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希音港股首日跌10%估值较峰值降70%,美债收益率创2008年以来新高

Shein's Unfashionable IPO, Bond Yields Hit 2008 Highs, Lionel Messi Retires | Bloomberg...

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希音作为重磅IPO标的首日表现直接反映市场对跨境零售估值的重新定价;美债与日债收益率突破关键点位是宏观流动性的重要信号,建议关注相关资产波动。

[music] Bloomberg Audio Studios podcasts radio news. This is the Bloomberg Daybreak Europe podcast. Good morning. It's Tuesday the 1st of September. I'm Steven Carroll in London. Coming up today, shares [music] in Shien tumble on their first days trading in Hong Kong, a sign of the fast fashion giants fall from grace. Global bond yields return to highs not seen since 2008 as markets fret over higher inflation and bigger deficits.

[音乐] 彭博音频工作室播客、广播新闻。这是《彭博欧洲早间》播客。早上好,今天是9月1日星期二。我是史蒂文·卡罗尔,在伦敦为您报道。今天即将带来:希音(Shein)股票在香港上市首日暴跌[音乐],这位快时尚巨头的失势迹象初现。全球债券收益率回升至2008年以来未见的高位,市场担忧通胀走高及赤字扩大。

Plus, hanging up the golden boots, Lionel Messi announces his retirement from international football after more than two decades. Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. Shares in Shien, one of the world's largest fashion retailers, are plunging on their first day of trading. The stock has fallen by as much as 10% from its IPO price at its debut with investors questioning its value in a world of trade tensions.

此外,里奥内尔·梅西在效力国家队二十多年后宣布从国际足坛退役,正式挂靴。让我们先从头条新闻综述开始。作为全球最大的时装零售商之一,希音(Shein)的股票在其上市首日大幅下挫。该股较其首次公开募股(IPO)发行价最高下跌了10%,投资者对其在全球贸易紧张局势下的价值提出质疑。

Bloomberg's Asia equities reporter Winnie Sue is at the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

彭博社亚洲股票记者温妮·苏(Winnie Sue)位于香港证券交易所。

The IPO raised $1.7 billion, taking its valuation to about $26 billion. And that is just a fraction and in fact 70% lower than what it used to back in 2022, which was at about a hundred billion dollars. And this is coming as the company faces lots of challenges whether it's the impact from US tariffs some of the regulatory changes in the US in Europe and also questions about the sustainability of the business. Now Sue says that if the stock were to close near its session low it would be the worst debut for a Hong Kong listing of its size in more than six years.

此次IPO筹集了17亿美元,使其估值达到约260亿美元。而这仅仅是其2022年估值的一小部分,事实上比当时约1000亿美元的估值低了70%。目前该公司面临诸多挑战,包括美国关税的影响、美国和欧洲的某些监管变化,以及对其业务可持续性的质疑。据苏表示,如果该股票以接近日内低点的价格收盘,这将是六年来香港上市规模同类公司中最糟糕的首日表现。

We have seen Sheen shares bounce off that low but still lower on the day. She was once talked up as a major prospect for London's stock market, but its attempts to list here and in New York ran into regulatory and political hurdles. Global bond yields are continuing to climb as investors fear higher inflation ahead of a series of key central bank meetings this month. In the US, the 30-year Treasury is on its worst stretch since 2006.

我们看到希音(Shein)的股票已从该低点反弹,但当日仍收跌。希音曾被视为伦敦股市的重要潜力股,但其在此地及纽约上市的尝试遭遇了监管和政治障碍。随着投资者担心本月一系列关键央行会议前通胀将走高,全球债券收益率持续攀升。在美国,30年期国债正处于自2006年以来最糟糕的时期。

Bloomberg data shows the 30-year yield has settled above 5% on 55 days since the start of this year. US Treasury Secretary Scott Besson told CNBC that he and Fed Chair Kevin Worsh agree on the outlook for US debt.

彭博数据显示,自今年年初以来,30年期美债收益率已有55天稳定在5%以上。美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特(Scott Bessent)告诉CNBC,他与美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)对美国债务前景看法一致。

Of course, we're on the same page that does that mean the Well, uh we we we both believe that that the the US bond market is the most resilient in the world. And let's let's just level set here for a minute, Sarah. You know, every everyone's talking about the US bond market. US bond market the this month will have been the best performing bond market. the the 30-year the yield is down. Uh the 10 year the yield is flat.

当然,我们看法一致。那么,呃,我们都认为美国债券市场是全球最具韧性的。让我们在此稍作基准对比,莎拉。你知道,大家都在谈论美国债券市场。本月美国债券市场将成为表现最佳的债券市场。30年期收益率下降。10年期收益率持平。

No other major bond market can say that.

没有其他主要债券市场能这样说。

Scott Bess was speaking to CNBC at the G20 gathering of finance ministers in North Carolina. Worries over inflation, elevated government spending, and AI debt are pushing investors in the US, Britain, and Japan to seek more compensation for debt. In Japan, the 10-year yield touched 3% for the first time in 30 years as investors ramp up bets the BOJ will raise interest rates again soon, potentially this month or next.

斯科特·贝森特在北卡罗来纳州举行的G20财长会议上接受CNBC采访。对通胀、政府支出高企以及AI相关债务的担忧,正推动美国、英国和日本的投资者要求更高的债务补偿。在日本,10年期收益率首次触及3%,创下30年来新高,因为投资者加大押注,认为日本央行(BOJ)将很快再次加息,可能就在本月或下月。

Also comes after Scott Bessant reportedly told Japan's finance minister and central bank governor that the country should raise interest rates and communicate its path towards more sustainable finances. That's according to the Japanese broadcaster NHK, which cites an interview with the US Treasury with a US Treasury official. The comments are likely to fuel further expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise rates at this month's meeting.

此前据报道,斯科特·贝森特告知日本财务大臣和日本央行行长,该国应提高利率并沟通其走向更可持续财政的路径。据引用美国财政部官员采访的日本广播协会(NHK)报道,这些言论可能会进一步推高市场预期,认为日本央行将在本月会议上加息。

US President Donald Trump has dismissed concerns that the Iran war was draining America's firepower as both sides restart hostilities. The US President says he intends the conflict to be a limited war and denied that it has burned through US munitions.

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普驳斥了有关伊朗战争正在消耗美国火力的担忧,因为双方重新恢复了敌对行动。美国总统表示,他打算将这场冲突限制为局部战争,并否认其已耗尽美国的弹药储备。

This is a relatively little war for us. This is not a big war. You know where the money went was Ukraine. Uh the money was really taken out the ammunition. If you talk about low, we have tremendous amounts, unlimited amounts of mid-grade and older stuff that's also very powerful.

这对我们来说是一场相对较小的战争,不是大规模战争。你知道钱花哪儿了吗?是乌克兰。资金确实被用于弹药。如果你谈论库存,我们拥有大量、无限的中级和老旧装备,它们同样非常强大。

Trump's comments come as the two sides exchanged strikes for the first time in about a month. US Army Army Secretary Dan Driscoll became the latest senior military figure to step down during the conflict. His departure leaves the army with no Senate confirmed leadership. NATO and European Union countries are pressuring Spain and Greece to give Ukraine Patriot interceptor missiles. The news comes as Keev says it's struggling to repels Russia's mounting air strikes.

特朗普发表上述言论之际,双方约一个月来首次相互发动打击。美国陆军部长丹·德里斯科爾成为在冲突期间辞职的最新高级军事人物。他的离职导致陆军缺乏经参议院确认的领导层。北约和欧盟国家正施压西班牙和希腊向乌克兰提供爱国者拦截导弹。此时基辅表示正难以抵御俄罗斯日益增多的空袭。

Bloomberg understands the requests were made over the summer and could include the possibility that Norway could buy the missiles before donating them to Ukraine. According to an EU official, the issue will be on the agenda this week when EU defense and foreign ministers meet in Dublin. And after more than two decades playing for Argentina's national team, football edged, Lionel Messi is hanging up his international boots.

彭博社获悉,这些请求是在夏季提出的,可能包括挪威在购买导弹后将其捐赠给乌克兰的可能性。据一位欧盟官员称,本周欧盟国防部长和外交部长在都柏林会晤时,该议题将列入议程。在为阿根廷国家队效力二十多年后,足球巨星里奥·梅西宣布退出国际赛场。

Bloomberg's Tu Adabio has more. Just over a month ago, a 39year-old Lionel Messi led his country to the World Cup final, narrowly losing to Spain in extra time. He did so as one of the most decorated players in international history, scoring 121 goals and recording 66 assists for Argentina whilst winning six titles. Over the weekend, Messi called time on his career with the national team, concluding a summer which saw him become the oldest outfield player ever to start a World Cup final.

彭博社的 Tu Adabio 带来更多信息。就在一个多月前,39岁的里奥·梅西率领他的国家闯入世界杯决赛,在加时赛中惜败于西班牙。他是以国际历史上荣誉最多的球员之一身份做到这一点的,他为阿根廷队打入121球并贡献66次助攻,同时赢得了六个冠军头衔。本周末,梅西宣布结束他在国家队的职业生涯,这个夏天他成为了有史以来最年长的在世界杯决赛中首发的外场球员。

In a handwritten letter posted on social media, the forward said that the decision hurts a lot, but said that he has nothing left to give. The news comes after his father and longtime business manager passed away earlier this month. Messi said at the time he didn't know how to go on. Messi will continue to play club football for Major League Soccers into Miami. In London, Tiwa Adio, Bloomberg Radio.

这位前锋在社交媒体上发布了一封手写信,表示这个决定让他非常痛苦,但他认为自己已无更多付出。此前,他的父亲兼长期商业经理在本月早些时候去世。梅西当时表示,他不知道该如何继续前行。梅西将继续在美国职业足球大联盟(Major League Soccer)的迈阿密俱乐部踢球。这里是彭博广播的 Tiwa Adio,报道。

And those are your top stories on the markets this morning. We're watching the 10-year Treasury yield up another three basis points at 4.78%. Japan's 10-year yield after brushing 3% for the first time since 1996 currently just below that level, but up six basis points on the day after the auction today came in largely with demand in line with the one-year average. But that pressure on global bonds continues. The Bloomberg dollar spot index is a touch stronger this morning.

以上就是今早市场的主要新闻。我们关注到10年期国债收益率又上升了三个基点,达到4.78%。日本10年期收益率自1996年以来首次触及3%,目前略低于该水平,但在今天的拍卖中需求基本符合一年平均水平,日涨幅为六个基点。然而,全球债券市场的压力仍在持续。彭博美元现货指数今早略有走强。

Brent crude oil up another 1.2% at $9154. Euro stocks 50 futures are down by 2/10en of 1% this morning. In a moment, we'll bring you more on Shien's first day on the stock market, plus the latest on the Iran war. But I just wanted to mention another story that I've been reading this morning on the need for cluster cities. This is where a place becomes synonymous for an industry. Think of the city of London for finance, maybe Paris for luxury goods, or even Dublin for the tech industry.

布伦特原油上涨1.2%,至每桶91.54美元。欧洲斯托克50期货今早下跌0.2%。稍后我们将为您带来更多关于希音(Shein)股市首日的报道,以及伊朗局势的最新消息。但我只想提一下我今早读到的一篇关于“产业集群城市”必要性的文章。所谓产业集群城市,是指某个地方与某一行业紧密相连。例如伦敦之于金融业,巴黎之于奢侈品,甚至都柏林之于科技行业。

Bloomberg opinion columnist Allison Shger has been writing about this in the context of the United States and the challenge that challenges that Los Angeles's film industry faces with more production being lowered elsewhere by tax incentives or lower costs. Allison talks about success for these kind of cities didn't necessarily require living there, but it did make it more likely which draws more people there and thus more companies set up there and it creates an ecosystem that can sustain itself and provide further success in a particular industry.

彭博社(Bloomberg)意见专栏作家艾莉森·谢格(Allison Shger)一直在美国背景下探讨这一问题,即洛杉矶的电影产业正面临挑战,因为更多制作因税收优惠或更低成本而转移至其他地区。艾莉森指出,这类城市的成功并不一定要求人们居住在那里,但居住其中确实提高了成功的可能性,从而吸引更多人前往,进而促使更多公司在此设立,形成一个能够自我维持并为特定行业提供进一步成功的生态系统。

But she points to the central lesson from economics that behavior on the margins is often revealing about what's happening in a in an economy. There's still value to living in a cluster city, but if costs rise and the benefits diminish, that calculation can change and we know the pandemic and the rise of remote work has meant that for many industries as well. Now, Allison says this is a big risk to innovation in the US, but it's an interesting thing to think about in a European context as well. populations might be, if we think about the continent as a whole, less mobile across borders due to language and cultural difficu

但她指出,经济学中的一个核心教训是:边际行为往往能揭示经济中正在发生的事情。居住在集群城市仍有价值,但如果成本上升且收益减少,这种权衡可能会发生变化,我们也知道疫情和远程工作的兴起对许多行业也是如此。现在,艾莉森表示这对美国的创新构成重大风险,但在欧洲背景下也值得思考。如果我们把整个大陆作为一个整体来看,由于语言和文化障碍,人口在跨境流动方面可能较为不活跃。

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