美加贸易战升级：特朗普欲吞并加拿大？
US-Canada Trade War: Is This Trump’s Bid to Take Over Canada?
On Saturday, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said that Canada was at war with the United States over trade. His comments came after trade talks between the two neighboring countries broke down dramatically last week, triggering new 50% US tariffs on various Canadian goods, which Carney vowed to match dollar for dollar. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump claimed in a truth social post that Canada wants the benefits of being a US state without being one, adding no more.
周六，加拿大总理马克·卡尼表示，加拿大正与美国处于贸易战状态。他的言论是在上周两国邻国之间的贸易谈判戏剧性破裂后发表的，这引发了美国对多种加拿大商品征收新的50%关税，卡尼誓言将以同等金额进行报复。与此同时，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在Truth Social上发帖声称，加拿大想要美国州的好处却不愿成为其中一员，并补充说没有更多内容。
So, in this video, we're going to explain the latest trade war escalation and how they might relate to Trump's stated desire to annex Canada. Trump has always loved criticizing China, but between his first and second presidency, we'd argue he's lost his advantage. You can read how we think Beijing turned the tables on Trump in the latest issue of our magazine, Too Long. That's just one of the articles in our longest issue ever.
所以，在本视频中，我们将解释最新的贸易战升级，以及它们如何可能与特朗普所表达的吞并加拿大的愿望相关。特朗普一直喜欢批评中国，但在他第一任和第二任总统之间，我们认为他已经失去了优势。你可以在我们最新一期杂志《太长》中阅读我们如何看待北京扭转对特朗普局面的分析。这只是我们史上最长一期中的一篇文章。
Subscribe to get your copy by clicking the link in the description. It's first worth explaining a bit of background on the US Canada trade relationship and the tariff saga that has defined Trump's second term. The Canadian and US economies are deeply linked with supply chain integration, crossber energy flows, and massive bilateral trade. The US is Canada's largest trade partner, while Canada is the US's second largest behind Mexico.
通过点击描述中的链接订阅以获取你的副本。首先值得解释一下美加贸易关系的一些背景，以及定义特朗普第二任期的关税风波。加拿大和美国的经济深度融合，供应链一体化、跨境能源流动和庞大的双边贸易。美国是加拿大最大的贸易伙伴，而加拿大是美国仅次于墨西哥的第二大贸易伙伴。
Trade between Canada, the US, and Mexico had been largely tariff-free for decades thanks to the North American Free Trade Agreement, or NAFTA. During his first term, Trump pushed for NAFTA to be renegotiated, resulting in an updated pact signed in 2019, known as the United States, Mexico Canada agreement, or USMCA. Trump's return to office in early 2025, however, changed things. We won't detail the full year and a half tale as there were countless pronouncements, changes, fluctuations, U-turns, and more.
由于北美自由贸易协定（NAFTA），加拿大、美国和墨西哥之间的贸易几十年来基本免关税。在特朗普的第一任期内，他推动重新谈判NAFTA，最终在2019年签署了更新后的协议，称为《美国-墨西哥-加拿大协定》（USMCA）。然而，特朗普在2025年初重返白宫改变了局面。我们不会详细讲述这一年半的故事，因为其中有无数声明、变化、波动、急转弯等等。
But broadly speaking, Trump quickly announced sweeping tariffs on Canada. And while he soon exempted goods covered by the US MCA from the tariffs, Canada was also hit by global sector specific tariffs on things like steel and aluminium, copper, and certain automobile parts. The Canadian government, initially under Justin Trudeau, then Mark Carney since March 2025, has imposed its own range of retaliatory tariffs. In the year and a half since this all kicked off, US Canada trade talks have whiplashed between moments of progress and deterioration, and Trump has had to rework the legal basis of his tariffs due to the Supreme Court ruling against him earlier this year.
但大体而言，特朗普迅速宣布对加拿大征收全面关税。尽管他很快豁免了《美墨加协定》涵盖的商品，但加拿大仍受到了针对钢铁、铝、铜及某些汽车零部件等行业的全球性关税打击。加拿大政府——最初由贾斯廷·特鲁多领导，自2025年3月起由马克·卡尼接任——也实施了一系列报复性关税。自这一切开始以来的一年半里，美加贸易谈判在进展与恶化之间反复摇摆，而特朗普因今年早些时候最高法院的裁决对其不利，不得不重新调整其关税的法律依据。
Meanwhile, the Trump administration refused to renew the US MCA for a further 16 years, instead shifting it to an annual review process. Then last month in July, Trump announced he would impose 50% tariffs on some 20 billion worth of Canadian goods with no USMCA exemption, ranging from cement to wine to hockey sticks. He accused Canada of unfairly discriminating against US goods, including cars, alcohol, and dairy. He complained of a 22% drop in Canadian imp
与此同时，特朗普政府拒绝将《美墨加协定》再延长16年，而是改为年度审查程序。随后在上个月（7月），特朗普宣布将对价值约200亿美元的加拿大商品征收50%的关税，且不设《美墨加协定》豁免，范围涵盖水泥、葡萄酒到曲棍球棒等。他指责加拿大不公平地歧视美国商品，包括汽车、酒精和乳制品。他抱怨加拿大进口下降了22%。
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