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Bloomberg播客:30年期美债收益率飙升与中期选举数据中心争议

Bloomberg Money: Bond Moves, Social Security and the US Open | Bloomberg Surveillance

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Some people treat ChatGPT like some kind of smart search engine, and some use it to get work done. ChatGPT work is a new way of working in ChatGPT that can take action across your apps and files, stay with a project for hours if needed, and turn a goal into finished work. It's designed to help you move from a chaotic starting point to a reviewable first version. So, all the source materials, briefs, and scattered information that you have to grind through to turn into something useful can just become something useful.

有些人把 ChatGPT 当作某种智能搜索引擎来用,有些人则用它来完成工作。ChatGPT Work 是 ChatGPT 中的一种全新工作方式,它可以在你的应用和文件之间采取行动,如果需要的话可以陪伴一个项目数小时,并将目标转化为完成的工作。它旨在帮助你从混乱的起点迈向可审查的第一个版本。因此,所有你必须费力梳理才能转化为有用内容的原始材料、简报和零散信息,都可以直接变成有用的东西。

Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at chat.openai.com by selecting work mode, available on plus and pro plans.

让 ChatGPT 为你最具雄心的想法和项目服务。前往 chat.openai.com 开始使用,选择适用于 Plus 和 Pro 计划的工作模式。

When you're running a business, the best days are the ones where priorities stay on track. For mid-size and large companies, that isn't always easy. Risk can touch multiple parts of an organization at the same time, often in ways that aren't immediately obvious. It might involve property, liability, or cyber. It could stem from regulatory requirements or challenges tied to a specific industry or the scale of an operation.

在经营企业时,最好的日子是那些优先级保持在正轨上的日子。对于中型和大型企业来说,这并不总是容易做到。风险可能同时触及组织的多个部分,而且往往以并非立即明显的方式出现。这可能涉及财产、责任或网络风险。它可能源于监管要求或与特定行业或运营规模相关的挑战。

At that level, managing risk becomes an ongoing discipline, not a one-time decision. At The Hartford, the focus is on helping businesses manage risk before it turns into something more disruptive. That means working with companies to identify where they're exposed, decide what matters most, and put practical standards in place so risk is managed as part of day-to-day operations. And when losses do happen, The Hartford can pair that risk control work with insurance coverage grounded in underwriting, risk engineering, and claims experience developed over time.

在这个层面上,风险管理成为一种持续的纪律,而不是一次性的决定。在哈特福德保险公司(The Hartford),重点在于帮助企业将风险控制在演变为更具破坏性事物之前。这意味着与企业合作,识别其暴露的风险点,确定最重要的事项,并建立切实可行的标准,以便将风险管理融入日常运营中。当损失确实发生时,哈特福德可以将这种风险控制工作与保险保障相结合,这些保障基于长期发展而来的承保、风险工程和理赔经验。

Learn more at the hartford.com/riskmitigation.

更多信息请访问 the hartford.com/riskmitigation。

Wise is the smart way to manage the currencies you need around the globe. When you send money abroad using your bank, you could get hit with hidden fees and exchange rate markups. There's a better way. Try [music] Wise. Wise uses the exchange rate you'd usually find on Google with no unwelcome surprises. [music] Plus, most transfers happen in under 20 seconds, which means your money arrives in less time than you've been listening [music] to me.

Wise 是管理全球所需货币的智能方式。当你通过银行向国外汇款时,可能会面临隐藏费用和汇率加价。有更好的方法。试试 [音乐] Wise。Wise 使用你在 Google 上通常找到的汇率,没有令人不快的意外。[音乐] 此外,大多数转账在不到 20 秒内完成,这意味着你的钱到达的时间比你听我说话的时间还要短 [音乐]。

It's simple and free to sign up when you download the Wise app. Be smart. Get Wise. T's and C's apply.

下载 Wise 应用程序后,注册简单且免费。明智之选。获取 Wise。适用条款和条件。

[music]

[音乐]

Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts, radio, news.

彭博音频工作室。播客、广播、新闻。

Bloomberg Money.

彭博理财。

[music]

[音乐]

This is the Bloomberg Money podcast. I'm Tom Keene with Charlotte Foo. Join us each week for a smart look at the forces shaping your financial life on personal finance, on retirement, and wealth management. We will explore how people are earning, investing, and building wealth. We are live Fridays at noon Eastern on Bloomberg Television. Subscribe to the podcast wherever you listen, and as always on the Bloomberg terminal and the Bloomberg Business app.

这是彭博财经播客。我是汤姆·基恩,与夏洛特·富一起。每周加入我们,以明智的视角审视塑造您财务生活的力量,涵盖个人理财、退休和财富管理。我们将探索人们如何赚钱、投资和积累财富。我们每周五中午(东部时间)在彭博电视现场直播。在您收听播客的任意平台订阅,也一如既往地在彭博终端机和彭博商业应用程序上获取。

Nikki Waller joins us driving all of our personal finance coverage. It seems like every day there's a germane story out there

妮基·沃勒加入我们,负责我们所有的个人理财报道。似乎每天都有相关的故事

[snorts]

[喷鼻声]

really to lean into. David Gura, Bloomberg this weekend program note, Tom Keene will appear with David Gura on Sunday. I'm coming in on Sunday to actually hold preview. It's too much.

值得深入探讨。大卫·古拉,彭博本周节目备注,汤姆·基恩将于周日与大衛·古拉一起出现。我周日会来实际主持预览。这太多了。

gosh.

天哪。

My people located about an hour ago.

我的人大约一个小时前找到了。

[laughter]

[笑声]

And joining us, we are thrilled to bring you Sarah Fryer driving so much of our technology coverage. She changed the dialogue on social media a few years ago. She figured out Instagram before anybody else. Her book just hugely, hugely successful. If you wrote your book today, how would it be different?

加入我们,我们很高兴为您带来莎拉·弗莱尔,她负责我们大量的科技报道。几年前,她改变了关于社交媒体的对话。她在任何人之前搞懂了Instagram。她的书刚刚取得了巨大成功。如果你今天写你的书,会有什么不同?

Well, so much is changing about the way we consume information. I feel like the the biggest change for all of us is that it's become a more passive experience. That when we look at our devices, we go on, we we may not have an idea of what we want to find. We're being told what we we should find. The critical thinking is is out of the picture.

嗯,关于我们消费信息的方式,变化太大了。我觉得对我们所有人来说最大的变化是,它变成了一种更被动的体验。当我们看我们的设备时,我们会继续浏览,我们可能不知道自己想找什么。我们在被告知我们应该找到什么。批判性思维已经不在画面中了。

Okay, I I feel that way every day, but on no filter, AI's our new filter, right?

好的,我每天都有这种感觉,但没有滤镜,AI是我们的新滤镜,对吧?

It is It is. It's making decisions for us on on what we should care about, how we should think about it, and that takes away um the decision-making on our parts about what we want to know, why we walk walked into using our phones in the first place. Um so, I think that that's that's the moment we're in where we we need to really think about what we're trying to accomplish when we use our technology, and and probably if I were to

是的,确实如此。它在替我们决定我们应该关心什么,应该如何思考它,这就剥夺了我们自己关于想知道什么、为什么一开始要使用手机的决策权。嗯,所以我认为这就是我们当下的处境,我们需要认真思考使用技术时想要实现的目标,而且如果我要说的话

You see what they did in France? They tried to ban social media in France.

你看法国那边做了什么?他们试图在法国禁止社交媒体。

Can you do that, though? Does that actually work?

但你能做到吗?这真的有效吗?

the judges, the courts tried to

法官、法院试图

are kids going to do? Social media is banned, they're going to talk to their chatbots. You think they're going to go play outside?

孩子们会怎么做?社交媒体被禁了,他们会去跟聊天机器人说话。你以为他们会去外面玩吗?

Or they could hang out.

或者他们可以待在一起。

They could hang out.

他们可以待在一起。

to have a conversation with their kids.

跟他们的孩子进行一场对话。

[laughter]

[笑声]

Make a note. Can I pencil you in for a conversation Wednesday?

记下来。我能把你安排在周三进行一场对话吗?

Exactly.

确切地说。

it is.

确实如此。

Well, let's stick with this tech theme a little bit here, David Gorodetzky, because technology is coming up as a issue in the midterm elections. Data centers comes up a lot, and it seems like voters hate data centers, whether you're on the left or the right, and the politicians, the elected officials, are picking up on that as we head towards the midterms.

好吧,大卫·戈罗代茨基(David Gorodetzky),我们在这里稍微继续这个科技主题,因为技术在中期选举中成为一个议题。数据中心经常被提及,似乎无论左派还是右派,选民都讨厌数据中心,而政客和民选官员也在朝着中期选举迈进的过程中捕捉到了这一点。

Yeah, a fascinating note by Michael Hartnett last week from Bank of America. He, of course, coined the Magnificent Seven moniker, but he he wrote about the prospects for there being a longer-lasting bubble, depending on how the election results in Texas turn out. So, Greg Abbott, of course, very pro data centers. We've seen a lot of them crop up, more in the works in in Texas. Um Michael Hartnett and his team saying, were he to be elected, that would extend the life of the cycle that we're in right now.

是的,迈克尔·哈内特(Michael Hartnett)上周在美银发表了一篇引人入胜的评论。他当然创造了“七巨头”这一称呼,但他写道,如果得州选举结果如何,可能会出现一个更持久的泡沫。所以,格雷格·阿博特(Greg Abbott)当然是支持数据中心的。我们看到很多数据中心在得州涌现,还有更多正在建设中。迈克尔·哈内特和他的团队表示,如果他当选,这将延长我们目前所处的周期寿命。

But, you're absolutely right. This is something that I think is galvanizing a lot of people. The prospects of these things being in in their backyards is something that's really agitating a lot of people.

但你说得完全正确。我认为这是让很多人振奋的事情。这些东西出现在他们后院的前景确实让很多人感到不安。

Right, because these data centers supposedly bring about higher utility bills, water bills, electricity bills. They're noisy, maybe they cause cancer.

没错,因为这些数据中心据说会带来更高的水电费、水费和电费。它们很吵,也许还会导致癌症。

a lot of jobs after the initial construction of them.

在建设初期之后会有大量工作机会。

Are we really saying they cause cancer?

我们真的在说它们会导致癌症吗?

but there's a lot of talk on social media, and I mean, I don't know if it's true or not, but this is kind of the conversation. David, just stay with the midterms for a minute because there's been some primaries and I I wonder what the takeaway is because you have Donald Trump's Republicans versus what feels like increasingly unmoored Democrats.

但在社交媒体上有很多讨论,我是说,我不知道这是否属实,但这正是这种对话。大卫,请再停留一下中期选举的话题,因为已经进行了一些初选,我想知道从中能得出什么结论,因为你有唐纳德·特朗普的共和党人与那些感觉越来越失去方向的民主党人之间的对抗。

Yeah, although I think that the Democratic Party's kind of coalescing here. There was a little bit of agita at the beginning here. Is there going to be this split within the Democratic Party? I think that that narrative has kind of fallen to the wayside a little bit, but I'm watching President Trump making his way to South Carolina today to campaign for the late Lindsey Graham's sister and there's going to be a parade of other kind of Republican dignitaries with him.

是的,虽然我认为民主党在此时正在凝聚。起初这里有一些焦虑情绪。民主党内部会出现分裂吗?我认为这种叙事已经有点被抛在一边了,但我看着特朗普总统今天前往南卡罗来纳州为已故的林赛·格雷厄姆(Lindsey Graham)的妹妹竞选造势,还有一系列其他共和党要员将与他同行。

I now think that the focus Now now the split that I'm looking at is within the Republican Party, those who have sided with President Trump often at their own peril now having to make the case for his policies when it seems like there isn't a whole lot there on the

我现在认为焦点现在是我所关注的分裂,即在共和党内部,那些经常冒着自身风险站在特朗普总统一边的人,现在不得不为其政策辩护,当似乎并没有太多内容可讲时。

20 seconds. I got to get to Miss Waller. 20 seconds. Does the far left want America to create wealth?

20秒。我得去见沃尔女士了。20秒。极左派希望美国创造财富吗?

Yes, I think but they want that wealth to be more widely shared and so I think look the economy is doing relatively well by many measures, but the way that it's distributed something that I think that they care about.

是的,我认为是这样,但他们希望财富得到更广泛的分享。因此我认为,从许多指标来看,经济表现相对不错,但其分配方式才是他们真正关心的事情。

Okay, I we're going back to normal Bloomberg coverage. It's the 30-year bond is coming up. My God, Nikki, what does this new nascent yield mean for our personal finance? There's got to be a seismic shift this week.

好的,我们将回到彭博社的常规报道。30年期国债即将到期。天哪,尼基,这个新出现的收益率对我们个人理财意味着什么?本周肯定会有巨大的变化。

Well, you know, I think bonds used to be pretty drama-free and the game board is changing for investors right now. I think one way to simpl

嗯,你知道,我认为债券以前几乎没有什么戏剧性事件,而投资者目前面临的游戏规则正在发生变化。我认为简化的一种方式

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