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Meta发布AI智能体Muse引发芯片股大涨,AMD市值首破万亿

US-China continue talks in New York, Meta's Muse Agent Sparks Chip Rally

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AMD市值突破万亿是加密外股市的重要里程碑事件,直接反映AI应用落地对硬件需求的验证;建议关注半导体板块后续走势及Meta生态合作动态。

THIS IS THE ASIA TRADE. I AM SHERY AHN IN TOKYO. THE TOP STORIES THIS HOUR. ASIAN STOCKS SET FOR GAINS AS THE TECH RARELY SENDS WALL STREET TO ITS BEST DAY SINCE EARLY AUGUST. OIL PRICES EASING ON HOPES FOR A DIPLOMATIC PROCESS -- PROGRESS ON ENDING THE IRAN WAR. CHIPMAKERS SURGING ON EARLY SIGNS OF SUCCESS FOR THE NEW AI AGENT WITH AMD'S MARKET CAP TOPPING $1 TRILLION FOR THE FIRST TIME. ALSO AHEAD, VIETNAM'S PRESIDENT TELLS US EXCLUSIVELY HIS NATION IS VERY CLOSE TO A TRADE DEAL WITH THE U.S.

这里是亚洲贸易。我是驻东京的谢丽·安。本小时的头条新闻:亚洲股市有望上涨,科技股罕见推动华尔街迎来自8月初以来最佳交易日。油价因对结束伊朗战争的外交进程取得进展的希望而回落。芯片制造商股价飙升,新AI代理早期成功迹象显现,AMD市值首次突破1万亿美元。此外,越南总统独家告诉我们,其国家与美国达成贸易协议已非常接近。

AFTER MONTHS OF NEGOTIATIONS.

经过数月的谈判。

I'M STEPHEN ENGLE IN WASHINGTON WHERE PREPARATIONS ARE STEPPING UP FOR CHINESE PRESIDENT XI JINPING'S ESTATE VISIT ON THURSDAY. DESPITE AN UPBEAT EARLY MEETING, JAMIESON GREER IS SOUNDING A NOTE OF CAUTION THAT DIVISIONS DO REMAIN ON EXTENDING THAT TARIFF TRUCE. HAIDI: I AM HAIDI STROUD-WATTS IN SYDNEY. TAKE A LOOK AT THE SET UP AS WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR GEOPOLITICS IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND OF COURSE HEADING INTO THOSE KEY TALKS BETWEEN THE PRESIDENTS TRUMP AND XI JINPING.

我是驻华盛顿的斯蒂芬·恩格尔,习近平主席将于周四进行国事访问,准备工作正在加紧进行。尽管早期会晤气氛乐观,但杰米森·格里尔发出谨慎信号,指出在延长关税休战期方面仍存在分歧。海迪:我是驻悉尼的海迪·斯特劳德-沃茨。请看看我们的布置,我们将继续监测中东的地缘政治,当然还有即将举行的特朗普总统与习近平主席之间的关键会谈。

THIS IS THE PICTURE AS WE HEAD INTO THE ASIA OPEN LOOKING PRETTY OPTIMISTIC. POISED TO CLIMB AFTER THE TECH FUELED VALLEY ON WALL STREET. THE DROP IN OIL PRICES LIFTING SENTIMENT AS WELL, PROVIDING EXTRA SUPPORT THERE, PARTICULARLY AS IT HAS BEEN SO MUCH CONSTERNATION OVER WHAT THAT COULD FEED THROUGH TO LONGER-LASTING INFLATION. IF YOU TAKE A LOOK AT WHERE OIL PRICES ARE SITTING AT THE MOMENT, PRETTY STUDYING WITH THE BRENT CRUDE UP BY ALMOST 3.5%.

这是我们在亚洲开盘前看到的景象,看起来相当乐观。在科技股推动的华尔街大涨之后,蓄势待发。油价下跌也提振了市场情绪,提供了额外支撑,尤其是此前人们一直担忧这是否会引发更持久的通胀。如果你看看当前的油价水平,布伦特原油几乎上涨了3.5%,表现相当强劲。

THE FOUR DAY SLUMP PRETTY MUCH CONTINUING. MIDDLE EAST SUPPLY CONCERNS EASING. WE ARE TRACKING SOME OF THESE INCREASED -- DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS TO END THE U.S.-IRAQ WAR. WE ARE LOOKING AT SATELLITE DATA SHOWING THEM INSIDE THE GULF JUMPED OVER THE WEEKEND SO IT DOES SUGGEST THAT AT LEAST ON THE SAUDI FRONT, WE ARE SEEING THEM SHIFT BACK TOWARDS THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. WHICH IS ENCOURAGING FOR THE BROADER ENERGY CRISIS PICTURE.

四天的低迷态势基本仍在持续。中东供应担忧有所缓解。我们正在追踪一些旨在结束美伊战争的外交努力。我们查看卫星数据显示,周末期间该地区船只数量激增,这表明至少在沙特方面,我们看到局势正重新转向霍尔木兹海峡。这对更广泛的能源危机局面而言是一个积极信号。

GOLD UP ALMOST HALF A PERCENT. WE ARE CONTINUING TO WATCH TREASURIES THERE AS WELL. THE DOLLAR HAS BEEN UP AS WE SEE PERHAPS FED SPEAKERS SEEING THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE HIKES AHEAD. LET'S BRING IN OUR MLIV STRATEGIST, MARK CRANFIELD, FOR MORE ON MARKETS. IN ANY SENSE, WE HAVE A LOW LIQUIDITY ISSUE WITH JAPAN STILL ON HOLIDAYS AND PROBABLY A BIT OF RISK AVERSION GOING INTO THOSE TALKS AS WELL. WHAT ARE YOU WATCHING IN THE SESSION?

黄金上涨近0.5%。我们也在继续关注国债市场。美元走强,因为我们看到美联储官员可能暗示未来还有加息空间。让我们请MLIV策略师马克·克兰菲尔德谈谈市场情况。从某种意义上说,由于日本仍处于假日期间,我们面临流动性不足的问题,而且进入这些会谈之际,避险情绪可能也有所上升。你在交易中关注什么?

PEOPLE ON THE INSIDE, ESPECIALLY THOSE FOCUSED ON THE STATES, THEY COULD SEE THIS BREWING FOR SOME TIME ACTUALLY. THERE WAS A LOT OF TALK YESTERDAY ABOUT THE NASDAQ FUTURES, PEOPLE LOOKING AT THIS SO-CALLED INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN WHICH IS A VERY BULLISH TRIGGER FOR MARKETS. ALL HE NEEDED WAS A SPARK. META PLATFORMS -- AI WAS WELL RECEIVED AND YOU CAN SEE THE CONSEQUENCES WITH INTEL AND AMD. THOSE STOCKS RISING DRAMATICALLY AS WELL.

内部人士,尤其是那些专注于个股的人,其实已经看到这种情况酝酿了一段时间。昨天关于纳斯达克期货有很多讨论,人们关注这种所谓的头肩顶形态,这是市场非常看涨的信号。它只需要一个导火索。Meta平台——人工智能受到热烈欢迎,你可以从英特尔和AMD身上看到后果。这些股票也大幅上涨。

ALL THAT WE WERE WAITING FOR WAS SOMEONE TO JUST PUSH A MARKET A LITTLE BIT FURTHER. WE GOT A RALLY WHICH HAD REALLY BEEN COMING FOR SOME TIME. IF YOU THINK ABOUT WHAT HAS HAPPENED WITH THE NASDAQ IN PARTICULAR, GOING SIDEWAYS FOR A COUPLE OF MONTHS. THEY HAVE BEEN CLEANED OUT. PEOPLE IN NEUTRAL SPACE, COMING TOWARDS THE FOURTH QUARTER OF THE YEAR WHEN PEOPLE ARE TYPICALLY MORE BULLISH ON EQUITIES ANYWAY. EVERYTHING WAS FALLING NICELY INTO PLACE BUT ALL WE NEEDED WAS POSITIVE NEWS ON THE MEETINGS.

我们一直在等待有人稍微推动一下市场。我们迎来了一波反弹,这其实已经酝酿了相当长一段时间。如果你想想纳斯达克特别是发生了什么情况,横盘整理了好几个月。它们已经被清洗出局。处于中性状态的人们,正走向第四季度,无论如何,人们对股市通常会更加乐观。一切都在顺利发展,但我们只需要在会议方面有积极的新闻。

WE GOT THAT FROM SCOTT BESSENT. NEGOTIATIONS LOOK GOOD. THAT HELPS TO IMPROVE MARKET YESTERDAY. WE GET THE NEWS FROM META AND THE OTHER COMPANIES AS WELL AND YOU HAVE WHAT COULD BE A RALLY THAT COULD TAKE US THROUGH FOR SOME WEEKS AS LONG AS THE GEOPOLITICS STAYS IN THE BACKGROUND. OIL PRICES CONTINUE TO BE SIDEWAYS OR SLIGHTLY DOWN. EVERYTHING IS IN PLACE FOR THE MARKETS TO REFOCUS ON THE AI STORY AND FOR IT TO BE A PRETTY GOOD RUN OVER THE NEXT FEW WEEKS.

我们从斯科特·贝森特那里得到了这样的消息。谈判看起来不错。这有助于改善昨天的市场。我们也从Meta和其他公司获得了消息,如果地缘政治保持在背景中,这可能是一场能让我们持续数周的反弹。油价继续横盘或略有下跌。一切都为市场重新聚焦人工智能故事做好了准备,未来几周可能会有相当不错的行情。

A BIT OF FOMO AS WE MENTIONED, TOO. INVESTORS WANTING TO FRONTLOAD AHEAD OF WHAT IS GOING TO BE A VERY PATCHY WEEK HOLIDAY WISE IN ASIA. MARK: THE CALENDAR IS SUPPORTING THE RALLY AS WELL. YOU GOT JAPAN OFF AGAIN TODAY AND THEN SOUTH KOREA, CHINA, AND TAIWAN. PEOPLE WHO WOULD BE LOOKING AT JAPANESE COMPANIES ARE GOING TO BE FORCED INTO TAIWAN , INTO SOUTH KOREA. WHEN SOUTH KOREA GO ON HOLIDAY, PEOPLE WILL BE TRYING TO PLAY CATCH UP IN JAPAN.

正如我们提到的,也有一些错失恐惧症(FOMO)。投资者希望在亚洲假期周将是非常零散的一周之前提前布局。马克:日历也在支持这波反弹。今天日本休市,然后是韩国、中国和台湾。那些原本会关注日本公司的投资者将被迫转向台湾、韩国。当韩国放假时,人们将试图在日本补涨。

IT WILL BE A BIT SELF-FULFILLING BECAUSE OF THE COMPRESSION OF THE CALENDAR. MORE PEOPLE WILL BE GOING INTO THE LIMITED NUMBER OF STOCKS THAT ARE AVAILABLE TO TRADE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND THAT WILL ADD FUEL. AS LONG AS THE U.S. MARKET STAYS IN GOOD SHAPE AND WHEN YOU LOOK AT HOW THE SIZE OF THE RALLY YESTERDAY, IT'S PRETTY DRAMATIC. WE HAVE FED SPEAKERS WHO ARE SLIGHTLY HAWKISH YET THE MARKET JUST COMPLETELY IGNORED IT.

由于日历的压缩,这将自我实现。更多的人将进入接下来几天有限的可交易股票中,这将增添燃料。只要美国市场保持良好态势,当你看看昨天反弹的规模,那是非常显著的。我们有美联储发言人略微偏鹰派,但市场完全忽视了这一点。

IT'S A PRETTY TELLING FACTOR WHEN THE EQUITY MARKET ISN'T INTERESTED IN CENTRAL BANK SPEAKERS, DOESN'T CARE WHAT IS GOING ON IN THE BOND MARKET OR THE CURRENCY OR REALM, JUST COMPLETELY FOCUSED ON GETTING THINGS DONE AND TRYING TO MAXIMIZE THE AI STORY. THAT'S A VERY POWERFUL NARRATIVE AND IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL GO ON FOR SOME TIME. HAIDI: MARK CRANFIELD THERE. AS MENTIONED, AT THE CENTER OF THAT LATEST AI RALLY, THE U.S.

当股市对央行发言人不感兴趣,不关心债券市场、货币或房地产领域正在发生什么,而只是完全专注于把事情做成并试图最大化AI故事时,这是一个相当明显的信号。这是一个非常有力的叙事,而且看起来它还将持续一段时间。海迪:马克·克兰菲尔德在此。如前所述,在那轮最新的AI反弹潮的核心,美国

WAS META'S NEW AI AGENT, MUSE, ALLOWING USERS TO CREATE PERSONALIZED AI AGENTS CAPABLE OF CARRYING OUT TASKS ONLINE. FOR MORE ON THE IMPACT, WE ARE JOINED BY GLOBAL HEAD OF TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, MANDEEP SINGH. THIS IS NOT JUST ANOTHER CHATBOT. HOW SIGNIFICANT IS MUSE? MANDEEP: I MEAN, THIS IS PROBABLY THE BEST PERSONAL AGENT CHATBOT THAT WE HAVE SEEN SO FAR , AND CLEARLY, META, WITH ITS RICH HISTORY OF CONSUMERS IS ABLE TO PROVIDE A LOT MORE TAILORED EXPERIENCE.

是Meta推出的新AI助手Muse,允许用户创建能够在线执行任务的个性化AI助手。关于其影响,我们连线了全球技术研究主管曼迪普·辛格。这不仅仅是另一个聊天机器人。Muse有多重要?曼迪普:我的意思是,这可能是迄今为止我们见过的最好的个人助手聊天机器人,显然,Meta凭借其丰富的消费者历史,能够提供更多定制化的体验。

I THINK THE KEY CHALLENGE FOR SOMEONE LIKE META WOULD BE MAKING SURE THEY ARE ABLE TO DOLE OUT AN ECOSYSTEM AROUND THAT CHATBOT BECAUSE WE SAW THE NEWS ABOUT AMAZON CUTTING OFF MUSE. THAT IS THE RISK. YOU KNOW, META CANNOT SERVE THE CHATBOT EXPERIENCE AND TO END. THEY NEED AN ECOSYSTEM AND THAT IS WHERE THE LIKES OF AMAZON AND WALMART ARE GOING TO HAVE A ROLE TO PLAY. SHERY: TELL US A LITTLE BIT ABOUT HOW MUSE CAN DEVELOP THAT ECOSYSTEM AND THE RIVALRY WE ARE NOW STARTING TO SEE WITH AMAZON AS WELL.

我认为对于Meta这样的公司来说,关键挑战在于确保它们能够围绕该聊天机器人构建一个生态系统,因为我们看到了亚马逊切断与Muse合作的新闻。这就是风险所在。你知道,Meta不能独自提供聊天机器人体验。它们需要一个生态系统,这正是亚马逊和沃尔玛等公司将发挥作用的领域。谢丽:告诉我们一点关于Muse如何发展那个生态系统以及我们现在开始看到的与亚马逊的竞争情况。

MANDEEP: I THINK EVERY LARGE E-COMMERCE PROVIDER WILL BE VERY PROTECTIVE ABOUT, YOU KNOW, THEIR NETWORK EFFECTS AND THEIR VOTE. PEOPLE ARE USED TO GOING DIRECTLY TO AMAZON AND THE DIRECT TRAFFIC THAT AMAZON HAS ALLOWS THEM TO SHOW ADS WHICH IS A VERY BIG BUSINESS FOR THEM. IF AGENTS TAKE THE LEAD GENERATION OUT OF, YOU KNOW, THE DIRECT TRAFFIC THAT THESE MARKETPLACES HAVE, THAT WILL BE A BIG DEAL IN TERMS OF OWNING THE CUSTOMER AND HAVING THAT DIRECT INTERACTION.

曼迪普:我认为每个大型电子商务提供商都会非常保护它们的网络效应和投票权(注:此处vote疑为voice或market share之误,按字面译)。人们已经习惯于直接访问亚马逊,而亚马逊拥有的直接流量使他们能够展示广告,这对他们来说是一门非常大的生意。如果代理从这些市场拥有的直接流量中接管了潜在客户生成工作,那在拥有客户和实现直接互动方面将是一件大事。

THAT IS WHERE THE AGENTS ARE SOLVING A REAL PROBLEM IN TERMS OF SOME OF THE FRICTION POINTS THAT ARE THERE WHEN YOU ARE SHOPPING ON AMAZON OR SHOPPING ON ANY OTHER MARKETPLACE BECAUSE IT TAKES A LOT OF TIME TO FIND THE RIGHT PRODUCT. AGENTS CAN DO IT ON YOUR BEHALF. BOTH NEED EACH OTHER BUT CLEARLY, YOU KNOW, THE INCUMBENTS WOULD TRY TO MAKE SURE THAT THEY LAUNCH THEIR OWN AGENTS WHICH I EXPECT AMAZON TO DO THAT AND APPLE AND GOOGLE.

正是在这一点上,代理解决了购物时存在的一些摩擦点问题,无论是在亚马逊购物还是在任何其他市场购物,因为找到合适的产品需要花费大量时间。代理可以代表你完成这一任务。双方都需要彼此,但显然, incumbents(现有巨头)会试图确保推出自己的代理,我预计亚马逊、苹果和谷歌都会这样做。

THEY ALL LAUNCH THEIR AGENTS. THE QUESTION IS WHICH ONE WILL HAVE THE STICKINESS AND THE NETWORK EFFECTS WE HAVE SEEN IN INTERNET MARKETPLACES. SHERY: IT'S REALLY GIVING THE MARKETS ANOTHER BOOST WHEN IT COMES TO THE AI TRADE, RIGHT? HOW MUCH OF WHAT META HAS DONE RIGHT NOW IS THE EVIDENCE THAT WE ARE GOING TO SEE THE AI AND R.O.I. SORT OF CONNECTION, ESPECIALLY AFTER THOSE $200 BILLION OF INVESTMENTS OR SO FROM META?

它们都在推出自己的智能体。问题在于,哪一个能像我们在互联网市场中看到的那样,具备粘性和网络效应。谢丽:在人工智能交易方面,这确实给市场带来了另一轮提振,对吧?从 Meta 目前所做的事情来看,有多少证据表明我们将看到人工智能与 ROI(投资回报率)之间的某种联系,尤其是在 Meta 进行了约 2000 亿美元的投资之后?

MANDEEP: WE WERE TRYING TO FIGURE META OUT WHAT -- FIGURE OUT WHAT META WAS GOING TO DO. ESPECIALLY WHEN IT COMES TO PERSONALIZED AGENT USE CASE. FROM THAT PERSPECTIVE, I THINK ALL THE COMPUTE CAPACITY THAT THEY HAVE BUILT FOR INTERNAL CONSUMPTION COULD BE PUT TO GOOD USE IF THIS OFFERING TAKES OFF AND META MAY NOT HAVE LAUNCH A CLOUD OFFERING A LOT OF US WERE EXPECTING TO HAPPEN SOMETIME SOON. HAIDI: GOOD TO HAVE YOU WITH US, MANDEEP SINGH.

曼迪普:我们一直在试图弄清楚 Meta 打算做什么——弄清楚 Meta 将会采取什么行动。特别是在个性化智能体用例方面。从这个角度来看,我认为他们为内部消费而构建的所有计算能力,如果这项服务能够起飞,就能得到很好的利用。Meta 可能不会推出云服务,而我们许多人原本预计它很快就会有相关举措。海迪:很高兴你能和我们在一起,曼迪普·辛格。

STILL AHEAD ON THE ASIA TRADE, VIETNAM'S PRESIDENT TELLS US EXCLUSIVELY THAT A U.S. TRADE DEAL IS CLOSE WITH NONTARIFF BARRIERS IN SHIPMENTS AMONG THE FINAL STICKING POINTS.

亚洲贸易方面仍有后续报道:越南总统独家告诉我们,一项对美贸易协议已接近达成,货物运输中的非关税壁垒是最后的分歧点。

WE ALSO DO NOT A

我们也不 A

原文超出正文长度上限,此处截断——上游还有内容,完整版见上方「原文 ↗」。

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