Gary Marcus:教皇通谕与AI认知科学反思
Report from the Vatican
深度访谈+政策评论,从认知科学与全球治理双重视角批判当前LLM范式,对从业者理解AI局限性与监管趋势极具参考价值。
In my view, Pope Leo XIV is by far the clearest thinker on AI among prominent world leaders. It was a genuine thrill to meet him yesterday.
在我看来,教皇利奥十四世是当今世界政要中关于人工智能思考最为清晰的一位。昨天能与他见面,令我倍感振奋。
30 October 2026
2026年10月30日
It is understatement to say that I am a huge fan of his Encyclical on AI, the Magnifica Humanitas. It goes beyond words that I was able listen to him yesterday in person, from just a few feet away.
说我对他的《人工智能通谕》——《Magnifica Humanitas》(人类尊严的辉煌)是忠实拥趸,都显得过于轻描淡写。昨天能在他身边几英尺处亲耳聆听他的讲话,更是言语难以表达的喜悦。
He gave a brilliant, short speech, which you can find here.
他发表了一篇精彩而简短的演讲,你可以在这里找到。
The Pope, delivering his remarks on AI
教皇发表关于人工智能的讲话
His central five points, which I fully endorse:
他提出的五个核心观点,我完全赞同:
First, the future of artificial intelligence is not pre-determined. As a technology developed by human beings, its future depends on the choices we make. We therefore have the responsibility to guide, change and, when necessary, reject its applications (cf. nos. 97, 104). The decisive question, then, is not simply “What can AI do?” but rather, “What purpose should it serve?” Those who regard its development merely as a race to be won risk focusing exclusively on the finish line, forgetting those who are left behind. A reliable system that serves the human person is of greater value than one that is exceptionally powerful but whose consequences cannot be adequately foreseen or controlled.
首先,人工智能的未来并非注定。作为由人类开发的技术,其未来取决于我们所做的选择。因此,我们有责任引导、改变并在必要时拒绝其应用(参见第97、104段)。关键问题不仅仅是“人工智能能做什么?”,而是“它应为何种目的服务?”那些仅将人工智能发展视为一场竞赛的人,可能只专注于终点线,却遗忘了被抛在身后的人。一个服务于人的可靠系统,比一个极其强大但后果无法充分预见或控制的系统更有价值。
Second, machines are tools, not persons. “So-called artificial intelligences do not undergo experiences, do not possess a body, do not feel joy or pain, do not mature through relationships and do not know from within what love, work, friendship or responsibility mean” (no. 99). Today, some propose granting these systems rights, or even legal personhood. Such an approach risks obscuring human responsibility and leaving those who suffer harm to confront a faceless entity.
其次,机器是工具,而非人。“所谓的人工智能并不经历体验,没有身体,不会感受快乐或痛苦,不会通过关系成长,也不从内部理解爱、工作、友谊或责任的含义”(第99段)。今天,有人提议赋予这些系统权利,甚至法律人格。这种做法可能会模糊人类的责任,让遭受伤害的人面对一个无名的实体。
Third, certain decisions must never be delegated. When a person is placed on a target list or entered into a border control database, there is a danger that he or she will be reduced to a mere data point. Decisions affecting human life, freedom and the use of force must always remain subject to effective, informed and responsible human oversight (cf. nos. 198-200). For this reason, artificial intelligence must be “disarmed” (no. 110), and I encourage the States meeting in Geneva in November to take concrete steps toward banning lethal autonomous weapons.
第三,某些决策绝不可委托。当一个人被列入目标名单或输入边境控制数据库时,存在将其简化为单纯数据点的危险。影响人类生命、自由和使用武力的决定,必须始终接受有效、知情且负责任的人类监督(参见第198-200段)。因此,人工智能必须被“解除武装”(第110段),我鼓励今年11月在日内瓦开会各国采取具体步骤,禁止致命性自主武器。
Fourth, intelligent technologies must be directed toward the common good. “Justice requires access to the benefits of innovation, including care, knowledge, tools and opportunities” (no. 161). Indeed, they must never become ends in themselves or serve merely the interests of a privileged few. Rather, their development should foster solidarity and participation at various levels of the global community, ensuring that the benefits of progress are shared equitably, especially with those most in need (cf. nos. 71–72).
第四,智能技术必须指向共同善。“正义要求人人享有创新的益处,包括关怀、知识、工具和机会”(第161号)。事实上,它们绝不能成为目的本身,或仅仅服务于少数特权阶层的利益。相反,其发展应促进全球社区各层面的团结与参与,确保进步的益处得到公平分享,尤其惠及最需要的人(参看第71–72号)。
Finally, I would like to emphasize a challenge, which is perhaps the most urgent. We already know many of the ethical principles that should guide the development of artificial intelligence. What we currently need are institutions capable of putting these principles into practice, particularly effective international institutions that can safeguard the global common good (cf. no. 64). This calls for shared standards, independent oversight and clear mechanisms of accountability, so that decisions concerning the development and use of AI can be examined, challenged when necessary, and accompanied by appropriate remedies for any harm caused (cf. nos. 105, 107).
最后,我想强调一项挑战,这或许是最紧迫的。我们已经知道许多应指导人工智能发展的伦理原则。我们当前需要的是能够将这些原则付诸实践的制度,特别是能够有效捍卫全球共同善的国际机构(参看第64号)。这需要共享的标准、独立的监督以及明确的问责机制,以便对有关人工智能发展与使用的决策进行审查,在必要时予以质疑,并为任何造成的损害提供适当的补救措施(参看第105、107号)。
(The numbers refer to the Encyclical.)
(数字指代通谕中的段落编号。)
As a bonus, here’s a transcription of own (improvised) remarks on technical, political, and philosophical aspects of AI, given earlier in the day, a commentary after Max Tegmark, Stuart Russell, and Valérie Pisano spoke, at a small private meeting just before our group met with the Pope:
作为额外补充,以下是我今天早些时候就人工智能的技术、政治和哲学方面所作即兴发言的文字整理稿,该发言是在马克·泰格马克(Max Tegmark)、斯图尔特·罗素(Stuart Russell)和瓦莱丽·皮萨诺(Valérie Pisano)发言之后,在我们小组会见教皇之前的一次小型私人会议上进行的:
There are so many ideas here [today] that are interesting and deserve a response.
今天这里有许多有趣且值得回应的观点。
I’ll start by saying it’s a tremendous honor to be here and to be in this illustrious audience.
我首先想说,能来到这里并置身于如此杰出的听众之中,是莫大的荣幸。
For those who don’t know me, I’m first and foremost a cognitive scientist. I trained with Steven Pinker at MIT, and my dissertation was on a mix of things. It was on how humans learn about the world, how children learn language, but also about neural networks, neural networks that are the ancestors of the ones that are popular right now.
对于不了解我的人,我首先是一名认知科学家。我在麻省理工学院师从史蒂文·平克(Steven Pinker),我的博士论文涉及多个主题。它探讨了人类如何认识世界、儿童如何习得语言,同时也涉及神经网络——即如今流行的那些神经网络的祖先。
And to the extent that I’ve had something to say about the field, It’s been by comparing how human intelligence works, how natural intelligence. I also worked with animals, how natural intelligence works with how machine intelligence works. And I think that’s given me a little bit of a different perspective on how things go.
在我对该领域有所贡献的范围内,我是通过比较人类智能(即自然智能)的工作方式,以及动物自然智能与机器智能工作方式之间的异同来进行的。我认为这赋予了我看待事物的一些不同视角。
I also spent some time as an entrepreneur. I built an AI company that I sold to Uber, and so I’ve seen both the industry side and the academic side. So that’s where some of my background comes.
我也曾花过一段时间创业。我创办了一家AI公司,后来将其出售给了Uber,因此我既见过行业侧,也见过学术侧。这就是我的部分背景来源。
So I agree, for example, with Max [Tegmark] about many of his recommendations, for what the commission might put forward. And maybe the most profound thing that I agree with is with Stuart [Russell], that the current path is untenable. and that the sooner that the industry recognizes that, the better. And I agree with Valérie [Pisano], that we’re mistaking things for inevitability, that far too much of the discussion is people taking for granted that we are on the only path, rather than maybe a different path.
所以我同意,例如,马克斯·泰格马克(Max Tegmark)关于委员会可能提出的许多建议的观点。也许我最深刻认同的一点是与斯图尔特·罗素(Stuart Russell)一致,即当前的路径是不可持续的,行业越早认识到这一点越好。我也同意瓦莱丽·皮萨诺(Valérie Pisano)的观点,即我们把某些事情误认为是不可避免的,在讨论中,人们过于想当然地认为我们只有一条路可走,而不是可能存在其他不同的路径。
And I agree that we still have agency, and that we need to look at things differently. So, as a cognitive scientist, I begin to look at things differently from the very statement of what AI is. As a cognitive scientist, I look at the nature of intelligence.
我同意我们仍然拥有能动性(agency),我们需要以不同的方式看待事物。因此,作为一名认知科学家,我从对人工智能的定义本身开始就以不同的方式看待事物。作为一名认知科学家,我审视智能的本质。
We sometimes talk about the modularity of intelligence, that there are many different components that go into intelligence. So, there’s verbal intelligence, and mathematical intelligence. And, kinesthetic intelligence about how we move our bodies in the world, and so forth.
我们有时会谈论智能的模块化,即有许多不同的组成部分构成了智能。例如,有语言智能和数学智能。还有关于我们在世界中如何移动身体的动觉智能,等等。
So one of the disagreements that I would mark is actually with something that Stuart said, which I think was partly true. Stuart said that we are humans, we predict, and we do, we certainly predict. There’s ample evidence from the cognitive science literatre that we make predictions, including literally of the next word.
因此,我要指出的一项分歧实际上与斯图尔特所说的某件事有关,我认为那部分是对的。斯图尔特说我们是人类,我们会预测,我们会行动,我们确实会预测。认知科学文献中有大量证据表明我们会做出预测,包括字面意义上的下一个词的预测。
But there’s also lots of evidence from cognitive science that we do lots of other things. And so, in addition to making predictions, we do reasoning, we have emotional judgments and so forth. The mind is, as one lovely quote [put it “not one thing, but many.”
但认知科学也有大量证据表明我们还做了许多其他事情。因此,除了做出预测之外,我们还会推理,拥有情感判断等等。正如一句美妙的引言所说,“心智不是一物,而是许多。”
And I think that the fundamental mistake that the field has made, is to assume that capturing one component of intelligence, prediction extraordinarily well, is enough to capture all of intelligence. And we now, though we didn’t always, have an entire industry around this, as Stuart, who wrote the most famous textbook or co-wrote the most famous textbook on AI, knows well, we used to actually have many different approaches to AI, and the fields settled on one, the large language model, which is the best prediction machine that we have. And it does that very well, but it doesn’t do some of the other things very well.
我认为该领域犯下的根本错误是,假设极好地捕捉智能的一个组成部分——预测——就足以捕捉所有智能。尽管我们过去并非总是如此,但现在围绕这一理念形成了一个完整的产业,正如撰写了最著名AI教科书或合著了最著名AI教科书的斯图尔特所熟知的那样,我们过去实际上有许多不同的AI方法,而该领域最终选定了一种,即大语言模型,这是我们拥有的最好的预测机器。它在这方面做得非常好,但在其他一些方面做得并不好。
I think it’s still very poor reasoning. And the thing that’s maybe most dangerous and that, I think, captures what all of us [speakers at this session] are saying here, is [current AI] doesn’t follow instructions very well. And that might be surprising, but it turns out that the way that these prediction machines work is they follow correlations rather than causation.
我认为它的推理能力仍然非常差。而其中最危险的一点,我认为这也概括了我们在本次环节中各位演讲者所表达的观点,就是[当前的 AI]不太能很好地遵循指令。这或许令人惊讶,但事实证明,这些预测模型的工作原理是基于相关性而非因果性。
I would say that there’s semantics of the world, their understanding of the meaning of the world is fairly superficial. And so they will often match the things that we hope that they will, but there’s no guarantee, and we see that in many different ways. For example, you can tell a large language model, don’t make up any references.
我会说,它们对世界的语义理解、对世界意义的把握相当浅显。因此,它们经常会符合我们的期望,但并没有保证,而且我们看到这种现象以多种方式呈现。例如,你可以告诉一个大型语言模型:不要捏造任何参考文献。
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