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伊朗称霍尔木兹海峡协议在即,国际油价与铜价飙升

Bloomberg News Now:Iran Says Strait of Hormuz Deal Imminent

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地缘冲突直接冲击全球大宗商品定价逻辑,油价与铜价的结构性突破对宏观资产配置有实质性影响,建议关注能源与工业金属板块的风险敞口变化。

News when you want it with Bloomberg News now. I'm Erica Herskovitz. Iran says a deal with Oman to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is imminent, and could tighten Tehran's control over the waterway. The agreement will include details on a temporary safe route through the crucial transit point for energy supplies, and will be documented with the International Maritime Organization. The potential Iran Oman Accord comes after Iranian claims of attacks on ships and a U.S. military strike on Iranian crude tankers, amid an ongoing conflict that has pushed up oil and fuel prices.

彭博新闻:随时获取您想要的新闻。我是埃丽卡·赫斯科维茨。伊朗表示,与阿曼就管理霍尔木兹海峡航运达成的协议迫在眉睫,这将加强德黑兰对该水道的控制。该协议将包括通过这一能源供应关键中转点的临时安全路线的详细信息,并将与国际海事组织(IMO)进行备案。在伊朗声称船只遇袭以及美军对伊朗原油油轮发动打击的背景下,这场持续不断的冲突推高了石油和燃料价格,此时出现了潜在的伊阿协议。

Meanwhile, U.S. envoys Steve Wyckoff and Jared Kushner are praising talks with Ukraine and Russia this weekend to discuss ways to end that war. We came to see President Putin first. We needed to hear where he stood. We had good, concrete conversation with him, which we advised President Zelensky and his team about. Both sides have to come to a resolution here in my job with and Jared's job together is to bring the parties together to narrow the issues between them, to create good communication channels.

与此同时,美国特使史蒂夫·威科夫和贾里德·库什纳称赞本周末与乌克兰和俄罗斯举行的会谈,以讨论结束战争的方法。我们首先去见了普京总统。我们需要了解他的立场。我们与他就此进行了良好且具体的对话,并就此向泽连斯基总统及其团队提供了建议。双方都必须在此达成解决方案。我的工作和贾里德的工作是共同促成各方团结,缩小彼此间的分歧,建立良好的沟通渠道。

And hopefully we began that process, uh, constructively in the last 48 hours. And we're confident that there'll be a good resolution here. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky says he doesn't see a quick end to the war, but he is looking for a package from allies to help cover air defense, reinforcements and energy as attacks escalate. The war in Iran and rising energy prices are weighing on Americans ahead of the midterms.

希望我们在过去48小时内以建设性的方式开启了这一进程。我们有信心这里会有良好的解决方案。乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基表示,他看不到战争的迅速结束,但他正在寻求盟友提供一揽子援助,以帮助应对防空、增援和能源需求,因为袭击正在升级。伊朗的战争和不断上涨的能源价格给美国选民带来了压力, midterm选举在即。

Bloomberg's Jeff Mason tells us President Trump's polling is also down, which may not bode well for Republicans in November. Polls like this really do translate into our forecast anyway, how people are going to vote in November. That doesn't mean that Republicans couldn't pull it off, but they are. They've got some tight races, and that will overshadow this mini convention that President Trump is presiding over in Texas this coming week.

彭博社的杰夫·梅森告诉我们,特朗普总统的支持率也在下降,这对共和党在11月的选举前景可能不利。这类民调确实会转化为我们的预测,即人们将在11月如何投票。这并不意味着共和党无法获胜,但他们确实面临一些激烈的选战,这将掩盖下周三特朗普在得克萨斯州主持的这次迷你党代会。

Bloomberg's Jeff Mason reports the Republican National Committee is hosting an unprecedented mid-term convention starting Wednesday. Trump is expected to deliver the keynote speech. Canada's reciprocal tariffs take effect tomorrow on more than 700 American products. And Michigan Congresswoman Haley Stevens says Trump and the Republicans own this. No one in Michigan was told by President Trump when he was campaigning, that he was going to start a trade war with Canada and lick the bootstraps of China.

彭博社的杰夫·梅森报道,共和党全国委员会将于周三开始举办史无前例的中期选举党代会。预计特朗普将发表主旨演讲。加拿大的报复性关税将于明天对700多种美国产品生效。密歇根州众议员海莉·史蒂文斯表示,特朗普和共和党对此负有责任。特朗普在竞选期间没有告诉密歇根州的任何人,他将与加拿大发动贸易战,并向中国卑躬屈膝。

But that's what he's doing. And everyone running for office who calls himself a Republican, who's out there, you know, distracting on these other, you know, slogans and whims in the day. They own this. They own this backwards trade agenda. And I'm sick and tired of like, Stevens on Bloomberg this weekend. Canada was the state's largest export market last year, with exports totaling $23 billion, according to data from the International Trade Administration.

但这就是他正在做的事。所有竞选公职并自称是共和党人的人,他们在那里,你知道的,用这些其他的口号和一时兴起来分散注意力。他们拥有这个。他们拥有这个倒退的贸易议程。我受够了像史蒂文斯在彭博周末节目上那样。加拿大是该州最大的出口市场,去年出口总额达230亿美元,根据国际贸易管理局的数据。

More delays and cancellations at Miami International Airport this morning after yesterday's deadly Amazon cargo jet crash. The NTSB is investigating why the jet skidded off the runway and burst into flames, killing at least five people and injuring another five. Oil is climbing on renewed concerns that escalating U.S. Iran tensions may disrupt crude supplies and stoke inflation. Brent crude is now trading at $97 a barrel, and that's pushing U.S. gas and diesel prices higher.

今天早上迈阿密国际机场再次出现延误和取消航班,原因是昨天发生的致命亚马逊货运喷气机坠毁事故。国家运输安全委员会(NTSB)正在调查喷气机为何冲出跑道并起火燃烧,造成至少五人死亡,另有五人受伤。由于担忧美伊紧张局势升级可能扰乱原油供应并推高通胀,油价再度攀升。布伦特原油目前交易价格为每桶97美元,这正在推高美国的汽油和柴油价格。

Energy Secretary Chris, right, tells CBS's Face the Nation. The Trump administration is focused on boosting crude and fuel supplies rather than constraining U.S. oil exports. As gas prices continue soaring, we consider all options of how you can move prices that are favorable for American consumers. But right now, we're leaning in on maximum production energy additions again in gasoline and diesel in the electricity sector.

能源部长克里斯,对吗?告诉CBS的《面对全国》节目。特朗普政府专注于增加原油和燃料供应,而不是限制美国石油出口。随着汽油价格持续飙升,我们考虑所有如何移动价格的选项,以利于美国消费者。但目前,我们正倾向于最大化生产,再次增加汽油和柴油以及电力部门的能源供应。

The way to solve, uh, supply shortage is to grow supply writes. Comments come amid record high U.S. retail diesel prices, stoked by wars in Iran and Russia that have disrupted oil flows and curtailed refining. Diesel prices hit a record 589 this weekend, according to triple A, up from 3.71 this time last year. Copper surged to its highest ever price on the London Metal Exchange today after a weeks long rally fueled by anticipation that President Trump will expand U.S. tariffs to imports on refined metal.

解决供应短缺的方法是增加供应,写道。评论出现在美国零售柴油价格创纪录的高位之际,伊朗和俄罗斯的战争扰乱了石油流动并限制了炼油能力。据AAA称,柴油价格本周末创下589的历史新高,而去年同期为3.71。铜价今天在伦敦金属交易所飙升至历史最高水平,此前因预期特朗普总统将把美国关税扩大到精炼金属进口而引发的长达数周的涨势推动了这一局面。

The metals advance has been underpinned by a long term mismatch in supply and demand, with the world's aging fleet of big mines struggling to keep pace with usage from data centers, renewable energy and power grids. U.S. markets are closed for Labor Day, but stocks are still trading overseas. The Footsie in London closed down a fraction. The CAC in Paris gained a third of a percent. The Dax in Germany lost 2/10 of a percent.

金属价格上涨长期受到供需错配的支撑,世界老龄化的大型矿山车队难以跟上数据中心、可再生能源和电网的使用需求。美国市场因劳动节休市,但股票仍在海外交易。伦敦富时指数微跌。巴黎CAC指数上涨三分之一个百分点。德国DAX指数下跌0.2个百分点。

Tech shares led gains in Asian equities following a rally from their U.S. infotech peers Friday. The Nikkei in Japan closed up 2.1%. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong lost close to 8/10 of a percent. China's CSI 300 added two thirds of a percent. Traders will be closely watching inflation data this week after stronger than expected jobs data nudged up bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month. Larry Holsten Thaler is senior portfolio manager with catalyst funds.

受美国信息技术板块周五反弹带动,科技股领涨亚洲股市。日本日经指数收涨2.1%。香港恒生指数下跌近0.8%。中国沪深300指数上涨约0.67%。在就业数据强于预期、推高本月美联储加息预期的背景下,交易员将密切关注本周的通胀数据。拉里·霍尔斯坦·塔勒是催化剂基金的资深投资组合经理。

The broader narrative is that, you know, rates are higher. You have potentially volatility at the long end of the curve and the various drivers of that. You have the fed and what it might do at the short end of the curve. And so I think if you're an investor, especially within fixed income markets, you know, strategically you just have to be thinking about what are ways that I can sidestep that volatility day to day within traditional fixed income assets.

更广泛的叙事是,利率水平更高。收益率曲线长端可能存在波动及其各种驱动因素。美联储及其在收益率曲线短端可能采取的行动也是关键。因此我认为,如果你是一名投资者,尤其是在固定收益市场,从战略角度而言,你需要思考如何在传统固定收益资产中规避日常的波动性。

Policymakers have said they'll consider a rate hike if inflation comes in hot. That's news when you want it with Bloomberg News now. I'm Erica and this is Bloomberg.

政策制定者表示,如果通胀数据表现强劲,他们将考虑加息。这是彭博新闻的最新消息。我是埃丽卡,这里是彭博。

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