美国拟周一公布伊朗经济孤立计划，布伦特原油逼近94美元

ABEER: GOOD MORNING. THIS IS "HORIZONS MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA." SUPPLY FEARS. OIL HEADS FOR A WEEKLY GAIN AS WASHINGTON MOVES TO ISOLATE IRAN'S ECONOMY. BRENT NEARS $94 A BARREL WITH TRADERS BRACING FOR FRESH DISRUPTIONS. U.S. TREASURY SECRETARY SCOTT BESSENT SIGNALS BIGGER TREASURY BUYBACKS AS THE ADMINISTRATION SEEKS TO PUSH BOND YIELDS LOWER. AND NEW FISCAL CONSOLIDATION PLAN IS ALSO COMING. AND A MEGA IPO. ANTHROPIC TARGETS A LISTING THAT COULD TOP SPACEX'S RECORD SHARE SALE.

THE CLAUDE MAKER IS PREPARING ITS FILING AMID SURGING A HIGH DEMAND. IT HAS JUST GONE 8:00 A.M. ACROSS THE EMIRATES. HAPPY FRIDAY. A MODERATION WHEN IT COMES TO RISK ASSETS. WE ARE SEEING U.S. FUTURES FLAT TO THE UPSIDE. THAT FOLLOWS A NEGATIVE CLOSE IN THE S&P 500 AND IN THE NASDAQ 100. BUT THEN THE BIGGER STORY YESTERDAY AND OVER THE PAST WEEK HAS BEEN IN BONDS. IT HAS NOT BEEN IN EQUITIES. LET ME RUN YOU THROUGH SOME OF THE INDIVIDUAL STORIES.

ANTHROPIC WAS WORTHY OF A HEADLINE BECAUSE OF THE MEGA IPO THAT ACCORDING TO BLOOMBERG COULD COME AT THE END OF THIS MONTH, COULD TOP SPACEX. A BIG STORY IN THE AI SPACE. WE ARE KEEPING AN EYE ON OTHER NAMES. BLOOMBERG DID REPORT THAT BROADCOM IS IN TALKS WITH LENDERS TO RAISE MORE THAN $60 BILLION THAT IS IN DEBT FOR AI CHIP FINANCING. THAT WILL HELP COMPANIES, INCLUDING ANTHROPIC. ASIAN EQUITIES 0.5% HIGHER. BIG NEWS ON INDIVIDUAL NAMES.

SAMSUNG, THE KOSPI WERE FLUCTUATING EARLY IN THE TRADE, NOW BOTH GAINING NICELY. BRENT CRUDE ABOVE $90 A BARREL. WE ARE SEEING IT GET CLOSER TO $94 ON THE BARREL, .3% LOWER THIS MORNING. THE WEEKLY PERFORMANCE WILL BE A GAIN FOR BRENT CRUDE PRICES. WE AWAIT WHAT SCOTT BESSENT WILL SAY. HE DID SAY THE ECONOMIC ISOLATION PLAN ON IRAN WILL BE ANNOUNCED ON MONDAY, SO MORE DETAILS THERE. THE BIG STORY WAS IN THE YIELDS ON THE LONG-TERM BONDS IN THE UNITED STATES, BUT ALSO THE 10-YEAR NOTE SPIRIT 4.71%.

HE MUCH ERASED ALL THE GAMES LIKE WE HAVE SEEN AFTER THE BUYBACK PLAN ANNOUNCED BY SCOTT BESSENT. THAT IS LEADING TO A DOWNSIDE MOVE ON ASIAN BONDS, INCLUDING THE ONES IN JAPAN, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND. WE KEEP AN EYE ON THE DOLLAR. IT IS UNDER PRESSURE. THE DOLLAR SPOT INDEX IS SET FOR A THIRD WEEK OF LOSSES. BITCOIN HAS SURPASSED $70,000 FOR THE FIRST TIME IN A COUPLE MONTHS AFTER PRESIDENT TRUMP MET WITH CRYPTO INDUSTRY LEADERS.

THAT IS THE LOOK ON SOME OF THOSE RISK ASSETS WE ARE KEEPING AN EYE ON. AND FOR MORE ON WHAT IS HAPPENING IN ASIAN MARKETS WE HAVE WINNIE HSU IN OUR HONG KONG STUDIO. WINNIE: WE ARE SEEING QUITE A REVERSAL FROM WHAT WE SAW YESTERDAY. ASIAN BONDS TRACKING U.S. TREASURIES LOWER, ESPECIALLY AS INVESTORS GROW MORE SKEPTICAL ABOUT THE U.S. EFFORT TO KEEP THE HIGH BORROWING COSTS LOWER. WHEN IT COMES TO THE YIELDS, IT IS RISING ACROSS THE REGION.

WORTH MENTIONING IN JAPAN WE DID HAVE THE LATEST INFLATION PRINT FOR JULY SHOWING CORE CPI ACCELERATING AGAIN FOR A SECOND MONTH. THIS IS COMING AS OIL PRICES REMAIN HIGH AS WELL AS THE WEAKER YEN PUSHING THE IMPORT COST. THIS IS PUTTING THE BANK OF JAPAN ON TRACK TO RAISE RATES FURTHER. WE LOOK AT THE KOREAN ASSET. ALL EYES ARE ON KOREAN STOCKS, LEADING ASIA HIGHER WITH THE KOSPI UP 0.8%. THE BIGGEST GAIN OR IS COMING THROUGH -- GAINER IS COMING THROUGH THE LIKES OF SAMSUNG AND SK HYNIX.

SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS IS PLANNING FOR A SHAREHOLDER RETURN PLAN OF AS MUCH AS $79 BILLION AND WE ARE WAITING FOR THAT BOARD MEETING LATER TODAY AT 4:00 P.M. LOCAL TIME, WHERE MORE DISCUSSION WILL HAPPEN AROUND THIS PLAN. THE ATTENTION FOR THE MEETING WILL BE ON HOW THE COMPANY ALLOCATES THE FUNDS BETWEEN BUYBACK AND DIVIDENDS. BUT FOR NOW WITH THAT PLUS THE SHARE BUYBACK PLAN WE HEARD FROM SK HYNIX A COUPLE DAYS AGO, THAT IS SUPPORTING THE KOREAN WON, STRENGTHENING BY 0.8%.

THIS THE BEST PERFORMING ASIA CURRENCY TODAY. ABEER: WINNIE HSU IN HONG KONG FOR US WITH A POSITIVE PICTURE ACROSS KOREA. BACK TO OUR TOP STORY FROM THE REGION. THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS PREPARING TO UNVEIL ITS CAMPAIGN TO ECONOMICALLY ISOLATE IRAN ON MONDAY. TREASURY SECRETARY SCOTT BESSENT IS PROMISING WHAT HE CALLS THE MOST COORDINATED PRESSURE EFFORT YET. THE STRATEGY COULD EXPEND BEYOND -- COULD EXTEND BEYOND TEHRAN THAT COUNTRIES THAT TRADE WITH IT.

THAT COULD PUT CHINA AT THE CENTER OF THE NEXT PHASE OF THE CONFLICT. FOR MORE ON THIS STORY, WE ARE JOINED BY STUART LIVINGSTON WALLACE, BLOOMBERG'S EXECUTIVE EDITOR FOR THE MIDDLE EAST, NORTH AFRICA AND RUSSIA. GOOD MORNING. SCOTT BESSENT SAYING YESTERDAY THAT THIS PLAN WILL BE ANNOUNCED MONDAY, THE ECONOMIC ISOLATION PLAN. WHAT MORE CAN THE U.S. DO TO ISOLATE IRAN? IT IS THE MOST SENTIENT COUNTRY ALREADY. STUART: AT THIS STAGE THEY HAVE RUN OUT OF ROAD WITH IRAN, BUT WHAT THEY CAN GO AFTER IS THE TRADING PARTNERS, BUT THAT IS A TOUGHER PROPOSITION.

CHINA IS THE BIGGEST BUYER OF IRANIAN OIL. DO THEY HAVE ENOUGH LEVERAGE OVER CHINA TO FORCE IT TO STOP BUYING THAT OIL? I THINK THE ANSWER IS IT IS QUITE UNLIKELY. WHAT EXACTLY CAN THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION OFFER CHINA IN ORDER TO GET THEM TO STOP BUYING IRANIAN OIL? THEN YOU HAVE THE SMALLER TRADING PARTNERS. YOU HAVE SEEN THE UAE SAY IT WILL CUT OFF TIES AND AFTER THAT IT COMES DOWN TO A WHACK-A-MOLE STRATEGY OF GOING AFTER THE SHADOW BANKING.

NOT NECESSARILY STATE BACKED. BUT IT HAS BEEN DOING THAT FOR YEARS WITH SOME EFFECT, BUT THAT WILL TAKE TIME. ONE THING YOU CAN SAY ABOUT THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS IT IS NOT FAMOUS FOR ITS PATIENCE. ABEER: ARGUABLY ONE WOULD SAY THE U.S. ALREADY SANCTIONED SOME INDEPENDENT REFINERIES IN CHINA AT THE START OF THIS, BUT THE BROADER PICTURE WILL BE MORE DIFFICULT TO HOLD. IT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT QUESTION TO WHAT WE SEE ON BRENT CRUDE PRICES.

THE STATE OF TRAFFIC IN HORMUZ, HAS ANYTHING CHANGED IN THE PAST FEW DAYS? STUART: THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF THAT, NO. MOST OF THEM HAVE THEIR TRANSPONDERS SHUT OFF, SO IT'S HARD TO HAVE DAY TO DAY VISIBILITY. THERE'S QUITE A LOT OF VOLUME GOING THROUGH, MOSTLY UNDER U.S. DIRECTION. WE THINK THERE IS ALMOST NOTHING COMING THROUGH ON THE IRANIAN SIDE, AND THAT BLOCKADE SEEMS TO BE EFFECTIVE. THE IRANIANS SAY THEIR EXPORTS ARE BASICALLY DOWN TO ZERO.

THAT MUST HAVE BEEN THE STATE OF PLAY FOR WEEKS. ABEER: GOOD TO HAVE YOU. SEE YOU IN A COUPLE WEEKS. BLOOMBERG'S EXECUTIVE EDITOR FOR THE MIDDLE EAST, NORTH AFRICA AND RUSSIA MONITORING THAT STORY . U.S. TREASURY SECRETARY SCOTT BESSENT WAS SPEAKING OUTSIDE OF THE WHITE HOUSE YESTERDAY ON WHAT IS HAPPENING IN THE MARKET. FOR MORE ON MARKET REACTION ON THE U.S. TREASURIES, THAT BUYBACK PUSH, WE ARE JOINED BY MACRO ADVISORY CO-FOUNDER.

GOOD TO HAVE YOU WITH US. AN END TO THE WEEK THAT IS QUITE TURBULENT, ESPECIALLY WHEN IT COMES TO THE BOND SPACE. THAT RALLY THAT WE SAW YESTERDAY IN U.S. TREASURIES, IT IS EFFECTIVELY GONE THIS MORNING, ESPECIALLY ON THE 10-YEAR NOTE. WHAT DO YOU THINK HAPPENS FROM HERE? AYESHA: THANK YOU FOR HAVING ME. YES, IT'S BEEN AN INTERESTING WEEK. WE ARE SEEING THE REACTION THAT WE THINK WILL HAPPEN FROM HERE. YESTERDAY I AM SURE YOU HAVE SEEN THAT SCOTT BESSENT SAID WE MIGHT BUMP UP THE BUYBACKS.

INITIALLY HE SAID $2 MILLION ROSE TO $4 BILLION, AND NOW IT MIGHT BE LARGER. HE'S TRYING TO USE VERBAL INTERVENTION TO CONTROL THE MARKET A BIT, BUT THAT SEEMS TO BE FAMILY. WE KNOW THE REASONS FOR THAT, BECAUSE THE UNDERLYING FUNDAMENTAL ISSUES THAT IS DRIVING RATES RIGHT NOW, OR DRIVING YIELDS RATHER, HAS NOT GONE AWAY. I DON'T THINK THIS INTERVENTION WILL HAVE ANY KIND OF LONG-TERM IMPACT. ABEER: JUST ON THE IMPACT ON EQUITIES, BECAUSE WE SAW THAT AT THE START OF THE WEEK, OR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, HOW MUCH HIGHER CAN LONG-TERM YIELDS GO BEFORE WE START SEEING A PERSISTENT AND REAL IMPACT ON EQUITIES WHERE IT STARTS BECOMING A REAL ISSUE FOR THOSE BIG NAMES IN EQUITY MARKETS?

AYESHA: I THINK WHEN WE LOOK AT THE INTERACTION BETWEEN BOND YIELDS AND EQUITIES, THERE ARE TWO THINGS WE NEED TO REMEMBER. IT IS NOT HOW HIGH THEY GO, BUT HOW FAST THEY MOVE UP, SO THE VELOCITY. THE SECOND THING IS HOW LONG THEY REMAIN HIGH. YOU CAN HAVE YIELD

原文超出正文长度上限，此处截断——上游还有内容，完整版见上方「原文 ↗」。