香港首份五年规划将公布,聚焦北部都会区
Hong Kong's Unprecedented Five-Year Plan
Now I'm here in Hong Kong, where chief executive John Lee is set to unveil the city's first ever five year plan. The blueprint seeks to align priorities with Beijing by preserving Hong Kong's capitalist system here, a bastion of capitalism that really has built this financial hub. You're watching the China show. I'm Yvonne Man and good morning, I'm David Glass. We are counting down to the opening of these markets across Greater China.
现在我身处香港,行政长官李家超即将公布该市首个五年计划。该蓝图旨在通过在此保留香港的资本主义制度——这一真正铸就了这座金融中心的资本主义堡垒——来与北京的重点保持一致。您正在收看《中国秀》。我是Yvonne Man,早上好,我是David Glass。我们正倒计时开启大中华区各地的市场。
Let's get to your top stories today. The U.S. ten year yield settles below 5% after hitting its highest level in decades. And that's as traders brace for an upcoming fed rate hike. Tech stocks are trading mix after a meeting between Howard, Left Neck and anthropic executives. Now, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Benson says he is meeting with Chinese Vice Premier Li Fung. That's ahead of a summit between President XI and President Trump on the agenda.
让我们来看看今天的首要新闻。美国十年期国债收益率在触及数十年高点后回落至5%以下。随着交易员为即将到来的美联储加息做准备,科技股在霍华德·卢特尼克(Howard Lutnick)与Anthropic高管会晤后出现涨跌互现的交易态势。目前,美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特(Scott Bessent)表示他正与中国副总理李强会面。这发生在习近平主席与特朗普总统的峰会议程之前。
The war in Iran and Beijing imposed a sweeping exit rules on Chinese citizens seeking to protect state secrets, sensitive technology, and skilled talent from foreign influence. Good morning once again to all our viewers is joining us right now. Some special coverage given it's a very big day in Hong Kong. I know we say that on a semi-regular basis, but this one is very different. Of course, we were talking about this time yesterday in the lead up today.
伊朗战争以及北京对寻求保护国家机密、敏感技术和高端人才免受外国影响的中国公民实施了广泛的出境限制。再次向所有此刻与我们一起观看节目的观众道一声早安。鉴于今天是香港的一个重大日子,我们提供了一些特别报道。我知道我们半定期地这么说,但这次非常不同。当然,我们昨天这个时候就在讨论今天的预热情况。
What are we expecting out of John Lee today? Yeah, it's a big day for Hong Kong, as you say a big day for the chief executive, John Lee. He has put his personal stamp on this new blueprint that he has set to avail in just about two hours time, and it's going to be a first for Hong Kong, this sort of top down economic framing. This is a planning tool that has largely been used by the mainland's Communist Party since 1953.
我们对李家超今天的表现有何期待?是的,正如你所说,这对香港来说是一个大日子,对行政长官李家超来说也是一个大日子。他在这份新蓝图上盖上了个人印记,这份蓝图将在大约两小时后公布,这将是香港的首次,这种自上而下的经济框架规划。这是一种自1953年以来主要由中国大陆共产党使用的规划工具。
There, we're talking about seven decades now. Up until now, Hong Kong has been much more of a capitalist sort of system here, more free market, externally driven. And so how Hong Kong aligns its priorities with the mainland mainland's national strategy is certainly going to be very interesting here. We're set to hear that from John Lee about what that sort of project is going to look like here. And certainly the key question is, is Hong Kong going to set an economic target similar to what we see in mainland China?
如今我们已经谈论了七十年。迄今为止,香港一直更多是一种资本主义体系,更加自由市场,由外部驱动。因此,香港如何使其重点与大陆的国家战略保持一致,这里无疑将非常有趣。我们将聆听李家超阐述该项目在这里将呈现何种面貌。关键问题无疑是,香港是否会设定一个类似于中国大陆所见的经济目标?
Of course, you know, recently China has been a little bit less quantitative when it comes to their growth targets. But certainly what form that could take, what macro indicators we could see for Hong Kong and what is going to be the new growth driver. The centerpiece of this five year plan is going to be the northern metropolis. This is, of course, that new zone that borders with Shenzhen. This is set to be the gateway to the greater Bay area here with science parks, housing units, commercial floor area, as well as building this sort of university town that could be five times more the size of Manhattan.
当然,你们知道,最近中国在设定增长目标时措辞稍微不那么量化了。但肯定的是,这种变化会采取何种形式、我们能看到香港的哪些宏观指标,以及新的增长驱动力是什么。这份五年计划的核心将是北部都会区。这当然是指与深圳接壤的那个新区域。这里被定位为大湾区的门户,将建设科学园、住宅单位、商业楼面面积,以及一座规模可能是曼哈顿五倍多的大学城。
So certainly there's a very ambitious urban development planning that is underway there as well. So what would determine success of that as Hong Kong, of course, diversifies away from its traditional growth drivers, whether it's property finance trade to more of these key industries like I microelectronics, uh, advanced manufacturing, the like. So certainly if we get any details on what these sort of metrics could look like for this northern metropolis could be quite telling, especially for the private sector where they can further take part in this urban development.
因此,那里确实正在进行非常雄心勃勃的城市发展规划。那么,随着香港从传统的房地产、金融和贸易等增长动力转向更多像微电子、先进制造等关键产业,什么将决定其成功?当然,如果我们能获得关于这座北部都会区这些指标可能呈现形态的任何细节,这将极具指示意义,尤其是对于私营部门而言,他们可以进一步参与这项城市发展。
Yep. Of course, we're stay tuned, of course, for our special coverage there, uh, with Yvonne just outside here today. And of course, we are going to be counting down, of course, to that address, uh, from John Lee. And I think as Yvonne was just pointing out there. Of course, we have lots of conversations coming through on the ground there where she is. Michelle Kwok of HSBC and says Raymond Young will be joining us, as well as Cara, saying there, uh, I'm of course to talk all things, uh, investment here on the China show.
是的。当然,我们将持续关注我们的特别报道,尤妮斯今天就在现场外面。当然,我们也将倒计时等待特首李家超的讲话。我想正如尤妮斯刚才所指出的那样,当然,我们在现场收到了大量对话,汇丰银行的郭美贞表示雷蒙德·杨也将加入我们要讨论的所有投资话题,卡拉也说,当然,在这里的中国秀节目中谈论所有投资事宜。
It's a big day. As we were talking about yesterday, Seung Gong, the eager young gay hwa. All right, uh, that takes a straight into the market action today. Uh, we're looking at us. Futures coming up. Costs B, Taiwan is coming online. Steady as she goes ahead of the Fed's three day look at a ten year yield. Just below. Just above. And where we are currently back below that five handle there 4.99%. Uh it's also a big day as it pertains to Chinese commodities.
这是重大的一天。正如我们昨天所讨论的,Seung Gong,那位充满热情的年轻分析师。好吧,接下来直接进入今天的市场动态。我们关注美股期货即将出炉。台湾股市也上线了。在美联储为期三天的会议前,市场稳步前行,十年期收益率略低于4.99%这一整数关口,目前又回到该关口下方。就中国商品而言,这也是重大的一天。
So obviously the Iran situation goes into where you are on this record level on Shanghai crude. We've never been at this record 3%. On the upside, Shanghai, this is the delivered price, of course. Uh, on energy, uh, we're looking at okay. Now that's supposed to be uh, iron ore prices. The conversation around steel mills and the industry body calling for output curbs. One to watch as we go into the session today. A50 futures we have a 30 year Cegb sale and dollar trying to back above 671.
显然,伊朗局势将影响上海原油创下的这一纪录水平。我们从未达到过3%的纪录高位。在上涨方面,上海这是交付价格,当然。嗯,在能源方面,嗯,我们正在观察情况。现在这应该是铁矿石价格。围绕钢铁厂和行业机构呼吁限制产量的讨论。这是我们今天进入交易时段时需要关注的一个因素。A50期货我们有30年期Cegb抛售,美元试图回升至671上方。
Also very much in focus that a given of course to comeback in the US dollar and a 30 year yield. Yeah there we go. You know north of 5% on the US 30 were sub 2.2 on the Chinese 30 year ago. Okay. That takes us straight into the conversations that are on the long end. You have Treasury Secretary Scott betting of course, that separately, he will be meeting his Chinese counterpart, Kelly Fung, this weekend. That comes ahead of this planned summit between the two president later next week with China.
同样受到高度关注的是,当然,美国国债收益率和30年期收益率的回归。是的,我们看到了。你知道,美国30年期国债收益率在5%以上,而中国30年期国债收益率此前低于2.2%。好的。这直接引出了关于长期债券的讨论。你当然知道财政部长斯科特·贝森特(Scott Bessent)表示,他将单独与中国 counterparts 冯国(Feng Guo)在本周末会面。这发生在下下周计划举行的两国总统峰会之前,与中国。
We have had some very good private discussions, and I look forward to those continuing this weekend when I meet my Chinese counterpart, the the Vice Minister, we Fung, and I'm sure it will continue during President XI. Straight state visit. For more on this, let's bring in our Chief North Asia correspondent. Stephen Engle is here with us on set, but he, in a few days will be headed to Washington for the summit. That's right.
我们已经进行了一些非常好的私下讨论,我期待这些讨论在本周末当我与我的中国 counterparts,副部长冯国(Feng Guo)会面时继续下去,我相信在习近平主席对美国的正式访问期间也会继续。更多关于此的内容,让我们请出我们的首席北亚记者斯蒂芬·恩格尔(Stephen Engel)。他此刻就在演播室与我们在一起,但他将在几天后前往华盛顿参加峰会。没错。
I mean, look, of the people I've talked to in the lead up to this summit dating back to the May summit in Beijing, is that there haven't been a lot of at least public or high level talks. You heard Scott Benson just talk about a lot of good private conversations, but they haven't really indicated what the deliverables might be. We know that the Chinese leadership and those who are preparing for this, another summit that's coming up within a week from tomorrow, uh, want deliverables for Xi Jinping to go to all the way to Washington, D.C.?
我的意思是,你看,自今年5月在北京举行的峰会以来,在这次峰会筹备期间我交谈过的人中,至少没有太多公开或高层级的会谈。你刚才听到斯科特·贝森特(Scott Bessent)谈到许多良好的私下对话,但他们并没有真正表明可能取得的成果是什么。我们知道,中国领导层以及为即将到来的、距离明天仅有一周的另一次峰会做准备的人士,希望能为习近平主席提供成果,让他一路前往华盛顿特区?
What are the Chinese going to be asking for? We already know that they sort of set a priority that Taiwan is a red line. They re-emphasize that there were reports that they could even possibly cancel this summit if Donald Trump pushes the go button on that 4 billion pending arms sales package to Taiwan. That would be quite an interesting development if he chooses to do that either before, during or after. But right now, it looks as though Scott Besson and Holly Fung will be meeting along with Jamison Greer, the US Trade Representative, and some of the negotiators from the Chinese side.
中方将会提出什么要求?我们已经知道,他们大致上将台湾设定为一条红线。他们再次强调,有报道称,如果唐纳德·特朗普按下那笔40亿美元对台军售待决方案的“启动键”,他们甚至可能取消此次峰会。如果他选择在此前、期间或之后这样做,那将是一个相当有趣的进展。但目前看来,斯科特·贝森森(Scott Besson)和何立峰将与美国贸易代表贾米森·格里尔(Jamison Greer)以及中方的一些谈判代表会面。
We're hearing from the FDA that it's going to be in New York on Sunday, but we we have reporting that it's going to be this weekend. So it's sort of an ADHD approach to these, you know, delayed, um, procrastination to get to real high level talks ahead of and maybe kind of negotiate some of those deliverables, uh, for the next Thursday when they meet, they have a state dinner and the like. But what's going to come out of this?
我们听到FDA方面表示活动将在周日于纽约举行,但我们的报道显示活动将在本周末进行。因此,对于这些旨在在周四正式会晤前推进高层会谈并可能就交付成果进行谈判的活动来说,这种拖延策略有点像ADHD(注意力缺陷多动障碍)式的做法。周四他们会面时还将举行国宴等活动。但这次会谈会有什么结果呢?
Expectations are fairly low, but there could be some. There's obviously be discussions on Iran. Uh, Besant wants to talk to, uh, Hu-lee Fung about sanctions. And the war is now at least seven months long, and I is going to be probably very high on the agenda. Given what has happened, no doubt with the dialogue over the last week since anthropic put out that big paper 3800 pages about the threat to humanity that I opposes, China has said that's fear mongering.
预期相对较低,但也可能存在一些。显然会有关于伊朗的讨论。贝森想与何立峰讨论制裁问题。这场战争已经持续了至少七个月,人工智能议题很可能排在议程的高位。鉴于过去一周发生的种种情况——Anthropic发布了一份长达3800页的关于AI对人类威胁的大报告,中国方面称这是制造恐慌——毫无疑问,这将成为焦点。
Uh, also, we have Chinese state media coming out today
此外,今天中国官方媒体也发表了相关声明
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