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沙特关闭东西输油管道,美债收益率走高

Bloomberg News Now: 9/11 Memorial

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沙特关键基础设施受损直接冲击全球原油供应预期,叠加美国通胀粘性引发加息博弈,双重宏观变量共振,建议密切关注油价波动及美债收益率走势对资产定价的影响。

Knew was what he wanted with Bloomberg News now. I'm Matt Piper. Stocks rose with the S&P rising 0.9 percent as equity buyers stepped in to halt a four day drop amid a decline in oil prices, tempering concerns about inflationary pressures. The Dow took in 509 points. The S&P was up 65, the Nasdaq up 251. Meantime, a key reading on consumer prices showed little progress toward the Fed's goal last month. But the market reaction suggests the data may induce fed tightening.

现在知道他对彭博新闻想要什么了。我是马特·派珀。随着油价下跌,股市上涨,标普500指数上涨0.9%,股权买家介入以阻止连续四天的下跌,缓解了人们对通胀压力的担忧。道琼斯指数上涨509点。标普500指数上涨65点,纳斯达克指数上涨251点。与此同时,一项关键的消费者价格指数读数显示,上个月在向美联储目标迈进方面进展甚微。但市场反应表明,这些数据可能会促使美联储收紧政策。

The upcoming fed decision next week looms larger, with August measures of core inflation coming in warmer than expected. And markets are waiting to see if the central bank will hike next week or hold steady. Brent has been holding steady around $105 a barrel, WTI at 100. But that could change soon. That's because Saudi Arabia has now closed its east west oil pipeline following multiple attacks a day ago. The Saudi Ministry of Energy says they shut it as a precautionary measure after the attacks caused several injuries.

下周即将到来的美联储决策显得更为重要,因为8月份的核心通胀数据表现比预期更强劲。市场正在观望央行是会在下周加息还是维持不变。布伦特原油价格一直稳定在每桶105美元左右,WTI原油价格为100美元。但这可能很快发生变化。这是因为沙特阿拉伯在一天前遭受多次袭击后,关闭了其东西向石油管道。沙特能源部表示,由于袭击造成多人受伤,他们将其作为预防措施关闭。

The East west pipeline has proved to be a critical lifeline for Saudi Arabia's oil exports, which were disrupted by the war in Iran. The 7 million barrels a day route quickly reached full capacity after tanker traffic came to a near standstill in the Strait of Hormuz. Bloomberg News reporter Veena Ali Khan on Bloomberg Businessweek daily. This is an escalation. Yemen hasn't seen this much fighting since the height of the Yemeni war, which was 2018 2021.

东西向管道已被证明是沙特阿拉伯石油出口的关键生命线,此前因伊朗战争而中断。在霍尔木兹海峡的油轮交通几乎停滞后,这条每天700万桶的路线迅速达到满负荷运行。彭博新闻记者维娜·阿里·汗报道于《彭博商业周刊》每日节目。这是局势升级。也门自2018年至2021年也门战争高峰期以来,尚未见过如此大规模的战斗。

We've seen an uneasy truce, fragile cheese between the Saudis and the Houthis since 2022. Um, but what we're seeing today is both, you know, the Houthis controlling the Bab and Madame Strait, which fits Iran's wider regional strategy. In light of the latest escalation with the U.S., but also the Houthis have their own very local demands from the Saudis. And this seems like the best time for them to gain as much land as they can.

自2022年以来,沙特人与胡塞武装之间一直处于一种不安的、脆弱的停火状态。嗯,但我们今天看到的是,一方面,胡塞武装控制着曼德海峡(注:原文Bab and Madame Strait疑为口误,指Bab el-Mandeb),这符合伊朗更广泛的地缘战略;另一方面,胡塞武装也有针对沙特的非常具体的本地诉求。这似乎是他们在当前局势下尽可能获取更多土地的最佳时机。

Bloomberg reporter Veena Ali Khan on Bloomberg Businessweek daily. Oil prices were little changed after the ministry's statement that researcher Kevin Worse does face intense pressure to raise interest rates at next week's policy meeting after that highly anticipated inflation report. But National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett on Bloomberg Open Interest says inflation has been on the downswing over the last few months and if you go back three months, then core CPI was at 3.5%.

彭博记者维娜·阿里·汗报道于《彭博商业周刊》每日节目。在该部门发表声明后,油价基本持平。研究员凯文·沃斯指出,在那份备受期待的通胀报告发布后,他在下周的政策会议上面临提高利率的巨大压力。但国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特在《彭博开放兴趣》节目中表示,过去几个月通胀一直在下降,如果回顾三个月前的数据,核心CPI曾达到3.5%。

If you look at the last three months, even with a slightly disappointing number, core CPI is two. And so, uh, in the model that I would be using, I would say that you just about hit the target and inflation is decelerating. And on those $5,000 checks the president promised this week, one way that that could happen would be through a reconciliation process where because of all of the growth, that all of the wealth is being created in the U.S., you know, the president thinks that we need to return more of that to the American people.

如果你看过去三个月的数据,即使数字略显令人失望,核心 CPI 仍为 2。因此,在我使用的模型中,我会说你们几乎达到了目标,且通胀正在放缓。关于总统本周承诺的 5000 美元支票,其中一种实现方式是通过调和程序(reconciliation process),因为所有的增长都发生在美国,所有的财富都在美国创造,你知道的,总统认为我们需要将更多的财富返还给美国人民。

And you could do that in a fiscally responsible way through a reconciliation process. And he's director Kevin Hassett on Bloomberg open interest. We checked the markets all day long here at Bloomberg, repeating the numbers at the close. The Dow took in 509 points. The S&P was up 65. The Nasdaq up 2.51. Bitcoin is trading at $77,400. The two year yield is up four basis points. The ten year yield is up one point. Treasury Secretary Scott Benson is dismissing concerns about the bond market after Thursday's smaller than expected debt buyback operations sent yields to multi-year highs.

你可以通过调和程序以财政负责任的方式做到这一点。他是凯文·哈塞特(Kevin Hassett),在彭博社的《开放兴趣》节目中。我们在彭博社整天监控市场,在收盘时重复播报数据。道琼斯指数上涨 509 点。标普 500 指数上涨 65 点。纳斯达克指数上涨 2.51%。比特币交易价格为 77,400 美元。两年期收益率上升了四个基点。十年期收益率上升了一点。财政部部长斯科特·本森(Scott Benson)在周四债务回购操作规模低于预期、导致收益率升至多年高位后,驳斥了对债券市场的担忧。

Benson tells The War Room with Steve Bannon that the Treasury market is in good shape. Some of the Bloomberg Terminal bro's are unhappy with one of them doing well. That's too bad. And you know, I will tell you that we have we have the best performing bond market in the world. And if you look, bond yields have never been more correlated to the energy price. Treasury Secretary Scott Peasants, the U.S. is commemorating the 25th anniversary of the nine over 11 attacks that left nearly 3000 people dead and the nation shaken.

本森在接受史蒂夫·班农的《战室》节目采访时表示,美国国债市场状况良好。一些彭博终端机用户(Bloomberg Terminal bro's)对其中一家表现良好感到不满。这太糟糕了。而且我要告诉你,我们拥有世界上表现最好的债券市场。如果你观察一下,债券收益率与能源价格的相关性从未如此之高。财政部部长斯科特·皮桑茨(Scott Peasants),美国正在纪念 9·11 袭击事件 25 周年,该事件造成近 3000 人死亡,令全国震惊。

People laid wreaths, flew flags, read victims names and held moments of silence and vigils. Former presidents George W Bush, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama and Joe Biden and current Vice President Vance were in lower Manhattan. President Trump attended a ceremony at the Pentagon. Today, we renew the sacred oath that we first saw in their names a quarter of a century ago. We will never, ever forget. Some family members of those killed used the ceremony to call on Trump, to hold Saudi Arabia accountable for its alleged complicity in the US's worst terror attack.

人们献上花圈,升起旗帜,宣读遇难者姓名,并举行默哀和守夜活动。前总统乔治·W·布什、比尔·克林顿、巴拉克·奥巴马和乔·拜登,以及现任副总统万斯(Vance)出席了位于曼哈顿下城的纪念活动。特朗普总统参加了五角大楼举行的仪式。今天,我们重申那份四分之一世纪前在他们名字中首次见证的神圣誓言。我们将永远铭记。一些遇害者的家属利用这一仪式呼吁特朗普追究沙特阿拉伯在其涉嫌参与美国历史上最严重恐怖袭击中的责任。

One saying, quote, for 25 years, administration after administration, including leaders in front of us here today, chose to protect the Saudis instead of standing with the nine over 11 families. Loud cheers and applause followed from the New York City crowd. That's news when you want it with Bloomberg News now. I'm Matt Piper, and this is Bloomberg.

有一句名言,引述如下:25年来,一届又一届政府,包括今天在我们面前的领导人,都选择保护沙特人,而不是与9·11事件中的11个家庭站在一起。纽约市的观众随后爆发出热烈的掌声和欢呼声。当你想要新闻时,这就是彭博社的新闻。我是马特·派珀,这是彭博社。

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