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加密市场暴涨:QE预期、白宫表态与SEC新规共振

Why Crypto Just Exploded

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梳理了近期加密市场剧烈波动的核心驱动因素(政策+监管+宏观),为投资者理解当前行情逻辑提供了清晰的框架,建议关注后续政策落地情况。

We just had one of the most legendary days in the crypto markets in a long, long time. Bitcoin has probably the biggest green candle I think I've ever seen since before 1010. Everything in crypto is up and up for a handful of different reasons. It's a double-digit week for so many crypto assets. The big question I think I want to ask in this episode is, is the bull market back? Was that it? Was that the starting pistol for the next bull market today?

我们刚刚经历了加密货币市场漫长岁月里最传奇的一天之一。比特币的涨幅可能是我自从1010年之前以来见过的最大的绿色K线。由于多种不同的原因,加密货币领域的 Everything 都在上涨。许多加密资产迎来了两位数的周涨幅。我想在这一集中提出的最大问题是:牛市回来了吗?那就是终点吗?那是下一个牛市的发令枪吗?

This day, yesterday at the time of recording, Wednesday, August 19th, do you remember when uh Black Rockck filed for the Bitcoin ETF and [snorts] Bitcoin popped like 12% and it was just like a moment that everyone was like, "This is it."

这一天,录制时的昨天,8月19日星期三,你还记得当贝莱德(BlackRock)申请比特币ETF时[喷鼻息]比特币飙升了12%左右,那一刻大家都觉得,“就是现在。”

Yeah, that seems like such a long time ago.

是的,那似乎已经是很久以前的事了。

This that is it feels a little reminiscent of that of just like this is it. It's a this is it moment. I think not completely, but it feels a little bit like that.

这种“就是现在”的感觉让人有点怀念当时的情景。这是一个“就是现在”的时刻。我认为并不完全一样,但感觉有点像那样。

Well, I think that is the question to ask is like, did that move just break the backs of all the bears that were still out there and then had such momentum? But first, in order to answer that question, I think we have to ask the question and answer the question like why did this even happen on Wednesday? It just seemed like out of the blue, but we did have some

嗯,我认为要问的问题是,那次上涨是否仅仅击溃了所有仍在场外的空头,并带来了如此强劲的势头?但首先,为了回答这个问题,我认为我们必须先问一个问题并回答它:为什么这会在周三发生?这看起来似乎是突如其来的,但我们确实有一些

out of the blue field.

意想不到的因素。

Out of left field, but QE Treasury QE may be back this time. Okay, we'll define what that is and what Bessant said, what the Treasury is doing. That was a key catalyst these markets. Also, the White House, Trump gave a speech basically pumping crypto and also

出乎意料之外,但量化宽松(QE)财政部QE这次可能会回归。好吧,我们将定义这是什么以及Bessant说了什么,财政部正在做什么。这是这些市场的一个关键催化剂。此外,白宫方面,特朗普发表了一篇基本上是在吹捧加密货币的演讲,并且

all day pumping crypto.

整天都在吹捧加密货币。

Yeah. And also, the SEC released a uh regulation of crypto assets. Here's actually how Matt Hogan put it, which I think was great. In the last 24 hours, he's talking about earlier this week, the SEC released regulation crypto assets. This is a 402page document that we'll get into. The Treasury launched yield curve control. The White House prepared for a meeting with top crypto executives to discuss tokenization and the Clarity Act.

是的。此外,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)发布了一项关于加密资产的监管规定。Matt Hogan 是这样说的,我觉得很棒。在上周早些时候过去的24小时里,SEC发布了加密资产监管规定。这是一份402页的文件,我们将深入探讨。财政部推出了收益率曲线控制。白宫准备与顶级加密高管举行会议,讨论代币化和《清晰度法案》。

It's hard not to be extremely bullish, both Bitcoin and crypto right now. And indeed, the market was bullish. We got Bitcoin up double digits. I think ETH was up like was it up like 20% on the week or something crazy. Dude, the president said hyperlid on air on live TV. Uh, you know, Bitcoin goes up because of QE. All this stuff happened. You know, Venice crosses a hundred million in ARR, and the winner on the week is ETH.

现在对比特币和加密货币保持极度看涨的情绪是难以避免的。事实上,市场也是看涨的。比特币实现了两位数的涨幅。我认为ETH本周上涨了大约20%或者更多疯狂的数据。伙计,总统在电视直播中公开说“超光速”。你知道,比特币因为量化宽松而上涨。所有这些事情都发生了。你知道,Venice的年度经常性收入(ARR)突破了一亿美元,本周的赢家是ETH。

Actually, ETH is up like the most. Uh, so we're going to talk about all that and more. But first, we're going to talk about Ironclaw from our friends and sponsors over at Near. Ironclaw 1.2 just dropped. Uh, we probably all remember OpenClaw, like personal agents to do your bidding. Except OpenClaw was super insecure, leaking passwords, deleting documents, revealing a API keys. So, it's a mess. Ironclaw is Near's fix for rogue AI that's misaligned with his users.

实际上,ETH 的涨幅最大。呃,所以我们要讨论所有这些以及更多内容。但首先,我们要谈谈来自我们的朋友兼赞助商 Near 的 Ironclaw。Ironclaw 1.2 刚刚发布。呃,我们可能都还记得 OpenClaw,比如那些听你差遣的个人代理。但 OpenClaw 极不安全,会泄露密码、删除文档、暴露 API 密钥。所以,简直一团糟。Ironclaw 是 Near 针对与用户目标不一致的失控 AI 推出的修复方案。

Protects your secrets in a vault that the model never sees. All in pursuit of creating userowned AI, userowned agents that are safe to use with crypto. So, 1.2 2 just dropped that lets your ironclaw plug into all your day-to-day apps like Slack and Telegram just to give it the context that it needs to be a really useful assistant. It is also MCP ready, so you can now connect your Ironclaw to any MCP tool, which is perfect, Ryan, cuz out of the bankless universe, we have the Bankless MCP.

它在模型永远看不到的保险库中保护你的秘密。这一切都是为了打造用户拥有的 AI、用户拥有的代理,使其在与加密货币交互时安全可用。所以,1.2 版本刚刚发布,它让你的 Ironclaw 能够接入你日常使用的所有应用,如 Slack 和 Telegram,从而获得成为真正有用助手所需的上下文。它还支持 MCP(模型上下文协议),因此你现在可以将 Ironclaw 连接到任何 MCP 工具,这太完美了,Ryan,因为在 Bankless 宇宙中,我们有 Bankless MCP。

Do you know how much you know how many podcasts we've done, Ryan?

你知道我们做了多少期播客吗,Ryan?

Um, we got to be I know we're over a thousand. Are we over like 1,100? Over 2,000 podcasts.

嗯,我想肯定超过一千期了。是不是超过 1,100 期了?超过 2,000 期播客。

Wait, we're over 2,000 podcasts. You've been busy. [laughter]

等等,我们已经有超过 2,000 期播客了。你真忙。[笑声]

We've been doing this for 6 years.

我们已经做这个六年了。

Oh my god. So, that's a lot of transcripts, right? That's a lot.

天哪。那意味着有很多转录文本,对吧?数量很大。

Lots of transcripts direct from the source data that like AI labs don't have. And AI labs famously just haven't trained well on crypto data. I don't know if you go into if you notice going into your like your Claude or your Venice or your OpenAI whatever you use and you ask crypto questions usually it's it's pretty constrained with how good it can answer. It can answer the basics but you ask anything anything beyond the basics and you get pretty poor answers.

大量直接来自源数据的转录文本,而像 AI 实验室这样的机构并没有这些数据。而且众所周知,AI 实验室在加密数据上的训练效果并不好。我不知道你有没有注意到,当你打开你的 Claude、Venice 或你使用的其他 OpenAI 产品并询问加密问题时,它的回答通常受到限制,表现不佳。它能回答基础问题,但你一旦问超出基础范围的问题,得到的答案就很差。

Yeah,

是的,

this is what the bankless MCP is for. Uh, and so you can using your Bankless Premium account, you can hook in the Bankless MCP to your near ironclaw agent and you just have the most cryptocapable, crypto ready AI LLM ever. Uh, and so this is available for bankless premium subscribers uh, and if you want that uh, you can go into your account uh, and you can just tell your agent to install it and then all of a sudden your cryptoreated prompts will be much better.

这就是 Bankless MCP 的用武之地。呃,所以你可以使用你的 Bankless Premium 账户,将 Bankless MCP 接入你的 Near Ironclaw 代理,这样你就拥有了有史以来最具备加密能力、为加密货币准备好的 AI LLM。呃,这对 Bankless Premium 订阅者开放,如果你想获取,可以进入你的账户,告诉你的代理安装它,然后突然间,你关于加密的提示词会得到更好的回应。

Dude, that's very cool. I I want that. But I can't wait to ask myself some questions using the Bankless MCP. [clears throat]

伙计,这太酷了。我想要那个。但我迫不及待想用 Bankless MCP 问自己一些问题了。[清嗓子]

Dude, I I put out I put out this tweet about like announcing the Bankless MCP and then you know what I got?

伙计,我发了一条推文宣布 Bankless MCP,然后你们猜怎么着?

Somebody generated like a fanfiction of you and me debating about E. [laughter]

有人生成了类似你和我就E.的辩论同人小说。[笑声]

Who won the debate?

谁赢了这场辩论?

I don't know. It was a Socratic debate. Okay. Or or in you or answer crypto questions if you want or just make bankless fanfiction. Both work.

我不知道。这是一场苏格拉底式的辩论。好吧。或者回答加密问题,如果你想的话,或者只是创作Bankless的同人小说。两者都行。

You know what? We might repeat that debate in today's episode, okay? cuz I want to get your thoughts on ETH. But before we do, uh, you got prices up. Let's just celebrate what happened last week. We have bounced

你知道吗?我们可能会在今天的节目中重复那场辩论,好吗?因为我想知道你对ETH的看法。但在我们这样做之前,嗯,你提到了价格。让我们庆祝一下上周发生的事情。我们已经反弹了

gargantuan candle.

巨大的阳线。

Oh my god. We have bounced hardily off of the 200E moving average for Bitcoin, which was something like 63 64K if I'm recalling correctly, the 200WE moving average. What are we at the time of recording right now?

天哪。我们从比特币的200周移动平均线强劲反弹,如果我没记错的话,大概是63-64K,即200周移动平均线。我们现在录制时的价格是多少?

Yeah, last week we were recording, Bitcoin was right at the 200WE moving average, $64,000. We were at 72,300. We paused right around 7,000 and we have just had continuation as of this morning. So we had a huge bullish day yesterday and we are continuing that bullish day today. Uh and so firmly away. We are we are how much is that? We are up

是的,上周我们录制时,比特币正好在200周移动平均线上,64,000美元。我们在72,300美元。我们在7,000左右暂停,今天早上刚刚出现延续。所以昨天我们经历了一个巨大的看涨日,今天继续这个看涨日。嗯,而且坚定地远离。我们……那个是多少?我们上涨了

that's double digits right we are

那是两位数,对吧,我们是

we are up 14% in a day and a half. Yeah. Uh really really really great. Really really great.

我们在一天半内上涨了14%。是的。嗯,真的真的非常好。真的真的很好。

Incredible.

太棒了。

Some just absolute winners on the week. Etherfi. Etherfi announced uh kind of like an evolution you know. Etherfi the neo bank. I'm calling it a NEO brokerage. They're adding in assets and margin into their account and also they improved their tokconomics. And so Ether pumped 38%. Uh pumpf fun is up 28% because usage and revenue

本周有一些绝对的赢家。Etherfi。Etherfi宣布了一种进化,你知道的。Etherfi这家新银行。我称它为NEO经纪公司。他们正在向账户中添加资产和保证金,并且他们还改进了代币经济学。因此Ether上涨了38%。Pumpfun上涨了28%,因为使用和收入

on the week%. It's been up 50% on the month. So huge continuation from Pump Fund just because revenues are growing and therefore pump buybacks are growing. Hyperlid is up 25%. We're we're going to get into this cuz Donald Trump said hype hyperlquid on national TV or just the white house the white house event. So hyperlquid is up. Venice VVV is up 20% on the backs of open router getting acquired and also Venice crossing 100 million ARR.

本周增长了百分之几。本月已经上涨了50%。所以Pump Fund的巨大延续仅仅是因为收入在增长,因此Pump回购也在增长。Hyperliquid上涨了25%。我们将深入探讨这一点,因为唐纳德·特朗普在国家电视上或只是在白宫活动中提到了Hyperliquid。所以Hyperliquid上涨了。Venice VVV上涨了20%,得益于Open Router被收购以及Venice突破1亿美元ARR。

And so I think people are reacting to yesterday the Treasury announcing they're doing QE which we're going to talk about and then also Donald Trump just having a day of pumping crypto. I was like, "Wow, this is one single bullish day." No, no. There have been bullish catalysts for the last like eight days. Etherfly had its own bullish catalyst. Venice had its own bullish catalyst. And all of this kind of happened. And I think one of the reasons why it was so violent yesterday was the combo of the QE announcement and then the White House just blew out people's shorts, which is why the one of the biggest winners on the week is ETH.

所以我认为人们是在对昨天的消息做出反应:财政部宣布将实施量化宽松(QE),我们稍后会讨论这一点;此外,唐纳德·特朗普也花了一天时间炒作加密货币。我当时想:‘哇,这真是单日看涨的一天。’不,不对。过去大约八天里一直存在看涨催化剂。Etherfly 有它自己的看涨催化剂,Venice 也有它自己的看涨催化剂。所有这些事件几乎同时发生。我认为昨天行情如此剧烈波动的原因之一,是 QE 公告与白宫方面直接轧空了人们的空头头寸相结合,这也解释了为什么本周最大的赢家之一是 ETH。

ETH is the biggest winner on the week cuz so many people got wrecked. shorting [laughter] ETH.

ETH 是本周最大的赢家,因为太多人被爆仓了——做空 [笑声] ETH。

All the haters got wrecked. What is it?

所有看跌者都被爆仓了。这是怎么回事?

They got So I saw an account like lost $30 million cuz they had like a a huge ETH short open day. That's why that's why ETH just pumped so violently. So Bitcoin is up 13% on the week.

他们……我看到一个账户损失了约 3000 万美元,因为他们持有一个巨大的 ETH 空头头寸。这就是为什么 ETH 涨势如此猛烈。比特币本周上涨 13%。

Ether is up 23% on the week. $2,330.

以太坊本周上涨 23%,达到 2330 美元。

Incredible. Jamie Coot said this. ETH's move yesterday, just to put this in his

令人难以置信。Jamie Coot 说过这样的话。为了把他的话放在这个语境中来看,ETH 昨天的走势……

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