美联储主席Warsh称加息是审慎决定
Fed Chair Warsh Says Rate Hike Was 'Sober Decision'
美联储主席首次公开定性加息为“审慎决定”，并明确拒绝前瞻性指引，这对理解当前货币政策框架与未来利率路径有直接参考价值，建议关注后续点阵图与数据依赖表述。
Colby. Thank you. Colby Swift in the New York Times. When the Fed starts raising rates, it generally follows with a sequence of hikes. Is there anything different in today's assessment of the economic conditions that would suggest that the typical pattern does not apply? And I guess second to that, what impact do you expect higher rates to have at this juncture if the bulk of what is keeping inflation elevated is stemming from supply shocks?
科尔比。谢谢你。《纽约时报》的科尔比·斯威夫特。当美联储开始加息时，通常会跟随一系列加息。在当前对经济状况的评估中，是否有任何不同之处表明典型的模式不适用？其次，如果大部分推高通胀的因素源于供给冲击，你预计利率升高在当下会产生什么影响？
So we're trying to get to more people. So I get to cherry pick my preferred question from you, Colby. This won't surprise you. I'm not in the forward guidance business. The decision we made today was a sober decision, serious decision, responsible decision, one that we have been preparing for and thinking about in my hundred and ten or twenty days here. You heard from other people in the dots effectively what their forecasts are.
所以我们正努力让更多人了解。因此我可以从你那里挑选我偏好的问题，科尔比。这不会让你惊讶。我不从事前瞻性指引业务。我们今天做出的决定是一个冷静、严肃且负责任的决定，这是我在这大约一百一十天或二十天里一直在准备和思考的。你通过点阵图听到了其他人实际上对他们的预测。
I'm not gonna prejudge any future decisions we make. You might have heard me say in Jackson Hole, I committed to a discipline, a set of principles. I committed to look outside the window and see what I can observe. That's what I did in Jackson. That's what we did today.
我不会预先判断我们未来做出的任何决定。你可能在杰克逊霍尔听过我说，我承诺遵循一种纪律、一套原则。我承诺看向窗外，观察我能看到什么。我在杰克逊霍尔就是这样做的。我们今天也是这样做的。
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