美国参议院拟就加密法案投票，市场关注通过概率与利率决议

The Senate is supposed to vote on the Clarity Act next week. Banks would shift trillions into this market overnight. Thousands of people, maybe even you, if you hold a little bit of it, would become millionaires overnight. How crypto performs the rest of this year, September, October, November, December, all come down to what happens this week. The stakes have literally never been higher. My name is Aaron. This is Altcoin Daily.

If you appreciate us keeping you informed every day, lightly tap the like button and also share this video on your social media. The more people who watch videos like this, the higher crypto prices go. So, let's talk about what happens next with crypto and markets. I'll explain everything to you in the next four to five minutes or less. So, pay attention and let's start here. Crypto is heading into its biggest week ever.

Two major catalysts, which to be honest, the market is anticipating bearish consequences. The first is the Clarity Act Senate vote. 76% odds clarity fails to pass this year per leading prediction markets and then the Fed's FOMC meeting decision where there is now 87% odds the first rate hike happens in three years. The market is anticipating both of these will be bearish catalysts for crypto. And then what else? What else is happening this week?

Let me know in the comments. So, it's easy to find analysts on YouTube and Twitter and mainstream media pontificating why things break bearish this week. But let's talk about why this week might turn out bullish. This is the counternarrative that hardly anybody else is talking about. The Clarity Act passes in Senate this week and the Fed holds rates steady. Well, with everybody expecting Bitcoin and ETH to go down, what would happen to them in this environment?

With Bitcoin looking like it's ready to turn over and many predicting it. Let's talk about if each one of these catalysts breaks bullish. Again guys, smash the like button if you appreciate our daily content keeping you informed. With rate hikes likely this week, 85% plus chance a 25 basis point interest rate hike happens. The Fed's first rate hike in roughly 3 years. Again, understand this is basically priced in. This is what the market thinks is likely.

Has everybody forgotten about why Kevin Worsh was appointed in the first place? Here's the counternarrative. Trump picked Kevin Worsh on purpose. Wouldn't you think that not hiking rates before midterms would have to be a prerequisite for Trump to nominate him in the first place? And if that's the case, are we really supposed to believe that his handpicked Fed chair hikes rates the month before midterms? And the point to all of this is maybe the obvious trade, which is priced into the market, isn't so obvious.

What do you think about this? Let me know in the comments. Subscribe to Altcoin Daily for daily videos keeping you informed just like this. Now, let's talk about the Clarity Act passing against all odds in Senate this week because things are happening even tonight, Sunday night. But first of all, I want to show you this. It's actually kind of crazy the way the mainstream media is pumping up excitement about the Clarity Act vote this week.

Say what you want about analysts like myself on YouTube. Hey, I'm bullish. I'm a believer. It's surprising that the mainstream media is pumping up hype and being this bullish. If you hold a little bit of crypto, you could become a millionaire overnight. The Senate is supposed to vote on the Clarity Act next week. Whether or not they will, who knows? I I I've been talking about a lot about this. Most people don't trade crypto, and that's okay.

But it will affect everybody because it allows your retirement from some institutional investor, your pension or your even your assets in a bank account that has regulations to now be invested into cryptocurrency. Banks would shift trillions into this market overnight. Thousands of people, maybe even you, if you hold a little bit of it, would become millionaires overnight. This would create a temporary cheaper money in in the economy while the admin can then focus on bringing diesel prices back down.

But now let's get down to substance because in the final days, in the final hours, they are still trying to get this across the finish line, both sides. So with 60 votes needed to advance the Clarity Act in Senate this week, President Trump at the end of last week met with advisers to discuss what can they do with the ethics language in the bill to get the 60 votes needed. The outcome of this meeting was undisclosed.

However, and do not take this for granted. This is not something that happens lightly. Breaking news. Senate Democrats are set to meet tonight to discuss the Cryptoclarity Act. Of course, ethics will be a big thing talked about. This is happening on a Sunday night on a weekend. Hm. Bullish surprise loading perhaps, but they're just too far apart on ethics. What exactly can happen? Well, all eyes are on an amendment that Senator Tillis and Galgo proposed this week, a compromise targeting the conflict of interest and crypto entanglement rules within the digital asset market clarity act.

Key elements of this proposal are enforcement, expansion, and addressing official entanglements. And again, this is to get those 60 votes to pass the bill. So with 60 votes needed, with the vote on Tuesday going into Monday, the White House will have to weigh in on the Tillis Galligo proposal. And hopefully they can come to agreement and hopefully this is what bridges the gap.

You're not getting 60 votes no matter what without an ethics resolution. The White House is going to have to come out and say something on the ethics proposal from Senators Tillis and Ggo. There hasn't been a lot of commentary over the last five or six weeks since that proposal initially went to the White House. I am hopeful that over the next few days as there's continued negotiations that we have a vote scheduled that Senate Majority Leader Thun is committed to keeping this vote at 2:15 next Tuesday that we start to see some smoke from the White House that we start to see some back and forth paper moving from Senate Democrats, specifically Senator Ggo, who's leading the conversations and the White House.

Tensions are high, however, as Coinbase's vice chair and head of corporate affairs calls out the Senate ahead of Tuesday's crypto vote, saying, "If you fail to pass this, we get no consumer protection. We get no new enforcement tools, no framework to help address illicit finance." He's he's looking Senate directly in the eye and calling them out. Hopefully, not too little, too late. If you fail to pass this bill, if the Senate fails to pass this bill, you get no new consumer protections, you get no new law enforcement tools, and you get no new framework to help address elicit finance.

What is your confidence that this will get resolved before the midterm elections? Give us your odds.

Yeah. Well, the important thing is that it's time to stop talking and start voting. Right. Over the last few weeks, what we've seen is actually a broader coalition of groups, law enforcement, major Wall Street heavyweights, and millions of crypto voters coming together because they've taken the time to digest what's in this bill, and they realize it's critical because after a year of of bipartisan negotiations and compromise, the Senate is faced with a very stark choice.

Do you adopt comprehensive federal oversight in the the space, or do you stick with the status quo? And the status quo prevents a stark contrast, which is to say, if you fail to pass this bill, if the Senate fails to pass this bill, you get no new consumer protections, you get no new law enforcement tools, and you get no new framework to help address elicit finance. So, I'm hopeful that senators will elevate policy over politics and get this across the finish line.

But as we've been reporting to you and as the industry understands, if the Clarity