Sivers财报:新增6家可插拔客户,获新代工厂产能
$SIVE ER transcript just dropped, TLDR:
$SIVE ER transcript just dropped, TLDR:
$SIVE ER 记录刚发布,TLDR:
- 6 NEW pluggable players working with Sivers now.
- 现在有6家新的可插拔玩家与Sivers合作。
Probably the biggest news of the entire ER next to new foundry allocations.
这可能是整个ER中除了新的代工厂分配外最大的新闻。
"3 are in alpha sample evaluation stage" and another 3 in technical engagement / supply assessment stage."
“3家处于alpha样品评估阶段”,另外3家处于技术接触/供应评估阶段。
And now it makes more sense why their $1.2B revenue pipeline ballooned (since this was a bigger leap than Jabil).
现在更明白为什么他们的12亿美元收入管道膨胀了(因为这是比Jabil更大的飞跃)。
- Initial production orders with $JBL expected in the first half of 2027, with the production ramp planned second half of 2027
- 与$JBL的初始生产订单预计在2027年上半年,生产爬坡计划在2027年下半年。
LFG, Jabil is a massive hyperscaler supplier and finally got clear timelines on revenue from volume ramp.
LFG,Jabil是大型超大规模供应商,终于明确了从产量爬坡中获得收入的时间线。
- "new foundry partner who has brought on tremendous capacity that is available now"
- “新的代工伙伴带来了巨大的产能,现在即可用。”
This is what I wanted to hear. Apparently they've been in the works for this for awhile since it's "available now", and THIS IS VERY MATERIAL.
这正是我想听到的。显然他们为此已经筹备了一段时间,因为“现在即可用”,而且这非常重要。
CW lasers are in a massive shortage and $SIVE brought on new supply outside of Win Semi (also de-risks).
CW激光器严重短缺,$SIVE在Win Semi之外引入了新的供应(也降低了风险)。
As you hear with other qualified CW players (anything they make gets sold), so as Sivers partners finishes their qualifications, I'm expecting the same.
正如你听到的其他合格CW玩家(他们生产的一切都能卖掉),所以当Sivers的合作伙伴完成认证时,我预期同样的情况。
- "long-term capacity model where one-third of manufacturing capacity will be internal, while two-thirds will come from our foundry partners"
- “长期产能模型中,三分之一的生产能力将是内部的,而三分之二将来自我们的代工伙伴。”
Lukewarm on this, it makes sense they need to be vertically integrated like $AAOI / $LITE eventually but implies more capex (better after NASDAQ listing).
对此持保留态度,他们最终需要像$AAOI/$LITE那样垂直整合是有道理的,但这意味着更多的资本支出(在纳斯达克上市后更好)。
As you see with ESMT + DDR2 bottlenecks, the operating income they get from just securing wafers during shortages and doing fabless models is incredible.
正如你在ESMT和DDR2瓶颈中看到的,他们在短缺期间仅通过确保晶圆和采用无晶圆厂模式获得的营业收入是惊人的。
And it would make more sense to fund this with cashflow down the road.
而且用未来的现金流来资助这一点会更有意义。
- NASDAQ listing ongoing. CFO gave a very lawyer like answer, but on track as usual.
- "We do not see production capacity as a bottleneck at this point in time"
- 纳斯达克上市正在进行中。CFO给出了非常律师式的回答,但一如既往地按计划进行。
- “我们目前不认为生产能力是瓶颈。”
This is very meaningful since with their new foundry partners, implies $SIVE is coming online with a very material CW laser supply to a bottlenecked market.
这非常有意义,因为有了新的代工伙伴,意味着$SIVE正在为瓶颈市场提供非常实质性的CW激光器供应。
TLDR: - NEW substantial FOUNDRY ALLOCATION! (very, very material during CW laser shortage) - 6 new pluggable players outside of $JBL - Clear revenue ramp timelines from Jabil
TLDR: - 新的实质性代工厂分配!(在CW激光器短缺期间非常、非常重要) - 除$JBL外的6家新可插拔玩家 - Jabil明确的收入爬坡时间线
Heavy focus on pluggables -> NPO -> CPO seems like the progression. Only lukewarm piece was building up internal capacity but it's long term positive.
重点放在可插拔 -> NPO -> CPO似乎是进展路径。唯一不太热的是建立内部产能,但长期是积极的。
Anyway, very happy after reading the transcript aside from potential capex prioritizing laser capacity (which is fine too during an industry shortage) over IP acquisition.
总之,读完记录后非常满意,除了可能优先考虑激光器产能(在行业短缺期间这也很好)而非IP收购的资本支出。
The 6 new pluggable players + substantial wafer allocation "available now" is a pretty insane disclosure.
6款新的可插拔播放器加上“即刻可用”的大量晶圆分配,这一披露相当惊人。
更进一步:量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力