NFL预测市场周交易量达1.678亿美元，环比增324%
NFL Prediction Market Volume Reaches $167.8M in Week Ending August 16
NFL prediction market volume reached $167.8 million in the week ending August 16, up 324.4% from $39.5 million the week prior, according to DeFi Rate data.
根据DeFi Rate数据，截至8月16日的一周内，NFL预测市场交易量达到1.678亿美元，较前一周的3950万美元增长了324.4%。
Preseason game markets accounted for $143.5 million of that total, or 85.5%, across Kalshi, Polymarket Global and Polymarket US.
其中，季前赛市场交易量占总额的1.435亿美元，即85.5%，分布在Kalshi、Polymarket Global和Polymarket US三个平台。
The total cumulative volume on all NFL prediction markets now stands at $236.9 million, with the latest week alone accounting for 71%. Set against everything else, NFL markets are still relatively small.
所有NFL预测市场的累计总交易量现为2.369亿美元，仅最近一周就占了71%。与其他市场相比，NFL市场仍然相对较小。
| Venue | Total volume | NFL volume | NFL share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | $8,671,418,253 | $126,632,249 | 1.46% |
| Polymarket Global | $1,087,109,981 | $7,650,551 | 0.70% |
| Polymarket US | $819,929,432 | $33,546,837 | 4.09% |
| Total | $10,578,457,666 | $167,829,638 | 1.59% |
| 平台 | 总交易量 | NFL交易量 | NFL占比 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | $8,671,418,253 | $126,632,249 | 1.46% |
| Polymarket Global | $1,087,109,981 | $7,650,551 | 0.70% |
| Polymarket US | $819,929,432 | $33,546,837 | 4.09% |
| 总计 | $10,578,457,666 | $167,829,638 | 1.59% |
Futures markets grew while share percentage fell
期货市场增长但份额占比下降
Futures carried the market through July, holding 98.5% of tracked volume in the week of July 6–12 and only 30.4% four weeks later.
期货市场在7月份主导了整个市场，在7月6日至12日的一周内占据了追踪交易量的98.5%，而四周后这一比例仅为30.4%。
Preseason contracts overtook futures starting with the Hall of Fame Game between the Carolina Panthers and Arizona Cardinals. That game traded $19.42 million on Kalshi across the reporting window, more than any other preseason matchup.
从卡罗莱纳黑豹队对阵亚利桑那红雀队的名人堂赛开始，季前赛合约超过了期货。该场比赛在报告窗口期内于Kalshi平台交易了1942万美元，超过任何其他季前赛对决。
Dallas Cowboys against the Seattle Seahawks is next at $12.97 million, followed by the Los Angeles Rams against the Kansas City Chiefs at $9.88 million.
达拉斯牛仔队对阵西雅图海鹰队的比赛以1297万美元紧随其后，其次是洛杉矶公羊队对阵堪萨斯城酋长队的988万美元。
Props reached $4.04 million, 113.5 times the July 6–12 level and up 50.1% week-over-week. Regular-season contracts reached $462,439, a 184.2% weekly gain off a small base, while combos posted $261,826, all of it on Polymarket Global.
道具市场达到404万美元，是7月6日至12日水平的113.5倍，环比增长50.1%。常规赛季合约达到462,439美元，基于较小基数周环比增长184.2%，而组合合约达到261,826美元，全部在Polymarket Global上交易。
| Category | Jul 6-12 | Jul 13-19 | Jul 20-26 | Jul 27-Aug 2 | Aug 3-9 | Aug 10-16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason | $14.9K | $13.8K | $44.8K | $80.4K | $24.69M | $143.51M |
| Futures | $4.77M | $6.32M | $8.40M | $9.11M | $12.00M | $19.56M |
| Props | $35.6K | $51.4K | $225.7K | $270.1K | $2.69M | $4.04M |
| Regular Season | $19.0K | $41.0K | $51.6K | $62.6K | $162.7K | $462.4K |
| Combos | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $3,969 | $261.8K |
| Total | $4.84M | $6.43M | $8.72M | $9.53M | $39.55M | $167.83M |
| 类别 | 7月6-12日 | 7月13-19日 | 7月20-26日 | 7月27日-8月2日 | 8月3-9日 | 8月10-16日 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 季前赛 | $14.9K | $13.8K | $44.8K | $80.4K | $24.69M | $143.51M |
| 期货 | $4.77M | $6.32M | $8.40M | $9.11M | $12.00M | $19.56M |
| 道具 | $35.6K | $51.4K | $225.7K | $270.1K | $2.69M | $4.04M |
| 常规赛季 | $19.0K | $41.0K | $51.6K | $62.6K | $162.7K | $462.4K |
| 组合 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $3,969 | $261.8K |
| 总计 | $4.84M | $6.43M | $8.72M | $9.53M | $39.55M | $167.83M |
Share of NFL volume by category
NFL交易量按类别占比
| Category | Aug 10-16 | % of NFL volume |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | $143.51M | 85.5% |
| Futures | $19.56M | 11.7% |
| Props | $4.04M | 2.4% |
| Regular Season | $462.4K | 0.3% |
| Combos | $261.8K | 0.2% |
| 类别 | 8月10-16日 | 占NFL交易量百分比 |
|---|---|---|
| 季前赛 | $143.51M | 85.5% |
| 期货 | $19.56M | 11.7% |
| 道具 | $4.04M | 2.4% |
| 常规赛季 | $462.4K | 0.3% |
| 组合 | $261.8K | 0.2% |
Volume splits unevenly across the venues
交易量在各平台间分布不均
Kalshi’s grip in some products was stronger than in others:
Kalshi在某些产品中的主导地位比其他产品更强：
- 78.8% of preseason
- 81.4% of props
- 74.4% of regular-season contracts
- 50.6% of futures
- 季前赛的78.8%
- 道具的81.4%
- 常规赛季合约的74.4%
- 期货的50.6%
Polymarket Global holds 8.2% of futures, its strongest position outside combos, where it accounts for all tracked volume.
Polymarket Global持有期货的8.2%，这是其在组合之外最强的地位，而在组合中它占据了所有追踪交易量。
Polymarket Global’s four-figure percentage gain comes off a base of $493,607. The US platform grew 489.6% from a larger $4,204,186 base, with official Daily Market Report files posted for every business date through August 16.
Polymarket Global 的四位数百分比涨幅是基于 493,607 美元的基数。美国平台从更大的 4,204,186 美元基数增长了 489.6%，截至 8 月 16 日每个工作日都有官方每日市场报告文件发布。
| Venu | Preseason | WoW | % of preseason |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | $113.1M | +465.8% | 78.8% |
| Polymarket Global | $5.6M | +1,038.3% | 3.9% |
| Polymarket US | $24.8M | +489.6% | 17.3% |
| Tracked total | $143.5M | +481.3% | 100.0% |
| Venu | 季前赛 | 周环比 | 占季前赛百分比 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.131 亿美元 | +465.8% | 78.8% |
| Polymarket Global | 560 万美元 | +1,038.3% | 3.9% |
| Polymarket US | 2480 万美元 | +489.6% | 17.3% |
| 追踪总计 | 1.435 亿美元 | +481.3% | 100.0% |
Monyeline dominates preseason volume
Moneyline 主导季前赛交易量
| Market type | Polymarket Global | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline (incl. period winners) | $4.06M (62.6%) | $20.68M (68.4%) |
| Spreads | $1.10M (17.0%) | $4.53M (15.0%) |
| Totals | $1.06M (16.3%) | $3.79M (12.5%) |
| Other game props | $1,224 (<0.1%) | $1.22M (4.0%) |
| Pure-preseason combos | $265,783 (4.1%) | $0 (0.0%) |
| All preseason | $6.49M | $30.22M |
| 市场类型 | Polymarket Global | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline（含单节胜者） | 406 万美元（62.6%） | 2068 万美元（68.4%） |
| 让分盘 | 110 万美元（17.0%） | 453 万美元（15.0%） |
| 总分盘 | 106 万美元（16.3%） | 379 万美元（12.5%） |
| 其他比赛道具 | 1,224 美元（<0.1%） | 122 万美元（4.0%） |
| 纯季前赛组合 | 265,783 美元（4.1%） | 0 美元（0.0%） |
| 全部季前赛 | 649 万美元 | 3022 万美元 |
Kalshi and Polymarket Global figures cover August 1–17, 2026, through 09:00 UTC. Polymarket US covers official business dates through August 16. All three run ahead of the weekly totals above, which stop at August 16.
Kalshi 和 Polymarket Global 的数据覆盖 2026 年 8 月 1 日至 17 日，截至 09:00 UTC。Polymarket US 覆盖截至 8 月 16 日的官方工作日。三者均领先于上述截至 8 月 16 日的周度总计。
The next slate of games opened this morning with early flow clustering around four games. Volumes are at most five-figure, so the ordering matters more than the levels this far out.
下一轮比赛今天上午开盘，早期资金流集中在四场比赛上。交易量最多为五位数，因此在这个时间点上，排序比水平更重要。
- Las Vegas Raiders at Houston Texans (Aug. 20) – $13,720
- Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns (Aug 22) – $12,038
- San Francisco 49ers at San Diego Chargers (Aug 20) – $11,437
- New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers (Aug 21) – $11,165
- 拉斯维加斯突袭者队对阵休斯顿德州人队（8 月 20 日） – 13,720 美元
- 布法罗比尔队对阵克利夫兰布朗队（8 月 22 日） – 12,038 美元
- 旧金山 49 人队对阵圣地亚哥闪电队（8 月 20 日） – 11,437 美元
- 纽约喷气机队对阵匹兹堡钢人队（8 月 21 日） – 11,165 美元
Panthers–Jacksonville Jaguars, Baltimore Ravens–Minnesota Vikings and Seattle Seahawks–Tennessee Titans are each under $2,200. Should that spread hold into the weekend, next week’s preseason total will sit on a narrow set of matchups with a long, thin tail behind it. Combos are the category to watch after that.
黑豹队对阵杰克逊维尔美洲虎队、巴尔的摩乌鸦队对阵明尼苏达维京人队以及西雅图海鹰队对阵田纳西泰坦队的交易量均低于 2,200 美元。如果这种分布持续到周末，下周的季前赛总交易量将集中在少数几场比赛上，后面拖着一条又长又细的尾巴。之后，组合盘是值得关注的类别。
The underlying dataset used in this article is available here with proper link attribution if used. All figures are subject to revision as additional data is ingested by DeFiRate.com.
本文使用的基础数据集可在此处获取，使用时请注明出处。随着 DeFiRate.com 摄入更多数据，所有数据均可能进行修订。
The post NFL Prediction Market Volume Reaches $167.8M in Week Ending August 16 appeared first on DeFi Rate.
文章《NFL 预测市场交易量在截至 8 月 16 日的一周达到 1.678 亿美元》首次出现在 DeFi Rate 上。
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