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英国拟制裁以色列定居点,油价逼近100美元

UK’s New Israel Sanctions, Oil Back Near $100, Europe’s Software Giant Gamble | Bloomberg...

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涵盖地缘政策落地(英制裁)、大宗商品关键价位(油近100)及重大企业融资事件,信息密度高且时效性强,适合宏观与跨资产交易者关注。

Bloomberg Audio Studios podcasts radio news. This is the Bloomberg Daybure podcast. Good morning. It's Tuesday the 8th of September. I'm Caroline Hepka in London

彭博音频工作室播客、广播新闻。这是《彭博每日报》播客。早上好,今天是9月8日星期二。我是位于伦敦的卡罗琳·赫普卡

and I'm Steven Carroll in Brussels. Coming up today, the UK prepares to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank, risking a clash with President Trump. Oil nears $100 a barrel as traders weigh renewed fighting and an Iran Oman shipping deal. Plus, a look inside Europe's biggest software giant as it fights to stay relevant in the AI era.

我是位于布鲁塞尔的史蒂文·卡罗尔。今天即将播出的内容:英国准备禁止与约旦河西岸的以色列定居点进行贸易,这可能导致与特朗普总统发生冲突。油价逼近每桶100美元,交易员们权衡着重新爆发的战斗以及伊朗-阿曼航运协议。此外,我们将深入探访欧洲最大的软件巨头,看它如何在人工智能时代努力保持相关性。

Let's start with a roundup of our top stories.

让我们从我们的头条新闻汇总开始。

The UK government is expected to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank today. Bloomberg first reported last month that Britain was drafting sanctions to increase pressure on Israel over new settlement homes. Foreign Secretary Ed Miband is expected to announce the measures in the coming hours. Speaking in parliament last week, he explained why he believes it's right to take action. Israeli settlements are illegal under international law.

预计英国政府今天将禁止与约旦河西岸的以色列定居点进行贸易。彭博社上月率先报道,英国正在起草制裁措施,以就新的定居点住房问题增加对以色列的压力。外交大臣埃德·米利班德预计将在未来几小时内宣布这些措施。他在上周的议会发言中解释了他为何认为采取行动是正确的。根据国际法,以色列定居点是非法的。

Last month, we saw the issuing of tenders for the E1 settlement, long regarded as the crossing of a red line because it cuts through the heart of the West Bank and risks making a Palestinian state unviable. This action was rightly condemned by a whole range of countries in the international community, including the United Kingdom. Over recent weeks, we've also seen appalling settler terrorism and Palestinians driven from their homes.

上个月,我们看到了E1定居点招标书的发布,该定居点长期以来被视为越过红线,因为它贯穿约旦河西岸的核心地带,并使巴勒斯坦国的可行性受到威胁。这一行动受到了国际社会包括英国在内的一大批国家的正当谴责。近几周来,我们还目睹了令人发指的定居者恐怖主义行为,以及巴勒斯坦人被迫离开家园的情况。

Mr. Speaker, this government will not acquies in the destruction of the two-state solution. We will act.

议长先生,本届政府不会默许两国方案的毁灭。我们将采取行动。

While many Labor MPs back the move by Milliband, UK officials are concerned about the response from Washington. They fear the announcement could provide an early setback for Prime Minister Andy Bernham's relationship with President Donald Trump. The two leaders spoke by phone yesterday and discussed a two-state solution for Israel and the Palestinian territories. Israel has warned that it will retaliate diplomatically with Foreign Minister Gideon Sar last week accusing the UK of trying to tip the scales against Netanyahu's hard-right coalition ahead of elections next month.

尽管许多工党议员支持米利班德的这一举措,但英国官员担心来自华盛顿的反应。他们担心这一宣布可能会给安迪·伯纳姆总理与唐纳德·特朗普总统的关系带来早期的挫折。两位领导人昨天通了电话,讨论了以色列和巴勒斯坦领土的两国方案。以色列警告称将进行外交报复,外交部长吉迪恩·萨尔上周指责英国试图在下个月选举前扭转天平,不利于内塔尼亚胡的极右翼联盟。

The price of oil is holding near $100 a barrel as renewed US Iran fighting threatens energy supplies. Brent has risen more than 30% since the war began and Goldman Sachs believes markets are increasingly pricing in a prolonged conflict. Iran says that a deal with Oman on a temporary safe shipping route through the straight of Hormuz is imminent. But Bloomberg Steven Sapchinsky who leads our energy team in Asia says it's unclear how that would be received.

随着美伊冲突再起威胁能源供应,油价维持在每桶100美元附近。自战争爆发以来,布伦特原油已上涨逾30%,高盛认为市场正日益计入长期冲突的风险。伊朗表示,其与阿曼就通过霍尔木兹海峡的临时安全航运路线达成的协议即将敲定。但彭博社亚洲能源团队负责人Steven Sapchinsky表示,该方案将如何被接受尚不明确。

If the US isn't involved, how do they respond? How does the White House respond? because they have been trying to gain more control over this waterway and they've been trying to push for it to return to pre-war levels whereas Oman and Iran have in the past hinted that they want to create some sort of tolling system within the strait and if they do that uh the United States is unlikely to accept it in fact not just the US oil majors as well.

如果美国不介入,他们该如何回应?白宫将作何反应?因为他们一直试图加强对这一水道的控制,并推动其恢复至战前水平;而此前阿曼和伊朗曾暗示希望在该海峡内建立某种收费体系。如果他们真这么做,美国不太可能接受,事实上不仅是美国石油巨头也会如此。

Steven Sapshinsky was speaking as the conflict is also complicating European efforts to rebuild gas inventories ahead of the winter. German storage is just over 54% full. That's the lowest for this time of year since records began in 2009.

Steven Sapshinsky发表上述言论之际,冲突也使欧洲在冬季前重建天然气库存的努力变得复杂。德国储气库填充率刚超过54%,这是自2009年有记录以来同期最低水平。

Andy Burnham says Labor must stop the politics of poison seeping into our streets after weekend anti-migrant protests in England. UK Prime Minister made the comments at a closed door Labor meeting after masked protesters blocked roads in Portsouth in the south of the country on Sunday. The standoff with police followed the arrival of a dinghy carrying 120 people. There were similar demonstrations in Dover the day before.

Andy Burnham表示,在英格兰周末发生反移民抗议活动后,工党必须阻止“仇恨政治”蔓延至街头。英国首相是在周日一场闭门工党会议后作出上述评论的,当时蒙面抗议者在英国南部的波茨茅斯封锁了道路。警方与抗议者的对峙发生在载有120人的小艇抵达之后。前一天在多佛也发生了类似的示威活动。

Labour MP Mike Tap wants Andy Burnham to call an emergency Cobra meeting. This is a crisis that we must solve. Illegal migration is absolutely unacceptable. We have to gain control of the borders and of course we've made progress on that. But by convening Cobra, all of the uh mechanisms of government can come behind this problem and we can do our best to solve it. Mike Tap was speaking as the UK's policing minister warned anti-O migrant demonstrators will face the full force of the law if peaceful protests cross into illegality.

工党议员Mike Tap呼吁Andy Burnham召开紧急Cobra会议。这是一个我们必须解决的危机。非法移民绝对不可接受。我们必须掌控边境,当然我们在这一点上已取得进展。但通过召集Cobra会议,政府的所有机制都能围绕这一问题协同行动,从而尽最大努力加以解决。Mike Tap发表上述言论时,英国警务部长警告称,若和平抗议演变为非法行为,反移民示威者将面临法律的严惩。

Canada has imposed tariffs of up to 50% on hundreds of American products from today. The measures cover goods including dairy, steel, and aluminium. Brendan Murray is Bloombeck's trades are

加拿大从今天起对数百种美国产品征收高达50%的关税。这些措施涵盖的商品包括乳制品、钢铁和铝。Brendan Murray是Bloombeck的贸易分析师

these are really going to hit US exporters pretty hard. And the idea here from from Ottawa is that this will put pressure on the Trump administration economically in the final couple of months here before the midterm elections.

这些举措将对美国出口商造成沉重打击。渥太华的意图是,在中期选举前的最后几个月里,这将对特朗普政府施加经济压力。

Bloomberg's Brendan Murray speaking there as President Trump threatened to ban sales of Canada's Bombardier jets in the US. Writing on social media, Trump said that more than half the company's revenues come from the United States. In response, Bombardier said that its aircraft create tens of thousands of jobs in the US. Mile AI has raised€3 billion euros from investors led by Samsung to fund the development of AI models and build infrastructure.

彭博社的布伦丹·默里(Brendan Murray)就此发表评论,当时特朗普总统威胁要禁止加拿大庞巴迪(Bombardier)飞机在美国销售。特朗普在社交媒体上写道,该公司超过一半的收入来自美国。作为回应,庞巴迪表示其飞机在美国创造了数万个就业岗位。Mile AI 已从由三星领投的投资者那里筹集了30亿欧元,用于资助人工智能模型的开发和基础设施建设。

The latest round gives the firm a valuation of more than€21 billion euros, nearly double what it was last year. Speaking to Bloomberg, CEO Arthur Manch says the money will be used to help the firm grow.

最新一轮融资使该公司的估值超过210亿欧元,几乎是去年的一倍。在接受彭博社采访时,首席执行官阿瑟·曼奇(Arthur Manch)表示,这笔资金将用于帮助公司增长。

Those three billion euros that we've just raised are going to be put at work to scale our training capacity to further deploy the infrastructure that we need to serve our enterprise customers to further invest uh in industrial artificial intelligence which is what we have been doing with SML and what we intend to be doing more and more in the semi-industry space and it's also a way for us to continue to scale our go to market globally.

我们刚刚筹集的30亿欧元将投入运营,以扩大我们的训练能力,进一步部署服务企业客户所需的基础设施,并进一步投资工业人工智能——这正是我们与 SML 合作所做的,也是我们打算在半导行业务领域越来越多地从事的工作。此外,这也是我们继续在全球范围内扩展市场的一种方式。

Mistral's Arthur Mench speaking there. Mistral is a fraction of the size of AI giants like OpenAI and Anthropic, but has been selling itself as a sovereign alternative for Europe, striking deals with firms including Airbus and BMW. Open AI's top scientist is warning that AI is advancing so quickly that humans may struggle to understand and control it. In a post on the company's website, Yakob Paoki said that AI labs may need to voluntarily slow development until shared safety standards are established.

这是 Mistral 的亚瑟·门奇(Arthur Mench)在发言。Mistral 的规模仅为 OpenAI 和 Anthropic 等人工智能巨头的零头,但一直将自己定位为欧洲的“主权”替代方案,并与空客(Airbus)和宝马(BMW)等公司达成了交易。OpenAI 的首席科学家警告称,人工智能发展如此迅速,人类可能难以理解和控制它。雅各布·帕奥基(Yakob Paoki)在公司网站上发帖称,在建立共享的安全标准之前,人工智能实验室可能需要自愿放缓开发速度。

Pyokei says that AI could soon improve itself without human intervention, declaring this is a time that calls for extreme caution. Open AAI has said that it wants to build a true automated AI researcher in less than two years. And this summer's dry weather in France is hitting wine production and in particular champagne. Bloomberg's parts reports. France is expected to produce almost 50% less champagne this year than last with vineyards hit by scorching temperatures and drought.

帕奥基表示,人工智能很快就能在没有人类干预的情况下自我改进,他宣称这是一个需要极度谨慎的时刻。OpenAI 曾表示,希望在不到两年的时间内构建真正自动化的 AI 研究人员。今年夏天法国干旱的天气正在影响葡萄酒生产,尤其是香槟的生产。彭博社的部分报道指出,由于葡萄园遭受酷热温度和干旱的影响,预计今年法国的香槟产量将比去年减少近50%。

And it's not just the bubbly. Overall, French wine production is forecast to fall by 6% with the national harvest set to be one of the smallest in 30 years. Extreme weather's been hitting vineyards for several years now, adding pressure on an industry already struggling with weaker demand and falling exports. For French wine makers, there's not much to toast right now. In London, I'm Yuan Pots, Bloomberg Radio.

而且不只是香槟。总体而言,法国葡萄酒产量预计将下降6%,全国收成将是过去30年来最小的一次之一。极端天气近年来一直冲击葡萄园,给一个已经因需求疲软和出口下滑而挣扎的行业增添了压力。对于法国酿酒商来说,目前没什么值得庆祝的。在伦敦,我是彭博电台的袁波(Yuan Pots)。

So, those are our top stories for you today. Let's look at the markets. The US is back after the Labor Day holiday. So, it does feel like this really is the start of uh autumn. Asian equities this morning seeing gains. MEI Asia-Pacific index actually lower sorry a tenth of 1% right now the Cosby though is seeing those gains up by 1.1% uh with Samsung electronics and SK highix being the uh biggest drivers there. Oil prices have spiked again up 7/10en of 1% for brain futures $97.72.

好了,以上就是今天为您带来的头条新闻。让我们看看市场。美国在劳动节假期后重新开盘。所以,这确实让人感觉秋天真的开始了。亚洲股市今早出现上涨。MEI亚太指数实际上略低,抱歉,目前下跌了千分之一,但Cosby指数则录得涨幅,上涨了1.1%,其中三星电子和SK海力士是主要的推动因素。油价再次飙升,布伦特原油期货上涨千分之七至97.72美元。

We've also seen big standout moves for the yen uh extending a rally. Uh so we saw uh it appreciating by 1.2% 2% on Monday and the Japanese yen this morning up another 6/10en of 1%. NASDAQ stock futures up by half of 1%. US stocks 50 futures though down this morning a tenth of 1%. And then let's check in on U

我们还看到日元出现了显著的异动,延续了一轮涨势。我们看到它在周一升值了1.2%至2%,今早日元又上涨了千分之六。纳斯达克股票期货上涨0.5%。不过,标普500股指期货今早下跌千分之一。然后让我们来看看U

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