SK海力士利润大增并宣布450亿美元股东回报,亚洲科技股大涨
SK Hynix Earnings Surge Drives Tech Stocks Higher
SK海力士的业绩指引与巨额回购直接重塑AI存储供需格局,是近期科技股行情的核心催化剂,建议关注相关产业链资金动向。
OLIVER: LIVE FROM FRANKFURT. I’M OLIVER CROOK WITH YOUR TOP STORIES. THE TECH TRADE. CHIP STOCKS. KOSPI SET FOR ITS BIGGEST RALLY IN THREE MONTHS. A BANKING BOOST. STANDARD CHARTERED KICKS OFF EARNINGS WITH A BEAT AND RAISES ITS OUTLOOK. DEUTSCHE BANK, UBS, SANTANDER. PLUS BUDGET TAU IN THE U.K. CHANCELLOR JOHN HEALY PLANS TO DELIVER BREATHING SPACE FOR BRITAIN AS IT HOPES A PAIRED BACK BUDGET WILL HELP AFFORDABILITY.
奥利弗:法兰克福现场直播。我是奥利弗·克鲁克,为您带来头条新闻。科技股交易。芯片股。韩国综合指数(KOSPI)有望迎来三个月来最大涨幅。银行业提振。渣打银行财报超预期并上调展望。德意志银行、瑞银、桑坦德银行。此外还有英国预算案。财政大臣约翰·希利计划为英国提供喘息空间,希望精简后的预算案有助于缓解生活成本压力。
YOU CAN SEE DOWN BY 1/3 OF 1% THIS MORNING AS YOU CAN SEE DOWN BY 17 POINTS. WE ARE ALSO LOOKING CLOSELY AT THAT AI TRADE AND THE PROXY SCORE. OF COURSE THE NASDAQ 100 FUTURES UP AGAIN. THAT WOULD BE THE THIRD DAY OF GAINS ON THE NASDAQ THIS WEEK. WE HAVE ALREADY PUT 2.4% ON THE NASDAQ THIS WEEK. WE HAVE BEEN BOUNCING AROUND THIS WEEK 114-117. WE STABILIZE THIS MORNING AT $115 A BARREL. OLIVER: GOOD MORNING. WE HAVE A TON OF EARNINGS TO GET THROUGH THIS MORNING.
今早您可以看到下跌了0.33%,跌幅为17点。我们也在密切关注人工智能板块和代理指数。当然,纳斯达克100期货上涨。这将是本周纳斯达克连续第三个交易日上涨。本周纳斯达克已上涨2.4%。本周我们在114-117美元之间震荡。今早稳定在每桶115美元。奥利弗:早上好。我们今天早上有一大堆财报需要解读。
LET’S BEGIN NOW WITH WHAT WE’RE SEEING FROM DEUTSCHE BANK. WE’LL HEAR FROM THE CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER SHORTLY IN ABOUT 30 MINUTES TIME. WE CAN SEE THE ALL IMPORTANT TRADING AND SALES REVENUE COMING H AT 2.4 BILLION EUROS. THAT IS IN LINE WITH ESTIMATES. WE SHOULD SAY THAT IS GOING TO BE CLOSELY WATCHED. IT IS GOING TO BE DOWN YEAR-ON-YEAR BUT KEEPING WITH WHAT WE HAVE SEEN A ACROSS A NUMBER OF DIFFERENT BANKS. DOWN ABOUT 3% OVER AT DEUTSCHE BANK.
我们现在从德意志银行的动态开始。大约30分钟后我们将听到首席财务官的发言。我们可以看到至关重要的交易和销售收入达到24亿欧元。这与预期一致。我们需要指出,这一数据将受到密切关注。同比有所下降,但与我们在许多不同银行中看到的情况一致。德意志银行下降了约3%。
BETTER THAN WHAT WE HAVE SEEN WITH OTHER PIERCE. HIKING CYCLE AT THE ECB. INTEREST RATES ARE GOING UP. YOU LOOK AT THE LOAN BOOK AND LENDING FOR CORPORATES THAT HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE. WE ARE NOT SEEING THE DIFFICULTIES WITH HIGHER RATES FROM THE ECB AND FROM THE BOND MARKET WITH RATES GOING UP HIGHER AND HIGHER. IN GERMANY, HAVING AN IMPACT ON THESE SORT OF LOANS THAT THEY ARE GIVING OUT TO BUSINESSES IN GERMANY.
比其他同行表现更好。欧洲央行加息周期。利率正在上升。查看贷款组合和企业贷款,后者持续增加。我们没有看到来自欧洲央行的较高利率以及债券市场利率不断攀升带来的困难。在德国,这对他们向德国企业发放的此类贷款产生了影响。
THAT IS A POSITIVE STORY FROM DEUTSCHE BANK. WE’LL BE HEARING FROM THE CFO LATER AT 6:30 LONDON TIME AND 7:30 HERE IN FRANKFURT. LET’S TAKE IT FROM THE BANKING STORY. TECH LEADING THE RALLY ACROSS ASIA THIS MORNING. LET’S SEE HOW THE MARKETS ARE FARING WINNIE HSU IN HONG KONG. HI. WINNIE: VERY EXCITING DAY FOR ASIAN MARKETS TODAY. UP 1.4% SUPPORTED BY THIS CONFIDENCE AND THE EXCITEMENT AROUND THE GLOBAL AI TRADE. OF COURSE YOU HAVE SOUTH KOREA’S KOSPI INDEX UP 7.4%.
这是来自德意志银行的积极故事。我们将在伦敦时间6:30和法兰克福时间7:30稍后听取首席财务官的发言。让我们从银行业故事转向。今早科技股引领亚洲股市反弹。让我们看看香港市场的表现,温妮·许。你好。温妮:今天亚洲市场令人兴奋。上涨1.4%,得益于信心以及对全球人工智能交易的兴奋之情。当然,韩国KOSPI指数上涨7.4%。
HAVING THE BEST DAY SINCE AUGUST AND FOLLOWED BY SOME GAINS WE SEE IN THE TECH GAUGES THIS IN JAPAN AND HONG KONG. THE BIG CATALYST COMING THROUGH BY SOLID EARNINGS FROM SK HYNIX. UP BY MORE THAN 10%. COMING THROUGH NOT JUST BECAUSE WE SAW THE PROFITS SURGING BEATING EXPECTINGATIONS BUT ALSO THE MASSIVE SHAREHOLDER RETURN PLUS SOME OF THESE POSITIVE COMMENTS WHEN IT COMES TO OUTLOOK FOR THE MEMORY SHORTAGE AND THE LONG-TERM AGREEMENTS WITH CUSTOMERS AND ALSO THE CAPITAL EXPENDITURE.
自八月以来迎来最佳表现,并伴随我们在日本和香港科技指数中观察到的一些涨幅。主要催化剂来自海力士(SK Hynix)强劲的盈利表现,股价上涨超过10%。这不仅因为我们看到利润激增并超出预期,还因为大规模的股东回报,以及在内存短缺前景、与客户签订的长期协议以及资本支出方面的一些积极评论。
ALL OF THIS REALLY PAINTING A PRETTY POSITIVE PICTURE CHECK ALL OF THESE BOXES. SO WE ARE WAITING FOR SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS TO REPORT TOMORROW. NOW ANOTHER AREA IN TECH THAT IS REALLY GAINING IS IN THE SHARES LIKE MEDIA TECH IN TAIWAN. AFTER OPENAI SO THEY HAVE THE INTENTION TO BUY GOOGLE CHIPS AS WELL AS SOME OF THE FURTHER TIE-UPS BETWEEN ORACLE AND GOOGLE. FLIP THE BOARD, WE TAKE A LOOK JIO PLATFORMS IS DOING NOW ONE HOUR INTO THE TRADING DEBUT.
这一切确实描绘出一幅相当积极的画面,满足了所有这些条件。因此我们正在等待三星电子明天公布财报。另外,在科技领域另一个真正获得关注的板块是台湾的联发科(MediaTek)。继OpenAI之后,他们也有意购买谷歌芯片,此外还有甲骨文与谷歌之间的进一步合作。翻转棋盘,我们来看看Jio Platforms在交易首小时的表现。
YOU’RE SEEING STOCKS UP 22%. THE COMPANY IS ONE OF THE BIGGEST INDIA TELECOM COMPANIES AND IT HAS RAISED $3.1 BILLION IN THE BIGGEST IPO IN INDIA AND IS NOW THE SECOND MOST VALUABLE COMPANY IN THE COUNTRY. LOTS OF EXCITEMENT. WE’LL SEE THAT IF THAT MOMENT UP CONTINUES THROUGHOUT THE TRADING SESSION. BACK TO YOU OLLI. OLIVER: THANKS VERY MUCH. SK HYNIX LEADING GAINS ACROSS THE TECH SECTOR IN ASIA THIS MORNING AFTER POSTING A STRONGER THAN EXPECTED PROFIT SURGE.
你看到股价上涨了22%。该公司是印度最大的电信公司之一,通过印度历史上规模最大的IPO筹集了31亿美元,现已成为该国第二大最有价值的公司。令人兴奋的是,我们将看到这种势头是否在交易时段内持续。回到你那里,Olli。Oliver:非常感谢。海力士在今早亚洲科技板块领涨,此前其公布的利润增幅高于预期。
PLANS FOR A $45 BILLION SHAREHOLDER RETURNS. LET’S BRING IN OUR BLOOMBERG MARKETS REPORTER ANTHONY STEVENS. THIS IS A BREATH TAKING NUMBER HERE. I THINK WE SAW PROFITS INCREASE BY SEVEN TIMES. 45 BILLION BACK TO SHAREHOLDERS. TAKE US THROUGH THESE? S IN A LITTLE BIT MORE DETAIL.
计划进行450亿美元的股东回报。让我们请入彭博市场记者Anthony Stevens。这是一个惊人的数字。我认为我们看到利润增加了七倍。450亿美元回馈给股东。请带我们更深入地了解这些细节?
INTERESTING HOW STRONG THE NUMBERS ARE AND IF FACT THAT THEY HAVE LISTENED TO SHAREHOLDERS IN TERMS OF RETURNING SOME OF THIS MONEY BACK TO SHAREHOLDERS. SHAREHOLDER RETURN PROGRAM IS VERY STRONG AT THE HIGH END OF THE INDIANAPOLIS THAT HAVE BEEN REPORTED OVER THE PREVIOUS WEEK. WE ALSO HAD THEM BLOW THE DOORS DOWN IN TERMS OF OPERATING PROFIT AND SALES NUMBERS. WHAT HAPPENED WITH THE SHARES REALLY ACCELERATED WHEN GUIDANCE WAS COME UP ON THE TECHNOLOGY FRONT.
有趣的是数据如此强劲,而且他们在将部分资金回馈给股东方面听取了股东的意见。股东回报计划非常强劲,处于上周报道的印第安纳波利斯(注:此处疑为语音识别错误,结合语境可能指“高位”或特定指标上限)的高位。我们在营业利润和销售数字方面也看到他们表现优异。当技术方面的指引出台时,股价的加速上涨才真正发生。
IT IS REALLY INTERESTING TO ME THAT THE MARKET IS FAR MORE CONCERNED ON TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS ON PRODUCTION, ON CAPACITY THAN IT IS ON THE FINANCIALS. WE KNOW FINANCIALS ARE STRONG. THIS IS ONE OF THE MOST MODELED COMPANIES IN ASIA. WHAT THEY ARE LOOKING IS THE TRANSFER FROM 3 TO 4. THEY SAID THEY WERE GOING TO DO THAT IN THE FOURTH QUARTER AND HAVE NO PRODUCTION PROBLEMS. BIG GUIDANCE AS WELL. SO THEY ARE ABLE TO OUT.
令我真正感兴趣的是,市场更关注生产方面的技术进步和产能,而非财务表现。我们知道财务状况强劲。这是亚洲被研究最多的公司之一。他们正在关注从3nm向4nm的过渡。他们说将在第四季度完成这一转换,且没有生产问题。指引也非常乐观。因此他们能够脱颖而出。
CAPACITY TO A DEGREE THAT REALLY REASSURES INVESTORS. THE SECOND THING IS HOW MUCH OF THIS CAPACITY IS NOW LOCKED DOWN ON LONG-TERM CONTRACT. 50% OF THE SUPPLIES LOCKED DOWN ON CONTRACTS. IN TERMS OF DEMAND, IT IS REALLY IN THE GRANULARITY OF THE STORY. A GREAT DAY OBVIOUSLY TO UP 11 THAT YOU SEEING NOW. A LOT MORE DELTA AND A LOT MORE ACCELERATION CAME FROM THE DETAILS OF THE TECH AND JUST HO HIGHLIGHT HOW HARD THAT TECH IS, WE JUST HAD WRITERS SAY -- THE CHINESE COMPETITOR AND THEIR ENTIRE GENERATION BEHIND.
这种产能达到了一定程度,足以让投资者安心。第二点是这些产能中有多少已锁定在长期合同中。50%的供应已通过合同锁定。就需求而言,故事确实体现在细节层面。显然今天是个好日子,涨幅达11%,你们现在看到的。大量增量和加速来自技术细节,我们仅举一例说明这项技术的难度——中国竞争对手及其整整一代产品都落后了。
OLIVER: LET’S TAKE A TECH STORY GLOBAL. WE HAVE DONE ASIA SIDE. GOT THE RESULTS FROM ASAN INTERNATIONAL OVERNIGHT. WHAT DID WE LEARN FROM THEM?
奥利弗:让我们把话题转向全球科技故事。我们已经讨论了亚洲方面,并收到了亚盛国际(Asan International)隔夜发布的业绩。我们从他们那里学到了什么?
IT IS A VERY TOUGH BUSINESS WE DO SEE THEM BENEFITING IN TERMS OF REAL DEMAND FROM ALL OF THESE BOUND THOSE MORE PUNCHY KIND OF REQUIREMENTS ARE GENERATING -- -- THEIR TARGET, PRESUMABLY THREE YEARS EARLY I THEY THINK. THEY INCREASED THEIR OWN TARGET FROM THE LAST GUIDANCE. VERY STRONG NUMBERS. WHAT IS INTERESTING ON THE NEGATIVE SIDE IS MARGINS STUCK. ALL OF THIS TECHNOLOGY, YOU KNOW, IT DOES TAKE MONEY. IT DOES TAKE R & D.
这是一项非常艰难的业务,但我们看到他们在实际需求方面受益,所有这些约束条件正催生更具冲击力的需求——他们的目标 presumably 比预期提前三年达成,我认为他们已将自身目标较上次指引上调。数据非常强劲。有趣的是负面方面是利润率停滞。所有这一切技术,你知道的,都需要资金投入,需要研发。
THERE ARE BOTTLENECKS REASON TO CHEER SIDE AS WELL. WE HEARD THAT FROM THE JAPANESE WHO ARE IN THE SAME BUSINESS. IT IS REALLY INTERESTING TO SEE THESE BOTTLENECKS CROP UP IN THE PHYSICAL WORLD OF THIS BUSINESS. OLIVER: BLOOMBERG’S ANTHONY STEVENS THANK YOU FOR RUNNING US THROUGH A. WE’LL WE WILL LOOK AT EARNINGS FROM SOME OF THE HYPER SCALERS BROADLY AHEAD OF THAT ANTHROPIC IPO. ON TO THE U.K. POLITICS. THE U.K. CHANCELLOR JOHN HEALY SAID HIS FIRST BUDGET WILL DELIVER BREATHING SPACE FOR BRITAIN.
同样也有值得欢呼的瓶颈原因。我们从从事相同业务的日本企业那里听到了这一点。看到这些瓶颈在该业务的物理世界中涌现出来,这非常有趣。奥利弗:彭博社的安东尼·史蒂文斯,感谢您带我们了解这些内容。我们将先于Anthropic IPO广泛审视一些超大规模云厂商的财报。接下来看英国政治。英国财政大臣约翰·希利表示,他的首份预算将为英国提供喘息空间。
ANDY BURNHAM LOOKS TO SUCCEED WITH. JOHN HEALY IN A TOUGH SITUATION. TRYING TO KEEP VOTERS AND THE LABOR PARTY HAPPY AND OUTLINING THE BALANCING ACT.
安迪·伯纳姆有望成功继任。约翰·希利身处艰难境地,试图让选民和工党满意,并阐述其中的平衡艺术。
WHAT ARE WE GOING TO GET?
我们会得到什么?
THEY ARE PEGGING THIS AS A NOTHING TO SEE HERE STEADY AS SHE GOES BUDGET. UNDERNEATH THAT THERE IS QUITE A TOUGH BALANCING ACT. HEALY’S PREDECESSOR RACHEL REAVES RAISED TAXES ALREADY BY 60 BILLION POUNDS IN HER TWO BUDGETS. SINCE THEN INFLATION HAS RISEN. THIS PLANS TO ALLEVIATE TENSIONS ON HOUSEHOLDS. HEALY PLEDGED FISCAL DISCIPLINE IN THIS BUDGET. BUT IT IS ALL AGAINST THE BACKDROP OF COURSE OF THE ECONOMY AND OF HIS HEAD ROOM HAVING SLUNK.
他们将其定位为一份‘没什么可看、稳步前行’的预算案。但在其背后,是一场相当艰难的平衡术。希利的前任瑞秋·里夫斯在她的两份预算案中已将税收提高了600亿英镑。此后通货膨胀上升。该计划旨在缓解家庭压力。希利承诺在本份预算中保持财政纪律。但当然,这一切都是建立在经济背景以及他的财政空间已经缩水的 backdrop 之上的。
IT IS ESTIMATED TO -- SHRUNK. IT IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE HALVED. HE IS GOING TO BE PUSHING THOSE BIG SPENDING DECISIONS TO A LATER DATE. TO ALLEVIATE PRESSURE ON HOUSEHOLDS AND OPT FOR HIGHER TAXES ON BANKS INSTEAD TO GIVE SMALL TARGETED GIVEAWAYS TO HOUSEHOLDS. OLIVER: THINKING ALSO ABOUT THIS SORT OF GOVERNMENT AIMING TO DO THAT DO NO HARM BUDGET. HAVE THAT SUCKED SO FAR IN DOING NO HARM? WHAT ARE THE MARKETS LOOKING FOR HERE?
它被估计为——缩水了。据估计已减半。他将把那些重大的支出决定推迟到以后。为了缓解家庭压力并选择对银行征收更高的税收,从而向家庭提供小型有针对性的补贴。奥利弗:也在思考这种政府旨在做到‘不造成伤害’的预算目标。到目前为止,在‘不造成伤害’方面表现如何?市场在这里期待什么?
SO FAR IT IS RELATIVELY CALM. THEY HAVE AVOIDED THE GLARE OF INVESTORS IN THE U.K.. THE EXPECTING SAYING THAT HEALY WILL MANAGE TO CONTINUE THIS. IT IS THOUGHT THAT IF HE DOES THIS SMALL TARGETED SUPPORT PACKAGE THAT WILL BE QUITE RECOMMEND RECEIVED BY MARKETS BUT OF COURSE THERE IS A RISK. IF RISK IS IF HE PUSHES THESE SPENDING DECISIONS LATER DOWN THE LINE AND DOESN’T OUTLINE HOW HE IS GOING TO FUND LATER SPENDING, THAT FISCAL CREDIBILITY COULD START TO BE ERODED AND POTENTIALLY THE U.K.
到目前为止,情况相对平静。他们避开了英国投资者的目光。分析人士认为,希利将设法继续这样做。人们认为,如果他实施这个小型有针对性的支持方案,将会受到市场的热烈欢迎,但当然也存在风险。如果风险在于他将这些支出决定推迟到以后,并且没有说明他如何为未来的支出提供资金,那么财政可信度可能会开始受到侵蚀,并可能影响英国。
COULD BE BACK IN THE BON
债券市场可能会重新陷入困境
原文超出正文长度上限,此处截断——上游还有内容,完整版见上方「原文 ↗」。
更进一步:量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力