内存价格一年暴涨500%,128GB DDR5达3399美元
内存价格一年暴涨500%,128GB DDR5 达3399美元
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We're officially in dire straits. There's almost no way, if you're reading this site, that you aren't aware that memory prices have become entirely divorced from reality. Some are calling it the RAMpocalypse; I prefer "RAMageddon." Whatever you want to call it, though, the reality for PC builders right now is just grim. To put this in perspective, just take a look at our RAM price tracking post:
我们正式陷入了困境。如果你正在阅读这个网站,几乎不可能不知道内存价格已经完全脱离现实。有人称之为“内存末日”;我更倾向于“内存浩劫”。无论你怎么称呼它,对于现在的 PC 组装者来说,现实就是严峻的。为了让你有个直观感受,只需看看我们的内存价格追踪文章:
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| Memory Kit | Best U.S. Price | Lowest-Ever U.S. Price |
|---|---|---|
| DDR5-5200 16GB | $239 | $52 |
| DDR5-5600 16GB | $214 | $199 |
| DDR5-5600 32GB | $394 | $72 |
| DDR5-6000 16GB | $239 | $197 |
| DDR5-6000 32GB | $392 | $72 |
| DDR5-6000 48GB | $689 | $144 |
| DDR5-6000 64GB | $849 | $159 |
| DDR5-6000 96GB | $1,799 | $189 |
| DDR5-6400 128GB | $3,399 | $329 |
| DDR5-6600 32GB | $637 | $158 |
| 内存套件 | 美国最佳价格 | 美国历史最低价 |
|---|---|---|
| DDR5-5200 16GB | $239 | $52 |
| DDR5-5600 16GB | $214 | $199 |
| DDR5-5600 32GB | $394 | $72 |
| DDR5-6000 16GB | $239 | $197 |
| DDR5-6000 32GB | $392 | $72 |
| DDR5-6000 48GB | $689 | $144 |
| DDR5-6000 64GB | $849 | $159 |
| DDR5-6000 96GB | $1,799 | $189 |
| DDR5-6400 128GB | $3,399 | $329 |
| DDR5-6600 32GB | $637 | $158 |
That's right: 128GB DDR5 kits are fully ten times more expensive than the lowest price we've ever seen. Things improve as you step down the memory capacities and speed tiers, but not as much as we'd like. You're still looking at $392 for a memory kit that was just $72 last year.
没错:128GB DDR5 套件的价格完全是我们见过的历史最低价的十倍。随着内存容量和速度等级的降低,情况有所改善,但并没有我们希望的那么好。你仍然需要为去年仅售 72 美元的内存套件支付 392 美元。
To reinforce the point, I pulled the latest average price data from PCPartPicker, comparing where we are today (August 2026) to exactly one year ago. This data is somewhat approximate, but it should be broadly accurate.
为了强调这一点,我提取了 PCPartPicker 的最新平均价格数据,将我们现在(2026 年 8 月)与一年前进行了比较。这些数据有些近似,但应该大致准确。
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| Memory Kit Speed & Size | August 2025 Average Price | August 2026 Average Price | Change (YoY) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4800 MT/s 2×16GB | $90 | $425 | +$335+$372% |
| 5200 MT/s 2×16GB | $100 | $480 | +$380+380% |
| 5600 MT/s 2×16GB | $116 | $528 | +$412+355% |
| 6000 MT/s 2×16GB | $108 | $572 | +$463+429% |
| 5600 MT/s 2×32GB | $191 | $1118 | +$927+485% |
| 6000 MT/s 2×32GB | $222 | $1272 | +$1050+473% |
| 内存套件速度与容量 | 2025 年 8 月平均价格 | 2026 年 8 月平均价格 | 同比变化 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4800 MT/s 2×16GB | $90 | $425 | +$335+$372% |
| 5200 MT/s 2×16GB | $100 | $480 | +$380+380% |
| 5600 MT/s 2×16GB | $116 | $528 | +$412+355% |
| 6000 MT/s 2×16GB | $108 | $572 | +$463+429% |
| 5600 MT/s 2×32GB | $191 | $1118 | +$927+485% |
| 6000 MT/s 2×32GB | $222 | $1272 | +$1050+473% |
The numbers speak for themselves; in just 12 months, the cost of DDR5 memory has essentially exploded. We are looking at year-over-year increases nearing 500% for high-capacity kits. A standard 64GB (2x32GB) DDR5-5600 kit that would have cost you under $200 last summer is now demanding over $1,100. It is a 5x multiplier on a component that used to be a fairly boring and predictable line item in a PC build budget.
数字本身就能说明问题;仅仅12个月内,DDR5内存的成本几乎暴涨。我们看到,大容量套件的同比涨幅接近500%。去年夏天,一套标准的64GB(2x32GB)DDR5-5600内存套件可能还不到200美元,现在却要价超过1100美元。这相当于在PC组装预算中原本相当平淡且可预测的组件上,价格翻了5倍。
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| Memory Kit Speed & Size | August 2025 Average Price | August 2026 Average Price | Change (YoY) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3200 MT/s 2×8GB | $63 | $163 | +$100+159% |
| 3600 MT/s 2×8GB | $75 | $165 | +$90+120% |
| 3200 MT/s 2×16GB | $105 | $281 | +$176+168% |
| 3600 MT/s 2×16GB | $120 | $307 | +$187+156% |
| 3200 MT/s 2×32GB | $222 | $614 | +$392+177% |
| 3600 MT/s 2×32GB | $300 | $789 | +$489+163% |
| 内存套件速度与容量 | 2025年8月平均价格 | 2026年8月平均价格 | 同比变化 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3200 MT/s 2×8GB | $63 | $163 | +$100+159% |
| 3600 MT/s 2×8GB | $75 | $165 | +$90+120% |
| 3200 MT/s 2×16GB | $105 | $281 | +$176+168% |
| 3600 MT/s 2×16GB | $120 | $307 | +$187+156% |
| 3200 MT/s 2×32GB | $222 | $614 | +$392+177% |
| 3600 MT/s 2×32GB | $300 | $789 | +$489+163% |
If you plan to just wait it out on an older AM4 or LGA1700 motherboard with DDR4, you'd better hope your memory holds out too, because DDR4 isn't safe from the fallout. With DDR5 entirely out of reach for most builders, the resulting scramble for older platforms running DDR4 memory has created a massive knock-on effect, and as a result, DDR4 kits are up anywhere from 120% to nearly 180% across the board. Nowhere near as bad as DDR5 pricing, but it still stings when a kit that was $105 last year is $281 this year.
如果你打算在较旧的AM4或LGA1700主板上继续使用DDR4,希望你的内存也能撑得住,因为DDR4也未能幸免于这场风波。由于DDR5对大多数装机者来说完全遥不可及,对运行DDR4内存的旧平台的争抢产生了巨大的连锁反应,结果,DDR4套件的价格全面上涨了120%到近180%。虽然远不及DDR5的价格涨幅,但当去年105美元的套件今年涨到281美元时,仍然令人心痛。
The prices of 64GB DDR5-6000 memory kits over the last 18 months. The darkened area is the range of prices, while the black line is the moving average. (Image credit: PCPartPicker)
过去18个月中64GB DDR5-6000内存套件的价格走势。深色区域为价格范围,黑线为移动平均线。(图片来源:PCPartPicker)
This phenomenon is by no means exclusive to the US, either. German tech site ComputerBase have also been tracking this global trend, reporting just this week that average RAM prices in Europe have skyrocketed by 345% compared to September 2025. Their data shows the squeeze is bleeding into other components too, with hard drive and SSD prices both climbing over 125% in that same timeframe.
这一现象并非美国独有。德国科技网站ComputerBase也一直在追踪这一全球趋势,就在本周报道称,与2025年9月相比,欧洲的平均内存价格飙升了345%。他们的数据显示,这种紧缩也波及到了其他组件,硬盘和SSD的价格在同一时间段内均上涨了超过125%。
In fact, the situation is so severe that hyperscale buyers have reportedly already locked in almost all of the global DRAM production capacity for 2027, handing over advance deposits to guarantee their supply of precious DRAM, which is now among the highest-value commodities in the world by weight; mainstream DRAM chips are worth over half as much per kilogram as solid gold. PC and smartphone makers are simply fighting over the scraps, as low-priority markets compared to the extremely lucrative AI datacenter buildouts. And lucrative they are indeed; all four memory vendors (SK hynix, Samsung, Micron, and China's CXMT) have increased revenues by double, triple, or even more, all in just the space of one year.
事实上,情况如此严峻,据报道,超大规模买家已经锁定了2027年全球DRAM产能的几乎全部,提前支付定金以确保他们珍贵的DRAM供应,而DRAM现在按重量计算是世界上价值最高的商品之一;主流DRAM芯片每公斤的价值超过纯金的一半。PC和智能手机制造商只是在争夺剩余的部分,与极其有利可图的AI数据中心建设相比,它们是低优先级市场。而且它们确实利润丰厚;所有四家内存供应商(SK海力士、三星、美光以及中国的长鑫存储)的收入在短短一年内都翻了一番、两番甚至更多。
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High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) manufacturing requires many individual layers of DRAM, which means radically fewer standard memory chips are getting made. (Image credit: AMD)
高带宽内存(HBM)的制造需要许多单独的DRAM层,这意味着标准内存芯片的生产数量大幅减少。(图片来源:AMD)
For consumer prices to drop, we would essentially need a major contraction in the AI market, which would mean a massive correction in financial markets worldwide. Absent that, the people actually making the chips don't see an end in sight. SK Hynix CEO Kwak Noh-jung recently warned that 2027 will be the worst year for memory supply in the industry's history, forecasting that demand will outstrip their ability to produce it well into 2030. ADATA's Chairman, Simon Chen, was even more pessimistic, suggesting this DRAM crisis could last another 10 years and dismissing the idea of an "AI bubble" bursting anytime soon.
要让消费价格下降,我们基本上需要AI市场出现重大收缩,这将意味着全球金融市场的巨大调整。否则,实际制造芯片的人看不到尽头。SK海力士CEO郭鲁正最近警告说,2027年将是内存供应行业历史上最糟糕的一年,并预测需求将超过其生产能力,一直持续到2030年。ADATA董事长陈立白更为悲观,暗示这场DRAM危机可能再持续10年,并驳斥了“AI泡沫”即将破裂的想法。
The era of cheap, plentiful memory is over, at least for now. If you need RAM today, you're either going to have to bite the bullet and pay the premium, or learn to get by with less. Make sure you check out our RAM price tracking post for the best deals we found on memory, as well as some tips on how to secure solid deals yourself.
廉价且充足的内存时代已经结束,至少目前是这样。如果你今天需要RAM,要么得硬着头皮支付溢价,要么学会用更少的量凑合。务必查看我们的RAM价格追踪文章,了解我们找到的最佳内存优惠,以及一些自己锁定好交易的技巧。
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See all comments (11)
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Zak Killian
Zak Killian
Contributor
贡献者
Zak is a freelance contributor to Tom's Hardware with decades of PC benchmarking experience who has also written for HotHardware and The Tech Report. A modern-day Renaissance man, he may not be an expert on anything, but he knows just a little about nearly everything.
Zak 是 Tom's Hardware 的自由撰稿人,拥有数十年的 PC 基准测试经验,也曾为 HotHardware 和 The Tech Report 撰写文章。作为现代文艺复兴式的人物,他或许并非某一领域的专家,但对几乎所有事物都略知一二。
11 Comments Comment from the forums
11 条评论 来自论坛的评论
- Very glad I upgraded to AM5 about 6 months ago. That said, direct RAM prices aren't really the worst part. Every single GPU and every video game console and so forth are all badly affected by this as well. It's a significant overall inflation on many digital products.
- Reply
- Financial greed knows no limits. :angry:
- Reply
- A few years ago when there was a used car shortage, I could have sold my then 5-year old vehicle for more than I bought it for new, defying normal depreciation expectations. That didn't last long-term, and this won't either, because it can't.
- To some extent, it is just the market at work, doing what it's supposed to do - in times of demand severely outpacing supply, high prices help to ensure it's at least still possible to get what you need if you really need it - even if it's essentially being highly discouraged - and also for the longer-term, the profit potential encourages increasing supply.
- But for anyone who doesn't absolutely have to upgrade/replace memory now/in the next couple years, it makes sense to wait. I think it will probably be 2029/2030 before I think about buying any more hardware, unless the AI bubble bursts and things rapidly change before then.
- 非常庆幸大约 6 个月前升级到了 AM5。话虽如此,直接的内存价格并不是最糟糕的部分。每一款 GPU、每一台视频游戏机等也都深受其影响。这是许多数字产品整体上的显著通胀。
- 回复
- 金融贪婪永无止境。:angry:
- 回复
- 几年前二手车短缺时,我本可以将当时已使用 5 年的车以高于新车购买价的价格卖出,打破了正常的折旧预期。那并未长期持续,这次也不会,因为它不可能。
- 从某种程度上说,这只是市场在发挥作用,做它该做的事——在需求严重超过供应时,高价格有助于确保如果你确实需要某物,至少仍有可能得到它——即使这基本上是在被强烈劝阻——而且从长远来看,利润潜力鼓励增加供应。
- 但对于那些并非绝对必须在现在或未来几年内升级/更换内存的人来说,等待是明智的。我认为可能要等到 2029/2030 年我才会考虑购买更多硬件,除非 AI 泡沫破裂,届时情况迅速变化。
更进一步:量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力