比特币站上50周均线，分析师称牛市信号置信度约80%
Bitcoin Bull Market Engaged? 50-Week Moving Average Flips Bullish
Bitcoin Magazine
比特币杂志
Bitcoin Bull Market Engaged? 50-Week Moving Average Flips Bullish
比特币牛市已启动？50周均线转为看涨信号
Bitcoin just closed a weekly candle above its 50-week simple moving average for the first time this cycle, and Sean Hagan puts roughly 80% confidence on this being a genuine regime change. In this Chart of the Day, he and Grace Remington break down why this indicator has historically marked the line between bull and bear regimes, what one additional weekly close would confirm, and the only two times in Bitcoin’s history the signal didn’t hold. With Bitcoin up nearly 10% on the week and pushing through $86K, the timing lines up almost exactly with the one-year window from all-time high to cycle bottom.
本周期内，比特币首次收于50周简单移动平均线上方。肖恩·哈根（Sean Hagan）对此视为真正市场格局转变的信心约为80%。在“每日图表”中，他与格蕾丝·雷明顿（Grace Remington）深入剖析了该指标为何在历史上能区分牛市与熊市格局、需要再一个周度收盘确认什么，以及比特币历史上该信号失效的仅有的两次情况。本周比特币涨幅近10%，并突破86,000美元大关，这一时间点几乎恰好符合从历史最高点到周期底部的整整一年窗口期。
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免责声明：本节目所表达的观点和意见均为参与者个人观点，不一定反映BTC Inc.、比特币杂志或任何关联实体的官方政策或立场。本内容仅供信息参考和教育目的，不应被视为投资、法律、税务或会计建议。本节目中的任何内容均不构成证券或金融工具的招揽、推荐、背书或买卖要约。观众在做出财务或商业决策前应咨询自己的顾问。
This post Bitcoin Bull Market Engaged? 50-Week Moving Average Flips Bullish first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.
本文《比特币牛市已启动？50周均线转为看涨信号》首发于比特币杂志，作者为帕特里克·格林（Patrick Green）。
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