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Bessent拟扩大美债回购,Broadcom谈600亿美元AI融资

US Aims to Throttle Iran's Economy; Bessent Flags Bigger Debt Buyback Potential | Bloomberg...

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贝森特关于扩大美债回购的表态直接指向流动性管理工具的变化,是宏观交易员必须关注的政策信号;Broadcom的巨额AI融资案则揭示了算力基础设施领域的资金流向与杠杆结构,建议关注美债收益率波动及半导体产业链资本开支动向。

Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio, news. [music]

彭博音频工作室、播客、广播、新闻。[音乐]

Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager.

早上好,我是内森·黑格(Nathan Hager)。

And I'm Alexis Christopherus. Here are the stories we're following today.

我是亚历克西斯·克里斯托弗斯(Alexis Christopherus)。以下是我们今天关注的新闻。

Alexis, we begin with the latest [music] developments in the Middle East. Iran is dismissing US threats of economic pain and isolation. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson says the Trump administration will give details of an initiative on Monday that President Trump describes as an economic D-Day. We get the very latest from Bloomberg News Director Will Kennedy.

亚历克西斯,我们从中东的最新[音乐]动态开始。伊朗无视美国关于经济痛苦和孤立的威胁。财政部长斯科特·贝森(Scott Besson)表示,特朗普政府将于周一公布一项计划的细节,特朗普总统将其描述为“经济诺曼底登陆”。我们请彭博社新闻总监威尔·肯尼迪(Will Kennedy)带来最新消息。

There aren't that many added things the US can do. There are sanctions that have been in place for many, many years. There's this blockade of oil tankers which is of course having an impact. Iranian oil exports are very close to zero. It [clears throat] would really take an effort to persuade other countries like China not to trade with Iran to make a a big further difference one presumes and putting secondary sanctions on China would be a very big step for lots of reasons given the broader context on the China US relationship not least because Donald Trump is about to have a meeting with Xiinping

美国能增加的措施并不多。多年来一直存在制裁措施。还有对油轮的封锁,这当然产生了影响。伊朗石油出口已接近零。(清嗓子)要做出更大的进一步改变,确实需要努力说服中国等其他国家不与伊朗贸易,而鉴于美中关系的更广泛背景,尤其考虑到唐纳德·特朗普即将与习近平会面,对中国实施二级制裁将是一个非常大的步骤。

and Bloomberg's Will Kennedy says China will provide the biggest test of Washington's determination to follow through Beijing is the main buyer of Iranian oil.

彭博社的威尔·肯尼迪表示,中国将成为华盛顿决心跟进的最大考验,因为北京是伊朗石油的主要买家。

And Nathan, there may be new tensions in the Asia-Pacific. The US, Japan, and South Korea held a three-way call to coordinate their response after North Korea fired a barrage of short-range ballistic missiles yesterday. The volley came after President Trump stunned South Korea by abruptly cancelling decades old joint military exercises, and the North rejected the president's bid to resume dialogue with leader Kim Jong-un.

内森,亚太地区可能出现新的紧张局势。在美国总统特朗普突然取消持续数十年的联合军事演习令韩国震惊后,以及朝鲜拒绝了总统恢复与领导人金正恩对话的尝试后,美国、日本和韩国昨天举行三方通话,协调他们的回应,此前朝鲜发射了一轮短程弹道导弹。

North Korea says the two leaders may have an excellent relationship, but America's hostile policies haven't changed. Still, South Korea's president says he supports President Trump's decision to curtail the drills and reopen diplomacy.

朝鲜称两位领导人可能拥有良好的关系,但美国的敌对政策并未改变。尽管如此,韩国总统表示他支持特朗普总统缩减演习并重新开启外交的决定。

Well, Alexis, a new trade deadlines coming up for the US and Canada. The two sides have till midnight to reach a broader trade deal after President Trump announced a tentative agreement to avert 50% tariffs on billions of dollars in Canadian goods. Sources tell Bloomberg the current deal would lower tariffs on certain Canadian steel and aluminum exports to 25% and Canadian car duties would fall to 15%. Christa Freeland is a former Canadian deputy prime minister.

好吧,亚历克西斯,美国和加拿大即将面临新的贸易最后期限。在特朗普总统宣布达成初步协议以避免对价值数十亿美元的加拿大商品征收50%关税后,双方必须在午夜前达成更广泛的贸易协议。据彭博社消息人士透露,目前的协议会将某些加拿大钢铁和铝出口的关税降至25%,加拿大汽车的关税将降至15%。克里斯塔·弗里兰(Christa Freeland)是加拿大前副总理。

She says both sides need a better outcome.

她表示,双方都需要更好的结果。

I think that is a bad outcome for Canada to have permanent tariffs on our steel, aluminum, cars, and carport parts. Really harmful for those sectors. But I think it's a bad outcome for the United States as well. Uh it it's really important for people to recognize that you can lose by winning.

我认为,对加拿大而言,对我们的钢铁、铝材、汽车和车棚部件征收永久性关税是一个糟糕的结果。这对这些行业确实有害。但我认为,对美国来说这也是一个糟糕的结果。嗯,人们真正需要认识到的是,你即使赢了也可能输掉。

Former Canadian Deputy Prime Minister Christia Freeland, and you can catch more of her remarks on Bloomberg Wall Street Week tonight at 6 Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg Television, and the Bloomberg Business App.

前加拿大副总理克里斯蒂亚·弗里兰(Christia Freeland),你可以在今晚6点东部时间于彭博电台(Bloomberg Radio)、彭博电视(Bloomberg Television)以及彭博商业APP上观看更多关于她的言论。

Well, we have a winner in this week's special runoff in California to serve the rest of former Congressman Eric Swallwell's term. With 95% of votes counted, the Associated Press projects state senator Aisha Wahab will beat fellow Democrat Bay Area Rapid Transit Board President Melissa Hernandez 53 to 47%. Wahab will become the first Afghan-American to serve in Congress and her campaign was backed by the Congressional Progressive Caucus.

好吧,在加州本周举行的特别补选中,我们产生了一位胜者,他将担任前国会议员埃里克·斯瓦尔韦尔(Eric Swallwell)剩余任期的议员。在95%的选票统计完毕后,美联社预测州参议员艾莎·瓦哈卜(Aisha Wahab)将以53%对47%的票数击败同为民主党人的湾区捷运局(BART)主席梅丽莎·埃尔南德斯(Melissa Hernandez)。瓦哈卜将成为首位在国会任职的阿裔美国人,她的竞选活动得到了国会进步核心小组(Congressional Progressive Caucus)的支持。

The result comes as Swallwell remains under investigation for sexual assault allegations. Federal agents seized electronic devices from the former congressman at San Francisco airport over the weekend and later searched his home in Washington DC.

这一结果出现之际,斯瓦尔韦尔仍因涉嫌性侵犯行为接受调查。联邦特工本周末在旧金山机场从这位前国会议员处扣押了电子设备,随后又搜查了他在华盛顿特区住所。

Now Alexis, the midterm elections are now less than 80 days away and Republicans have a huge war chest sitting on the sidelines. The latest federal filings show President Trump's super PAC MAGA Inc. has a nearly $44 million cash pile. The committee received another $3 million in donations last month, including from private prison operator Geog Group and sugar producer Florida Crystals. At the same time, MAGA Inc. spent just $132,000 in July, mostly on operating costs.

现在,亚历克西斯,中期选举距离现在不到80天,而共和党人拥有庞大的资金储备蓄势待发。最新的联邦文件显示,特朗普总统的超级政治行动委员会MAGA Inc.拥有近4400万美元的现金储备。该委员会上个月又收到了300万美元的捐款,其中包括来自私营监狱运营商GEO集团和糖业生产商佛罗里达水晶公司(Florida Crystals)的捐款。与此同时,MAGA Inc.在7月份仅花费了13.2万美元,主要用于运营成本。

President Trump has said he plans to use MAGA Inc. to support Republicans. So far, though, he hasn't signed off on a plan.

特朗普总统表示,他计划利用MAGA Inc.来支持共和党人。然而到目前为止,他尚未批准任何计划。

And Treasury [clears throat] Secretary Scott Besson says he's prepared to ramp up buybacks of costly US government debt. That's despite the short-lived impact so far on long-term borrowing costs. Bessent also hinted at a new fiscal plan to address the highest Treasury yields in decades.

财政部长斯科特·贝森特(Scott Besson)表示,他准备增加购买昂贵的美国国债。尽管迄今为止长期借贷成本受到的影响短暂。贝森特还暗示将推出新的财政政策,以应对数十年来最高的国债收益率。

Once the market understands that we are focusing on fiscal consolidation and that we are uh trying to bring the market back into equilibrium uh in in a thinly traded market. I think uh you know I'm confident that bonds will continue declining. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson added the expanded buyback could be more than the $4 billion currently planned for next month.

一旦市场理解我们正专注于财政整顿,并且我们正试图在一个交易清淡的市场中将市场带回均衡状态,我想你知道,我确信债券价格将继续下跌。财政部长斯科特·贝森特补充说,扩大回购规模可能超过下个月目前计划的40亿美元。

There's a warning this morning from former New York Fed bank President Bill Dudley. The current Bloomberg opinion columnist says the US equity market is in bubble territory.

纽约联邦储备银行前行长比尔·达德利今晨发出警告。这位彭博社意见专栏作家表示,美国股市已进入泡沫区域。

Look at the railroads and the internet telecom boom all those things did great things for the economy. So two things can be true at the same time that the the technological innovation can be really transformative but at the same time you can have an investment boom and bust and in fact if you look at the history it tells you that that's usually the case. So the question here is really just really not whether it's going to be a turn from a boom to a bust.

看看铁路和互联网电信繁荣,所有这些事物都为经济做出了巨大贡献。因此,两件事可以同时成立:技术创新可能具有真正的变革性,但同时也会出现投资热潮与萧条。事实上,如果你回顾历史,你会发现这通常是常态。所以这里的问题其实不在于是否会从繁荣转向萧条。

It's really a question of timing and magnitude.

真正的问题在于时机和幅度。

That's former New York Fed President Bill Dudley. He says the stock market bubble will likely burst before the end of 2027. You can hear his full remarks on the Bloomberg video hub at bloomberg.com and the Bloomberg business app.

这是纽约联邦储备银行前行长比尔·达德利的观点。他表示,股市泡沫可能在2027年底之前破裂。你可以在bloomberg.com的彭博视频中心以及彭博商业App上收听他的完整讲话。

And Nathan, as warnings grow of an artificial intelligencefueled stock market bubble, word this morning that Anthropic is preparing for a potentially record-breaking IPO. Sources say the claw developer expects to match or beat the record $75 billion raised in SpaceX's listing. Mandep Singh is Bloomberg Intelligence's global head of tech research. This kind of growth rate is phenomenal at the scale Enthropic is at. And that's where when you compare to SpaceX which IPOed with about 18 to19 billion revenue run rate growth rate much slower than Anthropics and still managed to get close to that $2 trillion mark.

与此同时,随着关于人工智能驱动的股市泡沫的警告日益增多,今晨传出Anthropic正准备进行一项可能打破纪录的首次公开募股(IPO)。消息人士称,该大语言模型开发商预计将持平或超越SpaceX上市时筹集的750亿美元纪录。彭博情报全球科技研究主管曼德普·辛格(Mandeep Singh)表示,在Anthropic所处的规模下,这种增长率是惊人的。相比之下,SpaceX上市时的年化收入约为180亿至190亿美元,增长率远低于Anthropic,但仍成功接近了2万亿美元的市值目标。

So from that perspective clearly Anthropic with its growth rate should be at least over where SpaceX traded initially. Bloomberg Intelligence's Mandep Singh says Anthropic may file publicly for its IPO by the end of this month.

因此,从这个角度来看,显然Anthropic凭借其增长率,其估值至少应超过SpaceX最初交易时的水平。彭博情报的曼德普·辛格表示,Anthropic可能在本月底之前公开提交IPO申请。

Well, meanwhile, Alexis Broadcom's in talks with lenders to raise more than $60 billion in debt for an AI chip financing deal that would benefit Anthropic and other companies. The potential deal would help those firms access chips and other key AI infrastructure. Ryan Gould covers the chip sector for Bloomberg.

与此同时,阿莱克西斯·布罗姆科姆(Alexis Broadcom)正与贷款方洽谈,计划为AI芯片融资交易筹集超过600亿美元债务,这将使Anthropic和其他公司受益。这笔潜在交易将帮助这些公司获取芯片及其他关键AI基础设施。瑞安·古尔德(Ryan Gould)负责彭博社的芯片行业报道。

This would be among the largest that we've seen of this type of deal. I want to just throw us back a little bit to June when we saw Broadcom announced that that partnership with Blackstone and Apollo where essentially they were looking to strike an agreement to provide sort of 20 gaw of compute globally for AI deployment. I mean, I think you could probably see this as some kind of extension of that agreement. This would essentially see Blackstone and Apollo participate again per our sourcing and reporting.

这将是我们要见过的此类交易中规模最大的之一。我想把时间稍微拨回六月,当时我们看到博通宣布与黑石集团和阿波罗全球管理公司达成合作,他们基本上是在寻求达成协议,为全球AI部署提供约2000亿美元的计算能力。我的意思是,我认为你可以将此视为该协议的某种延伸。根据我们的消息来源和报道,这将实质上让黑石集团和阿波罗再次参与进来。

Bloomberg's Ryan Gold says Broadcom forecast back in March it would have AI chip sales topping hundred billion dollars next year.

彭博社的瑞安·戈尔德表示,博通在3月份的预测中指出,明年其AI芯片销售额将突破千亿美元大关。

And Bloomberg News has learned Nvidia is in early discussions with the Korean AI chip designer Rebellions about possible collaborations. Sources say the talks include a technical partnership and investment or perhaps even an acquisition founded during the pandemic in 2020. Rebellions is among a group of s

彭博新闻社获悉,英伟达正与韩国AI芯片设计公司Rebellions就可能的合作进行早期讨论。消息人士称,谈判内容包括技术合作以及投资,甚至可能是收购。Rebellions成立于2020年疫情期间,是其中一家公司。

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