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Databricks 突破 70 亿美元 ARR,增长 80% 加速

Databricks Just Crossed $7B ARR Growing 80% (!): A 30-Point Acceleration, a $190B Valuation, and the Margin Bill for Agents

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创业者与增长负责人可从中获得关键洞察:AI 代理时代消费型定价的优势与代价,以及如何重新评估增长与利润率的关系。

This is almost unprecedented in B2B software

这在B2B软件领域几乎是前所未有的

Databricks just announced it crossed a $7 billion revenue run-rate in Q2, growing more than 80% year over year, and closed a $5 billion strategic round at a $190 billion valuation led by Coatue.

Databricks刚刚宣布,其第二季度收入运行率突破70亿美元,同比增长超过80%,并完成了由Coatue领投的50亿美元战略融资,估值达到1900亿美元。

Today, we announced that we crossed $7B in revenue run-rate, growing over 80% year over year in Q2.

今天,我们宣布第二季度收入运行率突破70亿美元,同比增长超过80%。

We also shared:

我们还分享了:

🚀 $100M+ revenue run-rate for Lakebase

🚀 Lakebase收入运行率超过1亿美元

🚀 $1.5B+ revenue run-rate for Lakehouse, growing over 100% year over year

🚀 Lakehouse收入运行率超过15亿美元,同比增长超过100%

🚀 Continued positive adjusted free cash flow…

🚀 调整后自由现金流持续为正……

— Ali Ghodsi (@alighodsi) August 13, 2026

—— Ali Ghodsi(@alighodsi)2026年8月13日

Most of the coverage will lead with the valuation. But it’s the epic growth curve that is working doing a deep dive on. Databricks is reaccelerating at $7B ARR. To a stunning 80%+ growth.

大多数报道都会以估值为重点。但真正值得深入探讨的是其史诗般的增长曲线。Databricks在70亿美元ARR的基础上重新加速,实现了惊人的80%以上增长。

#1. Growth went from 50% to 80% in four quarters

#1. 增长在四个季度内从50%提升至80%

That’s thirty points of acceleration between $4 billion and $7 billion of run-rate. Companies at this scale are supposed to decelerate, and almost all of them do. Databricks went the other way for four straight quarters.

在40亿至70亿美元运行率之间,增长率提升了30个百分点。处于这一规模的公司理应减速,而且几乎所有公司都会减速。但Databricks连续四个季度反其道而行之。

Worth being precise about the last data point. This quarter held at 80% rather than climbing again, so the acceleration is a completed arc as of today, not something still in motion. Growing 80% at $7 billion is still better than anything else in enterprise software. It’s just flat now instead of improving.

有必要对最后一个数据点进行精确说明。本季度增长率维持在80%,并未再次攀升,因此加速过程截至目前已告一段落,而非仍在进行中。在70亿美元规模下实现80%的增长,仍然优于企业软件领域的其他任何公司。只是现在增长趋于平稳,而非继续提升。

The other thing to check next quarter is the sequential add. Databricks put on roughly $1.5 billion of run-rate between the January and April quarters. April’s $6.9 billion to July’s “>$7 billion” reads like a fraction of that. “>$7 billion” is a threshold rather than a real figure, and 80% growth on last year’s $4.0 billion implies at least $7.2 billion, so the gap is probably rounding. But it’s the line I’d watch.

下个季度需要关注的另一件事是环比增量。Databricks在1月至4月季度间增加了约15亿美元的运行率。从4月的69亿美元到7月的“>70亿美元”,增量似乎只是其中一小部分。“>70亿美元”是一个门槛而非实际数字,而基于去年40亿美元80%的增长意味着至少72亿美元,因此差距可能是四舍五入造成的。但这是我关注的重点。

#2. Databricks passed Snowflake three quarters ago

#2. Databricks在三个季度前超越了Snowflake

Both companies close their fiscal year on January 31, so the quarters line up. Annualizing Snowflake’s product revenue against Databricks’ reported run-rate:

两家公司的财年都在1月31日结束,因此季度对齐。将Snowflake的产品收入年化后与Databricks公布的运行率对比:

Databricks went past Snowflake in the October 2025 quarter and has widened the gap every quarter since. Snowflake’s Q2 hasn’t reported yet, so that last figure is their own guidance of $1,415M to $1,420M in product revenue.

Databricks在2025年10月季度超越Snowflake,此后每个季度都在扩大差距。Snowflake的第二季度尚未公布,因此最后一个数字是其自身给出的产品收入指引,为14.15亿至14.2亿美元。

The comparison isn’t perfectly clean. Snowflake’s number is audited GAAP revenue. Databricks’ is a self-reported run-rate from a private company with no obligation to define it consistently, and no auditor checking. Directionally sound, not precise.

这种比较并非完全严谨。Snowflake的数字是经审计的GAAP收入。Databricks的数字则是私营公司自行报告的运行率,没有义务以一致的方式定义,也没有审计师核查。方向正确,但不精确。

Snowflake is also not in trouble. Product revenue grew 34% last quarter, up from 30%, with 126% net revenue retention and a raised full-year guide of $5.84 billion. On the bigger base they add roughly $1.8 billion of net new product revenue a year. Databricks’ data warehousing product, Lakehouse, passed $1.5 billion growing over 100%, which adds roughly $1.5 billion. Snowflake is still putting on more absolute dollars in the category Databricks built Lakehouse to attack.

Snowflake也没有陷入困境。上个季度产品收入增长了34%,高于之前的30%,净收入留存率为126%,并将全年指引上调至58.4亿美元。在更大的基数上,他们每年新增约18亿美元的产品净收入。Databricks的数据仓库产品Lakehouse突破了15亿美元,增长率超过100%,这大约增加了15亿美元。Snowflake在Databricks构建Lakehouse所针对的类别中仍然增加了更多的绝对金额。

What changed is the company-level race, and Databricks won it by expanding into AI infrastructure Snowflake doesn’t sell: Lakebase, Genie, Agent Bricks, Unity AI Gateway. Lakebase alone passed a $100 million run-rate this quarter from a standing star

改变的是公司层面的竞争,而Databricks通过扩展到Snowflake不销售的人工智能基础设施赢得了竞争:Lakebase、Genie、Agent Bricks、Unity AI Gateway。仅Lakebase一个季度就从零起步超过了1亿美元的年化运行率。

#3. Agents drive the revenue and eat the margin

#3. 智能体驱动收入并吞噬利润

At the Data + AI Summit in June, Ali Ghodsi told CNBC margins are shrinking because agents generate far more queries than humans do.

在6月份的数据与人工智能峰会上,Ali Ghodsi告诉CNBC,利润率正在下降,因为智能体产生的查询比人类多得多。

“It’s the consumption-based business model, agentic AI coming. The agents are generating way more queries.”

“这是基于消费的商业模式,智能体人工智能即将到来。智能体产生的查询要多得多。”

We’ve written a version of this three times in the last two weeks:

在过去两周里,我们已经写了三次类似的内容:

  • Figma gave up five points of gross margin year over year to AI credits, with beta products burning inference against no revenue.
  • Atlassian bundled AI free into paid Jira Cloud and guided non-GAAP operating margin from 36% in Q4 down to 25% for FY27.
  • Canva cut its growth forecast by a third and started metering Pro features, because the free tier stopped costing close to nothing.
  • Figma的毛利率同比下降了五个百分点,原因是人工智能积分,测试版产品在没有收入的情况下消耗推理能力。
  • Atlassian将人工智能免费捆绑到付费的Jira Cloud中,并将非GAAP营业利润率从第四季度的36%下调至2027财年的25%。
  • Canva将增长预测削减了三分之一,并开始对Pro功能进行计量,因为免费层级不再几乎零成本。

Databricks is the one in that group whose pricing captures agent traffic directly, and it’s still taking a margin hit. A consumption-priced infrastructure vendor growing 80% is absorbing gross margin compression from agent query volume. Per-seat vendors bundling AI into a flat price are absorbing something worse.

Databricks是这些公司中唯一直接通过定价捕获智能体流量的,但它仍然在承受利润率下降。一个以消费定价的基础设施供应商增长80%,正在吸收智能体查询量带来的毛利率压缩。按席位定价的供应商将人工智能捆绑在固定价格中,正在吸收更糟糕的影响。

If you’re pricing an AI product right now, the useful frame is load pattern. Agents query the same account an order of magnitude more often than the humans inside it did. Your pricing has to survive a customer whose agents hit you 50 times for every one time a person used to.

如果你现在正在为人工智能产品定价,有用的框架是负载模式。智能体对同一账户的查询频率比其中的人类高出数量级。你的定价必须能够承受客户的人工智能以每人类过去使用一次就调用你50次的频率进行查询。

#4. Almost all of it is expansion inside existing accounts

#4. 几乎所有增长都来自现有账户的扩展

The customer numbers in today’s release:

今天发布中的客户数据:

  • More than 1,000 customers now consume at over $1 million run-rate, up from 650+ in September 2025. Roughly 54% growth in that cohort in eleven months.
  • More than 100 customers consume at over $10 million run-rate, a tier Databricks hadn’t disclosed before.
  • Net retention was last disclosed above 140%.
  • 20,000+ organizations total, including 70% of the Fortune 500.
  • 超过1000个客户的年化消费超过100万美元,高于2025年9月的650多个。该群体在十一个月内增长了约54%。
  • 超过100个客户的年化消费超过1000万美元,这是Databricks之前未披露的层级。
  • 净留存率上次披露时超过140%。
  • 总计超过20,000家组织,其中包括70%的财富500强企业。

The $10 million tier is the one that explains the valuation. A hundred-plus logos each generating eight figures, still expanding. With 70% of the Fortune 500 already in the door, Databricks isn’t growing 80% by adding logos. The growth is coming from getting much larger inside accounts it already had.

1亿美元级别是解释估值的关键。超过100个标志性客户,每个贡献八位数收入,且仍在扩张。已有70%的财富500强客户,Databricks的增长并非通过增加客户数量实现80%的增长。增长来自于在已有客户中扩大规模。

#5. The multiple, while impressive, has barely moved across three rounds

#5. 尽管倍数令人印象深刻,但在三轮融资中几乎未变。

September 2025: above $100 billion on $4 billion, about 25x.

2025年9月:估值超过1000亿美元,收入40亿美元,约25倍。

February 2026: $134 billion on $5.4 billion, about 25x.

2026年2月:估值1340亿美元,收入54亿美元,约25倍。

Today: $190 billion on $7 billion-plus, about 27x, or closer to 26x if the real figure is $7.2 billion.

今天:估值1900亿美元,收入超过70亿美元,约27倍,若实际为72亿美元则接近26倍。

The valuation went up 90% in eleven months and the multiple moved maybe two turns. Nearly all of the increase is revenue that actually showed up. Across three rounds and very different macro conditions, the market has kept paying 25 to 27 times run-rate for this business, which reads more like a clearing price than a mark.

估值在11个月内上涨90%,而倍数仅变动约两个点。几乎所有增长都来自实际收入。在三轮融资和截然不同的宏观环境下,市场一直为这项业务支付25至27倍的运行率,这更像是一个清算价格而非标记。

#6. No IPO anytime soon

#6. 短期内不会IPO

Ghodsi told CNBC the company intends to go public eventually but not now. “We’re not just a company that wants to stay in the private, but right now I just think there would be too much distraction in the public market.”

Ghodsi告诉CNBC,公司最终会上市,但不是现在。“我们不是一家只想保持私有的公司,但目前我认为公开市场会有太多干扰。”

He’s raising $5 billion privately, running positive adjusted free cash flow over the last twelve months, and carrying a valuation that would put Databricks in the top tier of public software companies on day one. Nothing about the financing requires filing. On the same day, Databricks bought ElectricSQL, the team behind PGlite, which went from 1 million to 13 million weekly downloads over the last twelve months, to speed up Lakebase reads and writes for agents.

他正在私下筹集50亿美元,过去十二个月调整后自由现金流为正,估值足以让Databricks在上市首日跻身顶级软件公司之列。此次融资无需申报。同一天,Databricks收购了ElectricSQL——PGlite背后的团队,后者在过去十二个月中周下载量从100万增长到1300万——以加速Lakebase对代理的读写。

Companies with this profile used to go public because they needed the capital and the acquisition currency. Databricks has both without filing, and gets to absorb the cost of agentic consumption without explaining a margin line every ninety days.

过去,具有这种特征的公司上市是因为需要资本和收购货币。Databricks无需申报就拥有两者,并且能够吸收代理消费的成本,而无需每九十天解释一次利润率。

What to take from this if you’re not Databricks

如果你不是Databricks,从中可以学到什么

  • Growth doesn’t automatically decay with scale anymore. Figma, Atlassian at $6.6 billion, Snowflake at $5.3 billion, and now Databricks from $4 billion to $7 billion have all accelerated in the last year. The old rule came out of seat-based expansion in a market with fixed headcount. Consumption pricing against agent workloads doesn’t behave that way.
  • Consumption pricing is the advantage in this cycle, and it comes with a bill. Everyone capturing AI-driven volume growth is also absorbing AI-driven cost growth. Consumption-priced vendors at least get paid for the volume they’re absorbing. Per-seat vendors are eating it inside a flat price.
  • Model your largest accounts in an agent world. If agents rather than people start querying your product, your biggest customers get much bigger and your gross margin gets tested in exactly those accounts.
  • 增长不再随规模自动衰减。Figma、Atlassian(收入66亿美元)、Snowflake(收入53亿美元),以及现在的Databricks(从40亿到70亿美元)在过去一年都加速增长。旧规则源于固定员工数量市场中的席位扩张。针对代理工作负载的消费定价并非如此。
  • 消费级定价是本轮周期的优势,但它伴随着代价。所有抓住AI驱动流量增长的厂商,同时也在吸收AI驱动的成本增长。采用消费级定价的供应商至少能为其吸收的流量获得报酬。而按席位定价的供应商则在固定价格内自行消化这些成本。
  • 在智能体世界中为你的最大客户建模。如果查询你产品的是智能体而非人类,你最大的客户会变得更大,而你的毛利率恰恰会在这些客户身上受到考验。

更进一步:量化金融体系

看懂新闻只是起点——沿量化金融路径,把它变成能交付的工程能力

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