Google发布Gemini Decision 1
[AINews] D-Day (Decision Models Day)
Gemini Decision 1是首个量产级专用决策模型,直接冲击现有Agent工具调用范式;Fable 5.2则刷新了Agent性能标杆,两者均对从业者有重大参考价值。
Today was the “System One day” of the second annual AIE CODE event, and somehow everything aligned:
今天是第二届年度 AIE CODE 活动的“System One 日”,不知为何一切恰好契合:
- Cloudflare’s Michelle Chen walked through their Clef and Clairic models
- Richard covered Diogo’s triumphant return to AIE talking about the Jevolution with their most notable production customers since crossing $100M ARR
- In a BIG surprise, Google beat Anthropic to launching a production decision model, with Sundar and Logan announcing Gemini Decision 1, a calibrated multimodal decision model capable of taking up to 1000 questions and costing $0.10 per million input with ~200ms e2e latency.
- Cloudflare 的 Michelle Chen 介绍了他们的 Clef 和 Clairic 模型
- Richard 讲述了 Diogo 在跨越 1 亿美元 ARR 后凯旋回归 AIE,并探讨了他们与最知名的生产客户之间的 Jevolution
- 令人惊讶的是,Google 抢先 Anthropic 推出了生产级决策模型,Sundar 和 Logan 发布了 Gemini Decision 1,这是一个经过校准的多模态决策模型,最多可处理 1000 个问题,每百万输入成本为 0.10 美元,端到端延迟约为 200 毫秒。
Benchmarks are good (usual caveat about benchmarks):
基准测试结果不错(关于基准测试的老生常谈):
And you can hear all this and more on today’s System One track.
你可以在今天的 System One 轨道上听到所有这些内容以及更多内容。
And support AINews by giving your agent SerpApi to read and crawl the web!
通过让你的代理 SerpApi 阅读和爬取网页来支持 AINews!
Sponsored by SerpApi
由 SerpApi 赞助
Give Your AI Agents the Full Page, Not Just the Link
给你的 AI 代理完整的页面,而不仅仅是链接
Retrieve public web pages by URL as clean Markdown, structured JSON, or raw HTML with SerpApi’s Extract API. Extract a single page, map a site’s URLs, or run a bounded same-site crawl. Simply set engine=extract with a URL, and add output=md for Markdown. Pair it with 100+ SerpApi search APIs to go from query to page content with one provider.
通过 SerpApi 的 Extract API,以干净的 Markdown、结构化 JSON 或原始 HTML 形式按 URL 检索公共网页。提取单个页面、映射网站的 URL 或运行有界同站爬取。只需设置 engine=extract 并附带 URL,然后添加 output=md 即可获取 Markdown。将其与 100 多个 SerpApi 搜索 API 配合使用,通过一个提供商即可从查询到页面内容。
Thanks to SerpApi for working with [email protected]!
感谢 SerpApi 与 [email protected] 合作!
AI Twitter Recap
AI Twitter 回顾
Google Launches Gemini Decision 1 for Single-Pass Classification
Google 推出用于单次传递分类的 Gemini Decision 1
- Gemini Decisions API: Google introduced a new API backed by Gemini Decision 1. The model handles closed-set decisions, so it scores choices in a single pass instead of generating text token by token (Sundar Pichai, Logan Kilpatrick, Google).
- Specs: It supports yes/no, multiple-choice and rubric scoring, with up to 255 multiple-choice options. It accepts text, image, audio, video and PDF inputs, handles up to 1,000 questions per request, has 256K context, returns answers in 150–250 ms end to end, and attaches a confidence score to every answer (@_philschmid).
- Pricing: $0.10 per 1M input tokens, with $0 billed for output. Google says that is about 5x cheaper than Flash-Lite (Sundar).
- Origin: The project started as an internal Google DeepMind prototype. A small team shipped the model and API about six weeks later (@_philschmid).
- Google's comparison with TypeSafe's Jev: Google's own tests show Decision 1 beating Jev 1.14 on 5 of 7 shared benchmarks, including 92.2% vs 90.0% on JevBench. Jev costs $0.042 per 1M input tokens (@kimmonismus).
- Artificial Analysis evaluation: Independent results are more mixed (Artificial Analysis).
- Overall score: Decision 1 scores 66 on the Decision Index. That ties Elephant 9B and Jev 1.14, and sits 7 points behind Drex Max v1.1 and GLiDE v1.2.
- Strengths and weaknesses: It leads AA-Omniscience-Decision (66) and HLE-MultiChoice (49). On AA-Paperclip, it answers every question correctly on only 33% of documents, versus 63% for Drex Max.
- Cost and latency: It costs $345 per 1M tasks, versus $103 for Drex Max and $156 for Jev. Its Brier score is 0.18. Average time per task is 211 ms, slower than Jev at 92 ms (latency).
- Early adopters: Stitch built a rapid-design experiment on the API that goes from a rough prompt to a multi-screen product flow in about 5 seconds (Stitch). LangChain shipped day-zero support with a base class shared with TypeSafe classifiers (LangChain).
- Architecture pattern: At AI Engineer, Cloudflare described a hybrid agent design. Fast decision models handle tool selection and log extraction, and a large reasoning model handles diagnosis only. In its demo, this cut six LLM calls to one and about 40K tokens to 1.8K (TheTuringPost).
- Gemini Decisions API:Google 推出了基于 Gemini Decision 1 的新 API。该模型处理闭集决策,因此它一次性对选项进行评分,而不是逐个生成文本 token(Sundar Pichai, Logan Kilpatrick, Google)。
- 规格:支持是/否、多项选择和量规评分,最多支持 255 个多项选择选项。接受文本、图像、音频、视频和 PDF 输入,每次请求最多处理 1,000 个问题,拥有 256K 上下文,端到端返回答案时间为 150–250 毫秒,并为每个答案附加置信度分数 (@_philschmid)。
- 定价:每 1M 输入 token 0.10 美元,输出费用为 0 美元。Google 表示这比 Flash-Lite 便宜约 5 倍(Sundar)。
- 起源:该项目最初是 Google DeepMind 的内部原型。一个小团队在大约六周后交付了模型和 API (@_philschmid)。
- Google 与 TypeSafe 的 Jev 的比较:Google 自己的测试显示,Decision 1 在共享的 7 个基准中的 5 个上击败了 Jev 1.14,包括在 JevBench 上达到 92.2% vs 90.0%。Jev 的成本为每 1M 输入 token 0.042 美元 (@kimmonismus)。
- Artificial Analysis 评估:独立结果更为复杂(Artificial Analysis)。
- 综合评分:Decision 1 在决策指数上得分为 66。这与 Elephant 9B 和 Jev 1.14 持平,落后于 Drex Max v1.1 和 GLiDE v1.2 7 分。
- 优势与劣势:它在 AA-Omniscience-Decision(66)和 HLE-MultiChoice(49)上领先。在 AA-Paperclip 上,它仅在 33% 的文档中正确回答所有问题,而 Drex Max 为 63%。
- 成本与延迟:每百万任务成本为 345 美元,而 Drex Max 为 103 美元,Jev 为 156 美元。其 Brier 分数为 0.18。每个任务的平均时间为 211 毫秒,比 Jev 的 92 毫秒(延迟)慢。
- 早期采用者:Stitch 在 API 上构建了一个快速设计实验,能在约 5 秒内从粗略提示生成多屏产品流程(Stitch)。LangChain 提供了零天支持,该类与 TypeSafe 分类器共享基类(LangChain)。
- 架构模式:在 AI Engineer 会议上,Cloudflare 描述了一种混合智能体设计。快速决策模型负责工具选择和日志提取,大型推理模型仅负责诊断。在其演示中,这将 LLM 调用次数从六次减少到一次,Token 数从约 40K 减少到 1.8K(TheTuringPost)。
Frontier Model Evals: Fable 5.2 Leads, Carbon Draws Speed Complaints
前沿模型评估:Fable 5.2 领先,Carbon 因速度引发投诉
- Claude Fable 5.2 on Agent Arena: Fable 5.2 (Max) ranks #1 with a +30.4% net improvement across 4.7K real agentic sessions. That is about 1.6x the score of #2, Opus 5.5 (+19.5%). It is also #1 in Code, Work and Chat (Arena, Pareto view).
- Pricing: API prices drop from $10/$50 to $8/$40 per 1M input/output tokens. Median cost per task is $7.3, versus $5.5 for Opus 5.5, $1.5 for Gemini 4 Carbon (High) and $6.0 for GPT-6-Astra.
- Other evals:
- AA-Robotics v0.1: Fable 5.2 leads at 75, ahead of Astra (69) and Sol (65) (AA).
- VIALS-AA (visual reasoning): It scores 67% with tools but only 44% without them. Haiku 5.5 with tools reaches 49% at $0.07 per task (AA).
- Debate benchmark: It won 209 of 224 debates in a Cambridge Union-style contest (@SamuelFitouss10).
- Effort calibration: Within the Claude lineup, Artificial Analysis finds that moving up a model tier beats raising effort: Opus 5.5 at xhigh outscores Sonnet 5.5 at max with 40% lower cost per task (AA). Vals separately reports that Fable's "high" setting is often cheaper and better than xhigh or max (@RayanKrishnan).
- Gemini 4 Carbon: Vals ranks Carbon #3 on its index, and the fastest and cheapest of the top five (Vals). Practitioner opinions conflict (Theo, Martin Casado, @MParakhin).
- Latency complaints: Theo measured Carbon at low effort taking 22m21s, versus 9m33s for Opus 5.5 at high (timing). He also reports about 11 seconds to first token, roughly 20x Fable's, and attributes the delay to the server side (TTFT).
- Coding and math: Casado calls Carbon "really good at code." Parakhin says Carbon often beats Fable on math and ML problems but that he does not trust it with coding.
- Muse Ember: Meta's model posts +1.7% on Agent Arena at about $0.02 per task. That is roughly 4x cheaper than GPT-6 Luna and Haiku 5.5, and about 12x faster than Luna (Arena). Vals reports Ember reaches 85% of Fable 5.2's performance at 0.84% of the cost (Vals).
- Chinese models:
- Qwen 4: Qwen-4-Max appears to be live. Rumors that it is disappointing remain unconfirmed (@kimmonismus). Some users are skeptical about how Alibaba has labeled its variants (@teortaxesTex).
- ERNIE 5.5 Flash Preview: Baidu's model is trending toward #2 among open models on Code Arena WebDev at 1668. Apache 2.0 weights are promised (Arena).
- Nex-N2.6: This open multimodal agent model claims 83.0 on OSWorld and 84.1 on Terminal-Bench 2.1 (Nex).
- Agent Arena 上的 Claude Fable 5.2:Fable 5.2 (Max) 以 +30.4% 的净提升率在 4.7K 个真实智能体会话中排名第一。这大约是第二名 Opus 5.5 (+19.5%) 得分的 1.6 倍。它在 Code、Work 和 Chat 中也排名第一(Arena,Pareto 视图)。
- 定价:API 价格从每百万输入/输出 Token 10/50 美元降至 8/40 美元。每个任务的中间成本为 7.3 美元,而 Opus 5.5 为 5.5 美元,Gemini 4 Carbon (High) 为 1.5 美元,GPT-6-Astra 为 6.0 美元。
- 其他评估:
- AA-Robotics v0.1:Fable 5.2 以 75 分领先,高于 Astra(69)和 Sol(65)(AA)。
- VIALS-AA(视觉推理):使用工具时得分为 67%,不使用工具时为 44%。Haiku 5.5 使用工具时达到 49%,每个任务成本为 0.07 美元(AA)。
- 辩论基准:在剑桥联盟风格的比赛中,它在 224 场辩论中赢了 209 场(@SamuelFitouss10)。
- 努力校准:在 Claude 系列中,Artificial Analysis 发现提升模型层级比增加努力更有效:Opus 5.5 在 xhigh 设置下的得分高于 Sonnet 5.5 在 max 设置下的得分,且每个任务成本低 40%(AA)。Vals 单独报告称,Fable 的“high”设置通常比 xhigh 或 max 更便宜且效果更好(@RayanKrishnan)。
- Gemini 4 Carbon:Vals 将其在指数中排名第三,是前五名中最快且最便宜的(Vals)。从业者意见存在分歧(Theo, Martin Casado, @MParakhin)。
- 延迟投诉:Theo 测量 Carbon 在低努力模式下耗时 22m21s,而 Opus 5.5 在高(计时)模式下仅需 9m33s。他还报告首 token 生成时间约为 11 秒,大约是 Fable 的 20 倍,并将延迟归因于服务器端(TTFT)。
- 编码与数学:Casado 称 Carbon “在代码方面非常出色”。Parakhin 表示 Carbon 在数学和机器学习问题上通常优于 Fable,但他并不信任它进行编码工作。
- Muse Ember:Meta 的模型在 Agent Arena 上得分 +1.7%,每任务成本约 0.02 美元。这比 GPT-6 Luna 和 Haiku 5.5 便宜约 4 倍,且比 Luna(Arena)快约 12 倍。Vals 报告 Ember 达到了 Fable 5.2 性能的 85%,而成本仅为 0.84% (Vals)。
- 中国模型:
- Qwen 4:Qwen-4-Max 似乎已上线。关于其表现令人失望的传闻仍未得到证实 (@kimmonismus)。一些用户对阿里巴巴如何标记其变体表示怀疑 (@teortaxesTex)。
- ERNIE 5.5 Flash Preview:百度的模型在 Code Arena WebDev 中作为开源模型排名接近第 2 位,得分为 1668。承诺提供 Apache 2.0 权重 (Arena)。
- Nex-N2.6:这款开源多模态智能体模型声称在 OSWorld 上得分为 83.0,在 Terminal-Bench 2.1 上得分为 84.1 (Nex)。
AI for Science, Verification and Robotics
AI for Science、验证与机器人技术
- Formal verification of Signal: Google DeepMind's AlphaProof Code framework produced Lean proofs of key security properties for unmodified libsignal, down to compiled machine code. Gemini agents generated over 6M lines of proofs, leaving humans to review the critical 1% (GDM, details).
- Effort: A five-person team finished in four weeks. Verifying the seL4 microkernel took twenty person-years. When two old bugs were reintroduced, the system proved the buggy versions insecure (@omarsar0).
- AlphaGenome 2: DeepMind's genomics model now conditions its variant-effect predictions on cell type and state. It can adapt to unseen states from a few dozen cells without retraining (@pushmeet, GDM thread).
- Results: On TenK10K, it identifies 30% of causal variants versus 16% for the original model, and 43% of directional gene effects versus 23%. It also recovered the known ETS2 variant behind inflammatory bowel disease in gut macrophages.
- Availability: It is available through the API for non-commercial research (Demis Hassabis).
- Praxis-1 (Runway): Runway released a 27B MoE diffusion-transformer world action model with Apache 2.0 weights. It ranks #1 on RoboLab-120 (@jongranskog, @c_valenzuelab).
- Claimed results: Runway says it finished tasks 15.6x faster than GPT-6 Astra driving the same arm, at 51x lower cost per task (Runway).
- Ecosystem: vLLM-Omni has day-0 support (vLLM), and NVIDIA published NVFP4 checkpoints and a Jetson path (NVIDIA Robotics).
- Gemini Robotics 2.5: The VLA model was evaluated on 200 tasks. Google reports 30–100% higher success rates and 20–30% faster completion than prior baselines. Gemini 4 Argon served as a simulation engine during development, and the model is rolling out to partners (Google, details).
- Other robotics work:
- Signal 的形式化验证:Google DeepMind 的 AlphaProof Code 框架为未修改的 libsignal 生成了关键安全属性的 Lean 证明,直至编译后的机器代码。Gemini 智能体生成了超过 600 万行证明,让人类仅审查关键的 1% (GDM, details)。
- 工作量:一个五人团队耗时四周完成。验证 seL4 微内核需要二十个人年。当两个旧漏洞被重新引入时,系统证明了这些有缺陷的版本是不安全的 (@omarsar0)。
- AlphaGenome 2:DeepMind 的基因组模型现在根据其变异效应预测对细胞类型和状态进行条件约束。它可以适应来自几十种细胞的未见状态,而无需重新训练 (@pushmeet, GDM thread)。
- 结果:在 TenK10K 数据集上,它识别出 30% 的因果变异,而原始模型为 16%;识别出 43% 的方向性基因效应,而原始模型为 23%。它还恢复了肠道巨噬细胞中与炎症性肠病相关的已知 ETS2 变异。
- 可用性:通过 API 提供用于非商业研究 (Demis Hassabis)。
- Praxis-1 (Runway):Runway 发布了一个拥有 27B MoE 扩散变换器世界动作模型,采用 Apache 2.0 权重。它在 RoboLab-120 上排名第一 (@jongranskog, @c_valenzuelab)。
- 宣称的结果:Runway 表示,它完成任务的速度比使用相同机械臂的 GPT-6 Astra 快 15.6 倍,每任务成本低 51 倍 (Runway)。
- 生态系统:vLLM-Omni 拥有 vLLM 的 day-0 支持,NVIDIA 发布了 NVFP4 检查点和 Jetson 路径(NVIDIA Robotics)。
- Gemini Robotics 2.5:VLA 模型在 200 项任务上进行了评估。Google 报告称,与之前的基线相比,成功率提高了 30–100%,完成速度提高了 20–30%。Gemini 4 Argon 在开发过程中充当了仿真引擎,该模型正在向合作伙伴推出(Google,详情)。
- 其他机器人工作:
更进一步:量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力