特朗普赴长岛谈犯罪，财长称将对伊朗实施空前经济孤立
Trump Heads to Nassau County | Radio Balance of Power: Early Edition 8/14/2026
ANNOUNCER: LIVE FROM WASHINGTON, D.C., THIS IS "BALANCE OF POWER" WITH JOE MATHIEU AND KAILEY LEINZ.
播音员：现场直播来自华盛顿特区，这里是乔·马蒂厄和凯莉·莱因茨主持的《权力平衡》。
PRESIDENT TRUMP DURING THE FRIDAY EXIT IS TO LONG ISLAND. WITH CRIME-FIGHTING ON THE AGENDA, THE PRESIDENT MEETING HIS SUPPORTERS LATER IN GARDEN CITY, NEW YORK. THE PRESIDENT LEAVING THE BUBBLE NOT TO TALK ABOUT AFFORDABILITY, BUT CRIME STATS.
特朗普总统周五离开华盛顿前往长岛。以打击犯罪为议程，总统稍后将在纽约州加登城会见支持者。总统离开“泡泡”并非谈论负担能力，而是犯罪统计数据。
AS ALWAYS, HIS REMARKS IN LONG ISLAND COULD TAKE ANY NUMBER OF DIRECTIONS BUT YES, IS GOING TO BE WITH LAW ENFORCEMENT AND FIRST RESPONDERS ON THE GROUND FOR THE SPEECH, HIGHLIGHTING CRIME AS YOU SAY, EVEN WITH OTHER ISSUES STILL SIMMERING IN THE BACKGROUND INCLUDING THE CONFLICT WITH IRAN AS THE TREASURY SECRETARY SCOTT BESSENT IS, SING UNPRECEDENTED ECONOMIC ISOLATION FOR IRAN. JOE: MAYBE WE WILL LEARN WHAT HE'S GOT IN MIND KNOWING THAT WE HAD SANCTIONS ON IRAN FOR SOME 47 YEARS IN THE IMPACT THAT THIS WHOLE WAR HAS HAD ON ENERGY PRICES IS, OF COURSE, VERY IMPORTANT IN A STATE LIKE NEW YORK.
一如既往，他在长岛的讲话可能涉及多个方向，但确实将与执法部门和急救人员一同出席演讲，正如你所说，强调犯罪问题，即使其他问题仍在幕后酝酿，包括与伊朗的冲突，财政部长斯科特·贝森特正在对伊朗实施前所未有的经济孤立。乔：也许我们会了解到他的想法，知道我们对伊朗实施制裁已有大约47年，而这场战争对能源价格的影响，在纽约这样的州当然非常重要。
RIGHT HERE IN THE STATE OF NEW YORK IT IS AVERAGING $4.14. YOU CAN PROBABLY FIND SOMETHING MORE EXPENSIVE IN GARDEN CITY. IF HE STARTS DOING THE WEAVE MAYBE WE WILL HEAR ABOUT ALL OF THESE ISSUES LATER TODAY.
就在纽约州，汽油均价为4.14美元。在加登城你可能会找到更贵的。如果他开始“编织”话题，也许我们今天晚些时候会听到所有这些问题的讨论。
AS WE CONSIDER THE PRICE OF GAS AND AFFORDABILITY CHALLENGES, TO TRANSLATE DIRECTLY TO THE AFFORDABILITY FIGURES THAT WE GOT. A DETERIORATION FOR BOTH DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS. INTERESTING AS WE MARCH TOWARD THE MIDTERMS WITH 82 DAYS TO GO. DECLINING RETAIL SALES AS WELL EVEN THOUGH GAS DOES HAVE A LITTLE BIT TO DO WITH IT. WE BEGIN FIRST WITH HOW THE MARKETS ARE REACTING TO THAT DATA AS WE TURN TO NEW YORK. CHARLIE: INDEED, THE U.S.
当我们考虑油价和负担能力挑战时，直接关系到我们得到的负担能力数据。民主党和共和党的数据都在恶化。有趣的是，我们距离中期选举还有82天。零售额也在下降，尽管汽油价格与此有一定关系。我们首先从市场对这些数据的反应开始，现在转向纽约。查理：确实，美国
STOCK MARKET LOOK LIKE IT IS RUNNING OUT OF GAS TODAY. THE S&P AND NASDAQ ALL IN THE RED. WE ARE ON TRACK FOR A WEEKLY GAIN ON THE S&P OF 3/10 OF 1%. HEADLINE RIGHT NOW ON THE BLOOMBERG, THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT AND THE U.S. FINANCIAL REGULATOR ARE PROBING TRANSACTIONS AROUND THE PRIVATE FIRM WHICH HAS RISEN TO BECOME ONE OF THE WORLD'S LARGEST IRON OR TRADERS. DEVELOPING STORY RIGHT NOW. NOW, THE S&P, NASDAQ 100 INDEX, RUSSELL 2000 INDEX OF SMALL-CAP SHARES IS HIGHER.
股市今天似乎动力不足。标普500和纳斯达克均下跌。我们有望实现标普500本周上涨0.3%。彭博社的头条新闻是，美国司法部和金融监管机构正在调查一家私人公司的交易，该公司已崛起为全球最大的铁矿石贸易商之一。这是正在发展的新闻。现在，标普500、纳斯达克100指数和罗素2000小盘股指数走高。
PUTTING IT ALL IN CONTEXT, LOOKING AT A LOSS NOW OF 2% . NASDAQ 100 RIGHT NOW DOWN FOR TENTHS OF 1%. GOLD OF $33 AN OUNCE. 43.83 WITH A GAME FROM THE PRECIOUS METAL OF 8/10 OF 1%. HIGHER NOW BY JUST ABOUT 1%. S&P DOWN 19. THAT IS A BLOOMBERG BUSINESSWEEK WATCH. JOE: ALWAYS AN HONOR TO WATCH CHARLIE PELLETT WORK HERE. I NOW KNOW EXACTLY WHAT IT IS LIKE TO BE ATOP THE GILDED TOWER. MY PARTNER IS HOLDING FORTH IN THE NATION'S CAPITAL.
综合来看，目前下跌2%。纳斯达克100目前下跌0.1%。黄金每盎司33美元。贵金属下跌0.8%。现在上涨约1%。标普500下跌19点。这是彭博商业周刊的观察。乔：观看查理·佩莱特的工作总是一种荣幸。我现在完全知道身处“镀金塔”顶端是什么感觉了。我的搭档正在国家首都发表高论。
IT WILL HAVE OUR PANEL WITH US, OF COURSE. WELCOME TO THE FRIDAY EDITION. THE THREAT FROM THE PRESIDENT TRUMP AGAINST IRAN HAS BEEN TOTAL OBLITERATION UNLESS THEY REOPEN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. THAT THREAT MAY BE CHANGING TO ECONOMIC ISOLATION. THAT IS THE WAY FORWARD, IT SEEMS, FOR THE ADMINISTRATION AND BASED ON ANALYSIS THAT WE'VE SEEN FROM BLOOMBERG ECONOMICS, IT COULD BE EASIER SAID THAN DONE. SCOTT BESSENT LAYING OUT THE THREAT TODAY IN AN INTERVIEW ON NEWSMAX.
当然，我们将有专家小组参与。欢迎收看周五版节目。特朗普总统对伊朗的威胁是，除非他们重新开放霍尔木兹海峡，否则将彻底摧毁。这一威胁可能正在转变为经济孤立。这似乎是本届政府的前进方向，而根据我们从彭博经济研究所看到的分析，这可能说起来容易做起来难。斯科特·贝森特今天在接受Newsmax采访时阐述了这一威胁。
LISTEN.
听。
WATCH THE SPACE FOR MORE ANNOUNCEMENTS BECAUSE WE ARE GOING TO APPLY MEASURES LIKE HAVE NEVER BEEN SEEN IN THE HISTORY OF ECONOMIC ISOLATION ON A COUNTRY. IT WILL BE A COMBINATION OF ECONOMIC ISOLATION LIKE THE WORLD HAS NEVER SEEN BEFORE AND THE CONTINUED BLOCKADE IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ THAT WILL KEEP ANYTHING FROM GOING IN OR OUT OF THE IRANIAN PORTS.
敬请期待更多公告，因为我们将采取在经济孤立一个国家方面史无前例的措施。这将是世界从未见过的经济孤立与继续封锁霍尔木兹海峡的结合，这将阻止任何东西进出伊朗港口。
SO LET'S GET MORE ON WHAT EXACTLY WE COULD SEE THAT THE WORLD IS NOT YET SEEN. TYLER KENDALL IS LIVE ON THE NORTH LAWN OF THE WHITE HOUSE. AS MENTIONED, IRAN HAS ALREADY BEEN UNDER SANCTIONS BY THE UNITED STATES AND OTHERS FOR DECADES. 47 YEARS. HOW MUCH FURTHER CAN THE U.S. PUSH THINGS?
那么，让我们进一步了解我们可能会看到哪些世界尚未见过的情况。泰勒·肯德尔在白宫北草坪进行现场报道。如前所述，伊朗已经受到美国和其他国家数十年的制裁。47年。美国还能把事情推进多远？
TO PUT A FINER POINT ON THAT, BLOOMBERG NEWS SHOW THAT NEARLY 2200 NEW SANCTIONS HAVE BEEN APPLIED BETWEEN NOW AND 2018, UNDERSCORING THAT IRAN'S ECONOMY REALLY HAS WEATHERED WAVES OF SANCTIONS, THOUGH THE ECONOMY HAS BEEN SEVERELY HIT. THE IMF SAID IN APRIL THEY ARE EXPECTING THE ECONOMY TO SHRINK BY 6.1 PERCENT AND ACCORDING TO CENTRAL BANK DATA, INFLATION ON A YEAR-OVER-YEAR BASIS IS REACHING 77% AT THE MOMENT. THE ADMINISTRATION IS MAKING IT VERY CLEAR THAT THEY ARE OPTING AGAINST EXPANDING MILITARY OPERATIONS FOR A NUMBER OF DIFFERENT FACTORS THAT WE KNOW ABOUT.
更明确地说，彭博新闻社显示，从2018年到现在，已实施了近2200项新制裁，这突显出伊朗经济确实经受住了多轮制裁的冲击，尽管经济受到了严重打击。国际货币基金组织在四月份表示，他们预计经济将萎缩6.1%，而根据中央银行的数据，通货膨胀率同比目前达到77%。本届政府明确表示，由于我们所知的一系列不同因素，他们选择不扩大军事行动。
OUR REPORTING WHEN IT COMES TO IDEAS THAT ARE STOCKPILES NEED TO BE REPLENISHED, BUT THEY ARE OPTING FOR THIS ECONOMIC STRONGHOLD. BUT WE HAVE TO KEEP IN MIND THAT THE U.S. HAD GIVEN FINANCIAL RELIEF TO THE COUNTRY EARLIER THIS YEAR AMID THE NEGOTIATIONS AND IT WASN'T ENOUGH TO KEEP THAT CEASEFIRE IN PLACE. WE WILL HAVE TO SEE WHERE IT GOES FROM HERE. ONE OF THE IDEAS IS THAT PERHAPS THE U.S. COULD FURTHER TARGET CHINESE REFINERIES FOR IMPORTING IRANIAN CRUDE, BUT THAT OF COURSE HAS ITS OWN ARRAY OF RISKS WHEN IT COMES TO THE BEIJING-WASHINGTON TRADE TRUTH JUST AHEAD OF THE CHINESE PRESIDENT COMING HERE TO THE U.S.
我们的报道涉及库存需要补充的观点，但他们选择了这种经济堡垒。但我们必须记住，美国在今年早些时候在谈判期间向该国提供了财政救济，但这不足以维持停火。我们必须看看接下来会如何发展。其中一个想法是，美国可能会进一步针对进口伊朗原油的中国炼油厂，但这当然在中国国家主席访问美国之前，对北京与华盛顿之间的贸易现实带来一系列自身的风险。
YOU JUST PUT YOUR FINGER ON IT, THAT IS WHAT WOULD MAKE A DIFFERENCE. IF WE START SANCTIONING OR TARIFFING, I SHOULD USE THE WORD, OIL EXPORTS TO CHINA. THAT WOULD ESSENTIALLY RENDER IRAN OUT OF BUSINESS. THAT IS NOT SOMETHING THE WHITE HOUSE IS CONSIDERING, IS IT?
你正好说到了点子上，这才是关键所在。如果我们开始制裁或加征关税，我应该用这个词，对中国的石油出口。那基本上会让伊朗出局。白宫并没有在考虑这件事，对吗？
WE HAD HEARD THIS PREVIOUSLY THREATENED BY THE ADMINISTRATION, SOMETHING THAT HAS BEEN THREATENED IN OTHER CONFLICTS AS WELL INCLUDING WHEN IT COMES TO RUSSIA AND CHINA BEING A BIG BENEFACTOR. WE KNOW THE MAJORITY OF SANCTIONED IRANIAN CRUDE ENDS OF GOING TO EAST CHINESE TEAPOT REFINERIES. WE WILL SEE WHERE IT ALL GOES FROM HERE. I BROUGHT UP THAT BACKDROP THAT WE HAVE TO KEEP IN MIND WHICH IS THAT THE CHINESE PRESIDENT IS GOING TO BE HERE IN WASHINGTON IN JUST A FEW WEEKS BUT LAST NIGHT WE ALSO SAW THE U.S.
我们之前就听说过政府威胁过这件事，在其他冲突中也有过类似的威胁，包括涉及俄罗斯和中国作为大金主的情况。我们知道，大部分受制裁的伊朗原油最终流向了中国的茶壶炼油厂。我们会看看接下来会如何发展。我提到了这个背景，我们必须记住，中国总统几周后就要来华盛顿了，但昨晚我们还看到美国……
MOVE TO IMPOSE THESE NEW SANCTIONS OF UP TO 100% FOR CERTAIN DRONES, WHICH DIDN'T EXPLICITLY MENTION CHINA IN THAT ANNOUNCEMENT, BUT IF YOU READ THROUGH THE DETAILS, IT SEEMED PRETTY EVIDENT. THIS WAS CONSIDERED TO BE A MOVE AGAINST CHINA. IT FOLLOWS A RECENT SERIES OF MOODS INCLUDING FROM THE FTC -- SEC TO BLOCK CERTAIN EXPORTS. WE WILL HAVE TO SEE WHERE IT GOES FROM HERE.
……采取行动，对某些无人机实施高达100%的新制裁，该公告中没有明确提到中国，但如果你仔细阅读细节，似乎很明显。这被认为是针对中国的举动。这是继最近一系列举措之后，包括联邦贸易委员会——证券交易委员会阻止某些出口。我们得看看接下来会怎样。
TYLER, WE ARE KEEPING AN EYE ON JOINT BASE ANDREWS AT THE PRESIDENT IS ON BOARD MARINE ONE, GETTING SET TO LAND AT JOINT BASE ANDREWS. YOU WILL BOARD AIR FORCE ONE WHICH IS GOING TO TAKE INTO GARDEN CITY. HE'S HEADING TO LONG ISLAND TO TALK ABOUT CRIME AND AS WE WATCH TO SEE IF YOU MIGHT HAVE SOME WORDS WITH REPORTERS BEFORE BOARDING THE NEW AIRCRAFT. WHY BRING THIS MESSAGE THERE NOW?
泰勒，我们正在关注安德鲁斯联合基地，总统正在海军陆战队一号上，准备降落在安德鲁斯联合基地。你将登上空军一号，它将飞往加登城。他要去长岛谈论犯罪问题，我们也在观察他是否会在登上新飞机前对记者说些什么。为什么现在要把这个信息带到那里？
HE'S GOING TO BE IN FRONT OF A RELATIVELY FRIENDLY CROWD. HE IS GOING TO BE SPEAKING TO THE NASSAU COUNTY POLICE ACADEMY IN LONG ISLAND. THE WHITE HOUSE SAYS TO EXPECT THEM TO RELEASE NEW CRIME STATISTICS SHOWING A DECREASE IN VIOLENT CRIME IN 2025. THIS IS AN AREA THAT THE GOP HAS TYPICALLY PULLED BETTER ON COMPARED TO DEMOCRATS. IT'S VERY CLEAR THAT REPUBLICANS ARE TRYING TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO HONE THEIR MESSAGING CLOSE TO NOVEMBER AND THE MIDTERMS IN THE POLLING SHOWS THAT THEY ARE PLAYING DEFENSE WHEN IT COMES TO THE ECONOMY IN AN AREA WHERE THE ECONOMY HAS SYSTOLIC -- PARTY HAS HISTORICALLY POLLED BETTER ON COMPARED TO DEMOCRATS.
他将在相对友好的观众面前讲话。他将在长岛的拿骚县警察学院发表讲话。白宫表示，预计他们将公布新的犯罪统计数据，显示2025年暴力犯罪有所下降。这是共和党通常比民主党表现更好的领域。很明显，共和党正试图弄清楚如何在11月中期选举前调整他们的信息，而民调显示，他们在经济方面处于守势，而在这个领域，该党历来比民主党民调更好。
WE'VE HEARD FROM KEVIN HASSETT EARLIER THIS WEEK SAYING TO EXPECT REPUBLICANS TO KEEP ROLLING OUT IDEAS RELATED TO THE ECONOMY INCLUDING TAX CATHOLIC A CLOSE TO ELECTION DAY, EVEN IF IT MEANS THEY WON'T BE ENACTED UNTIL AFTER ELECTION DAY DEPENDING ON WHAT HAPPENS WITH CONTROL OF CONGRESS. SOMETHING TO WATCH HERE FOR SURE, BUT DEFINITELY AN AREA THE ADMINISTRATION IS GOING TO START HIGHLIGHTING EVEN MORE AS WE GET CLOSER AND CLOSER TO NOVEMBER.
本周早些时候，我们听到凯文·哈塞特表示，预计共和党人会继续推出与经济相关的想法，包括在选举日临近时减税，即使这意味着这些措施要等到选举日之后才能实施，这取决于国会的控制权归属。这当然值得关注，但随着我们越来越接近十一月，这绝对是政府将开始更加突出的领域。
JOE: WE THANK YOU SO MUCH, TYLER, AS THE PRESIDENT MAKES HIS WAY TO SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTY. GARDEN CITY, NEW YORK IS WHERE THE PRESIDENT WILL BE HOLDING FORTH, AND HE'S GOING TO BE SURROUNDED BY FIRST RESPONDERS IN AN AREA, AS TYLER SAID, THAT IS QUITE FRIENDLY TO PRESIDENT TRUMP. REMEMBER, HE WENT TO THE NASSAU COLISEUM BACK IN SEPTEMBER 24 AS MANY AT THE TIME WERE ASKING WHY IS HE GOING TO LONG ISLAND NOW INSTEAD OF A SWING STATE?
乔：非常感谢你，泰勒，总统正在前往南拿骚县。纽约州加登城是总统将要发表讲话的地方，他将被急救人员包围，正如泰勒所说，这个地区对特朗普总统相当友好。记住，他在9月24日去了拿骚体育馆，当时许多人都在问，为什么他现在要去长岛而不是摇摆州？
HERE WAS HIS MESSAGE. TRUMP: I WILL CUT TAXES FOR FAMILIES, SMA
以下是他的信息。特朗普：我将为家庭减税，中小企业
原文超出正文长度上限，此处截断——上游还有内容，完整版见上方「原文 ↗」。
更进一步：量化金融体系
看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径，把它变成能交付的工程能力