洲际交易所CEO:纽交所代币化推进中,AI算力期货将落地
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I'm Tyler Kendall here at the CFTC and I'm joined now by the chair and CEO of the Intercontinental Exchange, Jeffreer. Mr. Thank you so much for joining us here on Bloomberg and you were there at the White House yesterday. I saw you there with President Trump for this event where he was really trying to push for the passage of the Clarity Act. I'm wondering if you can outline for me what would passage of clarity unlock for you?
我是泰勒·肯德尔,在CFTC现场,现在和我一起的是洲际交易所的主席兼CEO,杰弗里先生。非常感谢您接受彭博的采访,您昨天在白宫,我看到您和特朗普总统一起参加那个活动,他当时真的在努力推动《清晰法案》的通过。我想知道您能否为我概述一下,如果该法案通过,会为您解锁什么?
Um well, one of two things. It would obviously provide legal certainty for areas that are now somewhat undefined. Um but notwithstanding uh what the U Congress is doing, we have been uh moving forward to try to tokenize the New York Stock Exchange to try to extend its hours to try to change its pricing model um under conventional laws so that we have a parallel track going on um in order to move our business forward.
嗯,有两件事。它显然会为目前有些定义不清的领域提供法律确定性。但不管美国国会正在做什么,我们一直在推进,试图将纽约证券交易所代币化,试图延长其交易时间,试图改变其定价模式,这些都是根据现行法律进行的,这样我们就有了一条并行的轨道,以推动我们的业务向前发展。
Can you give us updates on those tokenization efforts?
您能给我们介绍一下这些代币化努力的最新进展吗?
Um it's with the uh SEC right now and um and it's making progress. This is this particular SEC wants to uh to not stifle innovation. Um it's got a [snorts] more challenging rule set to deal with uh without the Clarity Act, but not not notwithstanding there is a process there for innovation exemptions.
嗯,目前正在与SEC沟通,并且正在取得进展。这个特定的SEC希望不要扼杀创新。它有一套更具挑战性的规则需要处理,如果没有《清晰法案》,但并非没有创新豁免的程序。
The other side of this remitt of course is prediction markets. I found this quote from you. You've described prediction markets as having real economic utility. Do you see ICE eventually listing its own event contracts or is this purely about that data layer uh owning that like with Poly Market and then letting those platforms do the prediction markets?
当然,这个职责的另一面是预测市场。我找到了您的一句引言。您曾将预测市场描述为具有真正的经济效用。您是否认为ICE最终会列出自己的事件合约,还是这纯粹是关于数据层,像Poly Market那样拥有它,然后让那些平台来做预测市场?
A bit of both. We've long had markets where um uh you're asking uh market participants where do you think an index will settle which in a in a way is a prediction market. Um and uh historically those have been very um obvious indexes that uh that define an industry. What uh the prediction markets have done is really drill down on very very minor minute um uh localized uh ideas and uh and I think that works better for those people because it's just a constant listing and dellisting um of contracts which is really not how my universe Wall Street operates.
两者都有。我们长期以来一直有市场,在那里你问市场参与者,你认为一个指数会结算在哪里,这在某种程度上就是一个预测市场。而且历史上,那些都是非常明显的指数,定义了某个行业。预测市场所做的实际上是深入到非常非常细微、局部化的想法,我认为这对那些人来说效果更好,因为那只是合约的不断上市和退市,这真的不是我所在的华尔街世界运作的方式。
Can you give us an update on uh your relationship with Poly Market and and just how it's going?
您能给我们介绍一下您与Poly Market的关系以及目前进展如何吗?
Um sure. We have a great relationship. Um we we are an investor in it and uh we partly invested in it because we were interested in their technology. Um they are truly a blockchainbased uh system and uh we were hoping for technology transfer which they've been helping us with and at the same time they had regulatory issues. they really needed to get to uh compliance in the United States and we're long uh versed in how to do that and so there's been this mutual transfer of uh information.
嗯,当然。我们关系很好。嗯,我们是它的投资者,嗯,我们部分投资是因为我们对他们的技术感兴趣。嗯,他们确实是一个基于区块链的系统,嗯,我们希望进行技术转让,他们一直在帮助我们,同时他们也有监管问题。他们确实需要在美国实现合规,而我们在这方面经验丰富,所以一直有这种相互的信息交流。
Um we're not a venture capital firm. Um we put money into it simply so that we had connectivity with them and um and in that regard the investment itself has done well but uh but it's really this underlying exchange of information that we are working on.
嗯,我们不是风险投资公司。嗯,我们投入资金只是为了与他们建立联系,嗯,在这方面,投资本身表现不错,但嗯,真正重要的是我们正在进行的这种底层信息交换。
Okay. So that might answer my next question because Poly Market is looking to raise capital at a $20 billion valuation. So I was wondering if you were going to add to your stake or keep it capped at I I think 1.6 billion.
好的。那可能回答了我的下一个问题,因为Poly Market正在寻求以200亿美元估值筹集资金。所以我想知道你是打算增加持股,还是保持在16亿美元的上限。
Yes, we're in at 1.6 billion. We we'll look at it um if it if it will help the round in order to have our impetour on it. Uh we always uh are interested. We we've done two rounds with them, but the reality is we're not a venture firm. We're really here to uh [snorts] to have this transfer of information and uh and expertise. I did want to ask you because you're looking at creating a futures market when it comes to AI compute power.
是的,我们以16亿美元进入。我们会考虑,嗯,如果这有助于本轮融资,以便我们施加影响。嗯,我们总是有兴趣的。我们已经和他们进行了两轮融资,但现实是我们不是风险投资公司。我们在这里真的是为了[哼]进行这种信息和专业知识的交流。我确实想问你,因为你正在考虑为AI计算能力创建一个期货市场。
Why do you think that this is the right financial tool for lenders or these tech companies in the AI space to hedge against their costs?
为什么你认为这是贷款方或AI领域的科技公司对冲成本的正確金融工具?
Um it's a good question. First of all, um the CFTC is going to do a a broad, you know, information uh gathering about uh that very question to see where the whole industry is, which which will be interesting. We um we are the world's uh electricity market. Um I actually started the company to be an electricity exchange. So it's it's it's in our DNA and um and if you think about compute it today it's electricity and possibly chips on the input and then on the output to these things called tokens which is basically the way you pay for compute.
嗯,这是个好问题。首先,嗯,CFTC将就这个问题进行广泛的信息收集,以了解整个行业的状况,这会很有趣。我们嗯,我们是全球电力市场。嗯,我实际上创办这家公司是为了做电力交易所。所以这嗯,这在我们基因里,嗯,如果你想想今天的计算,输入是电力和可能的芯片,输出是这些叫做代币的东西,这基本上是你为计算付费的方式。
Um and so somewhere in that amalgamation I suspect is going to be trading and risk transfer whether it's uh buying the inputs to the power plant and and and data center or whether it's buying the output uh how the models work uh I think is something that we'll discover with the with this um inquiry.
嗯,所以在这个融合的某个地方,我怀疑会有交易和风险转移,无论是购买发电厂和数据中心的输入,还是购买输出,嗯,模型如何运作,嗯,我认为这是我们将在这次调查中发现的东西。
Well, the CFTC chair just told me that he seemed rather um excited about this idea. So, I'm curious, has uh have you gotten any indication when it comes to the timeline for this? Have you had a push back a timeline? When are you planning to if you get that regulatory approval to move forward?
嗯,商品期货交易委员会主席刚刚告诉我,他对这个想法似乎相当兴奋。所以,我很好奇,你有没有得到任何关于时间表的指示?你有没有遇到时间上的推迟?如果获得监管批准,你计划什么时候推进?
Yeah, we've announced that we intend to do this at the same time the CFTC has announced that they uh want to do this survey. And so, we think they're going to be relatively efficient and quick um and and it will nest with the timeline that we will have for launching. But we're also interested to see what the market thinks about these ideas. um you know will the hyperscalers want to hedge or or you know that's not historically where they go.
是的,我们已经宣布打算这样做,同时商品期货交易委员会也宣布他们想进行这项调查。所以,我们认为他们会相对高效和快速,而且这会与我们推出的时间表相吻合。但我们也很有兴趣看看市场对这些想法的看法。嗯,你知道,超大规模云服务商会想要对冲吗?或者,你知道,那历来不是他们的领域。
We've seen um some of the hyperscalers and and and foundation model people are starting to advertise for trading um to get personnel in there. So um uh it does feel like you know there's something to this but uh I think we'll know you know within the next maybe 90 or 120 days.
我们已经看到一些超大规模云服务商和基础模型公司开始招聘交易人员,以引进相关人才。所以,嗯,确实感觉这里面有文章可做,但我想我们会在接下来的大概90到120天内知道答案。
Well I was going to ask what type of clients have expressed the most interest in this? Um it's everyday people honestly. It's uh yeah all about like my company is you know had a a zero budget for tokens for uh 2026 and now we're we're a big shop with most of the foundation models operating. Our costs are going up. We're trying to figure out what's the return on investment. And every CEO I talk to, and we talk to a lot of them because of the New York Stock Exchange, is going through this process of of um am I going to use one of these big um uh foundation models?
嗯,我本来想问哪类客户对此表现出最大的兴趣?说实话,是普通人。嗯,是的,都是关于我的公司,你知道,2026年的代币预算为零,而现在我们是一家大公司,运营着大多数基础模型。我们的成本在上升。我们正试图弄清楚投资回报是什么。而我交谈过的每一位CEO,我们因为纽约证券交易所的关系谈了很多,都在经历这个过程:我是否要使用这些大型基础模型之一?
Am I going to use an and open- source model or open weight model? Um am I going to which cloud am I going to be in? So those are all, you know, issues that that business is wrestling with right now. And we're wondering is there a way that we can help them by having a risk transfer through hedging. If I try to streamline this to news of the day and we talk a lot about the AI buildout in Washington, we also talk a lot about the conflict in Iran and whenever there's updates um the markets are just watching it so closely because when news breaks over the weekend or any events related to the energy markets.
我是否要使用开源模型或开放权重模型?嗯,我要用哪个云服务?所以这些都是企业目前正在努力解决的问题。我们想知道是否有一种方法可以通过对冲来实现风险转移来帮助他们。如果我想把这简化为当天的新闻,我们在华盛顿谈了很多关于人工智能建设的事情,我们也谈了很多关于伊朗的冲突,每当有更新时,市场都在密切关注,因为当周末有新闻或任何与能源市场相关的事件发生时。
There is notable trading in these offshore platforms when it comes to 247 oil futures. What is your level of concern with these products and are you seeing any direct impact? Um, we're watching it closely. Maybe that's the political way to say it. Um, the the energy industry itself is not set up to trade on weekends. Uh, the banking system is closed. Yeah.
在247石油期货方面,这些离岸平台存在显著的交易活动。您对这些产品的担忧程度如何,是否看到任何直接影响?嗯,我们正在密切关注。也许这是政治上的说法。嗯,能源行业本身并未为周末交易做好准备。银行系统是关闭的。是的。
And so, um, if there is a high price spike up or down, um, there's just isn't the infrastructure right there to manage the risk on the weekends. So, let's call it institutional money is not there yet for 24 by7 365. That said, part of what's going on, you know, underneath this is is this movement towards blockchain, um, which is really just a rewiring of a banking system. It's really just the ability to move money on the internet, uh, 24 by7 365.
因此,嗯,如果价格出现大幅飙升或下跌,嗯,周末就没有相应的基础设施来管理风险。所以,可以说机构资金尚未实现全天候365天的支持。话虽如此,这背后的一部分情况是,你知道,向区块链的转变,嗯,这实际上是对银行系统的重新布线。它实际上是在互联网上全天候365天转移资金的能力。
And I do think that um uh that's either going to urge the banks and and the Fed to open the Fed funds wire and keep it open around the clock or we're going to have alternative rails through blockchain. One of those two will happen. And when that happens, then I think you'l
而且我确实认为,嗯,那要么会促使银行和美联储开放联邦基金电汇系统并保持全天候运行,要么我们将通过区块链拥有替代轨道。这两种情况之一将会发生。而当那时,我认为你将
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