伊朗支持胡塞武装夺取也门港口，推高油价
Iran-backed Houthis capture Red Sea port, putting more pressure on oil markets
地缘冲突实质性升级直接冲击关键航运节点并推动大宗商品价格突破关键点位，对全球供应链与能源市场构成重大现实风险，需密切关注后续局势演变及油价走势。
HEADQUARTERS OF PBS NEWS. GEOFF: YEMEN APPEARS TO BE SLIDING BACK TOWARDS ALL-OUT WAR AFTER THE IRAN-BACKED HOUTHIS REBELS SEIZED A STRATEGIC PORT CITY FROM ALLIES OF THE INTERNATIONALLY RECOGNIZED GOVERNMENT. MOKHA SITS ON THE BAB EL-MANDAB, A CRITICAL SHIPPING CHOKEPOINT THAT IS THE GATEWAY TO THE RED SEA. NICK SCHIFRIN HAS MORE ON THE ESCALATING CONFLICT THAT IS PUSHING OIL PRICES HIGHER AND FEARS OF A WIDENING WAR.
PBS新闻总部。杰夫：在伊朗支持的胡塞叛军从国际承认政府的盟友手中夺取一座战略港口城市后，也门似乎正滑向全面战争。穆哈位于巴布-曼德布海峡，这是通往红海的关键航运咽喉要道。尼克·席弗林报道了这场不断升级的冲突，它推高了油价，并引发了人们对战争扩大的担忧。
"NEWSHOUR IN YEMEN TODAY --NICK: IN YEMEN TODAY, HOUTHI FIGHTERS CHANTED "DEATH TO ISRAEL" AS THEY RELEASE THESE VIDEOS, SEIZING WESTERN VEHICLES, RELEASING PRISONERS HELD BY YEMENI GOVERNMENT ALLIES. THIS IS TERRITORY THAT HAS BEEN CONTESTED MORE THAN A DECADE. FOR WEEKS THE FIGHTING HAS BEEN SIMMERING. SAUDI-BACKED YEMENI FIGHTERS HAVE TRIED TO HOLD THE LINE BUT THEY'VE BEEN PUSHED BACK QUICKLY AS THE HOUTHIS HAVE CAPTURED A STRING OF POSITIONS IN YEMEN JUST A DISTANCE FROM BAB EL-MANDAB, THE GATEWAY TO THE RITZ PEOPLE STOP IT WAS ALREADY ONE OF THE MOST IMPORTANT CHOKEPOINTS, MORE SO SINCE I RAN HAS A CHOKEHOLD ON THE STRAIGHT OF HORMUZ.
"今日也门新闻——尼克：今天，胡塞武装分子高呼‘以色列必死’，并发布了这些视频，他们劫持西方车辆，释放被也门政府盟友关押的囚犯。这片领土已争夺了十多年。数周以来，战斗一直在持续。沙特支持的也门战士试图坚守防线，但随着胡塞武装在距离巴布-曼德布海峡（通往红海的门户）仅一箭之遥的地方占领了一系列阵地，他们很快就被迫后退。巴布-曼德布海峡原本就是最重要的咽喉要道之一，如今由于伊朗扼守着霍尔木兹海峡，其重要性更甚。"
SAUDI OFFICIALS SAY THE HOUTHI ATTACKS HAVE DESTROYED CIVILIAN HOMES AND WOUNDED MORE THAN 70 PEOPLE.
沙特官员表示，胡塞武装的攻击摧毁了民用房屋，并造成70多人受伤。
THE FIGHT FOR THE WEST COAST OF YEMEN HAD TO BE DECISIVE. THE NEXT STEP WILL BE DIALOGUE THAT INVOLVES ALL LEADERSHIP PARTIES IN YEMEN. NICK: I SPOKE REMOTELY TODAY WITH A HOUTHI SPOKESMAN. YOU ARE CALLING FOR DIALOGUE BUT ARE YOU PLANNING TO EXPAND THE MILITARY OPERATION? WILL YOU TRY TO SEIZE MORE TERRITORY ALONGSIDE THE BAB EL-MANDAB AND WILL YOU ALSO TRY TO SEIZE THE ISLAND INSIDE THE BAB EL-MANDAB?
对也门西海岸的战斗必须取得决定性胜利。下一步将是涉及也门所有领导党派进行对话。尼克：我今天与一名胡塞发言人进行了远程通话。你呼吁对话，但你是否计划扩大军事行动？你会尝试沿巴布-曼德布海峡夺取更多领土吗？你还会尝试夺取巴布-曼德布海峡内的岛屿吗？
WE DON'T NEED TO ACTUALLY TAKE CONTROL OVER BAB EL-MANDAB WHERE THE ISLAND. OUR MISSILES CAN REACH ANY SHIPS IN THE SEA. NICK: THE HOUTHI AND SAUDIS FOUGHT A NEARLY DECADE-LONG WAR. THE CURRENT TENSION SPIKED IN JULY WHEN SAUDI ARABIA BOMBED A HOUTHI-CONTROLLED AIRPORT TO PREVENT AN AIRCRAFT LANDING THAT THE SAUDIS SAY WAS CARING A RAINY AND WEAPONS. THERE ARE REPORTS THERE ARE IRGC MEMBERS IN YEMEN HELPING DIRECT OR ASSIST IN SOME OF THESE ATTACKS.
我们实际上不需要控制巴布-曼德布海峡及其中的岛屿。我们的导弹可以击中海上的任何船只。尼克：胡塞武装和沙特阿拉伯进行了近十年的战争。当前的紧张局势在7月升级，当时沙特阿拉伯轰炸了一座由胡塞控制的机场，以阻止一架飞机降落，沙特方面称该飞机携带弹药和武器。有报道称，伊斯兰革命卫队成员正在也门协助指导或参与部分攻击。
HOW MUCH OF THIS ARE YOU DOING ON BEHEST OF IRAN?
你们在多大程度上是受伊朗指使做这些事的？
THERE ARE NO ROMNEY FORCES IN YEMEN. WE DEPEND ON OURSELVES FOR ALL KINDS OF WEAPONS, WHETHER AK RIFLES OR DRONES OR EVEN HYPERSONIC BALLISTIC MISSILES. NICK: TONIGHT THE U.N. SPECIAL ENVOY FOR YEMEN WARNS THE NEW VIOLENCE COULD DRAG YEMEN BACK INTO A CIVIL WAR AND TOWARDS A REGIONAL CONFLICT.
也门没有伊朗部队。我们在各种武器方面都依靠自己，无论是AK步枪、无人机，甚至是高超音速弹道导弹。尼克：今晚，联合国也门问题特使警告说，新的暴力事件可能会将也门拖回内战，并引发地区冲突。
THIS RENEWED WAR SHOULD ALARM US ALL. IT EFFECTIVELY MARKS THE END OF THE RELATIVE CALM YEMEN HAS EXPERIENCED OVER FOUR YEARS SINCE THE WIND BROKE THE TRUCE. IT NOT ONLY THREATENS TO PLUNGE YEMEN INTO A PROLONGED WAR BUT ALSO RISKS DRAGGING THE COUNTRY INTO THE WIDER AND UNRESOLVED REGIONAL CONFLICT STATION -- CONFRONTATION WITH LOCAL REPERCUSSIONS. NICK: TODAY THE HOUTHI ADVANCE PUSHED THE PRICE OF BRENT CRUDE ABOVE $105 A BARREL OVER CONCERNS OF DISRUPTION TO GLOBAL SUPPLY ROUTES.
这场卷土重来的战争应令我们所有人警醒。它实际上标志着也门自“风”（Wind）行动打破停火协议以来所经历的四年相对平静的终结。这不仅威胁要将也门拖入一场旷日持久的战争，还 risking 将该国卷入更广泛且未解决的区域冲突中——即与地区对手的对峙，并引发本地连锁反应。尼克：今天，胡塞武装的推进因对全球供应链中断的担忧，将布伦特原油价格推高至每桶105美元以上。
FOR PERSPECTIVE ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS WITH YEMEN, WE TURN TO GREGORY JOHNSEN. HE IS A LONGTIME YEMEN EXPERT CUR
为了了解关于也门最新事态发展的背景信息，我们转向格雷戈里·约翰森（Gregory Johnsen）。他是一位长期研究也门的专家，目...
更进一步：量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径，把它变成能交付的工程能力