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美伊冲突升级推高油价,NVIDIA斥资35亿美元投资台积电

UAE Fends Off Iran Attack as Conflict Escalates | Horizons Middle East & Africa 9/1/2026

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涵盖地缘冲突引发的宏观波动(油价、债市)与头部科技股重大资本动作(NVIDIA投资台积电),具备跨资产联动参考价值,建议关注相关标的走势及供应链逻辑。

ABEER: GOOD MORNING. OUR TOP STORIES THIS MORNING -- OIL RISES ON FRESH CONCERNS AMID HOSTILITIES BETWEEN THE U.S. AND IRAN AND DISRUPTION OF ENERGY FLOWS. AND SHEIN STRUGGLES IN ITS HONG KONG DEBUT, SHARES FALLING AS INVESTORS QUESTION IS VALUE. AND NVIDIA'S MEGADEAL MARKING THEIR BIGGEST DIRECT INVESTMENT OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES. IT'S JUST GONE 8:00 A.M. ACROSS THE EMIRATES. LET'S START WITH WHAT'S HAPPENING ON THE FIRST TRADING DAY OF THE MONTH.

阿比尔:早上好。今日头条新闻——在美伊敌对行动及能源流动中断引发新的担忧之际,油价上涨;SHEIN在香港上市首日表现挣扎,股价下跌,投资者质疑其估值;英伟达达成巨额交易,标志着其在美国境外最大的直接投资。现在阿联酋时间刚过早上8点。让我们先从本月第一个交易日的情况开始。

S&P FUTURES NOT DOING ANYTHING, A LITTLE BIT OF FLAT MOVEMENT TO THE DOWNSIDE. J.P. MORGAN ANALYST HAVE TAKEN OFF THEIR BULLISH STANCE ON U.S. EQUITIES AND HERE IS WHAT THEY SAID -- THEY ARE SHIFTING TO A TACTICALLY CAUTIOUS VIEW ON U.S. STOCKS AFTER THE HAWKISH STANCE BY KEVIN WARSH DURING THE JACKSON HOLE SPEECH. U.S. 10 YEAR NOTES UP THREE BASIS POINTS, 4.78%, ALSO KEEPING AN EYE ON THE 30 YEAR YIELD. LOOK AT THIS LAID OUT BY OUR MARKETS TEAM, SAYING THEY ENTER SEPTEMBER WITH THE WORST STRETCH SINCE 2006.

标普期货毫无动静,道琼斯指数略有小幅下行波动。摩根大通分析师已取消对美国股票的看涨立场,以下是他们的观点——在凯文·沃什在杰克逊霍尔演讲中采取鹰派立场后,他们转向对美国股市采取战术性谨慎的观点。美国10年期国债收益率上升3个基点至4.78%,同时密切关注30年期收益率。请看我们市场团队的分析,称9月以自2006年以来最糟糕的开局进入。

AS OF YESTERDAY, THE YIELD ON THE 30 YEAR NOTES HAVE SETTLED ABOVE THE 5% ARC ON 55 DAY SINCE THE START OF JANUARY, THE MOST CLOSES ABOVE THE MARK IN ANY YEAR SINCE 2006 AND BONDS ACROSS ASIA ARE ALSO MOVING LOWER. BRENT CRUDE A BIG STORY AND WE WILL TALK ABOUT THAT IN A SECOND, $91 A BARREL, AND BITCOIN, 78 POINT $7,000. THEY RESUMED PURCHASES OF BITCOIN. THEY ARE BELOW THE $80,000 MARK. FOR A LOOK AT WHAT'S HAPPENING IN ASIA THIS MORNING, WE HAVE WINNIE HSU IN HONG KONG FOR US.

截至昨日,30年期国债收益率已连续55天维持在5%上方,这是自2006年以来任何年份中高于该水平天数最多的一年,亚洲各地的债券也在走低。布伦特原油是大新闻,我们稍后会讨论,目前每桶91美元,比特币为78,7000美元(注:原文数字格式异常,按字面译),他们恢复了比特币购买。价格低于80,000美元关口。为了了解今早亚洲市场的动态,我们有驻香港的徐慧琳为我们报道。

WHAT ARE YOU LOOKING AT THIS MORNING? WINNIE: TODAY IT'S ABOUT HOW OIL PRICES ARE EXTENDING GAINS AND CONCERNS AROUND INFLATION. OF COURSE THERE IS EXPECTATION FOR THE FEDERAL RESERVE TO RAISE RATES LATER THIS MONTH. THOSE ARE SHOWING UP AND MARKETS BUT WE ARE SEEING ASIA STOCKS HOLDING UP QUITE WELL, DRIVEN BY GAINS IN CHINESE -- TAIWANESE CHIPMAKER MEDIATEK AFTER THEY SECURED INVESTMENT FROM NVIDIA. BUT YOU CAN SEE BONDS MOVING LOWER ALONG WITH TREASURIES.

你今天早上关注什么?徐慧琳:今天主要关注油价延续涨势以及围绕通胀的担忧。当然,市场预期美联储将在本月晚些时候加息。这些预期已反映在市场之中,但我们看到亚洲股市表现相当稳健,这得益于中国台湾芯片制造商联发科在获得英伟达投资后的涨幅。但你可以看到债券与美债一道走低。

THE 10 YEAR YIELD IN JAPAN AT ONE POINT REACHING THE 3% LEVEL. WE HEARD FROM LOCAL MEDIA SAYING BESSENT IS URGING JAPANESE AUTHORITIES TO RAISE RATES IN THE NEXT MEETING BUT WE ALSO HEARD FROM THE FINANCE MINISTER PUSHING BACK OR PLAYING DOWN COMMENTS AS WELL. OVERALL THE EXPECTATION IS STILL FOR THE BANK OF JAPAN TO RAISE RATES, ALSO DRIVEN BY THE WEAKNESS IN THE JAPANESE YEN. WE JUST HAD THE 10 YEAR JGB OPTION SHOWING DEMAND IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS.

日本10年期收益率一度触及3%水平。我们从当地媒体获悉,贝森特正敦促日本当局在下一次会议上加息,但我们也从财务大臣那里听到他对此进行反驳或淡化评论。总体而言,市场仍预期日本银行将加息,这也受到日元走弱的推动。我们刚刚看到10年期日本国债期权显示需求符合预期。

HERE'S A LOOK AT HOW SHEIN IS DOING IN HIS FIRST DAY -- IT'S FIRST DAY. THEY PARED SOME OF THEIR LOSSES OF AS MUCH AS 10% EARLIER TODAY. THEY CAME ALONG WAY AFTER HAVING FAILED TO IPO IN NEW YORK AND LONDON. WE WILL HAVE MORE DETAILS FOR YOU LATER IN THE SHOW. ABEER: THANK YOU, AND WE WILL HAVE MORE DETAILS ABOUT SHEIN. OIL IS RISING FOR A SECOND SESSION AS CONCERNS MOUNT OVER FRESH HOSTILITIES BETWEEN THE U.S. AND IRAN, FURTHER DISRUPTING ENERGY FLOWS IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ.

以下是 SHEIN 首日表现的情况——这是它的第一天。今天早些时候,其跌幅已从高达 10% 收窄。在未能于纽约和伦敦上市之后,SHEIN 取得了长足的进展。稍后节目中我们将为您带来更多细节。阿比尔:谢谢,我们将提供更多关于 SHEIN 的细节。油价连续第二个交易日上涨,因为人们对美国和伊朗之间新出现的敌对行动加剧了霍尔木兹海峡能源流通中断的担忧。

PRESIDENT TRUMP HAS DISMISSED THAT IT IS USING FIREPOWER. PRESIDENT TRUMP'S LATEST REMARKS, IT'S A LITTLE WAR, BUT THERE WAS A SIGNALING TO A POSSIBLE RETURN TO MILITARY ESCALATION. HOW POSSIBLE IS THAT AND WHAT ARE THE IMPACTS OF A FULL RETURN TO THE ATTACKS IN THE REGION.

特朗普总统否认正在使用火力。特朗普总统的最新言论称这是一场‘小规模战争’,但这发出了可能回归军事升级的信号。这种可能性有多大?全面恢复对该地区的攻击会带来什么影响?

WE NEED TO LOOK AT THE LARGER COMMENTS THAT CONTEXT OF THE COMMENTS TRUMP MADE THERE HAD BEEN NO INDICATIONS OF A MAJOR OPERATION IN IRAN INTO TUESDAY. THERE ARE TWO MAIN CONSTRAINTS, ONE, PRESIDENT TRUMP HAS MAINLY ALLUDED TO, THAT THE U.S. IS RUNNING LOW ON MUNITIONS. HE REFERRED TO THEM, CALLING THEM ELITE BOMBS. THAT'S A CONSTRAINT AND DICTATING SOME OF THE U.S. ACTION. THE SECOND IS THE REGIONAL OPPOSITION TO THE CURRENT STATE OF AFFAIRS MOST RECENTLY THE ADVISOR THE PRESIDENT.

我们需要结合背景来看特朗普发表这些言论时的更大语境。截至周二,没有任何迹象表明美国将对伊朗发动重大行动。存在两个主要制约因素,一是特朗普总统主要提及的一点,即美国的弹药储备不足。他提到这些弹药时称之为‘精英炸弹’。这是一个制约因素,也在一定程度上决定了美国的行动。第二个因素是地区各方对当前局势的反对,最近表现为总统顾问的态度。

THE REGION DOESN'T WANT THE STATE OF AFFAIRS THAT'S NEITHER AWARD NOR -- THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ AND THE REST OF THE WORLD AND THAT'S TAKING A TOLL ON THE ECONOMY. WHEN TRUMP IS PROMISING RETALIATION NOT REALLY DOING ANYTHING WE NEED TO THINK ABOUT HIS NEED TO BALANCE THE CONSTRAINTS AND HIS DESIRE TO REACH WHATEVER POLITICAL IN-STATE HE WOULD LIKE TO SEE IN IRAN AND TO SAY THE LEAST, THAT END STATE HAS VARIED. ABEER: WHAT IS HAPPENING IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ -- WE'VE SEEN A TRICKLE OF MOVEMENT ON WHAT'S GOING THROUGH THE WATERWAY BUT WE STILL SEE ATTACKS.

该地区不希望出现既非奖励也非通过霍尔木兹海峡及世界其他地区造成经济损害的局面。当特朗普承诺报复却并未真正采取行动时,我们需要考虑他在平衡制约因素与希望实现其在伊朗的政治目标之间的需求。至少可以说,这一最终状态一直在变化。阿比尔:霍尔木兹海峡发生了什么情况?我们看到通过该水道的水上交通时有 trickle(零星)流动,但我们仍然看到袭击事件。

WHAT IS THE STATE OF PLAY -- WHO IS ATTACKING, IRAN, THE U.S.?

目前的局势如何?是谁在发动攻击?是伊朗还是美国?

THERE BEEN MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS IN THE LAST 12 HOURS OR SO, ONE WAS AN INCIDENT WHERE A SHIP WAS HIT BY THREE PROJECTILES CLOSE TO OMAN. ANOTHER ONE WITH AN INCIDENT THAT THE U.K. NAVY SAID THERE WAS AN INCIDENT INVOLVING THE MILITARY AND A SHIP. WHAT'S VERY CLEAR IS WHAT'S GOING ON, THE U.S. AND IRAN WANT TO IMPOSE WHAT THEY THINK SHOULD BE THE END STATE OF HORMUZ BY CHASING MILITARY MEANS. WE'VE SEEN THAT THE PLACE FURTHER MINDS AND THEIR FACILITIES OR EQUIPMENT ON THE ISLAND, TO EXPAND.

在过去大约 12 小时内是否有重大发展?其中之一是一艘船在靠近阿曼的地方被三枚炮弹击中。另一个事件涉及英国海军所说的军事人员与船只之间的事件。非常清楚的是,美国和伊朗正试图通过军事手段强加他们认为霍尔木兹海峡应有的最终状态。我们已经看到他们进一步关注并扩大在该岛上的设施或装备。

ABEER: AND IT'S HAVING AN IMPACT ON OIL. THANK YOU AS ALWAYS. OUR MANAGING EDITOR FOR THE MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA. ALSO KEEPING AN EYE ON MEDIATECH SHARES AFTER NVIDIA ANNOUNCED ITS INVESTING 3.5 BILLION DUSTERS -- 3.5 BILLION DOLLARS. JENSEN HUANG AND RICKS I SPOKE EXCLUSIVELY TO BLOOMBERG ABOUT THE DEAL AND BRUSHED OFF CONCERNS ABOUT CIRCULAR FINANCING.

ABEER:这对石油市场产生了影响。一如既往地感谢您。我们是负责中东和北非地区的执行主编。在英伟达宣布投资35亿美元后,我们也在密切关注台积电的股价。黄仁勋和我独家向彭博社透露了这笔交易,并淡化了对循环融资的担忧。

IT'S NOT CIRCULAR BECAUSE OBVIOUSLY THEY DO THEIR OWN BUSINESS AND WE DO OUR OWN BUSINESS. MEDIATECH IS ALREADY INCREDIBLY PROFITABLE AND SUCCESSFUL. THEY ARE THE WORLD'S BEST SOC MAKER, THEY MAKE MORE THAN ANY COMPANY IN THE WORLD. IT'S A PLEASURE TO INVEST IN A TECHNOLOGY COMPANY IN TAIWAN, AND THE INVESTMENT IS GROUNDED IN A PARTNERSHIP THAT WILL BE MULTIPLE YEARS. THE ROADMAP WE ARE EXECUTING RIGHT NOW, IT'S NOT ONE OR TWO YEARS, IT IS A DECADE LONG.

这不是循环融资,因为显然他们做他们的业务,我们也做我们的业务。台积电已经非常盈利且成功。他们是全球最好的芯片制造商,其产量超过世界上任何公司。投资台湾的科技公司是件乐事,而且这项投资建立在多年合作的基础之上。我们现在执行的路线图不是一两年,而是长达十年。

THIS PARTNERSHIP IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT TO US AND WE NEED TO MAKE SURE WE DEMONSTRATE EVERY OPPORTUNITY TO DEMONSTRATE THE IMPORTANCE, THE SERIOUSNESS, THE CONFIDENCE IN THE PARTNERSHIP AND INVESTMENT WE ARE MAKING DEMONSTRATES THAT. ULTIMATELY, IT WILL BE A PHENOMENAL INVESTMENTS FOR US AND GENERATE INCREDIBLE RETURNS.

这项合作伙伴关系对我们来说极其重要,我们需要确保抓住每一个机会来展示我们对这一伙伴关系和投资的重要性、严肃性和信心。最终,这将是一项非凡的投资,并产生巨大的回报。

IN JULY MEDIATECH SAID IT WOULD SUPPORT AND GROW THE SUPPLY CHAIN. YOU TALKED ABOUT SPEED TO MARKET. WHAT DO YOU PLAN TO DO WITH THE PROCEEDS? WHEN YOU TALK SUPPLY CHAIN DO WE NEED -- DO YOU NEED MORE U.S. OR TAIWANESE SUPPLIERS?

7月,台积电表示将支持并扩大供应链。你提到了上市速度。你打算如何使用这笔资金?当你提到供应链时,我们是否需要——你需要更多的美国或台湾供应商吗?

CERTAINLY IN THE END OF JULY WE COULD NOT DISCUSS THE STRATEGIC INVESTMENT BUT I THINK IT WILL BE MULTIPLE PURPOSES, THE SUPPLY CHAIN BEING ONE OF THEM. ON THE OTHER HAND, I THINK AS JENSEN SAID SO ELOQUENTLY, IT'S A VERY STRONG TECH COMPANY. WE WILL DEFINITELY INVEST IF ANYTHING MORE, INTO THE TECHNOLOGY . INTO OFFENSE PACKAGING. I THINK THE KEY IS THE COLLABORATION AGREEMENT WE HAVE BUILT AND EXPENDED WITH NVIDIA.

当然,在7月底我们无法讨论这项战略投资,但我认为它将有多个用途,供应链是其中之一。另一方面,我认为正如黄仁勋所说的那样,这是一家非常强大的科技公司。如果有的话,我们肯定会进一步投资于技术,特别是先进封装。我认为关键在于我们与英伟达建立并扩展的合作协议。

THOSE ARE THE KEY THINGS. IT WILL MAKE THOSE THINGS HAPPEN BETTER AND FURTHER.

这些是关键事项。它将使这些事情发生得更好、更远。

YOU TALKED WITH CONFIDENCE THAT THE GPU ARCHITECTURE IS SUPERIOR. YOU'RE TALKING ABOUT THAT LARGELY BECAUSE YOU ASKED ABOUT CUSTOM SILICON. THE SENSE IS THAT THE FUSION MAKES IT EASY TO TAKE XPU AND DROP IT INTO THE DATA CENTER -- THAT WOULD SHOW THAT NVIDIA SEES XP YOU COMING INTO THE MARKET AND THE DIFFERENCE YOU'RE THINKING THIS WEEK AT WHAT YOU OUTLINED LAST WEEK?

你自信地谈到GPU架构具有优越性。你之所以这么说,很大程度上是因为你问到了定制芯片。目前的看法是,融合使得将XPU轻松放入数据中心变得容易——这表明英伟达看到了XP进入市场的趋势,以及你本周与你上周概述的内容有何不同?

I SEE XPU'S IN THE MARKET, NOT COMING INTO THE MARKET. IT'S A SPECIALIZED CHIP. NVIDIA'S GPU IS A GENERAL-PURPOSE ACCELERATOR. WE ACCELERATE THE ENTIRE LIFECYCLE OF AI FROM DATA PROCESSING TO PRETRAINING TO POST TRAINING TO AGENDA INFERENCING. WE ACCELERATE EVERY AI MODEL IN THE WORLD FROM CLOSE MODELS, OPEN MODELS. BIOLOGICAL MODELS IN PHYSICS AND ROBOTICS MODELS. WE ACCELERATE EVERY AREA OF AI. THAT EXPLAINS WHY WE ARE THE MOST FUNGIBLE AND DURABLE AND RENTABLE INFRASTRUCTURE IN THE WORLD.

我看到市场上有 XPU,但它们并未进入市场。这是一种专用芯片。NVIDIA 的 GPU 是一种通用加速器。我们加速 AI 的整个生命周期,从数据处理到预训练,再到后训练,再到议程推理。我们加速世界上每一个 AI 模型,无论是闭源模型、开源模型,还是物理和机器人领域的生物模型。我们加速 AI 的每一个领域。这解释了为什么我们是世界上最通用、最耐用且最具盈利能力的基础设施。

WE ARE ABLE TO ADDRESS MARKETS THAT FRANKLY NOBODY ELSE CAN BECAUSE OF THE ARCHITECTURE OF OUR COMPANY AND THE ENTIRE FULL STACK PLATFORM WE HAVE. ABEER: THAT WAS THE NVIDIA CEO AND MEDIATECH CEO SPEAKING EXCLUSIVELY WITH ED LUDLOW. COMING UP, ANZ'S HEAD OF RESEARCH. THAT'S NEXT. THIS IS BLOOMBERG. ♪ ABEER: YEN TRADERS ARE ON ALERT FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF INTERVENTION AFTER THE CURRENCY BREACHED THE KEY 160 LEVEL VERSUS THE U.S.

由于我们公司的架构以及我们所拥有的整个全栈平台,我们能够解决其他任何人都无法触及的市场。ABEER:这是 NVIDIA CEO 与 MEDIATECH CEO 独家接受 ED LUDLOW 采访的内容。接下来,ANZ 研究主管将登场。稍后播出。这是彭博社。♪ ABEER:在货币兑美元突破关键的 160 关口后,日元交易员正警惕另一轮干预行动。

DOLLAR. THIS AS FINANCE MINISTER SAYS JAPAN CONTINU

美元。正如财政部长所说,日本持续

原文超出正文长度上限,此处截断——上游还有内容,完整版见上方「原文 ↗」。

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