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美伊冲突升级推高油价,比特币跌破7.7万美元

Bitcoin Suffers On Renewed US-Iran Fighting

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美伊冲突引发油价飙升并直接冲击加密资产价格,同时改变市场对美联储利率路径的预期(从降息转向加息),属于典型的宏观事件驱动行情,建议关注地缘政治对风险资产的连锁反应。

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Suffers On Renewed US-Iran Fighting

Bitcoin’s price slid on Thursday after the price of oil shot over $105 a barrel thanks to renewed tensions in the Middle East.

The biggest and oldest cryptocurrency was recently trading for $77,208 after sliding as low as $76,748 — down more than 2% over the past day.

Its dip came after Iran signaled that it had no intention of backing down against U.S. forces. The two countries earlier this week stepped up attacks in some of the heaviest fighting since the war started in February.

Tehran-backed Houthis in Yemen this week hit Saudi Arabian assets, also pushing the price of oil up.

War in the Middle East pushes oil prices higher and makes the chances of interest rate cuts lower because of inflation. Bitcoin has typically performed well in a low interest rate environment and has experienced sell-offs when the Federal Reserve pivots to hawkishness.

The U.S. is currently in the grips of an affordability crisis and rising oil prices are a hot topic ahead of the midterm elections. U.S. President Donald Trump has reassured voters that prices will get under control.

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said at his first speech as leader of the central bank and said that inflation in the world’s largest economy had not come down enough.

Traders are now pricing in an interest rate hike next week when the bank meets.

Still, bitcoin had one of its best runs in August after the U.S. Treasury said it would at least double the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations, in response to surging borrowing costs.

The announcement hurt the dollar but non-yielding assets like bitcoin and gold have benefited.

Despite previously trading in line with risk-on assets like tech stocks, bitcoin has this year traded more in tandem with gold as the so-called debasement trade becomes hot again.

Investors have bought the largest cryptocurrency — along with the precious metal — to hedge against the dollar’s decline.

This post Bitcoin Suffers On Renewed US-Iran Fighting first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Mathew Di Salvo.

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