Oracle援引不可抗力规避新墨西哥数据中心延期成本
Oracle Cites ‘Force Majeure’ to Seek Cover From Data Center Delays
涉及AI算力基建核心标的的合规风险与融资成本变化,直接影响相关资产估值逻辑,建议关注后续项目进度与信贷市场反应。
Oracle trying to protect itself from cost tied to a massive New Mexico data center by invoking force majeure. Let's get more insight now from Bloomberg's Wall Street correspondent, Sri Natarajan. And, Sri, I know you've been tracking this data center very closely, given Blue Owl's investment and others. What's gone wrong that they're saying there is a chance we might not make our lease payments? I mean, it's a classic case of the friction between the grand ambitions of all the AI leaders and the AI business economy and local realities.
甲骨文(Oracle)试图援引不可抗力条款,以规避与一座位于新墨西哥州的大型数据中心相关的成本。现在让我们从彭博社(Bloomberg)的华尔街记者斯里·纳塔拉詹(Sri Natarajan)那里获取更多见解。斯里,我知道鉴于蓝 owl(Blue Owl)的投资以及其他方面的参与,你一直在密切关注这座数据中心的情况。究竟出了什么问题,以至于他们说我们可能无法支付租金?我的意思是,这是一个典型的案例,反映了所有 AI 领导者的宏大抱负、AI 商业经济模式与当地现实之间的摩擦。
The project, the data center we're talking about is this massive 1,400 acre campus that's being built in Southern New Mexico, beautiful part of the country right next to White Sands National Park bordering Mexico, but it is also a rural county. And there has been a tremendous amount of local pushback, regulatory challenges, you know, where people are worried about the water consumption, greenhouse emissions, whether there are sufficient financial returns to New Mexico.
我们要谈论的这个项目——即这座大型数据中心——是一个占地 1400 英亩的巨大园区,正在新墨西哥州南部建设。那是美国一个风景优美的地区,紧邻毗邻墨西哥的白色沙国国家公园(White Sands National Park),但该地区也是一个乡村县。当地出现了大量的反对声浪和监管挑战,人们担心水资源消耗、温室气体排放,以及该项目能否为新墨西哥州带来足够的财务回报。
Yes. Oracle, Blue and everyone involved with the data center project says, this is a good thing for the state. This will bring a lot of benefits to the local economy. This is important and needed. But what all this challenge and all this friction has meant is it has thrown into uncertainty whether the project can truly go online as previously planned. Which owns the project developer stack infrastructure, and Oracle, which will be the tenant, which will be leasing which will be leasing the compute from this data center facility, believe everything's on track.
是的。甲骨文、Blue Owl 以及参与该数据中心项目的各方都表示,这对该州是一件好事。这将给当地经济带来诸多益处。这是重要且必要的。然而,所有这些挑战和摩擦意味着,该项目是否能按原计划真正上线运营变得充满不确定性。拥有该项目开发层基础设施的是谁,而甲骨文作为租户,将从这座数据中心设施租赁计算资源,他们相信一切都在正轨上。
So why are we talking about the force majeure notice? The point here is it is purely a defensive shield. It is not Oracle saying that it wants to walk away from the project, that it's tired of all the complaining and the frustration, and it is just going away. But it wants to make sure that it is not racking up expenses. It is not on the hook for certain financial commitments and obligations if there are delays, if there are certain overruns, and if things don't go according to schedule, which as of today, they're still hoping remains the case.
那么,为什么我们要讨论不可抗力通知呢?这里的要点是,这纯粹是一种防御性措施。这并不是说甲骨文想要退出该项目,说它厌倦了所有的抱怨和挫折,然后就此离去。而是为了确保如果发生延误、出现某些超支情况,或者事情未能按计划进行(尽管截至今天,他们仍希望情况如此),它不会累积费用,也不会因特定的财务承诺和义务而承担责任。
But there is no denying there is a lot of nimbyism when it comes to data centers. Yeah. So let me put you on the spot. I mean, is this the canary in the coal mine? Is this basically something we should expect? We're gonna see navigation around it to your point. It's gonna be more of a legal posturing. Does this change things? Are we now gonna have smaller data centers? Do we have more instead of larger ones? And, obviously, then you have a different kind of marginal cost for compute.
但不可否认,在数据中心问题上存在大量的邻避主义(NIMBYism)。是的。那么让我把你置于聚光灯下。我的意思是,这是煤矿中的金丝雀吗?这基本上是我们应该预期的情况吗?我们会围绕你的观点进行导航。这更多地是一种法律姿态。这会改变事情吗?我们现在会拥有更小的数据中心吗?是会有更多而不是更大的数据中心吗?显然,这样计算资源的边际成本就会不同。
And what are you thinking there? I'll take you up on the canary in the coal mine question because in some ways, this data center project, this campus in New Mexico has become a poster child for all the issues that data centers across the country are facing. You're seeing a lot of price action in the stocks tied to Oracle and the CDS market and certain other related stocks. That doesn't necessarily mean it's all tied to this one project, which has been the project Jupiter.
你对此有什么想法?我会接受你关于‘煤矿中的金丝雀’的问题,因为在某些方面,这个数据中心项目——新墨西哥州的这个园区——已成为全美数据中心面临的所有问题的典型代表。你看到与甲骨文(Oracle)相关的股票、CDS市场以及某些其他相关股票的股价出现大幅波动。这并不一定意味着这一切都与此单一项目有关,即“木星”(Jupiter)项目。
But investors are trying to analyze what does it truly mean for everything else. Because whether it's Silicon Valley in Northern Virginia or other parts of the country, the data center projects coming up in the battleground states heading into the midterm elections, we have seen problems everywhere. Did we really think maybe a year or two ago that data centers would be the catch line political rhetoric, campaigning rhetoric heading into the elections?
但投资者正试图分析这对其他一切究竟意味着什么。因为无论是在北弗吉尼亚的硅谷还是美国其他地区,随着中期选举临近,各战场州兴起的数据中心项目到处都出现了问题。我们真的以为在一两年前,数据中心会成为竞选政治修辞和选举前的口号吗?
But that's what it's turned into. And that is why when you see if even if this is just a fresh wrinkle in a project that's already been massively controversial, Everyone is trying to tease out what's the next step and what does it mean for every other project because a lot of capital is being allocated into this process, and that's the challenge for the investors. Is this a revolution that will bring in abundance or lead to extinction?
但事实确实如此。这就是为什么即使这只是一个已经极具争议的项目中的新波折,每个人都在试图理清下一步是什么,以及对其他所有项目意味着什么,因为大量资本正被投入这一过程,这也是投资者面临的挑战。这是一场将带来丰裕的革命,还是会导致灭绝?
I I'm right there with you, Sherry. The first thing I thought about when I saw this story was the many, many conversations I've had with private capital players. I know you have too saying, we're not making a directional bet on AI. In fact, the only thing we're betting on is the creditworthiness of our tenants. Basically, rental payments for these leases was treated as a sure thing. And I wonder what happens if all of a sudden this throws that into question.
我和雪莉(Sherry)的看法完全一致。当我看到这个故事时,我首先想到的是我与许多私人资本参与者进行的无数对话。我知道你也经历过这些,他们说:我们并不是在对AI的方向性押注。事实上,我们唯一押注的是我们租户的信用状况。基本上,这些租赁的租金支付被视为万无一失的事。我想知道如果突然这一切受到质疑,会发生什么。
Does the cost of capital get higher? Presumably, bond yields will go higher for these projects, and there'll be less appetite or at least pushback. Does this add another wrinkle in the whole conversation of how fast can we build if all of a sudden our assumptions around the safety of these projects change? You can see certain clues in private markets trading. Right? When this project Jupiter was rolled out, there was an $18,000,000,000 loan that was put forward, a commitment from about 20 banks.
资本成本会上升吗?预计这些项目的债券收益率将走高,市场意愿会降低,至少会出现阻力。这是否给整个讨论增添了新的变数:如果我们对这些项目安全性的假设突然发生变化,我们建设的速度还能有多快?你可以在私募市场的交易中看到某些线索。对吧?当Jupiter项目推出时,有一笔180亿美元的贷款被提出,约有20家银行做出了承诺。
Now there has been some amount of trading in the secondary market tied to those bonds and to those loans, and that's now trading below 90¢ on the dollars. That might not be distressed levels, but it's certainly stress levels. It's not a level where a lender would like to see the trading at. So that tells you that when you see something like this, which in effect is a bit of a spanner in the works, there is going to be concern out there, and that is what is being expressed in the market.
现在,与这些债券和贷款相关的二级市场交易已经发生了一定数量的交易,目前交易价格低于每美元90美分。这可能尚未达到困境水平,但 certainly 处于压力水平。这不是贷款人希望看到的交易价位。因此,当你看到类似这种情况——这在某种程度上算是个搅局者——你会意识到市场存在担忧,而这正是市场所表达的。
Meanwhile, it is important to point out that Blue Owl has come out and said that this notice does not change the multiyear financial commitment. So it is trying to signal to the market that, you know, the payments that it expects will be coming in as planned.
与此同时,重要的是要指出,Blue Owl已明确表示,该通知不会改变其多年期的财务承诺。因此,它正试图向市场发出信号,即预期的付款将按计划到位。
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