美国商务部长:AI是瓶装教育,半导体本土化目标50%
US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick Talks AI, US-Canada Trade | Bloomberg Talks
直接涉及美国核心产业政策(半导体关税豁免条件、产能目标)及AI监管叙事,对科技股估值逻辑与全球供应链布局有实质性影响,建议关注相关板块政策风险。
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We are on the ground here in Chapel Hill and I'm surrounded by a who's who of AI. It's the Mount Rushmore of artificial intelligence as you walk around uh the Carolina in here. Think Jensen, Altman, Karp, and we'll add another name, Lutnik. The commerce secretary is hosting this confab in North Carolina and joins us right now live on Bloomberg TV and radio. Mr. Secretary, it's great to see you here at the G20.
我们此刻身处北卡罗来纳州的教堂山,周围聚集了人工智能领域的顶尖人物。当你漫步在卡洛林(Carolina)的会场时,这里堪称人工智能界的“拉什莫尔山”。想想杰森(Jensen)、奥特曼(Altman)、卡普(Karp),我们再加上一个名字:卢特尼克(Lutnik)。商务部长正在北卡罗来纳州主办这场会议,并刚刚连线彭博电视和广播。部长先生,很高兴在G20见到您。
It's great to be here with you. So, we were just talking about the sales pitch and some of the comments that the Treasury Secretary made last night. You're surrounded by arguably the smartest people in the world. You've been having fireside chats with them and I've been fascinated to listen to these conversations. Are you surprised they have not been clever enough to sell the American people who might be skeptical about this technology and the means with which we're developing it through data centers?
能与您在这里相聚非常高兴。我们刚才还在谈论销售策略以及财长昨晚的一些评论。您被世界上 arguably(可以说是最)聪明的人包围着。您一直在与他们进行炉边谈话,我听得入迷。您是否惊讶于他们不够聪明,未能说服可能对这项技术以及我们通过数据中心开发它的方式持怀疑态度的美国民众?
And I think today was sort of the first day that they really sort of grabbed on to it and tried to understand that they're really they were saying the word intelligence, right? Like data centers create intelligence. But the right way to say it is the way they said it today at the G20, which is it's education in a bottle.
我认为今天算是他们真正开始抓住重点并试图理解的一天。他们确实在说“智能”这个词,对吧?比如数据中心创造智能。但正确的说法是他们在G20今天所说的:“装在瓶子里的教育”。
And what they were saying is imagine if all the world the smartest people in the world were willing to move to your country, speak your language.
他们的意思是,想象一下,如果全世界最聪明的人都愿意搬到您的国家,说您的语言。
Speak your language and work on the projects you want them to work on. Would you really keep those people out of your country?
说您的语言,并从事您希望他们从事的项目。您真的会把这些人拒之门外吗?
See, that's what AI is. AI is education. It's the ability to ask the smartest people in the world to do what you want them to do. And that is what I set out to do today, to have the world understand that they can grow and build using the American tech stack and AI.
看,这就是人工智能。人工智能就是教育。它是让世界上最聪明的人为您所愿做事的能力。这正是我今天致力于做的,让世界明白他们可以借助美国技术栈和人工智能实现增长和建设。
You've talked about our adversaries potentially spoiling the narrative here through disinformation when it comes to data center. Is that true? Where's it coming from?
您曾提到我们的对手可能通过关于数据中心的虚假信息来破坏叙事。这是真的吗?这些消息来自哪里?
I do. I think data centers I mean, think about it. The number one product that uses water is an almond farm. And the next thing is cattle. I mean, data centers don't use water. This is just misinformation.
确实如此。我认为数据中心……请想一想。用水量最大的产品是杏仁农场。其次是养牛业。我的意思是,数据中心并不用水。这纯粹是虚假信息。
Well, the early generation did, right? I know the newer plants were closed circuit and use different cooling systems, but people remember these old data centers that made a lot of noise. They used a lot of water and drain a lot of power.
嗯,早期的一代确实如此,对吧?我知道较新的工厂采用闭环系统并使用不同的冷却系统,但人们还记得那些噪音很大的旧数据中心。它们消耗大量水资源并排放大量电力。
So, basically, if your community embraces data centers, you're going to have great economics. you'll have more power will be built and the price of power in your community will go down and you'll [clears throat] have the economic power of they're paying taxes and they're making your community better. So if your community doesn't embrace a data center, some other community will.
所以,基本上,如果你的社区接纳数据中心,你将获得极佳的经济效益。更多的电力设施将被建设,你社区的电价将下降,并且你将[清嗓子]拥有它们缴纳税收所带来的经济力量,这将使你的社区变得更好。因此,如果你的社区不接纳数据中心,其他社区就会接纳。
And I think data centers are part of the mix. They're not the mix because you can always rent a data center from another community that's using it. But the fact is education is coming. Democratized education is coming and the opportunity and entrepreneurship which will this will really work for America because we are the most entrepreneurial country. Do you realize compared to last year entrepreneurship new startups up 40%.
我认为数据中心是其中的一部分。但它们不是全部,因为你总是可以从另一个使用数据中心的社区租用数据中心。但事实是教育正在到来。普及的教育正在到来,而这将为美国带来机遇和创业精神,因为我们是最具创业精神的国家。你有没有意识到,与去年相比,新的初创企业增长了40%?
Usually it's like up 2%.
通常增长只有2%左右。
Up 40% year-over-year. This is really the greatness of America coming
同比增长40%。这真正体现了美国的伟大之处
out. Sam Alman put a very fine point on that when he was speaking to the room full of folks in a fireside chat that you were just leading. When it comes to disinformation though, have you confronted your Chinese counterpart about this? Have you met on data centers?
正在显现。当你在主持那场围炉夜话时,Sam Alman 对这一点做了非常精辟的阐述。然而,关于虚假信息的问题,你是否曾就此与中国同行进行过交涉?你们是否就数据中心进行过会面?
We met with our Chinese counterparts and and we really talked about how we could work together. Remember these the G20 is all about a collaborative way to how to do things together, right? Can we come up with a set of pillars, a set of
我们与中国的同行进行了会晤,并深入探讨了如何开展合作。请记住,G20 的核心在于协作方式,即如何共同做事,对吧?我们能否提出一套支柱、一系列
really instructional items on AI and technology? Can we all work together all G20? And I think we are going to reach consensus amongst us all.
关于人工智能和技术的指导性事项?我们所有 G20 成员国能否共同努力?我认为我们将达成共识。
Isn't this zero sum though? Somebody's got to lose, Mr. Secretary.
但这难道不是零和博弈吗?总得有人输吧,秘书长先生。
No.
不是。
Am I wrong?
我错了吗?
Are we trying to beat China?
我们是在试图击败中国吗?
Yes, we we are trying to have the American AI tax stack be out there in front. But if you think about AI, there's a if the smartest the if we talk about as educ education, the smartest frontier models in the world are American. They're the teacher. And if the teacher is relentlessly studying to stay at the frontier, the smartest, the greatest in the world. The students are always going to be a little back. And that's what you have right now with Chinese open- source models. they are studying from us but it's open AI it's anthropic and by the way Tom Brown was here he's a founder of enthropic he was one of my fireside chats earlier today and the idea is those are the teachers those are the frontier and the Chinese open source models are a couple of generations back because that's what students are going to be when the teacher is the smartest in the world and keeping at the frontier
是的,我们正努力让美国的人工智能税收体系走在前面。但如果你想想人工智能,如果我们谈论教育,世界上最前沿的模型是美国的。它们是老师。如果老师不断努力学习以保持处于前沿,成为世界上最聪明、最伟大的存在,那么学生总是会有些落后。这就是目前中国开源模型的情况。它们正在向我们学习,但 OpenAI、Anthropic,顺便说一句 Tom Brown 也在这里,他是 Anthropic 的创始人之一,他今天早些时候和我进行了炉边谈话。这些是老师,是前沿,而中国的开源模型落后了几代,因为当老师是世界上最聪明的并保持在前沿时,学生就会是这样。
and China is the student to your point um fascinating to see you sitting down with Tom Brown. Has Anthropic writed its relationship with this administration?
正如你所说,中国是学生。看到你和 Tom Brown 坐下来交谈很有趣。Anthropic 是否与本届政府建立了关系?
They did. They did. We had a good kurluffle.
他们确实建立了。我们进行了一次很好的交流。
Yeah.
是的。
Right. It was out there. But, you know, they've they've gotten religion. They understand.
没错。它已经公开了。但你知道,他们已经开窍了。他们理解了。
What's the religion?
什么是开窍?
The religion is that there is no country better than America and that you have to be on side with America because America's on your side.
开窍就是认识到没有比美国更好的国家,你必须与美国站在一边,因为美国站在你们这一边。
Did they need to be taught that? Well, I I think they were a little confused about the topic, but we sorted that out. The president sorted that out and I helped sort it out and now I think we're all in tune together. So,
他们需要被教导这一点吗?嗯,我认为他们对这个话题有些困惑,但我们解决了这个问题。总统解决了这个问题,我也帮忙解决了,现在我认为我们都协调一致了。所以,
OpenAI was here with Sam, but so was Tom Brown with Anthropic. Jensen was here and now Alex Karp. So, we're talking trying to get the world's G20 ministers to understand that the American text act is going to democratize education. They should bring it in. it'll speak in their language, right? And use it to make the world a better place. This is the opportunity to make the world a better place. And it's the American Text Act that's going to drive.
OpenAI 带着 Sam 来了,Tom Brown 也带着 Anthropic 来了。Jensen 来了,现在 Alex Karp 也来了。我们正在试图让全球 G20 部长们理解,美国的文本法案将实现教育的民主化。他们应该引入它。它会用他们的语言说话,对吧?并利用它让世界变得更美好。这是让世界变得更美好的机会。而正是美国的文本法案将推动这一切。
Well, we've got uh China on our mind here. There's a question about tariffs when it comes to chips. I don't know if we're talking about all semiconductors, Mr. Secretary. If it's memory, if it's beyond that, but what are you preparing to unveil? Well, remember the Trump administration has always said if you build here, there's no tariff. And you know, we set out as one of our key things that when the Trump administration walked in the door and I walked in the door, we had like 1% production of semiconductors and our goal is now 40% and if Intel can be successful, which it's clearly on the way to be, we could get to 50% domestic
嗯,我们这里心里想着中国。谈到芯片时有关关税的问题。我不确定我们说的是不是所有半导体,部长先生。如果是内存,如果超出那个范围,但你们准备公布什么?嗯,记得特朗普政府一直说,如果你在这里建厂,就没有关税。你知道,我们将此作为我们的关键事项之一,当特朗普政府和我走进门时,我们的半导体生产比例只有1%,而我们的目标现在是40%,如果英特尔能够成功,它显然正在走向成功,我们可以达到50%的国内
by the end of the term.
到任期结束时。
By the end of the term, we want that shovels in the ground building. And it won't all be complete, but there'll be shovels in the ground building it
到任期结束时,我们希望看到动土建设的场景。虽然不会全部完成,但会有动土建设的情况
to get us to 40 or 50% production of semiconductors. And the idea is very simple and it's been very successful with pharmaceuticals.
以达到我们40%或50%的半导体生产目标。这个想法非常简单,并且在制药行业非常成功。
Build it here and you won't pay a tariff while you're building. But if you're not willing to put shovels in the ground here, then you should pay to have access to the greatest market in the world. And I think that's our objective. We're going to shoot for 50% market share,
在这里建造,你在建设期间无需支付关税。但如果你不愿意在这里动土建设,那么你应该付费以获得进入世界上最大的市场的权限。我认为这就是我们的目标。我们要争取50%的市场份额,
right? 50% of our own consumption should be built here and that's our objective and we have commitments already already of 1.2 2 trillion dollar building. So TSMC
对吧?我们自己消费的50%应该在这里建造,这是我们的目标,我们已经有了1.2至2万亿美元的建设承诺。所以台积电
265 billion, Micron 250 billion. That's two companies over $500 billion. So you can see they're coming to America. They're building to America. The policy is working.
2650亿美元,美光2500亿美元。这两家公司超过5000亿美元。所以你可以看到他们来到美国。他们在美国建设。政策正在奏效。
So it sounds like if you're SK or Samsung, you're on notice.
所以听起来像是如果你是SK或三星,你已经被通知了。
You are on notice that they are going to build here. They need to build here. It's vital that they build here. Can we build a foundry fast enough to get to t
你已经收到通知,他们将在这里建设。他们需要在这里建设。他们在这里建设至关重要。我们能足够快地建成一家晶圆代工厂以到达t
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