising measures to rein in the pursuit of cutting edge AI models to better understand the risks posed by the technology.

但在周末稍后时候,他表示自己只是分享个人观点。现在让我们转向市场,内森。全球股市下跌,因为最大的人工智能公司领导人提议减缓该技术的发展。韩国科斯比指数(Cosby)跌幅超过3%。目前纳斯达克期货下跌1.7%。Anthropic和OpenAI均承诺采取措施遏制对尖端AI模型的追逐,以更好地理解该技术带来的风险。

The developments come after President Trump played down the need for further guardrails on Sunday. We are leading China and I will be a sophisticated country in the world. And frankly, I want to keep it that way because whoever wins, I wins. And, uh, we can put guardrails, we can do this and that. But I think you have a lot of negative forces that are bringing it up that, uh, shouldn't be bringing it up. And they're bringing up things that won't happen.

这些发展发生在特朗普总统周日淡化进一步设置护栏必要性的背景之下。我们领先于中国,我将成为一个精明的国家。坦率地说,我希望保持这种状态,因为无论谁赢,都是我的胜利。我们可以设置护栏,可以做这做那。但我认为有很多负面力量在推动此事,而这些力量本不该推动它。他们提出的事情是不会发生的。

But whoever wins with I wins. You know, it's an expression that I came up with himself. In June, President Trump signed an AI cybersecurity executive order, leaving companies to decide whether to have new models reviewed by the government. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries is backing stronger safeguards. We should take decisive action now so that we can slow down, as the CEOs have recently acknowledged, slow down the pace of development in order to protect the American people and ensure that I is proceeding safely.

但无论谁赢,都是我的胜利。你知道,这是我自己的一个表达。六月,特朗普总统签署了人工智能网络安全行政令,让企业自行决定是否让新模型接受政府审查。众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯支持加强保障措施。他说:“我们现在应采取果断行动,以便正如首席执行官们最近承认的那样,放慢发展步伐,以保护美国人民,并确保人工智能的安全推进。”

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries made the comments on ABC's This Week. Catch the program Sundays on Bloomberg Radio. Well, after I leaders dire warnings. Karen, China is hitting back. Uh, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman says countries should promote open, inclusive, universally beneficial and ethical AI development. He said, quote, fear mongering, confrontation and vicious competition will only disrupt the process of global AI governance and serve the interests of no one.

众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯是在ABC电视台的《This Week》节目中发表上述评论的。周日请在彭博广播收听该节目。在人工智能领导人发出严厉警告之后,凯伦,中国正在反击。中国外交部发言人表示,各国应促进开放、包容、普遍受益且合乎伦理的人工智能发展。他说:“制造恐慌、对抗和恶性竞争只会扰乱全球人工智能治理进程,无益于任何人。”

End quote. Well, the fight over AI safety. Nathan comes at a pivotal moment for anthropic as it prepares to tap public markets. The Financial Times reports the company expects to be profitable this quarter as it prepares for an initial public offering. Analysts expect it to match or exceed SpaceX's record $86 billion offering earlier this year. Sources tell Bloomberg the company chose the Nasdaq as its listing venue.

引用结束。好吧,关于人工智能安全之争。内森的出现正值Anthropic的关键时刻,该公司正准备进入公开市场。据《金融时报》报道,该公司预计本季度将实现盈利,为其首次公开募股做准备。分析师预计其规模将与或超过SpaceX今年早些时候创下的860亿美元IPO纪录。据彭博社消息人士称,该公司选择纳斯达克作为上市地点。

Certainly the economy. Now, Karen, all eyes are going to be on the fed this week. Chair Kevin Warsh is facing mounting pressure to hike interest rates to tame elevated inflation. That decision comes on Wednesday. We get more from Bloomberg's Michael McKee. Investors are betting the first fed rate increase since 2023 is on tap Wednesday. Last week's producer and consumer price index came in only a little higher than expected, but enough to show the central bank isn't making progress toward its 2% inflation goal.

当然还有经济问题。现在,凯伦,本周所有人的目光都将集中在美联储身上。主席凯文·沃什面临越来越大的压力,需要提高利率以遏制高企的通胀。该决定将于周三作出。我们请彭博社的迈克尔·基进一步报道。投资者押注自2023年以来的首次美联储加息将在周三进行。上周公布的生产和消费者价格指数略高于预期,但足以表明央行在向2%的通胀目标迈进方面未取得进展。

If policymakers follow through, the focus will turn to their October and December meetings. Historically, one move higher is a prelude to at least 2 or 3 more. We'll have a better idea after the meeting when they publish their economic forecasts and dot plot. Another reason to expect a move the Bank of Japan is considered likely to raise rates this week as well. Absent a fed increase, rate differentials might lead to some investors moving money from the US to Japanese securities.

如果政策制定者付诸行动,焦点将转向他们的十月和十二月会议。历史上看,一次加息往往是至少再加息两到三次的先兆。在会议结束后,随着他们公布经济预测和点阵图,我们将有更清晰的了解。另一个预期会有动作的原因是,日本银行也被认为可能在本周加息。如果没有美联储加息,利差可能会导致部分投资者将资金从美国转移到日本证券。

That's something the Treasury Department does not want to see. Michael McKee Bloomberg Radio. And that's news when you want it with Bloomberg News now. I'm Karen Moscow. I'm Nathan Hager and this is Bloomberg.

这是财政部不希望看到的情况。迈克尔·基,彭博电台。这就是你想要的新闻——彭博新闻。我是凯伦·莫斯科,我是内森·黑格,这是彭博社。

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