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Bloomberg播客:TSO创始人Alex Morris谈巴菲特芒格投资哲学

Learning from Buffett and Munger: Masters in Business with Alex Morris | Masters in Business

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[music] Bloomberg Audio Studios podcasts radio news.

[音乐] 彭博音频工作室播客、广播新闻。

This week on the podcast, another extra special guest. [music] Alex Morris is the author of Buffett and Munger Unscripted. Fascinating story of how he put this book together by reading and watching 31 years of annual shareholder meetings.

本周的播客节目,又有一位特别嘉宾。[音乐] 亚历克斯·莫里斯(Alex Morris)是《巴菲特与芒格:无剧本》(Buffett and Munger Unscripted)一书的作者。书中精彩地讲述了他如何通过阅读和观看31年的年度股东大会录像,将这本书整理成书的故事。

[music]

[音乐]

uh thousands and thousands of questions, hundreds and hundreds of hours of video distilled into a fairly digestible um compendium. I thought the book was fascinating and the conversation was fascinating and I think you will too. With no further ado, my interview of [music] Alex Morris. [music] I'm Barry Rid Holtz. You're listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My extra special guest this week is Alex Morris.

呃,成千上万的问题,数百小时甚至数百小时的视频内容被浓缩成一本相当易读的汇编。我觉得这本书非常引人入胜,对话也很有趣,我想你们也会喜欢。闲话少说,下面是我与[音乐]亚历克斯·莫里斯的访谈。[音乐] 我是巴里·里德·霍尔茨(Barry Ritholtz)。你正在收听彭博广播的《商业大师》(Masters in Business)节目。本周我的特别嘉宾是亚历克斯·莫里斯。

He is the founder of TSO Investment Research Service launched in 2021 after 10 years as a buyside equities analyst. He is the author of Buffett and Munger unscripted, three decades of investment and business insights from the Birkshshire Hathaway annual shareholder meetings. Um, Amazon named it one of the best books of 2025. It's pretty beefy. I've been reading it over the past, I don't know, eight months. Um, it's about 500 pages and I have really, really been enjoying it.

他是TSO投资研究服务(TSO Investment Research Service)的创始人,该服务于2021年推出,此前他担任买方股票分析师长达10年。他是《巴菲特与芒格:无剧本》的作者,书中汇集了伯克希尔·哈撒韦(Berkshire Hathaway)年度股东大会上三十年的投资和商业洞察。亚马逊将其评为2025年最佳书籍之一。这本书相当厚重。过去大概八个月的时间里我一直在读它。嗯,它有大约500页,我真的非常喜欢它。

In fact, I've been enjoying it so much that I reached out to Alex and said, "Let let's talk about um your research and the book." Uh he has been a Berkshire Hathaway shareholder since 2011, attended multiple annual meetings, including the 2026 meeting, the first of the Greg Ael era. Alex Morris, welcome to Bloomberg.

事实上,我如此喜欢这本书,以至于联系亚历克斯说:“让我们聊聊你的研究和这本书吧。”自2011年以来,他一直持有伯克希尔·哈撒韦的股票,并参加了多次年度股东大会,包括2026年的会议——这是格雷格·阿贝尔(Greg Abel)时代的第一次股东大会。亚历克斯·莫里斯,欢迎来到彭博社。

Thank you for having me. As I was saying to you before, Bloomberg headquarters is a

谢谢邀请。正如我之前对你说的,彭博社总部是一个

good place to be. I'm gonna drop my resume on the way out. [laughter]

好地方。我出去的时候会把简历留下。[笑声]

So, so let before we get to your resume, let let's roll back to your um what led you to where you are today? Both a bachelor's and an MBA from University of Florida. Was finance always the career plan?

那么,在我们看你的简历之前,让我们回溯一下是什么指引你走到今天?你拥有佛罗里达大学的学士学位和工商管理硕士学位(MBA)。金融一直是你的职业规划吗?

It was not. Um when I when I went to school, I really didn't have any idea what I was going to do. and my dad's a plumber, so at first he did building construction and took a couple physics classes and some other things that kind of threw me for a loop. And then I got my first internship working down in Miami

并不是。嗯,当我上学时,我真的不知道自己要做什么。我父亲是个水管工,起初他从事建筑施工,还修了几门物理课和其他一些课程,这差点让我晕头转向。然后我在迈阿密找到了第一份实习工作

outside all day and uh fairly quickly realized, let let me find something a little easier. So I went to find

整天在户外工作,嗯,很快我就意识到,让我找点轻松点的活儿吧。所以我去找了一份

What were you doing working outside all day in Miami over the summers?

你在暑假期间整天在迈阿密户外工作时都在做些什么呢?

What were we doing? We were working on a high-rise that was being built and I spent most of the time running from the rain that came every single day at noon or one o'clock. [laughter] I spent a summer in college working with a crew, building decks, swinging a sledge, breaking up concrete of an old pool to put in a new pool. And nothing makes you want to buckle down and study more than physical labor. It's like, oh my god, this is really hard work.

我们在做什么?我们当时在参与一栋高层建筑的施工,我大部分时间都在躲雨,因为每天中午或一点钟左右总会下雨。[笑声] 大学暑假时,我曾和一个施工队一起工作,建造露台、挥舞大锤、敲碎旧泳池的水泥以便新建一个泳池。没有什么比体力劳动更能让你下定决心好好学习。你会觉得,天哪,这工作真的太辛苦了。

Yes, I have tremendous respect for people who do that. It it really forces you to see the world in a different way, doesn't it?

是的,我对从事这些工作的人怀有极大的敬意。这确实会迫使你以不同的方式看待世界,不是吗?

Yes. It's very different work than uh sitting and writing a book, as as you and I both know. So after you get your bachelor's and MBA in finance, you take the CFA exam. It's a two-part exam. You spend a decade as a buyside equities analyst. What did you learn from those 10 years as on the buy side? Yeah. A lot. I kept my head down and learned as much as I could every single day. The first job I started at, I was brought in and basically told, "Hey, you're you're running all the research for equities and but also you're a secretary and you're doing the trading, you're doing everything else."

是的。这和坐着写书的工作截然不同,正如你和我都知道的那样。所以,在你获得金融学的学士和MBA学位后,你参加了CFA考试。这是一个两部分的考试。你作为买方股票分析师工作了十年。在那十年的买方经历中,你学到了什么?嗯,学到了很多。我埋头苦干,每天都尽可能多地学习。我第一份工作时,被招进来后基本上被告知:‘嘿,你要负责所有的股票研究,同时你还是个秘书,还要做交易,处理其他所有事务。’

So, I got a lot of good experience there. But, it was a role where my boss really was like, just go do what you think makes sense to do, which works really well with my kind of disposition. Um, as time went on, I I learned a lot from making a lot of mistakes. That's a really good way to learn. Um, ton of reading, ton of writing online, and sharing stuff with people, getting good feedback. So yeah, just just time and effort.

所以,我在那里积累了很多宝贵的经验。但这是一个我的老板非常放手让我做的角色,他说‘去做你认为合理的事吧’,这非常适合我的性格。随着时间推移,我从犯了很多错误中学到了很多东西。这是非常好的学习方式。大量阅读,在网上大量写作,与他人分享东西,获得良好的反馈。所以,是的,就是时间和努力。

That's one of the the big problems with everybody here. Here's what billionaires morning routine is like. You you seem to learn more all of us learn more from our errors and mistakes than we do from our our victories. Uh do these guys have anything to say about that?

这也是大家面临的一个大问题。以下是亿万富翁的晨间例行程序。你们似乎从错误和失误中学到的东西比从胜利中学到的更多。这些人对此有什么看法吗?

Oh yeah. No, they they say learn all you can, particularly from other people's mistakes if you can, but that seems to be hard to avoid, at least for at least for me and most of us. So, so after 10 years on the buy side, you launch an independent research service in 2021. What made you take that leap? What was that initial couple of years like?

哦,当然。他们说,要尽可能多地学习,尤其是从别人的错误中学习(如果可能的话),但这似乎很难避免,至少对我以及大多数人来说是这样。所以,在买方市场工作了十年后,你在2021年推出了独立研究服务。是什么促使你迈出那一步?最初的那几年是怎样的?

Yeah, I've been writing online going back to college. Um, and I continue to write online under a pseudonym science of hitting or TSO. Um, and again, I had built I had built a network over time. I really enjoyed the process of writing. I had started making some supplemental income through writing. And I looked around and I saw people like uh Ben Thompson Escery and other other people who had built a business online sharing their research if you want to call it that.

是的,我从大学时期就开始在网上写作。嗯,我继续以笔名“挥棒的科学”(Science of Hitting)或 TSO 在网上写作。同样,随着时间的推移,我建立了一个人脉网络。我非常享受写作的过程。我开始通过写作获得一些补充收入。我环顾四周,看到像本·汤普森(Ben Thompson)、埃斯克里(Escery)以及其他一些人,他们在网上建立了业务,分享他们的研究成果——如果你愿意这么称呼的话。

So uh when I saw Substack come around and it went from having to understand anything on the technical side to write in word copy paste which is more my speed for tech tech knowledge. Um I I decided to give it a shot. I said I'll give myself a year and doesn't work out I'll go find another traditional job but I want to see if I can do this and thankfully it's worked out. A and the science of hitting was a book by Ted Williams that Buffett loves to site for the whole strike zone analogy.

所以,当我看到 Substack 出现时,它让我从需要理解任何技术层面的东西,转变为在 Word 中写作、复制粘贴,这更符合我的技术知识水平。嗯,我决定试一试。我说我会给自己一年的时间,如果行不通,我就去找另一份传统工作,但我想看看自己能否做到这一点,幸运的是,它奏效了。另外,“挥棒的科学”是泰德·威廉姆斯(Ted Williams)的一本书,巴菲特喜欢引用这本书来阐述整个好球区的类比。

If if you Google image search this, there's a uh a strike zone and Ted Williams literally figured out every position a ball can be thrown. Just picture 12 by I don't know 20, however many it is, and figured out the percentage hitting average of where when a ball hit that spot where he was likely to hit it. Um, Buffett loves that analogy. Why did you name your research service after it?

如果你在 Google 图片搜索中输入这个,会有一个好球区,泰德·威廉姆斯实际上计算出了球可以被投到的每一个位置。想象一下一个 12 乘 20(我不知道具体是多少)的网格,他计算出了当球击中那个位置时,他击中的百分比平均值。巴菲特非常喜欢这个类比。你为什么把你的研究服务以它命名?

Say partly luck. [laughter] I don't know if at the time I knew it was such a such an analogy that I like so much and that would be a be a good name to keep for the next uh you know coming up on 15 years now but it really spoke to the way I think about investing in terms of being patient and then also making big swings when you get the chance to

partly 靠运气。[笑声] 我不知道当时我是否意识到这是一个如此好的类比,而且它会是一个在接下来的近 15 年里保持的好名字,但它确实表达了我对投资的思考方式,即保持耐心,然后在有机会时做出大幅度的挥棒。

waiting for your pitch and when it finally comes don't be afraid. So So I'm going to assume you're not averse to a concentrated portfolio.

等待你的投球,当它最终到来时,不要害怕。所以,我要假设你不排斥集中投资组合。

I am not.

我不排斥。

How how many holdings do you typically have in any given time?

你在任何时候通常持有多少只股票?

In the range of 10 to 15.

在 10 到 15 只之间。

Oh really? That's that's very concentrated. So

哦,真的吗?那非常集中。所以

big big swing after waiting for your pitch.

在等待你的投球后,做出大幅度的挥棒。

Yeah. I mean there's and there's names like you said. I've owned Bergkshire since 2011. I've owned Microsoft since 2011. There's most of the positions have been in there for a period of years. So you know it tends to be things that I've come to know quite well and have gotten familiar and comfortable with.

是的。我的意思是,就像你说的,有一些名字。我从 2011 年就开始持有伯克希尔(Bergkshire)。我从 2011 年就开始持有微软(Microsoft)。大多数头寸已经持有了几年。所以你知道,这些往往是我非常了解并变得熟悉和舒适的东西。

So this raises the obvious question. When did you first become enamor enamored of of Buffett and Mer? If you've been a shareholder since 2011. When when did they first show up on your radar?

这就引出了一个显而易见的问题。你是什么时候开始对巴菲特和芒格着迷的?如果你从2011年就开始成为股东,那么他们最早是什么时候进入你的视野的?

Yeah, the late 2000s. Uh when I was in school and I stumbled across the letters and actually a buddy and I both became obsessed with it and we were at the University of Florida and we actually drove to one of the annual meetings which is

嗯,是2000年代末。当时我在上学,偶然读到了那些致股东信,我和一个朋友都对此着了迷。我们在佛罗里达大学,我们甚至开车去参加了一次年度股东大会,那是在

in Omaha. In Omaha.

奥马哈。在奥马哈。

So it's like a 10h hour drive.

所以大概要开10个小时的车。

No, it's it's like 20 or 25. [laughter]

不,大概是20或25小时。[笑声]

It's a long way. Wow.

路很远。哇。

And we were college kids with no money. So we slept in the car I think uh one or two nights. [laughter]

而且我们都是没钱的大学生。我想我们大概在车里睡了一两晚。[笑声]

Wow.

哇。

So yeah, we were uh we were very interested in it.

所以是的,我们对它非常感兴趣。

Wait, you you you're college kids. You have no money. Did you But you and you didn't own Birkshshire A or B.

等等,你们是大学生。你们没钱。但是你和……你们并没有持有伯克希尔·哈撒韦A类或B类股票吧?

I think I bought one share a B share to be clear just to be for the sake of getting in. Yeah. Right.

我想我买了一股B类股,说清楚点,只是为了凑数加入。是的。没错。

Uh it's open to anybody who who was a shareholder. Um w

呃,任何曾是股东的任何人都可以参加。嗯 w

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