HN热帖呼吁Anthropic开放模型权重以遏制AI发展
An open letter to Dario: if you mean it, open the weights
An open letter to Dario: if you mean it, open the weights!
致达里奥的一封公开信:如果你真心实意,就开放权重吧!
Sep 12, 2026
2026年9月12日
Dear Dario,
亲爱的达里奥:
You published We Must Pace the Frontier today, which committed Anthropic to embedded third-party evaluators and asked governments to require every other frontier company to match. Sam Altman agreed within hours.1
你今天发表了《我们必须控制前沿步伐》一文,承诺Anthropic将嵌入第三方评估者,并呼吁各国政府要求其他所有前沿公司跟进。山姆·阿尔特曼在几小时内表示同意。1
The stated goal is to slow down the pace of AI progress.
其公开宣称的目标是减缓人工智能进步的节奏。
I believe you’re being sincere, so I’m asking you to call for a different law, one that would actually slow things down, even though it would require real sacrifice on your part.
我相信你是真诚的,因此我请求你呼吁制定一部不同的法律,一部真正能减缓进展的法律,尽管这需要你做出真正的牺牲。
Any AI model a company offers to the public has to be released as open weights.
任何公司向公众提供的AI模型都应以开放权重的形式发布。
This wouldn’t cover every model you train, just the ones you make available to the public. Internal and research models wouldn’t be affected, and governments could still get access to unreleased models.
这不会涵盖你训练的所有模型,仅涵盖你向公众提供的那些。内部模型和研发模型不受影响,政府仍可访问未发布的模型。
But Anthropic would have to publish Fable’s weights the day it was released, OpenAI would have to do the same with Astra, and so would everyone else.
但Anthropic必须在Fable发布当天公布其权重,OpenAI也必须对Astra采取同样措施,其他所有人也是如此。
As you know, funding for frontier model development depends on valuations that assume the weights remain proprietary. By changing that assumption, we can reduce the money available for future training runs and slow progress at every lab at once, without a regulator deciding anything.
正如你所知,前沿模型开发的资金依赖于假设权重保持专有的估值。通过改变这一假设,我们可以减少未来训练运行的可用资金,同时减缓所有实验室的进展,而无需监管机构做出任何决定。
Every regulation you’ve asked for ends in capture
你所要求的所有监管最终都会导致监管俘获
There’s no slowing down frontier models by regulation that wouldn’t lead to regulatory capture. Embedded evaluators, compute thresholds, industry coordination with antitrust waivers. All of it gets written with the help of the current frontier labs, because nobody else understands the technical details well enough to write it.
没有任何监管能够减缓前沿模型的进展而不导致监管俘获。嵌入式评估者、算力阈值、带有反垄断豁免的行业协调。所有这些都是在当前前沿实验室的帮助下制定的,因为没有人比他们更了解足以起草这些规则的技术细节。
Once it’s law, it only gets more complex, because every incident adds a rule and no rule ever gets removed. The big companies can afford the compliance teams and lawyers to keep up, and each new requirement makes it harder for anyone else to catch them. Instead of slowing you down, it protects your position and profits.
一旦成为法律,它就会变得更加复杂,因为每次事故都会增加一条规则,而没有任何规则会被移除。大公司可以负担得起合规团队和律师来跟上变化,而每一项新要求都会让其他人更难追上它们。这不仅没有减缓你的步伐,反而保护了你的地位和利润。
Why I’m asking you
我为何向你提出此请求
You seem like a good and principled person, and you have a record of giving things up for what you believe. You left OpenAI to start a company with safety built in from the beginning, when the safe career move was to stay.2 You’ve spent years asking for regulation of your own industry and getting called a doomer and a regulatory capturer for it.3 You pushed for export controls that shrink your own market. Anthropic paid $1.5 billion to settle with authors rather than fight to the end.4 And today you committed to slowing down before anyone else did.
你看起来是个善良且有原则的人,并且你有为信念而放弃既得利益的记录。在安分守己的职业选择是留下的时候,你却离开了 OpenAI,去创办一家从诞生之初就内置安全机制的公司。2 多年来,你一直呼吁对自己所在的行业进行监管,并因此被指责为“末日论者”和“监管俘获者”。3 你推动出口管制措施,即使这会缩小你自己的市场。Anthropic 支付了 15 亿美元与作者和解,而不是战斗到底。4 而今天,你承诺在其他人之前放慢脚步。
You also had the foresight to make Anthropic a PBC (Public Benefit Corporation), so you can legally put the mission first:
你还具有远见,将 Anthropic 设立为 PBC(公益公司),从而在法律上可以将使命置于首位:
The responsible development and maintenance of advanced AI for the long-term benefit of humanity.
为了人类的长远利益,负责任地开发和维护先进人工智能。
This is exactly the kind of mission over short-term profit decision the PBC structure exists for. You remain the only person who could propose a law like this and be taken seriously, and the only one likely to actually do it.
这正是 PBC 结构旨在支持的、使命高于短期利润的决策类型。你是唯一能提出此类法律建议并被认真对待的人,也是唯一可能真正付诸实施的人。
If you really want to slow down frontier AI, call for a law that makes every publicly available model open weights. There’s nothing in it to game or dodge, even for you.
如果你真的想放缓前沿 AI 的发展,请呼吁制定一项法律,要求所有公开可用的模型都开放权重。其中没有任何可以操纵或规避的空间,即使对你也是如此。
Hacker News Discuss on Bluesky
Hacker News 在 Bluesky 上的讨论
- Politico’s coverage has Altman’s “I agree with Dario that we need to pace the frontier” and OpenAI matching the evaluator commitment. ↩︎
- Dario, his sister Daniela, and several other OpenAI researchers left at the end of 2020 to found Anthropic. He described the reasoning in a 2023 Fortune interview. ↩︎
- His own words from today’s essay are that Anthropic advocates for regulation “even when this gets us accused of hype, ‘doomerism’, or regulatory capture.” ↩︎
- Bartz v. Anthropic, the largest copyright settlement in history. ↩︎
- Politico 的报道引用了 Altman 的话:“我同意 Dario 的观点,我们需要控制前沿技术的发展步伐”,以及 OpenAI 对评估者承诺的回应。 ↩︎
- Dario、他的姐姐 Daniela 以及其他几位 OpenAI 研究人员于 2020 年底离开,创立了 Anthropic。他在 2023 年接受《财富》杂志采访时描述了这一决定的原因。 ↩︎
- 他在今日文章中的原话是,Anthropic 倡导监管,“即使这让我们被指责为炒作、‘末日论’或监管俘获”。 ↩︎
- Bartz v. Anthropic,这是历史上最大的版权和解案。 ↩︎
更进一步:量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力