跳到主内容
@wquguru
精选85Bloomberg Television(YouTube)股市

高盛拟370亿美元收购信贷公司Palmer Square

Goldman Sachs in Talks to Buy $37 Billion Credit Firm Palmer Square

原文
发到 X
推荐理由

高盛重大并购动作直接改变资管版图,填补CLO短板,对理解华尔街机构扩张逻辑有参考价值。

Elsewhere in the world, Goldman is revving up its deal making push. Sources telling Bloomberg the bank has emerged as the lead bidder to acquire Palmer Square, a credit manager that oversees $37,000,000,000. Bloomberg chief Wall Street correspondent, Sridhar Natarajan, joins us for more. So Palmer Square, I take it mostly does CLOs. Why would Goldman be interested in this? Well, you have to go back to last week when David Solomon was speaking at an industry conference, and he was explaining on states the rationale for the spree of deals that we have seen from Goldman Sachs over the last year.

在世界其他地方,高盛正在加大其交易推动力度。据知情人士向彭博社透露,该行已成为收购 Palmer Square 的领先竞标方,后者是一家管理着 370 亿美元的信用管理机构。彭博社首席华尔街记者 Sridhar Natarajan 加入我们带来更多信息。所以 Palmer Square,我猜它主要做的是 CLO(担保贷款凭证)。为什么高盛会对这个感兴趣?嗯,你得回到上周,当时 David Solomon 在一次行业会议上发言,他解释了我们在过去一年中看到的高盛一系列交易背后的理由。

And he was very clear. Wherever we have gaps, we want to close that gap. So if there are opportunities, they want to pounce on that. And that's been visible over the course of the last twelve months. In fact, one of the most interesting side stories out of Goldman Sachs in the last year for me. Yes. Everyone's been focused on the deal making pace and the trading activity, and, yes, they have been going gangbusters, but it has also given Goldman the cover to go out and look for deals, allowing it to bulk up its $4,000,000,000,000 asset manager.

他说得很清楚。无论哪里有缺口,我们都想填补那个缺口。所以如果有机会,他们就想抓住。这在过去十二个月中一直很明显。事实上,对我来说,这是高盛在过去一年中最有趣的侧面故事之一。是的。大家一直关注的是交易速度和交易活动,是的,他们的表现确实非常出色,但这同时也给了高盛走出去寻找交易的机会,使其能够壮大其 4 万亿美元的资产管理业务。

Remember the story here. Goldman Sachs is the preeminent adviser on corporate takeovers, but it doesn't really historically, it doesn't do a good job in acquiring businesses. That's something that they've been trying to change. They're not going after massive deals. They're going after small deals that are very specific in certain niches that can fill some gaps. Goldman is not a big issuer of CLOs. That's why their interest in Palmer Square right now makes sense.

记住这里的故事。高盛是企业并购方面的首要顾问,但从历史上看,它在收购企业方面做得并不好。这是他们一直在努力改变的领域。他们并没有追逐巨额交易,而是瞄准那些在特定细分领域中非常具体的小型交易,以填补一些空白。高盛并不是 CLO 的主要发行方。这就是为什么他们对 Palmer Square 的兴趣现在看起来合乎逻辑。

CLOs kinda raise a red flag when I start seeing people buying them. Was at the Fed during the crisis. This was kinda the core, but these aren't the same kinda things anymore. These are more about data centers. These are different. These aren't necessarily just consumer loans. Right? So is this, like, part of a broader push by Goldman or, you know, into a more diversified loan portfolio? Or, like, how do I wanna think about it?

当我开始看到人们购买 CLO 时,这总让我有点警惕。我在危机期间曾在美联储工作。那曾是核心部分,但这些东西现在已经不一样了。这些更多是关于数据中心。它们是不同的。这些不一定只是消费贷款。对吧?那么,这是高盛更广泛举措的一部分吗,或者说是在构建一个更多元化的贷款组合?或者,我该如何看待这一点?

Because it kinda does sound a little alarming at first. Think about it more in terms of a diversified business as an asset manager must have, not necessarily your view on the corporate loan market or the loans getting bundled into bonds and being turned into CLOs right now. Because if you think about that asset class, especially in The US, CLO the market for CLOs has more than quadrupled in the last fifteen years. We're now talking more than $1,300,000,000,000 of US CLOs outstanding.

因为乍一听确实有点令人担忧。不妨从资产管理者必须具备的多元化业务角度来思考,而不是基于你对当前企业贷款市场或贷款被打包成债券并转化为CLO(担保贷款凭证)的看法。因为如果你审视这一资产类别,特别是在美国,CLO市场在过去十五年中已经增长了四倍以上。目前未偿还的美国CLO规模已超过1.3万亿美元。

So whether the whether the Fed is hiking rates or reducing rates, whether it is risk on or risk off, that doesn't that might have an impact today and tomorrow and the next week, but does not impact the sustainability and the durability of this asset class. So if this asset class is here to stay and you're one of the biggest alternative investment managers, which Goldman does believe it is, it is one of the top five, top six, but it doesn't have the same sort of CLO machine like some of the other bigger managers like Caroline and Blackstone and BlackRock and the others.

因此,无论美联储是在加息还是降息,无论是风险偏好上升还是下降,这些因素可能影响今天、明天乃至下周的市场,但不会影响这一资产类别的可持续性和持久性。既然这一资产类别将长期存在,而高盛作为全球最大的另类投资管理公司之一(它自认是前五或前六名),却不像卡莱尔集团、黑石集团、贝莱德等其他大型管理机构那样拥有成熟的CLO运作体系。

That's what Goldman is trying to solve for if they go ahead and pull the trigger on this deal. So I love, like, whenever I talk to the private credit people from Goldman Sachs, they're always like, we've been in private credit for so long. Like, we are a behemoth here. Don't discount us. But what do you make of the fact that along with there's so many of the deals, be it the ETF one they did or otherwise, are specifically around the asset management business?

这正是高盛若推进此项交易试图解决的问题。每当我与高盛从事私募信贷业务的人士交谈时,他们总是强调:我们在私募信贷领域深耕已久,堪称巨头,切勿低估我们。但你如何看待这样一个事实:无论是他们推出的ETF产品还是其他交易,都特别聚焦于资产管理业务?

I I mean, that that's the only place where they're looking. In in fact, you can make an argument. You don't really need to grow the banking side or the trading side. You're really top of class there anyway, so why would you want to grow that? This is the part of the business where they need to grow. They have had a very strong merchant banking franchise. Just on the traditional asset management side, not so much. That's why a couple of the deals we've seen gives them scale in the active ETF front, the Innovator Capital deal, the NEOS deal that they announced last month.

我的意思是,这是他们唯一寻求增长的领域。事实上,你可以论证说,你并不真正需要扩张银行板块或交易板块,因为这些领域你们本就处于顶尖水平,为何还要追求增长?这才是他们需要拓展的业务部分。他们在商人银行业务方面一直拥有非常强大的特许经营权,但在传统资产管理方面则相对较弱。这就是为什么我们看到的几笔交易——包括上个月宣布的创新者资本(Innovator Capital)交易和NEOS交易——旨在帮助他们在主动型ETF领域获得规模优势。

So those two deals actually immediately scales them up in active ETFs. If they go ahead with Palmer Square, that can give them optionality on CLOs. But what is clear is they're actively on the hunt. So if this deal comes through great, even if it doesn't come through, they will be looking for other opportunities because when Goldman Sachs CEO goes out there and says, will we be looking for more deals? Yes. Probably. You should take that as a very strong signal because he's very deliberate about the kinds of words he chooses, and that's the signal he's giving the market right now.

因此,这两笔交易实际上立即扩大了他们在活跃ETF领域的规模。如果他们继续推进Palmer Square的交易,这将为他们在CLO(担保贷款凭证)方面提供选择权。但显而易见的是,他们正在积极寻找机会。所以如果这笔交易达成,那就太好了;即使没有达成,他们也会寻找其他机会,因为当高盛CEO表示他们会寻找更多交易时,答案是肯定的,很可能如此。你应该将此视为一个非常强烈的信号,因为他对用词非常谨慎,而这正是他此刻向市场发出的信号。

更进一步:量化金融体系

看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力

进入量化体系 →

相似阅读

关联信息,但可能不是同一事件