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Salesforce财报拆解:AI渗透率、四大定价模型与利润真相

5 Interesting Learnings from Salesforce at $45 Billion ARR: 14% cRPO Growth, 6% Organic Growth, and $2.53 of EPS From Its Anthropic Stake

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不仅提供了财报数据,更给出了剥离并购后的真实增长判据、AI 商业化的冷峻渗透率数据,以及头部厂商正在尝试的多种定价模型细节,适合产品与战略从业者对标。

Salesforce reported Q2 FY27 on August 26 and the stock went up a stunning 23%. And almost every other B2B stock went up along with it, Is the SaaSpocolypse … over? Well, it may be past the panic selling of earlier in the year at least at least.

Salesforce 于 8 月 26 日公布了 FY27 第二季度财报,股价飙升了惊人的 23%。几乎其他所有 B2B 股票也随之上涨,SaaSpocalypse(SaaS 末日)……结束了吗?好吧,至少今年早些时候的恐慌性抛售可能已经过去了。

{“model_id”: “unified-v1/prod/20260818-030536”}

{"model_id": "unified-v1/prod/20260818-030536"}

Salesforce did re-accelerate on bookings, and that was important:

Salesforce 在预订量上确实重新加速,这很重要:

  • Revenue of $11.345B, up 11%
  • cRPO (future bookings) up 14%. That’s big re-acceleration
  • Non-GAAP EPS of $5.90, up 103%
  • FY27 guidance raised to $46.1B-$46.4B
  • Benioff opened the call declaring the “SaaSpocalypse” over.
  • 营收 113.45 亿美元,增长 11%
  • cRPO(未来预订量)增长 14%。这是显著的重新加速
  • Non-GAAP EPS 为 5.90 美元,增长 103%
  • FY27 指引上调至 461 亿 -464 亿美元
  • Benioff 在电话会议开始时宣布“SaaSpocalypse”结束。

The forward book genuinely accelerated, the organic business grew about 6%, and the earnings blowout came almost entirely from a mark-up on Salesforce’s stake in Anthropic plus a $25B buyback.

远期预订量确实加速增长,有机业务增长了约 6%,而利润的大幅超出几乎完全来自 Salesforce 持有 Anthropic 股权的估值上调以及 250 亿美元的回购。

#1 Q2 in Salesforce history.

Salesforce 历史上 Q2 第一。

$11.3B Revenue. +11%

113 亿美元营收。+11%

$33.5B cRPO growth. +14%

335 亿美元 cRPO 增长。+14%

$5.90 Non-GAAP EPS. +103%

5.90 美元 Non-GAAP EPS。+103%

$15.2B TTM Free Cash Flow.

152 亿美元 TTM 自由现金流。

$3.9B Agentforce + Data 360 ARR.

Agentforce + Data 360 ARR 达 39 亿美元。

7.0B AWUs delivered all-time.

AWUs 交付量创下历史新高 70 亿。

Raising FY27 guidance to $46.1–$46.4B.

将 FY27 指引上调至 461–464 亿美元。

3.2B AWUs in Q2 (+97% q/q)

Q2 AWUs 为 32 亿(环比 +97%)

6x growth in MCP… pic.twitter.com/dpzVdedk6C

MCP 增长 6 倍… pic.twitter.com/dpzVdedk6C

— Marc Benioff (@Benioff) August 26, 2026

—— Marc Benioff (@Benioff) 2026 年 8 月 26 日

Our 5 interesting learnings.

我们的 5 个有趣发现。

#1. cRPO accelerated to 14% while revenue grew 11%

#1. cRPO 加速至 14%,而营收增长 11%

Current remaining performance obligation hit $33.5B, up 14% year-over-year and in constant currency. The trajectory:

当前剩余履约义务达到 335 亿美元,同比增长 14%,按恒定汇率计算亦如此。趋势如下:

  • Q2 FY26: 10%
  • Q1 FY27: 13%
  • Q2 FY27: 14%
  • Q3 FY27 guide: ~14%, and that guide explicitly excludes any contribution from the pending Contentful and Fin acquisitions
  • FY26 Q2:10%
  • 27财年Q1:13%
  • 27财年Q2:14%
  • 27财年Q3指引:约14%,且该指引明确排除了待完成的Contentful和Fin收购的任何贡献

Contracted-but-unrecognized revenue growing 3 points faster than recognized revenue is the number worth spending time on, because revenue at a company this size reflects deals signed 12 to 24 months ago while cRPO reflects what got signed in the last 90 days. Robin Washington said this is what the entire company was compensated on this year: net new annual order value growth outpacing total AOV growth, which is the mechanical precondition for organic revenue reacceleration in H2.

合同已签订但未确认的收入增速比已确认收入快3个百分点,这是值得花时间关注的指标,因为这家规模公司的已确认收入反映的是12至24个月前签署的交易,而cRPO(合同剩余履约义务)反映的是过去90天内签署的交易。Robin Washington表示,今年全公司的薪酬激励都基于此指标:新签年度订单价值增速超过总客单价(AOV)增速,这是下半年有机收入重新加速的机械性前提条件。

A few qualifications.

几点补充说明。

  • Informatica’s contract base sits inside cRPO too, so part of the 14% is bought.
  • And the noncurrent piece of RPO grew only 7.5% ($30.5B to $32.8B), with total RPO up 10.7% to $66.3B.
  • All of the acceleration is inside the next twelve months. Management said contract length improved across all segments, which should push value into the noncurrent bucket. It didn’t.
  • Informatica的合同基础也包含在cRPO中,因此14%的增长中有一部分来自并购。
  • 非流动部分的RPO仅增长7.5%(从305亿美元增至328亿美元),而总RPO增长10.7%至663亿美元。
  • 所有的加速都发生在未来十二个月内。管理层表示,所有细分市场的合同期限均有所改善,这应将更多价值推入非流动部分。但事实并非如此。

Atlassian got a 35% one-day move on 44% RPO growth three weeks ago. Salesforce got 23% on 14%. The market is pricing the order book right now, and if you have one, the current-versus-noncurrent split is the part that gets read.

三周前,Atlassian因RPO增长44%实现单日股价上涨35%。Salesforce因增长14%实现单日上涨23%。市场正在对订单簿进行定价,如果你持有股票,当前与非当前的拆分部分是市场重点解读的部分。

#2. Strip out Informatica and Salesforce grew 6.4%

#2. 剔除Informatica后,Salesforce增长6.4%

Reported revenue growth: 11%. Informatica contributed $456M in the quarter. Back it out and the organic business grew 6.4% ($10.889B vs $10.236B). Subscription and support strips from 12% to about 7%.

报告的收入增长:11%。Informatica在本季度贡献了4.56亿美元。将其剔除后,有机业务增长6.4%(108.89亿美元对比102.36亿美元)。订阅和支持业务的增速从12%降至约7%。

Where the acquisition sits matters more than the top-line adjustment. Salesforce now reports two revenue lines, Agentforce Apps and Data/Platform/Other.

收购业务所处的位置比顶层调整更重要。Salesforce现在报告两条收入线:Agentforce Apps 和 Data/Platform/Other。

Informatica lives entirely in the second bucket. Take out its $440M of subscription revenue and the segment everyone points to as the growth engine grew 5.7% organically, slower than the core apps.

Informatica完全位于第二个桶中。扣除其4.4亿美元的订阅收入后,被普遍视为增长引擎的那个细分市场有机增长5.7%,低于核心应用的增长速度。

Washington’s words on the call: the Data 360 and Headless line was fueled by Informatica and Data 360, “partially offset by license revenue headwinds and volatility in integration and analytics.” That’s MuleSoft and Tableau. Marketing got “early signs of recovery” with an immediate caveat that it’s “too soon to call this a sustainable trend.”

Washington在电话会议上的原话:Data 360和无头(Headless)产品线由Informatica和Data 360驱动,“部分抵消了许可收入的逆风和集成与分析领域的波动”。这指的是MuleSoft和Tableau。营销业务出现了“复苏的早期迹象”,但立即附带了一个保留意见,称“现在断言这是可持续趋势为时过早”。

The +7.6% apps number also includes Slack, which had its best net new AOV quarter since the acquisition. Core Sales and Service ex-Slack is growing slower than 7.6%.

+7.6%的应用程序数字还包括Slack,其在收购后迎来了最好的净新增客单价季度。剔除Slack后,核心销售和客户服务业务的增长速度慢于7.6%。

Salesforce disclosed everything needed to do this subtraction. It took about four minutes with the segment table and the $440M Informatica line from the same press release.

Salesforce 披露了进行此项减法所需的所有信息。借助同一份新闻稿中的细分表以及 4.4 亿美元的 Informatica 支出,这一过程大约耗时四分钟。

#3. Non-GAAP net income excluding investment gains went down

#3. 剔除投资收益后的非公认会计准则(Non-GAAP)净利润下降

EPS was up 103%. Operating income was $2,331M versus $2,332M a year ago. Flat. On 11% more revenue.

每股收益(EPS)上涨 103%。营业利润为 23.31 亿美元,而去年同期为 23.32 亿美元,基本持平。在营收增长 11% 的情况下。

The bridge:

构成分析:

  • Salesforce booked $2,613M in gains on strategic investments in the quarter, which added $2.53 to non-GAAP EPS and $2.43 to GAAP EPS. Prior year: $0.00.
  • Diluted share count fell from 962M to 821M, down 14.7%, on a $25B accelerated share repurchase funded with $24.8B of new debt.
  • 本季度 Salesforce 确认了 26.13 亿美元的战略投资收益,使非公认会计准则每股收益增加 2.53 美元,公认会计准则每股收益增加 2.43 美元。去年同期:0.00 美元。
  • 稀释后股数从 9.62 亿股降至 8.21 亿股,降幅 14.7%,这得益于以 248 亿美元新债务融资的 250 亿美元加速股票回购计划。

Strip the investment gains and non-GAAP net income was $2,767M versus $2,795M a year ago. Down 1%. Ex-gains EPS of roughly $3.37 versus $2.91, and every point of that 16% came from the smaller share count.

剔除投资收益后,非公认会计准则净利润为 27.67 亿美元,而去年同期为 27.95 亿美元,下降 1%。剔除收益后的每股收益约为 3.37 美元,而去年同期为 2.91 美元,那 16% 的增长全部来自股数的减少。

Benioff on what drove the gain: “Take the value of Slack. Then take the value of our Anthropic stock. That has been like half our value.” The strategic investment portfolio went from $7.6B to $11.3B in six months.

贝尼奥夫(Benioff)谈及推动收益的因素:“取 Slack 的价值。再取我们 Anthropic 股票的价值。这几乎占了我们价值的一半。”战略投资组合在六个月内从 76 亿美元增至 113 亿美元。

The buyback has a running cost. Interest expense went from $67M to $473M in one year. Noncurrent debt went from $10.4B to $39.3B. Total stockholders’ equity fell from $59.1B to $38.4B.

股票回购伴随着持续成本。利息支出在一年内从 6700 万美元增至 4.73 亿美元。非流动负债从 104 亿美元增至 393 亿美元。股东权益总额从 591 亿美元降至 384 亿美元。

Buying back 14% of the shares at an average price of $176 with the stock now at $259 was a good trade, and holding Anthropic equity was a better one. Both were capital allocation decisions. The operating business produced $2,331M of income on $11.345B of revenue, the same dollar figure it produced on $10.236B a year ago.

以平均价格 176 美元回购 14% 的股份,而目前股价为 259 美元,这是一笔划算的交易;持有 Anthropic 股权则是更好的选择。两者都是资本配置决策。运营业务在 113.45 亿美元的营收中产生了 23.31 亿美元的利润,这与去年同期在 102.36 亿美元营收中产生的利润金额相同。

#4. AI and Data is ~$3.9B ARR, about 8% of revenue, and the CEO says most customers haven’t started

#4. AI 和数据业务的年化经常性收入(ARR)约为 39 亿美元,约占营收的 8%,CEO 表示大多数客户尚未开始使用

The AI numbers are big:

AI 相关数据规模庞大:

  • Agentforce and Data 360 ARR: ~$3.9B, up over 210%
  • Agentforce ARR alone: over $1.5B, up over 240%
  • 3.2 billion Agentic Work Units in Q2, up 97% quarter-over-quarter
  • Agentforce bookings doubled year-over-year, with 50% of bookings coming from customers refilling Flex Credits
  • Data 360 ingested 104 trillion records, 82 trillion of them via Zero Copy
  • Agentforce 和 Data 360 的年化经常性收入:约 39 亿美元,同比增长超过 210%
  • 仅 Agentforce 的年化经常性收入:超过 15 亿美元,同比增长超过 240%
  • 第二季度处理了 32 亿个智能体工作单元(Agentic Work Units),环比增长 97%
  • Agentforce 签约额同比翻倍,其中 50% 的签约额来自客户重新购买 Flex Credits
  • Data 360 摄取了 104 万亿条记录,其中 82 万亿条通过零拷贝(Zero Copy)方式完成

Two things temper them. The $1.5B Agentforce figure is not a clean comp: effective this quarter, Salesforce redefined Agentforce ARR to include Slackbot and Headless 360, so the 240% is measured against a base that no longer means the same thing. And the $3.9B bundles Data 360, a data platform that predates the agent era.

有两点因素使其显得不那么亮眼。15 亿美元的 Agentforce 数据并非纯粹的可比数据:自本季度起,Salesforce 重新定义了 Agentforce 年化经常性收入的计算口径,将其纳入 Slackbot 和 Headless 360,因此 240% 的增长是相对于一个含义已发生变化的基数而言的。此外,39 亿美元的数据捆绑了 Data 360,这是一个早于智能体时代出现的数据平台。

At $45B of annualized revenue, $3.9B is about 8.6% of the business. Penetration is thinner than the growth rates suggest:

在 450 亿美元的年化营收背景下,39 亿美元约占业务的 8.6%。渗透率低于增长率所暗示的水平:

  • Miguel Milano: Salesforce added 2,000 paying customers into production this quarter, and accounts with agents in production grew 70% quarter-over-quarter. That math implies fewer than 5,000 production accounts total, against a customer base north of 150,000.
  • Milano again: “Only 5% of the knowledge workers that use sales and service have upgraded to the higher-end editions.” Those editions carry a 60-80% price premium and are the gate for Claudeforce and headless.
  • Benioff, on the customers he met across two months in Europe: “Most of them have not started their AI transformations yet.”
  • Miguel Milano:Salesforce 本季度向生产环境新增了 2,000 名付费客户,且在生产环境中拥有 Agent 的客户数量环比增长了 70%。这一数据意味着总共有不到 5,000 个生产环境账户,而客户基数超过 150,000。
  • Milano 再次指出:“只有 5% 使用销售和客服的知识型员工升级到了高端版本。”这些版本的价格溢价高达 60-80%,并且是 Claudeforce 和无头(headless)部署的门槛。
  • Benioff 谈及他在欧洲两个月内会见的客户:“他们中的大多数尚未开始其 AI 转型。”

Two years into Agentforce: 8% of revenue, roughly 3% of accounts in production, 5% on the premium tier. If you are comparing your own AI attach rate to Salesforce’s press release, the production-account number is the closer comparison.

Agentforce 推出两年后:占总收入的 8%,约 3% 的生产环境账户,5% 位于高级版本层级。如果你将自己的 AI 附加率与 Salesforce 的新闻稿进行比较,生产环境账户数量是更贴近的比较指标。

#5. Salesforce is running four pricing models at once, and Benioff says they’re still stuck on seats

#5. Salesforce 同时运行四种定价模式,而 Benioff 表示他们仍受困于按席位(seats)计费的模式

Asked about monetizing headless deployments, Benioff said:

当被问及如何从无头部署中实现货币化时,Benioff 表示:

“We’re still trapped in some ways in old per user pricing models. But the opportunity to build much more aggressive pricing, to really represent the value that we’re offering our customers, I think is enormous.” — Marc Benioff

“我们在某种程度上仍被困在旧的用户计价模式中。但我认为,构建更具侵略性的定价策略、真正体现我们为客户提供的价值的机会是巨大的。”——Marc Benioff

Salesforce is now simultaneously selling per user, per agent, per consumption unit via Flex Credits, and per outcome. Milano described an active negotiation with a $40M customer running an activation agent at 45 million AWUs, choosing between an outcome-based deal and an unlimited license agreement. Benioff went past transaction-based outcome pricing: “we improved revenue by this much, so give us $2 because we made you $20.”

Salesforce 现在同时在销售按用户、按 Agent、通过 Flex Credits 按消耗单位以及按结果计费的方案。Milano 描述了一次与一家年消费额达 4,000 万美元的客户的活跃谈判,该客户正在运行一个激活 Agent,年工作量单位(AWUs)达到 4,500 万,他们在基于结果的协议和无限许可协议之间做出选择。Benioff 超越了基于交易的结果定价:“我们的收入因此增加了这么多,所以请给我们 2 美元,因为我们为你创造了 20 美元的价值。”

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