6美元AI Agent的经济学:成本骤降与数据中心外溢
🔮 The curious economics of a $6 AI agent #597
Good morning from London.
早上好,来自伦敦。
We are looking for an outstanding economist to join us as an AI Economy Research Fellow. If you know someone we should speak to, send them our way.
我们正在寻找一位杰出的经济学家加入我们,担任AI经济研究员。如果你认识我们应该联系的人,请把他们介绍给我们。
Cheers
谢谢
The AI spend of your nightmares
你噩梦中的AI支出
Amazon spent some $1.8 million on a Claude project that ran for five months. A senior employee said: “It’s difficult to figure out how much anything [AI-related] costs”.
亚马逊在一个运行了五个月的Claude项目上花费了约180万美元。一位高级员工表示:“很难弄清楚任何(与AI相关的)东西的成本。”
We had a similar experience with R Mini Arnold, my OpenClaw agent. Its costs have run up as it has grown in complexity, and it takes time to switch it to progressively cheaper models. It becomes hard to keep track of exactly what is running efficiently and what isn’t. called out an outrageous few days when the bot blew through $500 a day.
我们也有类似的经历,我的OpenClaw代理R Mini Arnold。随着它变得越来越复杂,其成本也在上升,而且切换到更便宜的模型需要时间。很难准确跟踪哪些运行高效,哪些不是。我曾指出过几天机器人每天花费500美元的离谱情况。
The subsequent tedious audit was worth it. Many processes were running older, higher-tier models, like Opus 4.5, which are more expensive than smaller, newer models like Sonnet 5 or a slew of open-weight models. The price war that has broken out between Anthropic and OpenAI in response to Chinese advances has helped even more.
随后繁琐的审计是值得的。许多进程运行着较旧、较高层级的模型,如Opus 4.5,这些模型比更小、更新的模型(如Sonnet 5或一系列开放权重模型)更昂贵。Anthropic和OpenAI之间因中国的进步而爆发的价格战更是有所帮助。
By default, RMA now uses my token allowance on OpenAI Codex, which is already paid for in my $200-a-month subscription. It will fall back to DeepSeek v4 Flash or Pro if OpenAI is unavailable. For harder tasks, it can jump to 5.6 Sol, OpenAI’s top model, through the same subscription or Kimi K3 or Anthropic’s Fable (both of which I pay for by the token). The net result is $6 a day, lower than it has been for months.
默认情况下,RMA现在使用我在OpenAI Codex上的令牌配额,这已经包含在我每月200美元的订阅中。如果OpenAI不可用,它将回退到DeepSeek v4 Flash或Pro。对于更困难的任务,它可以通过同一订阅或Kimi K3或Anthropic的Fable(两者我都按令牌付费)跳到OpenAI的顶级模型5.6 Sol。最终结果是每天6美元,比几个月来都要低。
The funny thing is that RMA is cheaper than it ever has been and yet more capable than ever. It plugs into the Manus API for some types of work; Claude Code and Codex for coding tasks; Prism (our internal research graph, which is more powerful than ever); and other resources like Elicit for academic papers.
有趣的是,RMA比以往任何时候都便宜,但能力却比以往任何时候都强。它接入Manus API进行某些类型的工作;Claude Code和Codex用于编码任务;Prism(我们的内部研究图谱,比以往更强大);以及其他资源,如Elicit用于学术论文。
It’s a microcosm of the big question in the industry. Has $494 a day just disappeared from genAI revenue? In some sense, yes, but that was really an anomaly. RMA had typically cost me $50 to $60 a day before it went wild. Even at $6 a day, it runs to $2k per year from me alone, which is reasonably substantial for someone who isn’t writing code. I expect spending to spike as I move back into book-writing terrain and need more research done.
这是行业大问题的一个缩影。每天494美元真的从生成式AI收入中消失了吗?从某种意义上说,是的,但那确实是一个异常。RMA在失控之前通常每天花费我50到60美元。即使每天6美元,仅我一个人每年就要花费2000美元,对于不写代码的人来说,这是相当可观的。我预计随着我重新进入写书领域并需要更多研究,支出会激增。
I’m curious whether readers have had similar experiences.
我很好奇读者们是否有类似的经历。
See also:
另见:
- The cost of tokenmaxxing.
- 8 minutes with me on the state of the AI economy:
- US companies are continuing to spend on AI. Ramp reports that “in July, the top 1% of businesses spent a median $7,400 per employee on AI. The top 10% spent $650. The median firm spent $11.95 per employee.”
- Opus 5 is driving a large chunk of Anthropic’s revenue growth.
- SpaceXAI is picking up a pricing fight with Grok 4.6. The new model undercuts top rivals by more than 60%.
- 令牌最大化的成本。
- 8分钟与我一起了解AI经济状况:
- 美国公司继续在人工智能上投入。Ramp 报告称,“7月份,前1%的企业每位员工在人工智能上的中位数支出为7400美元。前10%的企业支出为650美元。中位数企业每位员工支出为11.95美元。”
- Opus 5 正在推动 Anthropic 收入的很大一部分增长。
- SpaceXAI 正在与 Grok 4.6 展开价格战。新模型比顶级竞争对手低出60%以上。
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Who really pays for data centers?
谁真正为数据中心买单?
The cost of building data centers spills over on neighboring towns — in some cases disproportionately so. Each additional data center within 25 miles raises a neighboring town’s bond spread by about 10 basis points. The effect fades with distance — roughly 4 basis points at 75 miles. Neighbors also borrow more. A town with the average number of nearby data centers issues about $34 million more in debt over the following year. The effect roughly doubles between six and thirty-six months. In states with tax breaks, the bill goes through schools. After a state adopts a data center incentive, state transfers to school districts fall by roughly $673 per student.
建设数据中心的成本会外溢到邻近城镇——在某些情况下不成比例地外溢。25英里内每增加一个数据中心,邻近城镇的债券利差就会上升约10个基点。这种效应会随着距离而减弱——在75英里处约为4个基点。邻近城镇也会借更多的钱。一个拥有平均数量附近数据中心的城镇,在接下来的一年里会多发行约3400万美元的债务。这种效应在6到36个月之间大约翻倍。在有税收优惠的州,账单会通过学校转嫁。在州采纳数据中心激励措施后,州对学区的转移支付每名学生减少约673美元。
Explained simply, the towns nearby get the strain but no bargaining chips, so when they need to borrow money for a school or a road, lenders charge them more. And if the state gave the company a tax break to show up, the money the state didn’t collect comes out of the school budget.
简单来说,邻近城镇承受了压力,但没有谈判筹码,所以当他们需要借钱建学校或修路时,贷款方会收取更高的费用。如果州政府为了吸引公司而给予税收减免,州政府未征收的钱就会从学校预算中扣除。
Addressing these types of issues is going to become a priority as data centers become about as popular as lead in petrol.
随着数据中心变得像汽油中的铅一样普遍,解决这类问题将成为优先事项。
’s extraordinary reporting from the frontlines of data center backlash is more than worth your time.
来自数据中心抵制前线的非凡报道绝对值得你花时间阅读。
See also:
另请参阅:
- Some teams within Microsoft are working on regenerative data center designs based on biomimicry.
- 微软内部的一些团队正在研究基于仿生学的再生数据中心设计。
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Short morsels to appear smart at dinner parties
简短片段,让你在晚宴上显得聪明
Researchers built protein logic gates that can trigger cancer cells’ self-destruction.
研究人员构建了蛋白质逻辑门,可以触发癌细胞的自我毁灭。
A hidden prompt injection in a court filing asked AI to side with the plaintiff in case the court used LLMs.
一份法庭文件中的隐藏提示注入要求人工智能在法庭使用大语言模型时支持原告。
Batteries deployed in 2026 could move more than one-third of new solar generation into the evening hours to replace fossil fuels.
2026年部署的电池可以将超过三分之一的新太阳能发电转移到晚间时段,以替代化石燃料。
💪🏼 France’s solar panel recycling sector hit scale in 2025, up 40% from 2024.
💪🏼 法国的太阳能电池板回收行业在2025年达到规模,比2024年增长40%。
An AI designed 16 entirely new synthetic viruses from scratch that were better at killing E. coli than the natural counterparts.
一个人工智能从零开始设计了16种全新的合成病毒,这些病毒在杀死大肠杆菌方面比天然病毒更有效。
👀 Anthropic is hiring a chip design team.
👀 Anthropic 正在招聘芯片设计团队。
AI is a decent financial advisor, but it tends to be too patient and sensitive to your prompting.
人工智能是一个不错的财务顾问,但它往往过于耐心,并且对你的提示很敏感。
👾 Fun game: run the AI lab from 2017 and race to recursive self-improvement takeoff.
👾 有趣的游戏:运行2017年的AI实验室,竞速实现递归自我改进的起飞。
Over 150 years and despite major electoral reforms, Congress has consistently been dominated by “fortunate sons”.
超过150年来,尽管进行了重大选举改革,国会始终被“幸运之子”所主导。
Thanks for reading!
感谢阅读!
更进一步:量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力