CME停止新增体育与文化预测合约,现有合约到期退市
CME Stops Adding Sports and Awards Futures, Letting Existing Markets Run Off
明确改变了传统金融巨头在预测市场的供给格局,套利与做市参与者需关注流动性迁移至Kalshi等平台的潜在价差变化及合规风险。
CME is stepping back from sports and cultural prediction markets.
CME正从体育和文化预测市场中退出。
In a self-certified filing effective Sept. 11, Chicago Mercantile Exchange said it will stop offering additional expiries for all its sports- and cultural-related event contract swaps on CME Globex. The affected category includes sports markets and cultural awards such as the Oscars and Grammy Awards.
在9月11日生效的自我认证备案中,芝加哥商品交易所(Chicago Mercantile Exchange)表示,它将停止在CME Globex上提供所有与其体育和文化相关事件合约互换的额外到期日。受影响的类别包括体育市场以及奥斯卡奖和格莱美奖等文化奖项。
The exchange is not immediately delisting contracts that are already live. Those markets will remain available to trade, clear, and settle normally until expiration. But CME will not replace them with new contracts.
该交易所并未立即下架已上市的合约。这些市场将继续正常交易、清算和结算,直至到期。但CME不会用新合约来替代它们。
When the remaining expiries run off, the exchange will have no active sports or cultural event contracts unless it later changes course and files again.
当剩余的到期合约陆续结束,除非交易所日后改变立场并再次提交备案,否则将不再有活跃的体育或文化事件合约。
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CME ends new expiries
CME终止新增到期合约
The filing is precise about what it does and does not do.
该备案明确说明了其做什么和不做什么。
CME is amending the listing schedule for its sports and cultural event contract swaps so that “no additional expiries” will be available for trading on Globex. Existing contracts remain subject to CME’s trading, surveillance, clearing, disciplinary and dispute-resolution rules.
CME正在修改其体育和文化事件合约互换的上市时间表,以便“不再提供”任何额外的到期合约供Globex交易。现有合约仍受CME的交易、监控、清算、纪律处分和争议解决规则的约束。
That means:
这意味着:
- Existing sports and cultural contracts can continue trading until they expire.
- CME Clearing will continue clearing those existing contracts.
- CME will continue publishing price and volume information for them.
- CME says its Market Regulation Department will continue surveillance and enforcement for existing markets.
- No new rounds of sports, Oscars, Grammys, or other covered cultural contracts will be listed after the current schedule runs out.
- 现有的体育和文化合约可继续交易直至到期。
- CME Clearing将继续对这些现有合约进行清算。
- CME将继续发布它们的价格和成交量信息。
- CME表示,其市场监管部门将继续对现有市场进行监控和执行。
- 在当前时间表结束后,不会再列出新的体育、奥斯卡、格莱美或其他涵盖的文化合约。
The result is a wind-down, not a sudden shutdown.
结果是逐步缩减,而非突然关闭。
This is CME’s decision
这是CME的决定
CME filed the proposal through the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s self-certification process under CFTC Regulation 40.6(a).
CME通过美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)根据CFTC法规40.6(a)进行的自我认证流程提交了该提案。
CME certified that its rule amendments comply with the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations. The CFTC’s review period ending means CME may implement the change. It does not mean the agency formally approved the decision, ordered CME to remove the markets, or imposed a broader ban on sports and cultural event contracts.
CME证明其规则修订符合《商品交易法》和CFTC法规。CFTC审查期结束意味着CME可以实施这一变更。但这并不意味着机构正式批准了该决定、命令CME撤出这些市场,或对体育和文化事件合约施加更广泛的禁令。
CME’s decision does not bar Kalshi, Polymarket US and other CFTC-regulated exchanges from listing their own sports or cultural markets. Their ability to do so remains governed by their own exchange rules, CFTC requirements, and the growing state-by-state legal fight over sports event contracts.
CME的决定并不禁止Kalshi、Polymarket US等其他受CFTC监管的交易所列出自己的体育或文化市场。它们这样做是否可行,仍由其各自的交易所规则、CFTC要求以及各州关于体育事件合约的法律斗争所决定。
A quick reversal for the exchange
交易所的快速反转
The decision is notable because CME was one of the biggest traditional-finance names exploring sports-linked derivatives.
这一决定引人注目,因为芝加哥商品交易所(CME)是探索体育相关衍生品的主要传统金融巨头之一。
In July, CME planned futures and options tied to professional and college sports, using products from index provider FutureSports. The pitch was framed in financial language: creating a product that could serve as a new hedging tool, not merely another form of sports wagering.
今年7月,CME计划推出与职业和大学体育相关的期货和期权产品,采用指数提供商FutureSports的产品。其营销话术采用金融术语:旨在创造一种可作为新对冲工具的产品,而不仅仅是另一种形式的体育博彩。
CME’s filing does not explain why it is stopping new expiries. It repeats the exchange’s earlier view that its sports contracts are not readily subject to manipulation because of game complexity, centralized officiating, league penalties and surveillance of global betting markets. It makes a similarly detailed case for the integrity of cultural awards, citing confidential voting processes, third-party tabulation, chain-of-custody procedures and conduct rules.
CME的备案文件并未解释为何停止新增到期合约。它重申了该交易所此前的观点,即由于比赛复杂性、集中裁判、联盟处罚以及对全球博彩市场的监控,其体育合约不易受到操纵。它还以同样详尽的理由论证文化奖项合约的完整性,引用了保密投票流程、第三方统计、保管链程序以及行为准则。
The exchange may be reassessing demand, liquidity, reputational risk, regulatory uncertainty or the expanding legal conflict around sports contracts. But the filing itself provides no stated rationale beyond the rule change.
该交易所可能正在重新评估需求、流动性、声誉风险、监管不确定性或围绕体育合约不断扩大的法律冲突。但备案文件本身除了规则变更外,未提供任何明确的理由。
A different kind of retreat
另一种形式的撤退
CME’s decision comes as prediction market platforms fight to preserve their sports businesses in court.
CME做出这一决定之际,预测市场平台正试图在法庭上保住其体育业务。
Kalshi has argued that sports event contracts listed on federally regulated designated contract markets fall under the Commodity Exchange Act and should not be subject to state gambling enforcement. States have answered that the contracts are, in substance, sports bets, regardless of how they are structured or labeled.
Kalshi辩称,在联邦监管的指定合约市场上上市的体育赛事合约受《商品交易法》管辖,不应受各州赌博执法的约束。各州则回应称,无论这些合约如何构建或命名,其实质都是体育赌注。
The courts are split.
法院对此存在分歧。
The Third Circuit gave Kalshi preliminary protection from New Jersey enforcement, finding that the company’s sports contracts could qualify as swaps under federal law. The Ninth Circuit reached the opposite conclusion in Nevada, allowing the state to regulate Kalshi’s sports contracts as gambling.
第三巡回上诉法院给予Kalshi初步保护,使其免受新泽西州的执法行动,认定该公司的体育合约符合联邦法律下的互换合约资格。第九巡回上诉法院在内华达州得出了相反结论,允许该州将Kalshi的体育合约作为赌博进行监管。
Michigan has obtained a state court injunction against Kalshi, and related appeals involving Kalshi, Robinhood, Polymarket and Coinbase remain before the Sixth Circuit. New Jersey has asked the United States Supreme Court to resolve the conflict.
密歇根州已获得针对Kalshi的州法院禁令,涉及Kalshi、Robinhood、Polymarket和Coinbase的相关上诉仍在第六巡回上诉法院审理中。新泽西州已请求美国最高法院解决这一冲突。
CME’s filing does not settle any of that. It does, however, remove one large incumbent prediction markets exchange from the immediate fight.
CME的备案文件并未解决上述任何问题。然而,它确实使一家大型老牌预测市场交易所退出了眼前的争斗。
The post CME Stops Adding Sports and Awards Futures, Letting Existing Markets Run Off appeared first on DeFi Rate.
原文《CME停止增加体育和奖项期货,让现有市场自然到期》首发于DeFi Rate。
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