B2B 三大新定价模型:按量、按结果、按席位已死
The 3 New Pricing Models in B2B. Pick One, Because The Old One (Just Seats) Really is Dying
给 SaaS 创始人和定价负责人:直接可抄的按量定价四件套(硬上限、预购块、阈值告警、预算 API),以及按结果定价的适用条件与代价,今天就能对照自己的产品选型。
Henry Schuck, CEO of ZoomInfo, posted his read on where B2B pricing is going. His summary, after talking to the world’s most expensive consultants and hundreds of his own customers: nobody knows. Not the experts, not the customers, and the answer keeps changing week to week.
ZoomInfo首席执行官亨利·舒克发表了他对B2B定价趋势的看法。在与全球最昂贵的顾问以及数百位自家客户交流后,他的总结是:没人知道答案。专家不知道,客户也不知道,而且答案每周都在变化。
But sitting still is not a strategy, it’s a slow death spiral today.
但如今,按兵不动不是策略,而是缓慢走向死亡的螺旋。
A few things I’d add. First, the pressure on the old model is only growing and it isn’t only about AI. Second, three new models have actually emerged. They are not equally viable, they are not equally hard to run, and which one fits you comes down to whether you can name a single countable thing your software does that a customer would pay for on its own.
我想补充几点。首先,旧模式面临的压力只会越来越大,这不仅仅关乎AI。其次,实际上已经出现了三种新模式。它们并非同样可行,也并非同样易于运营,而哪种适合你,取决于你能否说出你的软件所做的一件可计量的、客户愿意单独为之付费的事情。
The seat model is dying for three reasons, and only one of them is AI per se
席位模式正因三个原因走向消亡,其中只有一个是AI本身
#1. Four years of price increases used up all the headroom
#1. 四年的价格上涨已用尽所有空间
Seat pricing has been carrying the entire revenue burden of B2B for four years, and vendors leaned on it hard.
四年来,席位定价一直承担着B2B的全部收入重担,供应商对此依赖甚重。
The Vertice SaaS Inflation Index, built off tens of billions in processed spend, has run between 12% and 16.4% through 2026, against roughly 2.7% general inflation in the G7. It peaked at 14.7% in Q4 2025, timed to renewal season, and sat at 16.4% in June 2026. SaaS cost per employee went from about $7,900 in 2023 to $8,700 in 2024 to roughly $9,100 by the end of 2025.
基于数百亿处理支出的Vertice SaaS通胀指数,到2026年一直保持在12%至16.4%之间,而七国集团的整体通胀率约为2.7%。该指数在2025年第四季度达到14.7%的峰值,恰逢续约季,并在2026年6月达到16.4%。每位员工的SaaS成本从2023年的约7,900美元,增至2024年的8,700美元,到2025年底约为9,100美元。
Zylo’s 2026 SaaS Management Index, drawn from 40M+ licenses and $75B+ in tracked spend, shows what that feels like on the buyer side. The average enterprise now spends $55.7M a year on SaaS, up another 8%, while the portfolio sits flat at 305 applications. App count actually fell 0.07%. So none of the spend growth came from buying more software. All of it came from price, packaging, and tier expansion inside contracts that already existed.
Zylo的2026年SaaS管理指数,基于4000多万个许可证和750多亿美元的追踪支出,展示了买方视角下的感受。如今,企业平均每年在SaaS上花费5570万美元,又增长了8%,而应用组合保持在305个不变。应用数量实际上下降了0.07%。因此,支出的增长并非来自购买更多软件,全部来自已有合同内部的价格、打包和层级扩展。
79% of IT leaders hit a price increase at renewal in the past 12 months, 78% got unexpected charges tied to AI features or consumption, and 61% cut planned projects to absorb unplanned SaaS cost increases.
79%的IT负责人在过去12个月的续约中遭遇价格上涨,78%的人遇到与AI功能或消耗相关的意外收费,61%的人削减了计划项目以吸收计划外的SaaS成本增加。
Those cuts are the point. When a customer has already absorbed 12% a year for four years, the fifth ask lands very differently. CIOs are uniformly now asking for cuts at renewals. Which leads to reason #2 …
这些削减是关键。当客户已经连续四年每年承受12%的涨幅时,第五次的要求就大不相同了。CIO们现在普遍在续约时要求降价。这引出了原因#2……
#2. CIOs are cutting traditional B2B software to fund tokens
#2. CIO们正在削减传统B2B软件,以资助代币
This is the part that’s newer, and it’s the biggest one.
这部分较新,也是最重要的一点。
Redpoint’s March 2026 survey of 141 CIOs (we covered the full report here) is the clearest data on it:
Redpoint在2026年3月对141位CIO进行的调查(我们在此处报道了完整报告)是最清晰的数据:
- 45% say their AI budgets are coming out of existing software budgets, not net-new money
- 54% are actively running vendor consolidation programs
- Only 3% expect AI to lead to more vendors
- 58% say AI feature additions are the number one driver of software spend increases, the highest of any category
- 45%的人表示,他们的AI预算来自现有软件预算,而非新增资金
- 54%的企业正在积极推行供应商整合计划
- 仅3%预计AI会导致供应商数量增加
- 58%表示AI功能新增是软件支出增长的首要驱动因素,在所有类别中占比最高
Goldman Sachs’ CIO work points the same direction, with roughly two-thirds of AI inference cost being funded through reallocation rather than new budget, and 42% of CIOs now expecting AI to exceed 10% of their budget within three years. Creative Strategies’ index puts only about 28 cents of each incremental AI dollar as net-new IT budget. The remaining 72 cents comes from something that was already in the stack.
高盛的首席信息官调查也指向同一方向,约三分之二的AI推理成本通过重新分配资金而非新增预算来支付,42%的CIO现在预计三年内AI将占其预算的10%以上。Creative Strategies的指数显示,每增加1美元的AI支出中,仅有约28美分是净新增IT预算,其余72美分来自原有技术栈中的资源。
Not every survey agrees. RBC’s CIO work has most respondents describing AI money as new budget. But the range across sources runs from “mostly reallocated” to “partly reallocated,” and nobody credible is arguing it’s all incremental.
并非所有调查都一致。RBC的CIO调查中,大多数受访者将AI资金描述为新预算。但各来源的范围从“大部分重新分配”到“部分重新分配”不等,没有可信的人声称全部是增量资金。
Practically: your renewal is now competing with a token bill. Publicis Sapient has publicly said it is cutting traditional SaaS licenses by roughly half, Adobe included, and substituting AI tools. When a Fortune 500 buyer puts that in writing, every procurement team in the Global 2000 starts building the same deck.
实际上:你的续约现在正在与一笔令牌账单竞争。Publicis Sapient已公开表示将传统SaaS许可证削减约一半,包括Adobe,并替换为AI工具。当财富500强买家将此写入书面文件时,全球2000强中的每个采购团队都会开始制作同样的演示文稿。
If you sell per seat, you are the funding source. That is the position you’re negotiating from in 2026.
如果你按席位销售,你就是资金来源。这就是你在2026年谈判时所处的位置。
#3. The unit itself came unglued from the value
#3. 单位本身与价值脱节
Seat pricing prices headcount. It was a good proxy for twenty years because headcount was a good proxy for how much work was getting done.
席位定价是对人员数量的定价。二十年来这是一个很好的代理指标,因为人员数量是衡量完成工作量的良好代理。
That link is breaking. When a customer’s support team handles 3x the volume with the same 40 people, seat pricing bills you the same for tripling the output. When the team goes from 40 to 25 because agents are doing the L1 work, seat pricing bills you less for delivering more. You built the thing that shrank your own invoice.
这种联系正在断裂。当客户的客服团队用同样的40人处理3倍的工作量时,席位定价对三倍的产出收取相同费用。当团队从40人缩减到25人,因为AI代理处理了L1工作,席位定价对交付更多却收费更少。你构建了让自己发票缩水的东西。
This is the mechanism behind something we wrote up earlier this month: total software spend is growing faster than ever, but the categories priced per seat (CRM, sales, marketing, CX, collaboration) are growing in single digits while the market grows 15%+. The market didn’t stop. The billing unit did.
这是我们本月早些时候撰写的文章背后的机制:总软件支出增长比以往任何时候都快,但按席位定价的类别(CRM、销售、营销、客户体验、协作)仅以个位数增长,而市场增长超过15%。市场没有停止增长,是计费单位停止了。
CIOs have already priced this in. In the same Redpoint survey, 46% expect usage or outcome-based pricing to become more common and 29% expect seat-based pricing to decline outright.
CIO们已经将此纳入考量。在同样的Redpoint调查中,46%预计基于使用量或结果的定价将变得更加普遍,29%预计席位定价将彻底下降。
Seats aren’t going to zero. Almost every model below still has a platform fee attached to some notion of who has access. But “just seats” as the whole model is done, and the three reasons above are compounding at the same renewal table.
席位不会归零。下面几乎每个模型仍然对某种访问权限概念附加平台费用。但“仅席位”作为整个模式已经结束,上述三个原因在同一续约桌上相互叠加。
Model 1: Consumption
模型1:消费制
You pay for what you use. Credits, tokens, lookups, records, runs.
你为使用量付费。积分、令牌、查询、记录、运行。
Henry’s objection is an important one. Consumption pricing can lead to massive cost overruns. We’ve all see it in tokenmaxxing, especially. Customers moved to consumption, saw their AI bills, and freaked out. Forecasting spend is hard when the underlying usage is variable and finance has to commit to a number twelve months out.
亨利的反对意见很重要。消费定价可能导致巨额成本超支。我们都见过,尤其是在令牌最大化中。客户转向消费制,看到他们的AI账单,然后惊慌失措。当底层使用量可变且财务部门必须提前十二个月承诺一个数字时,预测支出很难。
Where I’d push back a little: agents can solve a large chunk of this today. Help your customers here. You don’t have to force them into cost overruns.
我要稍微反驳一下:智能体今天就能解决其中很大一部分问题。在这里帮助你的客户。你不必强迫他们陷入成本超支。
“Spend up to $1,000 on ZoomInfo this month, prioritize the highest-value use cases.” Will an agent nail that perfectly? No. Will it allocate that budget better than 95% of the humans who currently do it by hand and by gut? Yes. Will it stop at $1,000? Usually, and usually is already better than the status quo, where nobody is watching the meter at all.
“这个月在ZoomInfo上最多花1000美元,优先考虑最高价值的用例。”智能体会完美做到这一点吗?不会。它会比目前95%靠手工和直觉做这件事的人更好地分配这笔预算吗?会。它会在1000美元处停止吗?通常,而通常已经比现状更好,因为现状中根本没人盯着仪表。
Most vendors shipped consumption pricing without shipping the controls to manage it. That is what makes it feel like a trap. If you bill by usage, you owe your customer four things:
大多数供应商推出了消费定价,却没有推出管理它的控制功能。这就是为什么它感觉像陷阱。如果你按使用量计费,你欠客户四样东西:
- A hard cap they set, not you. Not an alert. A stop.
- Pre-bought blocks with rollover. Henry’s team is testing exactly this, offering a pre-bought consumption model to a segment of customers this quarter. Committed spend gives finance a number to plan against and gives you the deferred revenue.
- Threshold alerting that goes to the buyer, not just the admin. The person who signs the renewal should find out at 60% of budget, not on the invoice.
- A budget API an agent can read. Almost nobody has built this. If agents are doing the spending, they need to query remaining budget the same way they query anything else.
- 一个由他们设定而非你设定的硬上限。不是警报。是停止。
- 预购块并支持结转。亨利的团队正在测试这一点,本季度向一部分客户提供预购消费模式。承诺支出给财务一个可规划的数字,并给你递延收入。
- 阈值警报发送给买家,而不仅仅是管理员。签署续约的人应该在预算用到60%时得知,而不是在发票上看到。
- 一个智能体可以读取的预算API。几乎没有人构建过这个。如果智能体在花钱,它们需要像查询其他任何东西一样查询剩余预算。
Ship those four and most of the bill-shock objection goes away.
推出这四项,大部分账单冲击的反对意见就会消失。
Model 2: Outcome
模型2:结果制
You pay when a defined business result happens. Not usage, not access. Results.
当定义的业务结果发生时你才付费。不是使用量,不是访问权限。是结果。
This is hard in roughly 95% of categories, and Henry names why for GTM: there are too many steps between the software and a closed deal to attribute the deal to the software. Anyone who has sat through an attribution argument knows how that one ends.
这在大约95%的类别中很难实现,亨利指出了GTM领域的原因:软件与成交之间步骤太多,无法将成交归因于软件。任何经历过归因争论的人都知道那会如何收场。
It also carries its own bill-shock risk, in reverse. If the thing works spectacularly, the customer owes a lot of money. Vendors love that. Procurement does not, and neither does the CFO who budgeted a flat number.
它同样也带有自己的账单冲击风险,只是方向相反。如果事情进展得异常顺利,客户将欠下大笔款项。供应商喜欢这样。采购部门不喜欢,预算了固定数额的首席财务官也不喜欢。
The enterprise still loves it when it’s done right, because it converts a software purchase into a business case. “We will save you $20B, and we will demonstrate it. In turn you pay us $2B.” A CFO can approve that conversation.
当实施得当时,企业仍然喜欢这种方式,因为它将软件购买转化为一个商业案例。“我们将为您节省200亿美元,并且我们会证明这一点。相应地,您支付我们20亿美元。”首席财务官可以批准这样的对话。
更进一步:量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力