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苹果CEO交接:Ternus接任,Cook留任顾问

Apple’s Ternus Takes the CEO Reins

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苹果核心管理层变动直接影响公司治理与长期战略方向,关注后续执行细节。

We have been waiting for this day. I know you've been waiting for this day. I encourage everybody to check out your big tickets. It's chock full of like, a great retrospective on what Tim Cook did over the last 15 years, and also the challenges that John Turnus has over, let's say, the next 15. I guess maybe I'll pose the question to you about this. Um, and you write about this in your piece. Mark, is this is this going to be like, uh, um, Bob Chapek, Bob Iger situation or like a Andy Jassy, Jeff, Jeff Bezos situation?

我们一直在等待这一天。我知道你们也在等待这一天。我鼓励大家去看看你们的重磅新闻稿。里面充满了关于蒂姆·库克过去15年所做工作的精彩回顾,以及约翰·特努斯在未来15年(姑且这么说)面临的挑战。我想就此向你们提出这个问题。嗯,你在文章中提到了这一点。马克,这会是像鲍勃·查佩克、鲍勃·艾格那样的情况,还是像安迪·贾西、杰夫·贝佐斯那样的情况?

I think it'll be more of, uh, Andy Jassy, uh, Jeff Bezos type of situation, right. Where Tim Cook is still there. He's there to do the so-called dirty work on the government relations side. Well, Turnus is running and setting the agenda for the company in the day to day basis. But cook has a lot of experience. He'll be there in executive meetings. He'll be there going through numbers for Apple. Uh, he'll be working on important things, like trying to fix the memory shortage.

我认为这会更像是安迪·贾西和杰夫·贝佐斯那种类型的情况,对吧。蒂姆·库克仍然在任。他负责处理所谓的政府关系方面的“脏活”。而特努斯则在日常基础上运营公司并设定议程。但库克拥有丰富的经验。他会出席执行会议。他会为苹果公司审核数据。他还会处理一些重要的事情,比如试图解决内存短缺问题。

And he'll be there as an advisor to attorneys as well as that whole executive team, and really the whole company, if you think about it, helping turn this work through the through these decisions, I would expect that they're going to have a one on one, uh, still on the calendar. Maybe something, you know, once a month. Once a week. But this is going to be an ongoing transition. Uh, for the next several months, and I expect Tim Cook to be there in a really intimate way, uh, likely through 2029 or through 2028 into 2029, when Trump's tenure ends.

此外,作为律师以及整个高管团队的顾问,如果考虑到这一点,他实际上是在帮助整个公司通过这些决策推进工作。我预计他们仍会在日历上保留一对一的会面。也许每月一次,或者每周一次。但这将是一个持续的过渡过程。在接下来的几个月里,我预计蒂姆·库克将以一种非常深入的方式参与其中,很可能持续到2029年,或者从2028年延续到2029年,即特朗普任期结束之时。

Yeah. I mean, very interesting time for Apple, Mark, isn't it, because this handover from Tim Cook to John Turner isn't like the handover from Steve Jobs to Tim Cook, right? In terms of the composition of the executive C-suite, uh, ranks. Right. I mean, there was a lot of continuity from the jobs to the cook era, uh, but perhaps less so from the cook to the Turnus era. I mean, he's going to have to replace a bunch of senior positions over the next three years.

是的。我的意思是,这对苹果来说是一个非常有趣的时期,马克,不是吗?因为蒂姆·库克向约翰·特纳斯的交接不像史蒂夫·乔布斯向蒂姆·库克的交接,对吧?就高管团队(C-suite)的构成而言,确实如此。我的意思是,从乔布斯时代到库克时代有很多连续性,但从库克时代到特努斯时代可能就没那么多了。我的意思是,他将在未来三年内替换掉一批高级职位。

How do you think, uh, Tim Cook's continued presence will help with that transition? Yeah, that's all true. And you know what Tim Cook had, uh, was a blessing and a curse, right? The blessing, um, was that he was able to chart his own path and set his own agenda, uh, without anyone being able to really question, what would Steve Jobs do? People pose that question. But Steve Jobs, unfortunately, had passed away. He wasn't there anymore.

你认为蒂姆·库克的持续存在将如何有助于这一过渡?是的,这些都是事实。你知道蒂姆·库克拥有什么吗?那是一把双刃剑,对吧?好处是,他能够开辟自己的道路并设定自己的议程,没有人能够真正质疑:史蒂夫·乔布斯会怎么做?人们经常提出这个问题。但不幸的是,史蒂夫·乔布斯已经去世了。他不再在了。

He wasn't there to get involved. Right. And so from that standpoint, it was a clean break, so to speak. Uh, John Turner is not going to get that, uh, because Tim Cook is going to still be around. Now, on the other side of the coin, Apple and the world lost one of its greatest visionaries in world history. With the passing of Steve Jobs. Apple lost its CEO, its founder, its leader, the person who set that agenda and almost a singular way.

他并未卷入其中。没错。因此从这个角度来看,可以说是一次彻底的决裂。嗯,约翰·特纳(John Turner)将得不到那种支持,因为蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)仍然会在位。另一方面,随着史蒂夫·乔布斯(Steve Jobs)的离世,苹果和世界失去了一位世界历史上最伟大的远见者之一。苹果的CEO、创始人、领袖、设定议程的人以及几乎独一无二的风格,都随之离去。

And so Tim Cook did not have, unfortunately for him and for Apple in the world, that type of figure to to lean on. Now the benefit for turn is on the other side of the coin is he will have that benefit to be able to lean on. Tim Cook, obviously a great businessman, someone who was able to expand Apple. Uh, one interesting stat in my big take was that the services revenue alone that Apple generates today because of expansions into new things like Apple Music, uh, Apple Pay, Apple TV.

因此,蒂姆·库克不幸地失去了这样一个可以依靠的人物,这对他和苹果在世界范围内来说都是如此。而硬币的另一面是,特纳将获得这种优势,能够有所依靠。蒂姆·库克显然是一位伟大的商人,一位能够拓展苹果业务的人。在我的一大观点中有一个有趣的数据:仅因拓展到Apple Music、Apple Pay、Apple TV等新领域,苹果如今产生的服务收入就相当可观。

Uh, the growing App Store, right? That business was bigger. Uh, it's that business now is bigger than Apple was in its entirety when Tim Cook took over at the end of 2011. So a lot to like about Cook's tenure and a lot to like if your turn is being able to lean on him. But we'll see how quickly he's able to reshape Apple in his own image, uh, as Tim Cook was able to when he took over. Yeah, I love I love that stat in your piece.

还有不断增长的App Store,对吧?这项业务的规模现在比蒂姆·库克于2011年底接手时苹果的整体规模还要大。因此,库克的任期有很多值得称赞之处,如果你的立场是能够依靠他的话,也有很多值得肯定的地方。但我们将看看他能多快地按照自己的形象重塑苹果,就像蒂姆·库克在接任时所做到的一样。是的,我很喜欢你那篇文章中的数据。

I mean, it's just mind boggling. And we're looking right now if you're watching on YouTube at Bloomberg Originals, if you go back to August of 2011, the return on shares have been under Tim Cook over 2,200%. You put it a different way in your story. You've said 15 acts. This is a company that, under Tim Cook quadrupled in global revenue. I mean, up more than, uh, up to more than $400 billion per year. More than just over half of that is the iPhone.

我的意思是,这简直令人难以置信。我们现在正在观看YouTube上的Bloomberg Originals节目,如果你回顾到2011年8月,在蒂姆·库克领导下,股票回报率已超过2200%。你在报道中以另一种方式表述:你提到了15个里程碑。这是一家在蒂姆·库克领导下全球收入翻四倍的公司。我的意思是,年收入增长至超过4000亿美元。其中超过一半以上来自iPhone。

Mark, I think the question that I have for you, um, is about new products and charting that that new path forward. You make the point in your piece that you know these two. Even if we have the picture of this. If these guys like and you've talked about this and I'm so glad you put a picture of this in your piece at the Ted Lasso season four premiere or whatever a few weeks ago. These two guys are wearing the, like, the exact same thing.

马克,我认为我想问你的问题是关于新产品和开辟新的前进道路。你在文章中指出,你知道这两个人。即使我们有这张照片。如果这些人喜欢——你也谈过这一点,我很高兴你在几周前的《泰德·拉索》第四季首播或某个场合的文章中放了一张这张照片。这两个人穿着完全相同的东西。

I mean, the message to investors is, is really like, okay, perhaps this is this is Tim Cook to point out all that said, there's room. You argue for some from some serious improvement when it comes to some devices and new devices. What's on the docket for Apple in the coming years? Well, you'll see the foldable iPhone. You'll see the smart home device that smart home hub. Uh, facial recognition you walk up to. It can load up your content.

我的意思是,给投资者的信息其实是这样的:好吧,也许这是蒂姆·库克在指出所有那些说法,确实还有空间。你主张在某些设备和新设备方面进行一些实质性的改进。苹果在未来几年有什么计划?嗯,你会看到折叠屏 iPhone。你会看到智能家居设备,也就是智能家居中枢。比如面部识别,当你走近时,它就能加载你的内容。

You'll see a tabletop robotic version of that. So a version of that, the display can move over your space with a robotic arm. Uh, you'll see a new Apple TV, a new HomePod mini, a new big HomePod, uh, a touch screen MacBook Pro, AirPods with cameras, smart glasses with cameras, potentially a pendant that you can wear as a necklace or on your person on your shirt as a clip on. So there's a lot of new stuff coming, a lot of new eye related products, both in the home and in terms of wearables.

你会看到它的桌面机器人版本。也就是说,有一个版本可以通过机械臂让你的显示屏在你的空间中移动。嗯,你会看到新款 Apple TV、新款 HomePod mini、新款大型 HomePod,嗯,带触摸屏的 MacBook Pro、带摄像头的 AirPods、带摄像头的智能眼镜,可能还有一种可以像项链一样佩戴或别在衬衫上的吊坠式配件。所以有很多新产品即将推出,很多与视觉相关的产品,既包括家居产品,也包括可穿戴设备。

So you're going to see a ton over the next year and a half, two years. It's a really exciting time for Apple and of course, customers. And it's also going to be a very expensive time for me. I feel like you can expense some of these things. I'm just I'm not your manager, but I feel like, you know, just for research purposes. But anyway. Sorry, Christine. Go ahead. Oh, well, I mean, good point about all these cool new products, right?

所以在未来一年半到两年内,你会看到大量新品。这对苹果和消费者来说都是一个非常令人兴奋的时刻。当然,对我来说也将是一个非常昂贵的时期。我觉得我可以把这些东西算作公司开支。我只是说,我不是你的经理,但我觉得,你知道,只是为了研究目的。不过算了。抱歉,克里斯汀。请继续。哦,好吧,我的意思是,关于所有这些酷炫的新产品,你说得对,对吧?

That is going to be in the pipeline and seems like that is very much, uh, within her wheelhouse. He's a hardware guy. But as you mentioned, Mark, you know, the biggest challenge in some ways for Apple is really all about AI. It's the software side of things. So, you know, how does his strength and hardware play into that? Does he bring kind of a fresh perspective to it? What do you think? How's that going to play out?

这些都将进入开发流程,而且看起来这完全在她的专业领域之内。他是个硬件专家。但正如你提到的,马克,从某种意义上说,苹果面临的最大挑战其实都与人工智能有关。那是软件方面的事。所以,你知道,他的硬件优势如何与之结合?他是否会带来一种全新的视角?你怎么看?这将如何展开?

Well, Apple is a company that makes money off of the hardware. They have not shown an ability to roll out eye products that you're going to be willing to pay for on a standalone basis, like people pay for Claude or ChatGPT. Uh, those guys are making the bulk of their money, I believe, on enterprise and bulk purchases and working with businesses on AI distribution. Apple's not going to do that. How are they going to make money?

嗯,苹果是一家靠硬件赚钱的公司。他们尚未展现出能够推出独立销售且用户愿意付费的视觉产品的能力,就像人们为 Claude 或 ChatGPT 付费那样。嗯,我认为那些人大部分收入来自企业客户和大额采购,并与企业合作进行 AI 分发。苹果不会这样做。他们打算怎么赚钱?

By making AI at the very core of the hardware and software and services features that people are willing to pay for. And so that is going to be their push into the market there. And I think on top of that, you are going to see them try to monetize Siri. I eventually whether that's paying for more advanced versions of those plans, uh, also paying for third party app integrations, taking a slice of revenue from there. So what's Tim?

通过将 AI 置于人们愿意付费的硬件、软件和服务功能的核心。因此,这将是他们进入市场的推动力。而且我认为在此基础上,你会看到他们尝试对 Siri 进行货币化。我最终认为无论是为更高级版本的计划付费,还是为第三方应用集成付费,从那里抽取一部分收入。那么蒂姆呢?

What's Tim Cook going to be doing now? Mark? Is he going to Palm Springs and just hiking with his new bodyguard? Uh, well, he's itching to fill his plate with responsibilities. I think he's still going to be quite involved, uh, at least for the next several years. Uh, I also believe he'll continue managing the government relationships. He was doing a lot of government meetings and such. Going to the white House, meeting with Trump, going to D.C., meeting with Trump and other officials.

蒂姆·库克现在会做什么?马克?他会去棕榈泉和他的新保镖一起徒步旅行吗?嗯,他迫不及待地想承担更多责任。我认为他在未来几年内仍会非常投入。我还相信他将继续管理政府关系。他之前做了很多政府会议之类的活动。去白宫,与特朗普会面,去华盛顿特区,与特朗普和其他官员会面。

You saw they did the recent meeting, uh, in Texas at that Mac mini facility they had, like Nick there. Uh, you'l

你看到了他们最近在德克萨斯州的那个 Mac mini 设施进行的最近一次会议,尼克就在那里。呃,你会

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