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特朗普对伊朗强硬,霍尔木兹海峡控制权悬而未决

Trump Takes Hard Line on Iran With Control of Hormuz in Limbo

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We have a blockade, we control over the blockade. And, uh, I like the idea of declaring it a territory. So where do we go from here? Let's speak now to Bloomberg's Abby Umar in Dubai. Abby, the truce has expired between the U.S. and Iran. Both sides are talking about control of the street. Where do we go next? And that's us. Good morning. Lizzie. Will that truce that was reached in June, back in Switzerland to end the fighting for 60 days was essentially rendered meaningless by Iran.

我们已实施封锁,并掌控着封锁局面。而且,嗯,我喜欢将其宣布为领土的想法。那么接下来我们该何去何从?现在让我们连线彭博社驻迪拜的艾比·奥马尔。艾比,美国与伊朗之间的停火协议已经到期。双方都在谈论对街道的控制权。接下来会发生什么?这就是我们。早上好,莉齐。六月在瑞士达成的旨在结束为期60天战斗的停火协议,实际上已被伊朗方面视为一纸空文。

President Trump also saying that he will not plan on extending it. But essentially so many violations have occurred over the past 60 days or so that, again, from the perspective of Iranian officials, that it will you really means nothing. They have not discussed any of the concessions that were that were part of that ceasefire agreement, namely that nuclear component. That is still pretty much President Trump's main goal in all of this.

特朗普总统也表示,他不打算延长该协议。但基本上,过去大约60天里发生了太多违规行为,因此,从伊朗官员的角度来看,该协议确实毫无意义。他们未曾讨论过停火协议中包含的任何让步,即核问题部分。这仍然是特朗普总统在此事中的主要目标。

But then the side conversations that are happening are between Iran. And, I mean, we've been reporting on those, of course, for the good part of the past two weeks. And we've been saying that, according to both sides, those negotiations to find a mechanism to find a pathway in the Strait of Hormuz to get a trickle of oil, really are in the final stages. The last we know is that those continue to be in the final stages.

但正在进行的附带对话是在伊朗之间进行的。而且,我的意思是,我们在过去两周的大部分时间里一直在报道这些对话。我们一直表示,根据双方的说法,旨在寻找霍尔木兹海峡通道机制、让少量石油得以流通的谈判确实处于最后阶段。我们最后了解到的情况是,这些谈判仍处于最后阶段。

But perhaps what oil markets are reacting to where some of the hostilities, Lizzie, that we've been seeing in the early hours of the morning, the UK Navy did report that an unidentified projectile had hit a vessel, that a casualty had occurred there. And just moments ago, our energy team's reporting that a fuel tanker trying to enter the Persian Gulf has made an erratic series of turns and finally stopped next to the island in Iran, really showing that Iran is still very much trying to assert dominance over the Strait of Hormuz.

但或许石油市场所反应的,是莉齐,我们今天凌晨看到的一些敌对行动。英国海军确实报告称,一个不明飞行物击中了一艘船只,并造成了人员伤亡。就在刚才,我们的能源团队报道称,一艘试图进入波斯湾的燃料油轮进行了一系列不规则的转向,最终停在了伊朗岛屿附近,这确实表明伊朗仍在极力试图在霍尔木兹海峡确立其主导地位。

Meanwhile, of course, the United States maintains its naval blockade in the street. And so you've got a situation where oil is not moving. Still, according to that, to the United States, some oil barrels are moving from their side, but nowhere near where it was pre-war. So you've got that situation in the Strait of Hormuz, and of course, a lot of parallel fighting that is happening in the wider Middle East. That includes in Saudi Arabia, the Red sea, Gaza, Hamas that is flaring up yet again.

与此同时,美国当然维持着其在海峡的海上封锁。因此,你看到的情况是石油无法流动。尽管如此,根据美国的说法,一些石油桶正从他们那边流出,但远未达到战前水平。所以,你在霍尔木兹海峡看到了这种情况,当然,在更广泛的中东地区也发生了许多平行的战斗,包括沙特阿拉伯、红海、加沙,哈马斯再次爆发冲突。

Let's turn to Gaza now, because also, President Trump's son in law, UN peace envoy Jared Kushner, has been meeting with Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, as well as Hamas leaders. So so what other progress are we seeing when it comes to acceleration towards a Gaza cease fire? Is that possibility of meaningful progress at all? Yeah, that's a good question, Lizzie. And we've been talking a lot to a lot of analysts when it comes to this.

现在让我们转向加沙,因为特朗普总统的女婿、联合国和平特使贾里德·库什纳,一直在与以色列总理内塔尼亚胡以及哈马斯领导人会面。那么,在加速实现加沙停火方面,我们看到了哪些其他进展?是否有可能取得实质性进展?是的,这是个好问题,莉齐。我们一直在与许多分析人士就此进行大量讨论。

So what we know is that Jared Kushner had met with Hamas leaders in Egypt before going to Israel and meeting with Netanyahu. Look, it's a situation of who blinks first at the at the moment. So Israel refuses to leave Gaza before Hamas disarms. And then you've got the Hamas situation where Hamas says that it won't disarm before Israeli troops withdraw. So it's really a situation of waiting and seeing what exactly will happen there.

我们所知道的是,贾里德·库什纳在前往以色列与内塔尼亚胡会面之前,已在埃及会见了哈马斯领导人。看,目前的情况是谁先眨眼的问题。以色列拒绝在哈马斯解除武装之前离开加沙。而哈马斯方面则表示,在以色列军队撤出之前不会解除武装。所以这确实是一个等待和观望的情况,看那里究竟会发生什么。

But just bear in mind that this is all happening at a time where elections in Israel are looming, and a lot of this conversation will be happening ahead of that election, where the destiny of Prime Minister Netanyahu will be determined. And so we're waiting to see if there is any progress on that wider Board of Peace plan that President Trump had touted yesterday. He was saying in to Fox News that he will endorse someone in the Israeli election.

但请记住,这一切都发生在以色列选举临近之际,很多对话将在选举前进行,届时内塔尼亚胡总理的命运将得到决定。因此,我们正在等待看特朗普总统昨天吹捧的更广泛的和平计划是否会有任何进展。他对福克斯新闻表示,他将在以色列选举中支持某人。

So a lot of clarity about what exactly that mean. And if he will indeed endorse Prime Minister Netanyahu. We've reported multiple times over the past six weeks that within the wider parameters of the war with Iran, of which, of course, Israel had taken part in the initial strikes, there were some tensions in that relationship between the United States and Israel, between President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu. So a lot of factors to the broader puzzle.

所以关于这究竟意味着什么,以及他是否真的会支持内塔尼亚胡总理,还有很多不确定性。我们在过去六周内多次报道,在与伊朗战争的更广泛框架内——当然,以色列参与了最初的打击——美以关系、特朗普总统与内塔尼亚胡总理之间出现了一些紧张。所以,这个更大的谜题涉及很多因素。

If you were here. Another wait and see situation in the wider conflict in the Middle East.

如果你在这里,中东更广泛冲突中又是一个等待和观望的局面。

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