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比特币单日暴涨9%:美债回购与监管利好引爆空头清算

The Real Reason Bitcoin EXPLODED Today

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加密与宏观政策共振引发的结构性行情,空头清算创纪录,且涉及Hyperliquid入美监管进展,建议关注后续法案投票与SEC规则落地对市场的影响。

Well, well, well. Bitcoin just gave us a 9% God candle in a single session. The biggest daily candle since March. And that pump was brought to us thanks to $1.1 billion of short positions being wiped out in a matter of hours. More than 90% of everything liquidated in that 24-hour window was somebody betting the market went lower. It was the largest crypto short liquidation volume on record. But the move didn't start in the cryptosphere.

哎呀呀,比特币刚刚在一个交易日内给我们带来了一根9%的暴涨大阳线。这是自3月以来最大的单日涨幅。而这次上涨的推动力,是价值11亿美元的空头头寸在几小时内被一扫而空。在那24小时内被清算的仓位中,超过90%是押注市场下跌的。这是有记录以来最大规模的加密货币空头清算量。但这场行情的起点并不在加密领域。

It started instead with a press notice from the United States Treasury. So today, we're breaking down what the Treasury did, how Trump poured petrol on the fire at the White House 4 hours later, and why a token that American traders are legally blocked from touching ended up being the biggest winner of the day. My name is Guy and this is the Coin Bureau. So then let's start with how the Treasury triggered this monster move.

它始于美国财政部的一份新闻公告。所以今天,我们将解析财政部做了什么,特朗普如何在4小时后在白宫火上浇油,以及为什么一个美国交易员被法律禁止接触的代币最终成为当日最大赢家。我是Guy,这里是Coin Bureau。那么,让我们从财政部如何触发这场巨大行情开始讲起。

On the 19th of August, the US Treasury announced it was at least doubling the size of its liquidity support buybacks of longerdated bonds going from $2 billion per operation to at least 4 billion and effective from the 9th of September running through to the 4th of November. So in simpler terms, the Treasury announced it's going to the market and aggressively repurchasing older, less liquid bonds. Now that doesn't create new money, and it doesn't reduce the debt.

8月19日,美国财政部宣布,将至少加倍其流动性支持回购的规模,针对较长期债券,从每次操作20亿美元提高到至少40亿美元,并从9月9日起生效,持续到11月4日。简单来说,财政部宣布将进入市场,积极回购较老、流动性较差的债券。这并不会创造新货币,也不会减少债务。

So it's a bit like reorggaging the house rather than paying it off. But then why did that matter so much? Why did it impact markets within seconds? Well, because the day before the 30-year yield had touched 5.33%, its highest level since 2007. But then the Treasury essentially announced it was having none of that and stepped in. So those yields started dropping hard. The dollar meanwhile fell alongside and every single risk asset out there caught a bit and that bullish macro energy got concentrated into the cryptosphere.

这有点像重新抵押房子,而不是还清贷款。但为什么这如此重要?为什么它在几秒钟内就影响了市场?因为在前一天,30年期国债收益率触及5.33%,这是自2007年以来的最高水平。但随后财政部基本上宣布不会容忍这种情况,并介入干预。于是,这些收益率开始大幅下跌。美元也随之下跌,所有风险资产都受到了一些提振,而这种看涨的宏观能量集中涌入了加密领域。

Just a few hours later at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, the US administration hosted some of the biggest names at the intersection of crypto and government. It came ahead of the CFTC's first ever innovation advisory committee meeting. Trump was there, of course, and so was SEC chair Paul Atkins, CFTC Chair Michael Selig, and White House crypto adviser Patrick Wit, Brian Armstrong from Coinbase, Brad Garlinghouse from Ripple, Vlad Tenner from Robin Hood, IC chairman Jeffreer, plus representatives from CME Group and NASDAQ.

仅仅几个小时后,在艾森豪威尔行政办公大楼,美国政府接待了加密与政府交叉领域的一些重量级人物。这是在CFTC首次创新咨询委员会会议之前举行的。特朗普当然在场,还有SEC主席Paul Atkins、CFTC主席Michael Selig、白宫加密顾问Patrick Wit、Coinbase的Brian Armstrong、Ripple的Brad Garlinghouse、Robin Hood的Vlad Tenner、IC主席Jeffreer,以及CME集团和纳斯达克的代表。

So the three institutions that own American derivatives market structure were in the same room as the people building the thing that competes with them listening to the president talk about the rules. Interesting. And then Trump said this quote I understand that Mike is also working to bring hyperlid into the United States in a fully compliant and legal fashion. Working very hard on that. Mike being Michael Celic, the sitting chair of the CFTC.

因此,拥有美国衍生品市场结构的三家机构与正在构建与之竞争产品的人同处一室,聆听总统谈论规则。有趣。随后特朗普说了这样一句话:我了解到迈克也在努力将 Hyperliquid 带入美国,以完全合规且合法的方式。他正在为此非常努力地工作。迈克指的是迈克尔·塞利克,现任美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)主席。

Now, of course, he didn't offer a timeline, and this isn't some official approval, but there were two supporting announcements stacked either side of it. Trump pushed Congress for what he called a fair version of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act with a Senate closure vote on the motion to proceed scheduled for the 15th of September. And Atkins spent his time promoting the SEC's proposed rulemaking from the day before, which creates registration exemptions for compliant token issuance.

当然,他没有给出时间表,这也不是某种官方批准,但前后有两个支持性公告相呼应。特朗普敦促国会通过他所称的“数字资产市场清晰度法案”的公平版本,参议院定于9月15日就推进动议进行终结辩论投票。而阿特金斯则利用时间推广了前一天美国证券交易委员会(SEC)提出的规则制定,该规则为合规代币发行创建了注册豁免。

That's the first cryptospecific rulemaking package in the AY's 90-year history. So, crypto was fortunate enough to have three separate regulatory doors opened inside one afternoon, and the charts clearly loved it. Now, when you're dealing with a market that can liquidate over a billion dollars worth of shorts in 24 hours, you really do need to be dialed in all the time. But that takes constant effort, and not everyone can spend their entire day staring at a computer screen.

这是该机构90年历史上首个针对加密货币的规则制定方案。因此,加密货币有幸在一个下午内打开了三扇独立的监管大门,图表显然对此表示欢迎。现在,当你面对一个能在24小时内清算超过10亿美元空头的市场时,你真的需要时刻保持关注。但这需要持续的努力,不是每个人都能整天盯着电脑屏幕。

So, let us do it for you. Right here on YouTube, you can join the Coin Bureau Club Light Plan. You'll get daily coverage and updates across crypto and tradi. Our teams read on the best opportunities in the market, and none of the noise. And if you sign up now, your first month is absolutely free. So just tap the join button below this video to get started. Right, back to this crazy market move and it's time to focus in on Hyperlquid.

所以,让我们为您代劳。就在YouTube上,您可以加入Coin Bureau Club轻量计划。您将获得涵盖加密货币和传统金融的每日报道和更新。我们的团队阅读市场上最佳机会,而不受噪音干扰。如果您现在注册,第一个月完全免费。只需点击本视频下方的加入按钮即可开始。好了,回到这个疯狂的市场走势,现在让我们聚焦于Hyperliquid。

As things stand today, Hyperlid geoblocks USIP addresses and it holds no designated contract market license from the CFTC. Onchain perpetuals have simply been off limits to American traders full stop. But Selig's framework doesn't try to regulate the matching engine. The idea is to license the US access point, the interface and compliance layer that Americans would touch while the decentralized execution engine keeps running exactly as it does now.

就目前情况而言,Hyperliquid对美国的IP地址进行地理封锁,并且没有持有CFTC指定的合约市场许可证。链上永续合约对美国交易者来说完全禁止。但塞利克的框架并不试图监管撮合引擎。其思路是许可美国接入点,即美国人会接触的界面和合规层,而去中心化的执行引擎则继续像现在这样运行。

And there is already a precedent for bridging perpetual mechanics into the American rule book because on the 29th of May, the CFTC approved Koshi's BTC per contract on a registered venue. Meanwhile, the Hyperlquid Policy Center led by Jake Chavinsky and working alongside Phantom has been petitioning the CFTC for exactly this outcome. So, the market looked at all of that along with the bullish Treasury announcement and decided it was time to absolutely send it.

而且,将永续合约机制引入美国规则手册已有先例,因为在5月29日,CFTC批准了Koshi的BTC合约在注册场所交易。与此同时,由Jake Chavinsky领导、与Phantom合作的Hyperlquid政策中心一直在向CFTC请愿,正是为了这一结果。因此,市场综合考量了所有这些因素以及看涨的财政部公告,决定是时候全力推动了。

Hype pumped by over 20%, pushing through $70 and closing in on the $77 all-time high set back in June. Hyperlid Strategies, Inc. rallied 30% with options volume running at roughly eight times its 30-day average. David Shamis, who runs Hyperlquid Strategies, said they'd been trying for a while to figure out how to get into the US and the CFTC had been responsive. But when Trump says it at a press conference, it means it's a priority.

Hype上涨超过20%,突破70美元,逼近6月份创下的77美元历史高点。Hyperlid Strategies, Inc.上涨30%,期权交易量约为其30天平均值的八倍。运营Hyperlquid Strategies的David Shamis表示,他们一直在努力寻找进入美国市场的方法,而CFTC一直积极响应。但当特朗普在新闻发布会上提及此事时,意味着这已成为优先事项。

And there's another detail here worth celebrating. On the day SIBO fell 3.5% and CME Group fell 1.7%. Meanwhile, Coinbase closed up 9.5%. So, the incumbents sold off on the news and crypto companies rallied in a big way. That certainly looks like the market pricing in an onchain venue getting a legal front door into the United States. Not to mention what 24/7 trading and unified cross margin does to a business based on fixed trading hours and layers of middlemen.

这里还有一个值得庆祝的细节。当天SIBO下跌3.5%,CME Group下跌1.7%。与此同时,Coinbase收盘上涨9.5%。因此,传统机构因这一消息而抛售,而加密货币公司则大幅上涨。这看起来确实是市场在定价一个链上交易场所获得进入美国的合法门户。更不用说24/7交易和统一跨保证金对基于固定交易时间和层层中间商的业务的影响了。

So, let's recap this explosive move. Positioning in the crypto market was short, very short. The market had been grinding lower for weeks with crowded short exposure stacked between 64 and 67K. Then the Treasury pulls the long end down. The dollar drops and every risk asset starts soaring. Then the president adds a cryptospecific catalyst on top of it for good measure. Shorts get run over, forced buying takes the price higher. that triggers the next trunch of shorts and the God candle prince in all its glory.

那么,让我们回顾一下这次爆炸性的走势。加密货币市场的持仓是空头,非常空。市场已经连续数周走低,拥挤的空头头寸堆积在64至67K之间。然后财政部拉低了长期收益率。美元下跌,所有风险资产开始飙升。接着总统在此基础上又增加了加密特定的催化剂。空头被碾压,强制买入推高了价格。这触发了下一批空头,上帝蜡烛图尽显其辉煌。

I'll also note that open interest actually rose about 5.4% to 52 billion through the move which tells us that fresh shorts were stepping in front of this move upwards and they got flattened rather than longs capitulating. Ouch. And speaking of ouch, the single largest liquidation that day, a $ 48.4 $4 million Bitcoin short on Hyperlquid with a $23.3 million wipeout immediately before it. Good grief. The venue the president name dropped was also the venue where the biggest short of the lot went to die.

我还要指出,在此次走势中,未平仓合约实际上上升了约5.4%,达到520亿美元,这告诉我们,新的空头在上涨趋势前介入,并被平仓,而不是多头投降。哎哟。说到哎哟,当天最大的一笔清算是一笔在Hyperlquid上的4840万美元比特币空头,紧随其后的是2330万美元的爆仓。天哪。总统点名提到的那个交易场所,也是最大空头消亡的地方。

Is that ironic? Quite possibly. Now, as bullish as this move was, the implications of all these announcements are probably still underappreciated. We're not talking about mindless speculation here. We have a confirmed buyback schedule from the Treasury to support bond markets. We have another impulse to push the Clarity Act over the line come the 15th of September. There was proposed SEC rulemaking that went out the previous day with exemption tiers written into it.

这算讽刺吗?很有可能。现在,尽管这一举动看涨,但这些公告的影响可能仍被低估。我们这里说的不是无脑投机。我们有财政部确认的股票回购计划来支持债券市场。我们还有另一股推动力,要在9月15日之前让《清晰法案》通过。此前一天,美国证券交易委员会提出了规则制定,其中包含了豁免层级。

And we have crypto's leading product Hyperlquid getting a shout out from the president and the CFTC chair working to bring it on shore. And to top it all off for good measure, we printed the largest BTC short liquidation day on record. All happening in what's usually the slow summer month of August. Crypto has a way of surprising us like this. And after the relentless chop recently, this move was one

而且,我们还有加密货币的领先产品Hyperlquid,得到了总统的公开表扬,商品期货交易委员会主席也在努力将其引入国内。更锦上添花的是,我们见证了有史以来最大规模的BTC空头清算日。这一切都发生在通常较为平静的八月夏季。加密货币总有办法给我们带来这样的惊喜。在最近无情的震荡之后,这一举动就是其中之一。

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